XAUUSD : Quick Down Spike expected to 1144 and 1136.6XAUUSD Looks like expanding flat ABC in making. any extreme retrace also make valid pattern to trade downspike. by previous impulse and fib line, I suspect quick spike to 1144 atleast and then Up. Any thing below is dip buying.
I do not call for short at this levels. just watch and do the dip buying. larger trade is upside.
DUST
ABX, GDX, Gold longRegardless of EW count, the new leg up looks impulsive thus far so looking to go long... just need to work out when this (assumed) correction (b wave?) has finished.
Jnug to Gold Italy Vote WeekendDaily Chart
I think that that was a great sign on Friday, Jnug up strong even in the wake of multiple days of great economic data. We broke out of the wedge and should move up with the Italy vote. But I think we will only reach around the $8.90 range before a little pullback. Then up hard to the second oval. At the end of the week or over next weekend we might hear a ruling from the British Supreme court about there decision for the Brexit. There are some other significant events that will also be coinciding with the later part of the week into early next week. Should help move gold and Jnug up. The 50 DMA (BLUE) should meet my price target about that time. And we should peek just above it.
Hopefully we have a good couple of weeks.
Gold broke 1170 lets see the Bulls and Bears duke it out. The fight/focus area is the yellow box.
Bull will try their best to retake the new resistance of 1170.
Bears are gonna try to ride that momentum near the new support of ~1160, while also battling the dowwnard channel that has been alive for the past few days.
Safe trading!
Jnug to Gold Last week of November 20164 Hour Chart
Time for a bounce yet? I think yes. But nothing too fabulous. The oscillators need to cool off because the next drop will be big. We are way oversold with a lot of bullish divergences. I think we arein the middle or our B pattern and the Fed hike should mark the beginning of the downward C. I also think that the December 4th Italy vote cold give us a little pop but nothing like Brexit. I measured the drop for a with a purple line. (look at the chart. I copied it and then moved it to where I think our possible high for Jnug could reach (around $11.30), and then used the purple line to measure a possible C move. And as you can see, it was quite a fit right down to where I think a bottom will reach this year or early next year.
Short and sweet this time. GL
Bullish Crab -- But with a warningLower time frame harmonics have not held any of there reversal zones. So, be sure it is reversing before entering. No early entries will save your cash. Harmonics are to show you where it may retrace to after reversal and are not a crystal ball of price action.
Also, notice the two legs (second part of crab). One is where we are now/today and can retrace before further movement down. Trading D could be tricky. Again, no early entries.
BULLISH BATS ON DAILY -- HOW DEEP FIRST?All is on chart. 2 bats, 4 targets. But I've had fun scalps in decent range this week.
Waves show that we could go to 1180 but could also be done closer to 1210. Either way, with all of the recent sideways action, either can fire.
Looking at the events soon, rate hike, turn of year, earnings, new US president in office, can start more action.
Jnug to Gold Nov 22ndIt look like we are in a wedge inside of a developing bear flag. That being said, we could visit the upper part of that bear flag tomorrow at the $9 range before the next drop. The dollar looks like it wants to at least test the top of the break out area. So be ready for a short term pop.
Jnug to Gold possible bottom at 1186Dollar Daily Chart
I wanted to start off with the Dollar chart because this week something happened. The dollar broke to new 13 year highs. And from my point of view, that changed the count for the dollar. By changing the count, I worked out as best that I could what to expect in the near term future.
First lets look at Fib #2. Fib #2 shows the 100% level of Wave #1, (which we just passed this week). What that suggests is that we are currently in Wave 3. So how high can Wave three go. My absolute top is 103.10, But I think it will end at 102.81. WHY 102.81? Because if the Wave 2 correction was a steep clean nearly 61% retracement as Fib #1 shows, then Wave 4 retracement should be a shallow 38% retracement as Fib #3 shows. Fib #3 shows 102.81 with a retracement back down to the top of the major resistance, Which is now support, which is coincidentally the 38%. Make Sense? Hope I am not confusing you.
So then what, I think we start Wave 5 with the December 14th rate hike. I marked it with a black line. Wave 5 should also take gold way down to the 1115 - 1120 level. That's my low for the end of January. Possibly turning around on Inauguration day. Fib #4 shows a 100% measurement of Wave #1 and of course it could be higher than that. So anywhere from 104.45 to 106.89.
I will follow up with Gold in a little bit. But you should get where I am going with all of this.
Jnug to GoldDollar daily chart
With the dollar making new highs today, One has to wonder if the count was wrong. If the count was wrong and we are only in wave 3, which it is starting to look like, then we could go up to 103 before correcting down to the newly made strong support. That would also make sense for an even higher wave 5 into the end of January which would correlate with my belief that gold will drop to at least 1115 to 1120.