DUST
Short Before the Greater Bull Direction COT report still showing a large number of shorts that were only added to after Brexit. Hedges? Or smart orders looking for the bottom before overbought markets correct. There's a lot of market profits to be pulled and after US election conventions we could see a big change helping to fuel metal's new bull path.
Something Bigger or a Basic Bull FlagWatching this range in this maybe of a flag pattern. Let's see how it continues to play out. So far, the bear sentiment hasn't made any real impact here.
I'm holding longs from 1255, 1333, 1355, and 1366 looking so I can ride out the movements like today's pullback.
Don't get trapped too early by buying the movement, buy the bottoms here. Ranging is funky so I'm not scalping this round.
Bump & Run Reversal - GoldXAUUSD was manipulated the last rally in the interest of selling at higher prices. Brexit was the catalyst. As a result a 'Bump and Run' reversal pattern is in place. XAUUSD is in the Run phase now where it's expected to form some kind of a bearish reversal pattern. I see Adam and Eve - double top is being developed.
Price is expected to visit the Lead-in trend, in green. In case the trend is broken, there is a high possibility to visit 1200.
Good Luck!
XAUUSD a little more down and a bigger move upGold is retracing back to a strong area of support which coincides with the .618. I would not be afraid to take a long position here. If we get a fast move up we could either be finishing the A-B-C or perhaps we have a 5 wave structure.
A shallow move away or a break below the trend line could indicate a much bigger correction.
The MACD and Awesome Oscillator are very similar. The AO is slightly more reactive which will give you more crossovers but also a little more lead time to get into trades.
GDX - RAPIDLY LOOSING HOPEExhausted GDX has broken its $25 support today in last minutes trading. Tomorrow on June 22 it will be trading down. $24.08 is the most likely target for tomorrow. We may break it on Friday if UK vote to remain in EU.
Major miners I track gaped down today and behave much weaker than yesterday. Most of them painted inner bar today which most likely will be broken down tomorrow. Volume increase as we fall down confirming weakness. Other indicators show that move down has only started.
Looking for a Flash Crash in Silver I use First Majestic (AG) as a bell weather for the metals, especially the silver miners. We've had a nice run, so far this year. And... it will continue, but with the Brexit vote coming up in two days, I expect a big fall off for silver and especially the miners, EITHER WAY the vote goes.
Not that I'm exiting my AG or other mining stocks. But... I am accumulating DUST as a hedge. Probably not enough to compensate for this next down turn, but enough to make the correction more enjoyable.
PS: This text was supposed to be placed over the chart. Not quite sure why it's not showing up. Oh well...
XAUUSD Ready to ShortMy take on XAUUSD for the near future. Currently at the 50% fib, maybe reach the 61.8% mark or move close to the trend line around $1260. Then short from there down to new lows. hopefully DUST and JDST will sky rocket then when the miners drop. The dollar will need to move to new highs hopefully due to uncertainty about Brexit and the effect on the Euro and the possible Fed rate hike. If the trend line is broken the NUGT and JNUG will sky rocket.