Gold : short term decline then rally to 1587?Gold has reached the target I mentioned on my last idea AND without much retracement. At this point it's best to take profits on gold longs or tighten stops. a decline to 1430-1400 is probable at this point and then a rally to next target 1587
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DUST
natural dollar cycles$xauusd $xagusd $gdx $dust $nugt $gdxj $jnug $jdst $dxy $silver $gold
I'm looking for the dollar to continue these natural cycles and form a low towards end of 2020 watch for a possible spike before the low. Gold, silver will most likely sell off again and offer another very good opportunity.. perhaps we'll see a huge rally in precious metals through 2020. Buckle up.
Gold-Short model GLL low @ 09/2021 - JNUG Bullish next 24 monthsKeep studying & tweaking GLL (Gold Short Model) to try to understand maximum peak in Gold/Miners.
Continue to see 3 hour brschultz model place optimal peak in gold miners in Sept 2021.
Bottom in S&P, Dow, Nasdaq, & Real Estate in Late 2021 as well.
brschultz
DUST - LONG Symbol: DUST
Position: +200Long
Entry : $7.69
TP: $10.5
Stop Loss: $6.68 (1.5x10DAY ATR)
R/R: 2.47x
Notional Risk: $202
Technical: Trend reversal Multi-day RSI divergence. I'm looking for GOLD prices to tuck back under 1500 the bleed off to July prices. Running a tight initial stop as I'm a bit late to the party.
DUST - The thingGold is holding up quite well today despite the strong dollar and the weak euro.
One could think the reason because gold is ignoring the dollar strength.
I think gold is just propped up to let smartmoney exit their miners positions ahead of the holiday weekend.
The dollar will break out next week and the euro is heading lower . This will move gold into its DCL or ICL next week.
DUST might print a 50-100% rally in a few days.
GDX Under-Performing Gold & HUI = Miners Anticipating Lower GoldGDX is still 12% below its 2016 highs, despite Gold having already surpassed its 2016 peak of 1375 by roughly 5%.
On top of this, the GDX having more exposure to unhedged miners should result in GDX out-performing the HUI hedged senior miners in a bull market. This is not the case, as the GDX is actually under-performing the HUI. Highest probability assessment is a retest $25 GDX.
Don't be like the many people who bought the "gold to the moon" hype in summer of 2016 and bought in at the highs and then subsequently got their a$$es handed to them.
Might Need A Correction Before Going HigherFed's policy bullished both S&P and Gold. But for now, gold might need to take a breathe before going higher.
RSI is in the overbought area. Two exhausted candlesticks are also appeared. We can short the gold by watching those resistances and supports. 1430 would be a strong resistance, and the green bars are strong supports.
FED WON'T cut rates - gold will go back downI'm anticipating the FED not cutting rates - this will cause other central banks to cut, which will force the dollar $DXY up and gold down. Chart looks like a double-top is forming with momentum sliding.
Again, the only way gold goes up if we start war with Iran which last week looked like it was going to happen. Doesn't look like most of the globe is accepting the false-flag narrative being espoused by necons.
I think the FED will cut in September or December even. At which I see a risk-off happening where people will run into stocks while gold will look lackluster against it.