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EUR/USD - Wedge Breakout (CPI- Today) 15.07.2025 The EUR/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 1.1741 2nd Resistance – 1.1766 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
29
EURUSDHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on EURUSD? EURUSD has broken support level and its ascending trendline, indicating a possible shift in short-term market structure and growing bearish pressure. In the short term, we expect a pullback toward the broken support/trendline zone. If price fails to reclaim this level, a continued move lower toward the next identified support zone is likely. As long as price remains below the broken structure, the short-term outlook stays bearish. Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Short
by HAMED_AZ
13
A Closer Look at the Role and Recent Volatility of the (DXY)A Closer Look at the Role and Recent Volatility of the US Dollar Index (DXY) We don’t even need to say that the US Dollar Index (DXY) is one of the most influential benchmarks in global currency markets. The index, which measures the value of the US dollar against a basket of six major currencies, experiences heightened volatility and presents potential opportunities. Understanding the DXY: A Macro Lens on the Dollar The DXY tracks the relative strength of the US dollar versus a weighted currency basket including the euro, Japanese yen, British pound, Canadian dollar, Swedish krona, and Swiss franc. Although the euro comprises nearly 58% of the index, the DXY reflects broad USD strength or weakness across global markets, not just against a single currency. Traders and analysts use the DXY as a key macro indicator—to track policy divergence between central banks, to hedge USD exposure, and to assess broader market sentiment. Rising DXY levels often signal tightening US policy or global risk aversion, while declines may reflect weakening growth expectations, dovish Fed policy, or geopolitical stress. In volatile environments like 2025, the DXY serves as a real-time barometer of global confidence in the US economy and dollar-based assets. Recent Price Swings: Tariffs & Policy Uncertainty Shake the Dollar Since April, the US Dollar Index has faced one of its most volatile stretches in years, driven by a convergence of Federal Reserve policy uncertainty and new trade tariffs announced by President Trump. April: “Liberation Day” Tariffs Trigger Market Shock On 2 April, the announcement of sweeping “Liberation Day” tariffs—10% on nearly all imports, with higher duties on selected countries—jolted currency markets. The DXY fell over 2% in a single day. In the following weeks, the index continued to decline as business confidence deteriorated and early signs of recession risk emerged. May–June: Policy Headwinds Compound Dollar Weakness As the tariff package took effect, the dollar extended its slide—marking a ~10% drop from its late‑2024 peak, the worst first-half performance in over 50 years. Investors reassessed US growth prospects amid the pressures of trade friction. The Fed responded with a hawkish pause, while President Trump publicly urged for rate cuts, further muddying the policy outlook and pressuring the dollar. July: Uncertainty Builds By early July, the DXY had fallen below 97, tallying an approximate 11% year-to-date decline. Analysts cite a “perfect storm” of expanding fiscal deficits, erratic trade decisions, and growing doubts over US policy credibility as key reasons for the dollar’s fall from favour. Why DXY Matters Now More Than Ever The DXY has become a real-time gauge of market confidence in US policy stability. The dollar’s sharp decline in 2025 underscores how fragile that confidence can be in the face of aggressive trade measures and uncertain monetary direction. The introduction of Trump’s tariffs has raised structural concerns among investors: - Growth expectations have been cut due to higher input costs and supply chain friction. - The so-called safe-haven appeal of the USD has eroded, with flows shifting to the euro, Swiss franc, and gold. - Foreign demand for dollar assets has softened, as fears of a prolonged trade conflict and fiscal indiscipline mount. In this climate, the DXY has evolved into a barometer for geopolitical tension, inflation fears, and investor sentiment towards US leadership. Bottom Line The DXY is not just a tool for dollar specialists—it's a key reference for any trader dealing with macro-sensitive instruments. As the global rate environment continues to shift and the US economy shows mixed signals, the DXY may become one of the most revealing indicators to watch and trade in the second half of 2025. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:DXY
by FXOpen
1
Potential bullish rise?US Dollar Index (DXY) has reacted off the pivot and could rise to the 50% Fibonacci resistance. Pivot: 97.81 1st Support: 97.19 1st Resistance: 99.25 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYLong
by ICmarkets
USDCAD (U.S. Dollar/Canadian Dollar) long (buy) setupUSDCAD (U.S. Dollar/Canadian Dollar) long (buy) setup. Here's the breakdown: **Setup Overview** * **Entry Level:** Around 1.3700 * **Take Profit (TP):** 1.3812 (upper green zone) * **Stop Loss (SL):** 1.3638 (lower red zone) **Technical Observations** * Price is bouncing from a rising trendline (diagonal black line), suggesting bullish support. * Price is trading above the 50 EMA, 21 EMA, and 7 EMA — indicating bullish momentum. * A strong bullish candle with high volume occurred before consolidation, showing buyer interest. * Tight consolidation near the entry level suggests potential for a breakout continuation upward. **Bias** * **Bullish** bias as long as price remains above the trendline and EMAs. * The trade offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, targeting a \~110 pip gain vs. \~60 pip risk. *Summary** The chart shows a bullish trade setup on USDCAD based on trendline support, EMA alignment, and volume confirmation. A breakout above 1.3700 aims for 1.3812, while invalidation lies below 1.3638.
Long
by Harry_Megat
DXY Bullish Pennant (awaiting breakout)**1-hour timeframe** of the **US Dollar Index (DXY)** with technical analysis applied. Here's the breakdown: **Technical Analysis Summary:** **Current Price:** * Around **98.08**, trading just under the **7 EMA (98.09)**. **Bullish Structure:** * A strong **bullish impulse leg** is visible (sharp green candle rally). * Followed by a **bullish flag/pennant** pattern (marked in red), which is typically a **continuation pattern** in an uptrend. * The flag is forming after a steep upward move — suggesting **consolidation before potential breakout continuation**. **EMA Trend Support:** * **EMA 7, 21, and 50** are aligned bullishly: * EMA 7 > EMA 21 > EMA 50 * This supports the **short-term uptrend** structure. **Support Zones:** * A strong **demand zone** is marked between **97.50–97.70** (highlighted in red), where price previously consolidated before the breakout. * EMA 50 also sits around **97.72**, reinforcing this as a strong **pullback support level**. **Possible Scenarios:** 1. **Bullish Continuation:** * If the price breaks above the flag resistance, it may **rally towards 98.70 → 99.00 → 99.10**. 2. **Bullish Pullback:** * If price dips to retest the support near **97.80–97.90** or EMA 21, and holds, it may bounce and continue upward. **Conclusion:** * **Trend:** Bullish * **Pattern:** Bullish Pennant (awaiting breakout) * **Support:** 97.72–97.90 * **Upside Targets:** 98.70 → 99.00+ * **Outlook:** Positive bias continues **as long as price holds above the support zone** and EMAs.
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by Harry_Megat
Dollar holds steady uptrend despite Trump’s tariff threats. President Trump announced a 30% tariff on imports from both the EU and Mexico, a hike from the 20% previously imposed on the EU in April. He also warned that if no agreement is reached on the Ukraine war within 50 days, countries trading with Russia could face a 100% tariff. Meanwhile, market volatility is being amplified by speculation over Fed Chair Powell’s potential dismissal, as attacks against him intensify from Trump and his allies. Deutsche Bank warned that Powell’s removal could trigger sharp swings in both the dollar and bond markets. DXY has extended its two-week rally after testing the recent low, approaching the 98.00 threshold. The index remains within the ascending channel, indicating the potential continuation of bullish momentum. If DXY breaches above the resistance at 98.25, the index could gain upward momentum toward 98.60. Conversely, if DXY breaks below the support at 97.60, the index may retreat to 97.00.
TVC:DXY
by inkicho_exness
DXY Weekly Update — July 14, 2025⌛ Timeframe: . 📆 Analysis Date: July 14, 2025 . 🎯 Weekly Bias: Bearish-to-Neutral (Potential for retracement or reversal) 🔎 Market Overview: ⬇️ Persistent USD Weakness: DXY has dropped nearly 10% YTD, marking the steepest half-year decline since 1986. 📉 Rate Cut Expectations: Markets are pricing in a potential 75bps rate cut by the Fed in H2 2025, pushing yields and the dollar lower. 📦 Trade War Fears: Renewed tariff risks (targeting EU, Japan, Mexico, South Korea) aren't boosting demand for USD — a signal of lost safe-haven appeal. ⚖️ Central Bank Diversification: Global reserve managers are rotating into gold and away from USD, weakening long-term structural demand. 🌀 Sentiment & Risk Appetite: 💸 Liquidity Demand is Soft: DXY is retesting a 4H fair value gap (97.10–97.30), suggesting potential short-term consolidation or correction. 🌍 Risk-On Mood Returns: According to Goldman Sachs, the USD is trading more like a "risk asset" than a haven, aligning with rising equity appetite. 📉 Technical Landscape: 🟠 4H Structure: If DXY breaks below 97.00, next support lies at 96.37, followed by 95.50–96.00. Consolidation expected if price remains within the FVG. 🔻 Key Resistance: 97.70–98.20 zone. A break above this area could change the tone to bullish. 📌 Summary: 🔷 Fundamentals show long-term dollar weakening (rates, trade tension, reserve shifts) 🔷 Sentiment aligns with risk-on appetite and reduced USD demand 🔷 Technicals at critical level; break below 97.00 opens room for correction, break above 97.70 shifts bias bullish . . . . 🟠 Bias: Bearish to Neutral Watch Levels: 97.00 support, 97.70–98.20 resistance ⚠️ Note: This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Always apply risk management. ✅ If you like this analysis, don't forget to like 👍, follow 🧠, and share your thoughts below 💬!
TVC:DXYShort
by Apollo_Capital