GBPCAD - Break Of Long Term Trend!Analysis:
We were looking at this pair not that long ago for long setups, however we didn't get this in the end and price actually broke below our level that we were interested in. Looking at current price action we've now got a bearish outlook on this pair for multiple reasons. As we saw price break our level we are not longer in an upwards trend, meaning that we don't want to be looking for longs but instead we want to be looking for short setups. We're at a very key level which has been tested multiple times and we expect that it will be respected again this time for resistance. We've got added confluences as well which give us more confidence in this setup. Firstly the 50% fib retracement level is at our area which we expect sellers to push price down from so this goes in our favour. Another confluence that we have is the downwards trendline that is present. We expect that price will bounce off of this trendline and continue its move to the downside. Our final technical added confluence we have is the break of a long term upwards trendline. This shows us that the long term trend has been broken and we expect to see a change in the market momentum which goes with our bearish thesis. Fundamentally the GBP is stronger then the CAD so this doesn't go in our favour but like we've said before we expect that oil prices will rise again soon and with this the CAD will also rise. Canada is the 4th largest oil distributer in the world so if oil prices rise so will the CAD. This is why we don't really mind that currently the GBP is stronger then the CAD because we think that this will soon change.
Please feel free to leave any comments you have and like this idea if you agree with us. Any feedback or comments will be read. We appreciate it all.
Stay Safe - JPI
Disclaimer:
This does not constitute as financial advise. We are not responsible for any monetary loss that you endure. Trading is hard to be profitable with and we take losses just like everyone else does to. Our ideas won't always be correct which is why we urge you to always do your own analysis first before entering into the market but please feel free to use our analysis to assist you with yours.
DROP
Market to Drop SoonThe overall stock market is expected to drop in the near future. This will either happen Tuesday or Wednesday. The S&P 500 has some historical trends based on the indicators and trends in the indicators. With help from the Elliot Wave analysis we can see that wave 3 has nearly fully formed. But lets look at the indicators and historical trends. If you look at line A where in the past the RSI reached above 70 and only lasted 8 hours until it dropped. At Line B the RSI has just been above 70 for 2 hours. Does this mean we have 6 hours until the next decline? 4-8 hours is a more appropriate time range and that is just a couple of trading days. I have evenly reduced my personal portfolio today to lock in profits and not let my portfolio take the hit when the market drops as I am focused on hyper aggressive growth. When the market drops I will buy back in just in time for my portfolio to continue growing.
Comment thoughts below!
CHFJPY: SELL OPPORTUNITY The CHFJPY pair has undergone a remarkable decline, plummeting from its recent March high of 147.55 within a span of fewer than 8 hours, and shattering both the M15 and H1 supports.
Based on MY analysis, I anticipate further downward momentum, with a projected decline to the 142.331 region. This outlook is reinforced by the breach of the H4 uptrend channel to the downside, indicating a possible bearish trend. We may witness a marginal retracement to the broken H1 support before the anticipated drop, or alternatively, a direct move towards my target.
BTCUSD to Top and Drop Late JanuaryA couple of roadmaps from the past few months copied and pasted over the current market. Both are in alignment with one another, indicating BTCUSD to potentially have a significant drop of 10% to 20% on Monday 30th Jan or Tuesday 31 Jan.
There are further roadmaps aligning on smaller time frames also indicating a potential high Monday/Tuesday.
Let's see how we go.
ETHUSDT: Support at $1.3k according to the Fibonacci RetracementIn this ETH/USDT chart, we use the Fibonacci Retracement to look at resistance and support levels and try to predict what will be Ethereum's next move.
We see resistance at 0.65 (price at 1.7k), 0.786 (price at 1.8k), and at the "GOLDEN POCKET". What is the Golden Pocket? It is an area between 0.618 and 0.65 where significant reversal often happens, and in Ethereum's case, we see that the price dropped all the way from 1.7k to 1.1k in only four days after reversing in the Golden Pocket.
The price also received support at 0.5 (price at 1.5k), 0.382 (price at 1.4k), and especially at 0.236 (price at 1.3k). Following these observations, we can expect the current price to use 0.236 again as support before rallying at least to the nearest resistance 0.382.
Also, pay attention to the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to see any overbought signals (ETH is overbought if the RSI goes above 70. The market will then correct the price shortly by bringing it down. However, if the RSI oscillates between 50 and 70, it is a sign of a healthy bullish trend).
Yanak
Support Resistance Analysis Says Sell GBPUSD In Coming YearFor years GBPUSD has been testing its lows. Since 2007 a huge drop has been seen in 2016. Where it has consolidated between 1.22396 and 1.36845. Recently in August of 2022. For many, we could see this potential drop, while others expected a pullback and continuation of the sideways move.
Let's look at what actually happened. The lower resistance zones around 1.22396
was clearly broken in the month of August 2022. In December GBPUSD retested the previous resistance.
The prediction based on this is a short/bearish movement. Since this is a never seen low, I can not identify how far it may drop.
DGSTACC: MACRO ANALYSIS OF QQQ / PENNANT FORMATIONIn the chart above I have provided a simple analysis on what can be considered for when it comes to the overall market.
1. Pennant Formation is provided by taking higher lows and lower highs with a point of convergence.
2. If followed through Pennant path can force price action to previously seen pre-covid times.
3. This would in fact validate a completion of GOLDMAN SACHS 340 market bottom prediction for SPY if QQQ is to fall to 240.
Note: This Macro chart will be used for reference and complete a more micro analysis of QQQ.
SHORTING GBPUSD For the short term LOLKey:
Orange bars= Take profit Areas
Blue bars= Key areas
Overview
For the long term I believe that this pair is going to be bullish. However, in the short term I think that there could be an opportunity to hop on and get in on the retrace down to the 1.1930 levels, because that is the last place where price stopped at, and it also lines up well with the Fib-retracement tool.
The Plan
Currently price is in a mini consolidation. I am going to wait for price to break and retest my lower key level (1.2060) before getting in for a Sell down 1.1930, the orange lower level.
Plan B
If you fail to plan you plan to fail . In the case that price doesn't break my lower key area , it could go long. If it wants to go long I will wait for price to break and retest my upper key area (1.21500) before getting into a buy up to 1.2250.
* I have also set up alerts around my key areas so I can be ready for price when it gets there.
Information created and published by you on TradingView is not prohibited, doesn't constitute investment advice, and isn't created solely for qualified investors.
SUPPLY STRUCTURE PATTERENS !!!!!!!Hello, everybody! If you like the concept, don't forget to like and follow it.
In this pattern, the market would accumulate sell orders in the supply zone and turn bearish.
Please show your support for me by liking and following my ideas.
Also, let us know what you think in the comment section.
EXACTLY ON BTC !!!!! Hello, everybody! If you like the concept, don't forget to like and follow it.
It's exactly what I thought would happen to BTC, but I think the DXY Index could make BTC fall again.On the DXY index, I will attempt to publish a brief chat soon.
Please show your support for me by liking and following my ideas.
Also, let us know what you think in the comment section.
GRND IPO POP then DROPOn the 15-minute time frame, the price action is decidedly bearish
over the past couple of days. Gauss filters downward.
The Ichimoku resistance against a reversal is thick.
Price has dropped more than 15% each day.
The RSI indicator shows dismal strength and no signs of divergense
to herald a reversal. I am in this as a short seup and
have profited well taking a partial each day. Option plays
are not available. Once the bear trend burns out, this will be
worth looking at for a slow uptrend. So once the relative strength
drops to below 25% or some bottoming wicks and Doji candles
appear on the lower time frames, I will look to take the profits
and trade the uptrend. ( this may bounce up from the POC of
the volume profile as a reaction to support. )
PLAY the VOLATILITY !