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DXY-SELL

XAUUSD 22/12/25XAUUSD Analysis Last week, we began with a bullish bias, but our outlook quickly shifted to bearish by Monday's close. This shift led to the significant downside movement observed during the latter half of the week, driven by fundamentals. We saw a substantial run targeting the lower levels, which brings us to today’s bias, which remains bearish. Currently, we are focused on the three liquidity lows as our primary targets. As always, we look to the highs within the range to provide optimal entries for these targets. At the moment, there is a high in the middle of the range, but we are prioritizing the higher, more favorable highs for potential short positions. If an entry aligns with our plan, this could lead to the final sell-off of the week before the New Year approaches. Trade safe and stick to your plan.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by PipSurfingSociety
EURUSD 22/12/24EUR/USD Update: Final Week of Trading Before the New Year As we head into the last week of trading before closing shop for the year, here’s a recap and outlook: Last week, we called a short after identifying our "money out" level. With a daily bearish bias and liquidity sitting above the highs, we outlined a clear sell scenario. The market delivered exactly as expected. Looking ahead to this week, our bias remains unchanged, and the principles stay the same. We are targeting deeper moves lower, focusing on the daily low at the base of the current range. Following the same approach, we anticipate the highs to be swept first, creating opportunities to enter and ride the price down to key lows. Currently, we have a potential high forming near the center of the range, but this is unconfirmed for now and remains a possibility. Keep an eye on all the marked highs—we’re waiting for a sweep of these levels, which could trigger the final market move of the year. If an entry presents itself, we’ll look to trade lower. Stay disciplined, trade your plan, and manage your risk.
by PipSurfingSociety
DXY SELL US Dollar rises after Fed's cut and hawkish outlook DXY trades rose above 107.80, reacting to the Fed’s anticipated rate cut. Markets parse new rate projections for 2025 and 2026. Traders assess Powell’s cautious yet hawkish remarksThe US Dollar Index (USDX) is an index (or measure) of the value of the United States dollar relative to a basket of foreign currencies. These currencies are the Euro (constituting 57.6% of the weighting), Japanese Yen (13.6%), British Pound (11.9%), Canadian Dollar (9.1%), Swedish Krona (4.2%) and Swiss Franc (3.6%). The index started in 1973 -with the absolution of Bretton Woods- with a base of 100.000, and values since then are relative to this base. For example, if the current reading says 99.800, this means that the dollar has fallen 0.2% since the start of the index (99.800 - 100.000). US Dollar Index on Wikipedia Being the Dollar Index a geometrically weighted index and not a trade-weighted one, it is too concentrated in Europe and does not include two of the U.S. top four trading partners Mexico and China. It does not appear to be used by corporates or many asset managers, like mutual funds, insurance companies, and endowments. It is primarily a speculative vehicle. It's also important to acknowledge that a geometric mean artificially lowers the value of the USD over time. More about the basics of the Dollar index! ORGANIZATIONS, PEOPLE AND ECONOMIC DATA THAT INFLUENCE US DOLLAR INDEX The US Dollar Index news can be seriously affected by the decisions taken by these organizations and people: Fed, the Federal Reserve of the United States whose president is Jerome Powell. The Fed controls the monetary policy, through active duties such as managing interest rates, setting the reserve requirement, and acting as a lender of last resort to the banking sector during times of bank insolvency or financial crisis. The US Government: events as administration statements, budget, new laws and regulations or fiscal policy can increase or decrease the value of the Dollar Index. The US Treasury Dept that defines its role as “the steward of U.S. economic and financial systems, and as an influential participant in the world economy.” US GDP (Gross Domestic Product), the total market value of all final goods and services produced in the United States of America. It is a gross measure of market activity because it indicates the pace at which a country's economy is growing or decreasing. Generally speaking, a high reading or a better than expected number is seen as positive for the Dollar Index, while a low reading is negative. WANT TO LEARN MORE ON US DOLLAR INDEX? The US Dollar Index Steve Misic Steve Misic Online Trading Academy When I write the Online Trading Academy Forex newsletter, I give my opinion about what I believe is happening to the currencies of the world based on the news I hear, the experts I follow, and my personal experiences of the economic cycles I have seen in the past. This fundamental information helps me understand what reports and indicators the economists of the world believe will shape future events. The Dollar Index – It Makes Sense Until it Closes Don Dawson Don Dawson Online Trading Academy Have you watched the US Dollar Index (USDX) Futures contract trade during the day? Do you notice that with each price change the intervals are always a minimum tick of .005? And then at the end of the day when you look at your daily candle of the USDX you see a closing price like 97.197. A Look at the US Dollar Index Sam Evans Sam Evans Online Trading Academy Over the last few months especially, there’s been a lot of focus in the world of Currency Trading upon the state of the US Dollar. No matter what your opinion is of the Greenback, it is still, without question, regarded as the world’s primary reserve currency and holds its weight of recognition across the board. Being the Dollar Index a geometrically weighted index and not a trade-weighted one, it is too concentrated in Europe and does not include two of the U.S. top four trading partners Mexico and China. It does not appear to be used by corporates or many asset managers, like mutual funds, insurance companies, and endowments. It is primarily a speculative vehicle. It's also important to acknowledge that a geometric mean artificially lowers the value of the USD over
TVC:DXYShort
by KingForex078
EURUSD 17/11/24As we head into this week, we maintain a bearish bias on the EUR/USD pair. This aligns with last month’s trend, where we consistently sold this pair to the downside. Without a shift in bias, we expect this bearish momentum to continue. Looking at the chart, we’ve identified two key areas of interest for potential selling opportunities. First, there’s a short-term high located around the middle of the current range. This is also a 4-hour high that swept previous short-term highs. Above this, we see an area of unmitigated supply that triggered the last major break of structure, along with a liquidity high just above it. If the price pulls back, it could interact with this supply zone and possibly take out the liquidity highs. However, this pullback would be a counter-trend move. Our primary expectation remains for the price to continue its downward trajectory toward the lows. Last week, the price swept a daily low, highlighted by an arrow on the left-hand side of the screen. This sweep led to a notable upward push, which, while counter-trend, could serve as the catalyst for the pullback we anticipate. The market open will be interesting to watch. If the price gaps upward, it could indicate an intent to move higher before potentially filling the gap later in the week. This would align with the bearish continuation we’ve forecasted. Trade safe and stick to your plan.
by PipSurfingSociety
XAUUSD 23/6/24Gold this week has a similar outlook to last week. We have an extreme POI (Point of Interest) within the market, a higher time frame order block, and a fair amount of liquidity below the structural lows established last week during our pullback. If you are up to date with last week's markup that we posted on TradingView, you would see that it has played out almost perfectly as expected. Following this, if we pull higher into the area of supply before dropping, we would expect a longer-term sell move. Conversely, if we sell off sooner, we will expect a bullish move later in the week. If this fails, we expect the 4-hour low to be closed out completely and the price to move bearish. The main points to focus on this week are selling away from the area of supply and capturing the liquidity that sits below the lows. Trade safe stick to your rules!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by PipSurfingSociety
GBPUSD 14/4/24GU showing us the same here a super clean cut move for more sell side on this trend into our new daily low, we called this way back and we are all now seeing this play out perfectly so we follow our bias in hope that this will continue! Now looking for a new daily low to come into play for a trending move to tale the pair back into the same move we have above. New low followed by a shift back up into an area of supply to then drop lower again carrying on our trend giving us our overall structure we have been waiting for. We have 2 areas to watch here firstly our nearest OB marked by red line at its 50% ad secondly the daily OB that caused the shift overall! Look for the bearish move to carry over and the trend to continue! Trade your plan and use the correct risk! have a great trading week all!
by PipSurfingSociety
US30: Potential Buy Setup at 38030 with DXY Bearish MomentumIn tomorrow's trading session, our focus is on US30 as we identify a potential buying opportunity around the 38030 zone. US30, representing the Dow Jones Industrial Average, is currently in an uptrend but experiencing a correction phase, with the price approaching the critical support and resistance area at 38030. Adding to our analysis is the bearish momentum observed in the DXY (US Dollar Index), which has a negative correlation with indices like US30. This bearish momentum in DXY typically favors rallies in indices, including US30. Therefore, the combination of US30's technical setup and the downward movement in DXY presents an intriguing opportunity for buyers.
BLACKBULL:US30Long
by JoeChampion
GBPUSD 19/11/23Starting this week off with GU From last Friday we've been playing within a large foolish range all of these structures that we have tracked from last week have been internal with some nice long moves lining up with our range bias we are looking for the range high to be taken and we are going to be looking for lungs into this week again if we break down the internal structure we may look for low risk counter trend sell entries but overall we are predominantly looking main target being 1.25060. within our bullish range we are still waiting for a SWH to form. Remember to always read order flow and follow what price is showing you instead of trading based on your desired direction. And, as always, stick to your risk and your plan. We'll be closely monitoring market openings and price action throughout the week. If you find this analysis useful, let us know in the comments below and hit the boost button to show your support. Here's to a successful week of trading!
by PipSurfingSociety
USDJPY 27/8/23UJ honestly i don't have a huge amount to say about this pair or about this range, if you have looked over our other USD related pairs you will know the story by now. A news range with honestly a poor structure overall, liquid has built higher and lower meaning we may push up then shift lower, as you can see we have a reverse of our other USD pairs as in this case the USD is our primary. so you guys know what we are looking for, either a shift higher to give us a new range or a confirm entry for our NEWS created POI, on the other end we may have a sweep of our low to give us a bias the is opposite to what we have currently. Remember to always read order flow and follow what price is showing you instead of trading based on your desired direction. And, as always, stick to your risk and your plan. We'll be closely monitoring market openings and price action throughout the week. If you find this analysis useful, let us know in the comments below and hit the boost button to show your support. Here's to a successful week of trading!
by PipSurfingSociety
NAS100 14TH MAYThe Nasdaq 100 is the last market we'll be discussing this week, it follows the same overall bullish narrative as the other pairs we've posted about today. Our analysis from last week was correct with direction and we expect this to continue. Our analysis this week indicates that the order flow is shifting towards a bullish direction, and we're looking for a possible shift lower into our swing low before price continues higher in line with the overall direction of the DXY. We'll be following the first bullish range established in either our lower or higher zone, or the first bearish range established in our higher zone. Our expectation is for a bullish continuation, but we still have a lower zone marked out which we could visit if price decides to travel bearish. As always, we refer to the DXY for more context on the trend, but we'll be watching the price action closely and waiting for a new high to be established along with a low before finding our trade setup. We'll be closely monitoring market openings and price action throughout the week. If you find this analysis useful, let us know in the comments below and hit the boost button to show your support. Here's to a successful week of trading!
FX:NAS100
by PipSurfingSociety
1
GBPUSDsellIDEAWell here. This is my idea. I feel like this will work as a trigger entry for supply sells. The reason for this entry is that the prices originally entry was back on 1.13072. Then you would be able to place a 1:1 entry from a proper good sl to tp which makes it 1:1. Hope it made sense in a way. The hardest part is understanding how it would be a potential entry at 1.13072, and I think the easiest way to explain will be that in my strategy, I start by finding three (bos) and on the final bos, you need to place entry on a pullback halfway from bos to bos. Another thing that helps you understand is are with the circles I made. It kinda demonstrates the way I think structure goes on this chart. Understandable if you didn't understand it all, but hope it helps.
Short
by CyberFxTrader
1