DUST
Dollar Quick up after Diamond reversal, then drop to form H&Sthe Dollar looks to be in a diamond reversal pattern (120min) and will climb the 120/240min cloud before pulling back, possibly to the lower 94s and then continuing up. the three day and weekly waves are strong, making this only a short term pullback... this could form a H&S reversal pattern on the daily and the dollar will begin an uptrend that was stronger than the previous one we just experienced in May... helping to push Gold down (DUST time).
$GDX Law of Angles says 5% risk for longs remains present$GDX appear to be going through another phase of bullish absorption of supply; however, in doing so violated the 2/1 Gann Angle. Law of Angle suggest that 3/1 angle support should be tested. This correlates with previously defined support 5% lower
Gold in Intermediate ViewXAUUSD has been in a bear market since it reached 1920.80. The bear cycle has the pattern WXY which it already finished wave W by reaching 1046.23. Luckily I didn't witness that period, I would had thought XAUUSD was going to moon before it collapsed :-\
XAUUSD is in X wave now, in a minor degree x which I set three targets for it as shown in the chart.
Best Wishes
#Gold Testing Support Near Term Bounce ExpectedGold is testing lower levels of support as market participants aim to price in a potential rate hike in June by the Federal Reserve.
While intraday price action is oversold, the daily chart is indicating further selling could continue to below $1,230. If a close below this key level occurs, traders can expect XAUUSD to reach $1,215.
Subscribers of MacroView's "Daily Grind" were alerted of the potential of a $30+ drop as seen here .
Key factors to watch:
The four-hour chart z-score is -2.4 (daily z-score is -2.57). This suggests that prices are stretched and a score +/- 2 makes a great contrarian indicator.
Intraday RSI and Stochastic are both suggesting oversold conditions.
Multiple EMA bearish convergence, currently a 50/200 EMA bearish crossover is probable.
MacroView expects to see demand between $1,215/20. It's important to keep and eye on the short end of the yield curve. With a relatively strong negative correlation with the two and five year yield maturity, if those continue to rise, we could see more pressure on the yellow metal.
For more information on MacroView's products, or general questions and comments, feel free to message us.
Also, readers are encouraged to post their thoughts and charts!