Not So Little Brother ? NYSE:BROS +3.85%on 05/06/24 is a powerful contender for Starbucks customers. Living in southern California, I've started seeing DutchBros popping up around town (are they any good?). One thing for sure they've gotten right is their amplified focus on delivering the best customer experience. One thing that the NASDAQ:SBUX Starbucks former CEO Howard Schultz asked his former company to refocus on. It's so good that Tiktokers started making videos poking fun at the friendly nature of the Dutchbros employees.
With all of that being said, it's working for them and very well. They've opened 159 new shops in 2023, and according to Placer.AI, "While the growth of Starbucks' foot traffic has been shrinking since last year, Dutch Bros' growth in traffic has been accelerating." also, Earnest Analytics reports, Dutch Bros. accounted for 6% of U.S. consumer spending on coffee and other premium drinks. Up from 4% at the end of 2020. Last year's revenue was up about 31%
This is my Strategy:
Using Bollinger Bands and Fibonacci Retracement, we see increased trade volume and volatility as the price rises above the SMA and towards the upper band. The price is currently $28.34. We can expect it to reach a price target of $31.16 (test strategy here) before retracement or reversal, as the shares may be near overbought status.
This will give us a $2.82 profit per share. If sold
Enter at price targets: $27.33 (low) and $29.92 (max)
Hold for the price to cross $32.90 for uptrend confirmation.
(FYI, analyst target maintains $33.00/share)
It is one of my favorite stocks, and I'll watch its performance closely this year.
Dutchbros
Something Brewing?
NASDAQ:SBUX Has had a tough week (dropping -17.7%), topped with a demand from the former CEO Howard Schultz to shift focus from the current data-driven business model to a customer-centric business.
With the above being said, I believe the coffee giant will recover amid rising competition from Dtchbros $NYSE: BROS and Dunkin Donuts $FINRA: DNKN_SHORT_VOLUME.
This is my strategy:
Using Bollinger Bands and Fibonacci Retracement, we see a large trade volume and volatility increase as the price drops below the SMA and lower band. The price is currently $73.11. We can expect it to reach a price target of $84.68 (test strategy here) before retracement or reversal, as the shares may be near overbought status.
This will give us a nice $11.50 profit per share.
Enter at price targets: $70.31 and $72.92
Hold for the price to cross $87.46 for uptrend confirmation.
Dutch Bros... stoned too? BROSGoals 41, 37, 32.
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe