BUY EURUSDIn this coming week, we anticipate the weekly low to form on Monday, setting up a bullish move. Entry at 1.03270, targeting 1.04485 and 1.05701, with a stop loss at 1.02579. CPI and PPI data this week could drive volatility, but the current structure supports further upside.
Use proper risk management.
Best of luck to you all.
DXY
US DOLLAR: Sell Opportunity after support breakTVC:DXY has broken below a key support zone, indicating a potential shift in momentum. The price is now retesting this zone, which previously acted as support and could serve as resistance, aligning with a potential bearish continuation.
If sellers confirm resistance at this level, the price is likely to decline further toward the 105.800 target , which aligns with a major support level. Conversely, a breakout above the zone could signal further upside.
Before considering short positions, look for bearish confirmation signals such as bearish engulfing candles, strong wicks rejecting the resistance zone, or increased selling volume.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Best of luck!
GBP/USD IS GOING TO MELT !!!!!!!!!
GBP/USD
Daily analysis
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Our sells unfortunately got smoked. Do I think she will drop? Maybe, but for me I have no other entries for the bears and selling on my end is done. These current bears should (theoretically) push price down but we shall see. It seems like the sellers want a cheaper selling point, hence the bulls pushing price high and higher. But for me those were my last bearish plays. I will be now only focused on the bulls to end the week strong.
Regards,
MR.OAZB
Gold - 1H TF BULLISHEven though mid term we're bearish on Gold, I still cannot ignore the fact there is a lot of pending LQ on Gold around the ATH. Also, as it's a new month, the new monthly candle requires some liquidity from the upside before it can drop.
On the 1H TF I'll be targeting small zones for buys & once price reaches that zone, I can monitor for any possible rejections back down, or possible further upside. TARGET 1: $2,903📈
3.4 Short-term operation of gold within the dayIn February, gold closed with a long upper shadow line, the MACD indicator golden cross high volume, and the dynamic indicator SRO hooked up into the overbought area, indicating that the monthly line is still bullish. At the current monthly level, we focus on the support of the MA5 moving average and the strong support of the MA10 moving average, which correspond to 2763 and 2647 respectively.
The weekly line fell last week, including the previous day's positive column to form a negative cover, so the gold price will continue to weaken this week. The 2936-42 above the weekly line is a short-term top suppression, and the low point of last week is 2832. If it falls this week, it will definitely break the low point of last week. The current support below is the MA10 moving average near 2802, and the middle track support is 2732.
The daily line is more interesting: after the bottoming out and rebounding last Friday, the big positive pulled up yesterday; if the price continues to rebound and repair, then today's low will not exceed yesterday's low of 2857-58, and the current moving average MA60 supports near 2861. The upper pressure is at the middle track 2902-2910. The daily indicator macd is dead cross at high level and runs with large volume, and the smart indicator sto is repaired upward, which represents the daily level of shock.
The current macd is running at a low golden cross with large volume in 4 hours, and the smart indicator sto is entering the overbought area upward, which means that the current 4-hour shock is strong. At present, the upper pressure of the 4-hour is also at the intersection of the moving average MA60 and the upper track at 2913-14.
The current macd at high golden cross of the hourly line shrinks and sticks, and the smart indicator sto is repaired downward, which means that the hourly line is currently oscillating and tends to fall back. The current support is 2879, followed by 2870-58.
In summary:
During the day, we will mainly focus on yesterday's low point of 2857-58. If it is not broken, we can go long near 2867-68. In the short term, we can go long in the 2883-80 range in the Asian session, and the target is 2900-2910. The first short position is also in the 2909-20 range.
Strategy:
Go long in the 2880-83 range in the Asian session, defend 2875, and target 2890-2900-2910
Go long near 2866-68 during the day, defend 2858, and the target remains unchanged
Go short near 2909-12 during the day, defend 2918, and target 2900-2892
USDCHF OUTLOOKHappy New Year!
Hope you had a good break during the holiday season. Let's go again this year!
The USD has been extremely bullish in the last few months of 2024 , with current economic climate and market seasonality, I will be expecting a bearish Dollar this year, I will update this idea with time.
Hence, this is my this current outlook on USDCHF.
"May fortune attend thee, and thy trade prosper." .......L2Earned
EURO STOXX 50 celebrates new ATH, due to Ukraine war abateThe European stock rally is beginning as investors have gotten optimistic about a potential ceasefire in Ukraine.
The end of the 3-years conflict was always a wild card for European equity markets. Now investors are starting to prepare for this scenario, aggressively buying energy-intensive sectors and European laggards.
While a lot of upside potential remains for some sectors, the path ahead is likely to be rapid. The benchmark Euro Stoxx 50 has rarely been this overbought in the past four years.
Some investors have been aggressively buying back their shorts on Europe, while others are diversifying out of expensive and heavily concentrated US equities. The region trades at about a 40% discount to the US and this gap has the potential to narrow. There’s also room for gains within the Stoxx Europe 600 to broaden, with just 20% of its members in overbought territory.
With the prospect of an eventual ceasefire on investors’ minds after the US and Russian leaders agreed to start negotiations, stocks geared to the reconstruction of Ukraine are in focus, like construction stocks Heidelberg Materials AG and Holcim AG as well as chemicals company BASF SE.
The strategists at Barclays Plc are overweight chemicals but are more cautious on autos, partly due to the US tariffs threat. They say construction materials have had a strong run already, while mining and steel may have more catch-up potential, along with transport and leisure.
Rebuilding Ukraine would be one of the largest construction undertakings in recent years, with total costs of nearly $500 billion, according to the World Bank. This would be highly commodity-intensive, especially for steel and cement, to restore buildings and infrastructure.
It is clearly unequivocally good news for European markets.
The EURO STOXX 50 is a stock index that represents 50 of the largest and most liquid stocks in the Eurozone. It is designed to represent blue-chip companies considered leaders in their respective sectors. The EURO STOXX 50 is one of the most liquid indices for the Eurozone.
Key facts about the EURO STOXX 50:
The index includes shares from various Eurozone countries, including Belgium, France, Finland, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, and Spain.
France and Germany contribute to over 66% of the index.
The technology, industrial goods and services, and consumer products and services sectors account for more than 45% of the index.
The EURO STOXX 50 was introduced on February 26, 1998. Prices were calculated retroactively to 1986, with a base value of 1000 points on December 31, 1991.
The index captures about 60% of the free-float market capitalization of the EURO STOXX Total Market Index (TMI), which covers about 95% of the free-float market capitalization of the countries represented.
The EURO STOXX 50 serves as a benchmark for the Eurozone's stock market performance.
Eurex trades futures and options on the EURO STOXX 50, which are among the most liquid products in Europe and worldwide.
Technical challenge
The main 6-month graph for EURO STOXX 50 futures indicates the epic all time high (1st time over past 25 years), with a potential further upside price action.
crypto market pathHere is projection for upcoming targets path.
As we see tonight reaction gone further than 61%. This is not standard ratio and may indicate the power of underlying trend.
According to my waves count market is in a B wave of minor degree now. The important thing about it - is degree positions:
The end of subwave C will coincide with the beginning of the primary degree wave.
The only question how the wave will start: will it start from primary degree correction of previous bull market? Will it begin from a 1 wave of a new bull market comparable in size to the one we had since 2022 December? or we will face a tremendous bear market structure, correcting the whole 16 years crypto history?
My base scenario is the first will be -
1) A primary degree correction which could lead to usdt.d dominance to 6.4 - 8.5%! on Bitcoin, this could lead prices below 60k.
2) The first wave of new bull market will start after the primary correction.
I come to the wave count conclusion by analyzing MACD at 4d+ time frame. As you know 5 waves down is never the end. So the primary wave count may hint us continuation of the bull market, as part of the double zigzag at usdt.d. The leading indicator here may be DXY. There is a wave C, which can bring the dominance to 94 - 84%, and quite quickly.
I am looking for more confirmations of the structure, which may take time along with the pattern development.
Welcome to comments and see you soon!
FOREX Forecast UPDATES! Monday Mar 3rdIn this video, we will update Sunday's forecasts for the following FX markets:
USD Index
EURUSD
GBPUSD
AUDUSD
NZDUSD
CAD, USDCAD
CHF, USDCHF
JPY, USDJPY
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.In this video, we will update the forecasts for the following FX markets:
DXY Analysis: Rejection from Resistance – More Downside AheadWelcome back, guys! I'm Skeptic, and let's start the week with a DXY analysis.
This is a crucial period for the dollar index, with many significant events unfolding—one of the most important being Trump’s tariff war. Now, let’s break down the technical outlook on DXY.
1D Timeframe
Looking at the daily chart, we can see that DXY has been rejected from a key resistance zone. Additionally, since it has formed a lower high, I still maintain my previous analysis that DXY is currently undergoing a correction within its previous uptrend. This means we could see further declines. The key support level to watch here is the 35% Fibonacci retracement zone at 105.720.
4H Timeframe – Finding a Trigger
On the 4H chart, we had a daily resistance zone that was briefly broken but turned out to be a fake breakout. This suggests that liquidity has been swept above the resistance, liquidating long positions, and now the market has more momentum to push downward.
The main short trigger is at 106.188, but depending on momentum, we could potentially enter even earlier on lower timeframes.
Key Risk Factor: While we are currently in a correction phase, the major trend is still an uptrend. That means risk should be managed carefully, and trades should be closed sooner than usual.
Final Thoughts
Thanks for sticking around until the end of the analysis. From now on, I’ve decided to publish separate analyses for indices, forex pairs, and BTC instead of grouping them into one post. Let me know what you think about this new format— do you prefer everything in one post, or is this better?
See you in the next analysis! 🚀
EURUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on EURUSD?
The EUR/USD pair is still struggling with the identified resistance zone and has been rejected multiple times from this level. Given the current market structure and the formed pattern, a corrective move toward the identified support area is expected. After completing the correction, the price is likely to resume its upward movement toward higher resistance levels.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
LONG ON NZD/USDNZD/USD is giving nice uptrend structure from the higher TF.
Currently it has pulled back to a key support area and is looking good for a rise.
Dollar (DXY) is overall bearish and currently falling. (This has a inverse correlation with XXX/USD pairs)
I will be buying NZD/USD to the next resistance level / previous high for about 150-200 pips.
NAS100 - Nasdaq, won't it go below 20k?!The index is below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its medium-term ascending channel. If the index rises towards the suggested zones, we can look for the next Nasdaq sell-off.
The composition of investors’ financial assets from 1990 to 2025 reveals shifts in the allocation of equities, bonds, and cash. Currently, the share of equities in investment portfolios has reached an all-time high of 54%, indicating a growing preference for the stock market among investors.
Conversely, the share of bonds and cash has declined to 18% and 13%, respectively, suggesting reduced interest in holding fixed-income assets and liquidity. At present, more than half of investors’ financial assets are concentrated in equities, which could reflect optimism about the market’s future growth.
This situation calls for increased caution from the Federal Reserve and the Trump administration, as a significant portion of American households’ surplus income is now directed toward stocks. As a result, any downturn in the U.S. stock market could have more severe consequences for the public than before.
Scott Bassett, the U.S. Treasury Secretary, responded to a recent survey indicating that Americans want President Donald Trump to focus more on reducing inflation. He stated that he is confident consumer price inflation in the United States will decline throughout the year.
In an interview with CBS and Face the Nation, Bassett defended Trump’s economic policies, emphasizing that the president is pursuing a comprehensive approach that includes tariffs, deregulation, and a gradual reduction in energy costs.
Meanwhile, following weaker-than-expected preliminary Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) data for February and a decline in the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index, investors are now pricing in approximately 60 basis points of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve for this year. This projection is 10 basis points higher than the forecasts from the December dot plot.
Market pricing indicates that traders still expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in June, particularly after the release of Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data. However, with Trump ramping up tariff threats against key U.S. trading partners such as China, Canada, and Mexico, outlining a clear economic roadmap has become more challenging. Tariff impositions pose a serious risk of reigniting inflation, prompting many Federal Reserve officials who have recently expressed their views to adopt a “wait and see” approach.
This week, market attention will once again turn to employment data, as investors eagerly anticipate the release of the February Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report. Other key events include the preliminary Consumer Price Index (CPI) estimates for the Eurozone and the ISM U.S. Manufacturing PMI on Monday, the ADP Employment Report and ISM Services PMI on Wednesday, and the weekly jobless claims data on Thursday. Additionally, the European Central Bank’s monetary policy decision on Thursday will be closely watched, with economists expecting another interest rate cut.
BTC , road map
"Hello traders, when considering BTC, the decision-making process should align with your strategy as either a holder or trader. In high time frames, based on the (FVG) concept, BTC's price could potentially reach $180,000. However, for short-term traders, the price might dip to the $70,000 zone initially. I anticipate a pullback to $92,000, after which I will evaluate candle formations to determine a selling position.
Please note that this analysis is subject to updates over time."
If you have any specific questions or need further assistance with your message, feel free to let me know!
DXY Will Grow! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
DXY is trading in an uptrend
And the index is already making
A bullish rebound from the
Rising support line so we are
Bullish biased and we will be
Expecting a further bullish
Reaction and move up
Buy!
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