DROP
EUR/AUD 4H SHORT ANALYSIS Price go higher and hit strong ressistrance level at 1.64494
after that price drop and retrace at 0.618 level of fibonacce retracement level
Now we see a evening star pattern show up
Price will go down at 1.62630 (Pink Line) then test it again and after confirmation price will drop at the next strong support level at 1.61175.
One last chance to get Bitcoin cheap!Hello hodlers,
hello traders,
i want to share my opinion with you. I have to say first, iám really hope this plays out, but there is NO Guarantee that we will see this drop in the "buy zone" (white circle).
Why i think we will see a last drop before taking off from these levels forever:
- since the bottom @ dec´18 we see a massive rally ( much more than 100% )
- people are very greedy at this moment ( alternative.me )
- it would be healthy
- i want to buy more ( yes, this point is not objective at all :-D )
Please tell me what you think about the drop and in which range we will see it, if it happened anyway.
Note:
It is also possible, that we will see 10k first and after that we see a drop.
Bitcoin in the past was good for a 30-40% drop at any state, so there will be a better buy opportunity in future as in this moment ( just my opinion )
Bitcoin heading to a strong support level, $6500This is not a financial advice and I put it here only for my own record.
Following my previous post ( ), I have multiple Fib circles and one Pitchfork. The market at this moment perfectly respects the blue and red Fib circles. I see clearly that the market is making an HS pattern.
The red Fib circles has played resistance/support recently. Whenever we got close to one of the red circles, we saw a strong resistance or support. Even if we go up, I do not think we go above $8660. I see one blue Fib circle, another red fib circle and a significant support level by Pitchfork channel. Also, note that the Bitcoin long-to-short ratio is high enough now to see a move to the downside in price (at least, it is unlikely yo see a massive upside move).
I think we will follow down the red circle (shown by a red arrow) and the blue circle below plays a support level. Then, we move sideways (with some ups and downs) to finally reach the gray large circle. As shown in my previous post ( ), every time we approached this Fib circle we had a massive drop. I am not saying we will have a massive drop but it is very important to be cautious around that moment.
On the other hand that green line should be a very strong support. In history, it was a strong support and resistance for several times (even in 2016 and 2017, as well as recent 6 months). Can the market hold that level this time? We do not know (and no one else does either). My guess is we probably hold that level for a couple of weeks and eventually we break it.
BTW, I drew a Fib circle for RSI curve too that has played out very well so far. We will move about the middle of current channel, then we have a upside move to the upper channel and finally goes back down to have a large sell-off. Who knows?!
In my next post, I will show you why I think the market is currently overvalued and we eventually go down to at least retest the $3200.
Let me know what you think?
Bitcoin - Matrix Opportunities in Bitcoin, GreenPillOrRedPill?All information is provided in the chart. (Look at Yellow-notes on chart to see description)
What pill would you take?
Hourly Chart VS 4-Hour Chart - Most likely scenarios
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EOS/BTC - ready for a drop?EOS/BTC has fallen out of the range and presents a good opportunity to short.
Target 1: 0.00080
Blue triangle indicates the current range. Anything falling outside of the triangle is considered a breakout/down.
Red box is sell.
Red line indicates t/p.
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but but... they said Bullrun???!! ThEy SaiD BotTom in! wink winkLast bullrun went from 300 dollars to 20.000 dollars in almost 2 years. Only reason that it pumped that high is due our dear sugar daddy BITFINEX. They printed shitload of tether and kept buying BTC's. In combination of the crazy ICO run that people invested millions in worthless and useless tokens that are almost all down 95%. When the pumping ended and the dumb money retail masses invest at 20k it became clear that BTC would enter a bearmarket. 6k became the support that held for many many months. Once it broke we dumped 50% in couple of weeks.
Now Bitfinex has the claws of NY AG around their neck and their cold wallet is moving money out like crazy. ICO's are basically dead. the main 2 catalyst that pumped the price to epic highs are "gone".
Thinking bullrun will start now is stupid and doesn't make any sense. I ask you what is the reason BTC will have massive bullrun? real world usage? adoption? please dude wake up.
People like Willy Woo, David Puell and Murad telling us the bearmarket is over cus they invented some fancy looking indicator that predicts the bottom. the point is that BTC only has 2 previous bearmarkets. there is simply not enough data to check if the fancy new indicators are accurate most of the times. and of the 2 previous bearmarkets there is only 1 bearmarket that is almost similar like this current market.
Rather trade what the charts are telling you now instead of comparing every piece of charts to 2014-2015 bear markets.
Basic rule:
Don't long resistance and don't short support. Ogaah boogah blah blah WhAt?? look at charts we are at major Resistance.
I think we gonna see lower.
Short it. close some at red box and short again when it has deadcat bounce. keep shorting the shit of it until there is a flat phase of accumulation and the biggest bulls are turned into steak.
Bitcoin's Previous Beark Market and it's SimilaritiesWe are about 500 days into the bear market now and I thought it would be fun to record the similarities between the current bear market and the previous one. Below, we may see what the future could look like.
To start, we can see the bottom of the previous bear market was almost 87% less than the all time high compared to the current 84% bottom. Both times it took about a year to get there. (Show in the chart above.)
Below we see on July 9, 2015 (one year before the bitcoin halving) price had rallied to the 50 week moving average (red line) then subsequently fell by 34%. This was the last low before price rallied to the halving date. Now, keep in mind history will not repeat PERFECTLY . Recently, price rallied to the 50 week moving average on April 23, 2019. This movement is very similar to the previous one albeit a little early if we are considering the "one year before halving" prediction. We also notice that after price bounced off the 50 week moving average it fell down to the 200 week moving average (blue line). I find it very interesting that the 34% decline in both scenarios line up with the 200 week moving average closely.
So far, the symmetry is uncanny, to say the least. I feel like, until we see a major deviation in this pattern, we can expect a similar outcome. I am expecting one more drop before we see a significant rally. I will be looking for bullish news leading up to the drop. If the majority of traders are usually on the wrong side of the trade then it would be reasonable to see a lot of talk about bitcoin being in a bull market and that price could go to $X,XXX. The price retraction should catch people by surprise.
On the other hand...
Some things are different this time around. People are more aware of bitcoin, it's halving, and it's 4 year cycle. As well as the new option for short trades. I'm still trying to decide how these factor in. I am still bullish and I am still expecting a retraction in the near term, but unsure of how great the upside will be. As of now, I am confident price can reach $10k. After the halving next year, I won't be surprised to see price between $30k and $50k, but I am unsure the likelihood of that outcome due to the ability to short sell now and the upcoming economic downturn/ global financial crisis.
I am curious about your opinion on this analysis. Please leave a comment about your thoughts on how short selling and the upcoming crash could affect the future of bitcoin. As well as any thoughts on how greater bitcoin awareness will affect it's future price. I can see both sides and am interested in gathering opinions. PM me if you do not won't your comments public, I would still like to hear from you.
As always: Not financial advice. Always do your own research.
IOTA USD - Bearish Symmetrical TriangleIOTAUSD should take us lower (minimum 40%) going to complete a Symmetrical Triangle. We broke our longterm RSI support which coincides with the breakout of the triangle.
Weekly 21 EMA was already rejected
IOTABTC should also take us lower, but here we could soon have good RSI wedge support at 0.00004517 where I will look at possibly longing IOTA depending on the look on the day of the touch. It might touch the region with a TD Countdown 13 on the same day.
~20th of May could be interesting.
WBA: Strong bullish technical set-upThis stock (WBA) offers a very nice entry opportunity. It has been falling over the last days, mainly due to earnings report. Despite earnings beating the consensus , the stock dropped 12 percent in the pre-market.
Nevertheless this company is still doing well and there is a potential for a long -term trade or maybe even for an investment. WBA is currently falling to the red area, which is a strong S/R area. So i guess there might be a very big bullish volume at these levels. There is also upward trendline and this stock has some potential to perform very nicely afterwards.
BUY ZONE:
Red S/R area -> 51.70 - 45.00 USD
This is just my point of view, and it doesnt represent an investing advice. You trade on your own risk.
USDEUR IS OVERBOUGHT A DROP IS COMINGUSDEUR has high probability to drop, reasons:
Overbought (Yellow) in 85m 2H time frames indicated by "9 Seasons Rainbow Multiple Time Frames Pattern PRO" Indicator;
RSI Divergence
Previous Resistance: 0.892
Previous ascending channel has been broken.
Target 1: 0.884 Fib 0.618
Target 2: 0.881 Fib 0.382
Target 3: 0.873 Fib 0.236
STOP: 0.893
Some factor that against this idea: 1H Crazybought (Lime) means Bull has just overcome some resistance and is still strong, this may keep them longer on the possible Top.
DISCLAIMER
This is only a personal opinion and does NOT serve as investing NOR trading advice.
Please make their own decisions, carefully assess risks and be responsible for your own investing and trading activities.
Clear Representation of The "weiner dog" formation. When the weekly day traders do their job and a chart is looking nice as in this example.. the weekend comes... inevitably the "weiner dog formation"
appears early on a Saturday. Maybe from inexperienced traders dropping the ball in combination with heavy pockets taking advantage. It usually precedes an impending dump in favor of the bears. This patern can stop a good bull run in its tracks.