XAU/USD (Gold) Wedge BreakoutThe XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Wedge pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 2678
2nd Support – 2692
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DXY
GOLD → Manipulation ahead of a possible rate cutFX:XAUUSD is declining after a false breakout of 2658 (0.5 fibo). We can say that this is a manipulation before a possible growth. Technically gold has a neutral trend. The emphasis is on support.
Markets continue to consider the possibility that the Fed will lower interest rate by 0.25% on Wednesday. This could spark a bearish rally in the dollar, which would be favorable for gold, which is heading for support. But here we should also take into account the comments of the Fed, which based on economic data is beginning to question its decisions and change into a hawk. The suspension of the rate cut cycle in January may put pressure on the markets, including gold, but this problem is postponed until 2025. Today all eyes are on retail sales.
Technically, gold is flat and heading for strong support....
Resistance levels: 2646, 2658
Support levels: 2633, 2620, 2617
Price is heading towards support before the news. Manipulation before a possible rise? The probability is high :)
We are waiting for support retest, false breakdown and possible growth to the mentioned targets
Regards R. Linda!
USDCAD BULLISH TO $1.42 (UPDATE)
What did I tell you all 3 days ago? Wave III has completed, so we should expect a retracement down towards Wave IV. USDCAD has dropped 150 PIPS towards our supply zone, so well done if you caught short term sells!
Price is now rejecting our supply zone with bullish momentum, so you can start looking to getting into buys towards major Wave V & major Wave Y.
USDCAD BULLISH TO $1.42 (UPDATE)Remember my USDCAD analysis posted 3 weeks ago? Market moved exactly how I said it would. We saw Wave III create its top, which led to sellers coming in & pushing price down towards our Wave IV zone.
Bulls came back in rejecting our Wave IV zone & now running 115 PIPS in profit towards our Wave V (Major Wave Y) target!
Dollar Index (DXY): One More Bullish Movement
Yesterday, I predicted a nice pullback on Dollar Index.
It looks like today, we have one more.
The price testing a key intraday/daily horizontal support
and formed a double bottom on that.
Bullish violation of its neckline may push the market higher.
Goal - 107.1
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GBP/USD Sell Setup Incoming!!we can clearly see a nice formation of a bearish structure on the monthly timeframe which is consistent with the weekly structure
we also a key monumental shift on the EMA crossover and the price is now below the trendline
So as the DXY (Dollar index) continue to rise we shall see GBPUSD continue lower and currently we have multiple confirmation in higher structure confirming the probability setup
Use proper risk management!!
stop loss anywhere at 1.29000 level seem okey!!
target 1.21500
Make sure you follow me for more updates
DXY next possible move🔮🦁🦁🦁 **Patience: The Most Difficult Skill to Master in Trading**
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📈 Trading rewards those who know how to wait for the right moment.
❌ Not those who rush.
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GOLD FURTHER SELL OFF?! (UPDATE)Haven't had time to update recently as I've been extremely busy, but either way Gold has been paying us in the background!
We got that rejection from Wave 2 & a huge melt back down again towards the bottom of this 'Flat Correction' channel which I called for you all. Now waiting on Wave 3 to make its huge move down📉
Dollar Index (DXY): Clear Strength?!
Looks like Dollar Index is ready for more growth.
I see 2 strong bullish confirmations after a retest of a recently broken horizontal resistance:
the price violated a resistance line of a symmetrical triangle and a neckline of a horizontal range.
A strong bullish imbalance indicates a high momentum.
We can anticipate more growth.
Goal - 107.13
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GOLD → Correction before a possible fall FX:XAUUSD is moving into the correction phase amid last week's economic data. The price is returning to the channel and in general confirms the bearish character on the market.
Markets are ready for a 0.25% interest rate cut, but traders are waiting for hints on the Fed's stance: whether the Fed will continue to cut rates, go into a wait-and-see mode, or hint at a rate hike based on last week's economic data. Traders are eagerly awaiting the Fed's decision, which will be announced on December 18. The gold price is also receiving support from renewed tensions in the Middle East and political turmoil in South Korea.
Technically, after the false breakout of 2721 a deep correction is forging, which generally develops into a localized downtrend. The price is approaching the panic zone 2615-2600. At the Asian session a correction is forming and it is worth paying attention to the key resistance zones
Resistance levels: 2667, 2675, 2685
Support levels: 2646, 2633
The price is heading towards the imbalance zone within the correction. A quick approach and retest of resistance could trigger a rebound. Traders may enter the phase of profit taking before strong news
Regards R. Linda!
XAUUSD - Gold went below $2700!Gold is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 1H time frame and is trading in its descending channel. If we maintain the drawn channel, we can witness the continuation of gold's decline and limited visibility of the bottom of the channel. Within the demand zone, we can buy with a suitable risk reward. In case of valid failure of the ceiling of the channel, it is possible to sell within the supply zones.
Gold demonstrated a strong performance earlier last week, surging nearly $100 from its weekly low and sparking fresh optimism among traders. However, higher-than-expected inflation data and a stronger U.S. dollar reversed the market dynamics, putting renewed selling pressure on precious metals.
The latest weekly Kitco survey revealed that industry analysts are evenly split between bullish and bearish views, with a notable portion of respondents adopting a neutral stance. Meanwhile, retail traders’ optimism for gold remained unchanged compared to the previous week.
Marc Chandler, CEO of Bannockburn Global Forex, stated, “Gold saw an $85 rally in the first three days of the week, likely driven by reports of China’s central bank (PBOC) adding gold to its reserves for the first time in months. The metal reached $2,726 per ounce on the spot market on Thursday, marking its highest level in over a month, but then turned downward.”
He further added, “Some analysts attributed the price decline to stronger-than-expected U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) data. Nonetheless, gold ended the week on a positive note, breaking its two-week losing streak.”
Chandler also noted, “Since late October, this marks only the second positive week for gold. A cautious approach by the Federal Reserve to rate cuts—indicating that rates will be reduced but further cuts are unlikely next year, with a potential halt to tightening policies in early 2025—could pave the way for another test of the $2,600 level.”
This week, the Federal Reserve is set to hold a two-day policy meeting, with monetary decisions expected to be announced on Wednesday. The central bank is anticipated to reduce the interest rate by 0.25%, bringing it to a range of 4.25%-4.5%. Additionally, the Fed will release its updated “Summary of Economic Projections,” known as the dot plot.
In September, the median Fed officials’ projection for interest rates by the end of 2025 stood at 3.4%. If this forecast is revised down by more than 1%, the U.S. dollar could face immediate downward pressure. In such a scenario, U.S. Treasury yields may decline, boosting gold prices.
Market participants will also closely monitor remarks by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. Should Powell strike a cautious tone regarding further monetary easing and emphasize a gradual approach, the dollar may maintain its strength against its rivals. Conversely, if he raises concerns about declining labor market conditions and their potential adverse impact on economic growth, the dollar could come under selling pressure.
Additionally, on Thursday, the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis will release the final revision of Q3 GDP data, and on Friday, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index for November will be published.
Market reactions to the PCE inflation report are likely to remain muted after the Fed’s announcement.
According to Bloomberg, Wall Street is shifting its outlook on the U.S. dollar, as Trump’s policies and the Federal Reserve’s rate cuts in the latter half of 2025 could weigh on the greenback. Analysts from Morgan Stanley to JPMorgan predict that the global reserve currency will peak by mid-2025 and then begin to decline. Société Générale also forecasts a 6% drop in the U.S. Dollar Index by the end of next year.
eurusd short/long +180/+180 swing trade setup🔸Hello traders, let's review the 1hour chart for EURUSD today.
We are currently stuck in 180 pips high/low range, so it's best
to focus on selling high and buying low in current market conditions.
🔸Key levels for eurusd traders: 0420 s/r bulls, 0600s/r bears,
0600 mirror s/r bears level will get re-tested by the bulls for liquidity.
🔸Recommended strategy for eurusd traders: the sequence
is short / long so you want to short high off the s/r bears at 0600 SL 40
TP 0420 pips, this is the the reversal play / re-test of the mirror s/r bulls
at 0420 then flip long at/near 0420+-20 pips SL 40 pips TP1 +90
TP2 +180 pips final exit bulls at mirror s/r at 0600. this is a swing
trade setup, patience required. good luck traders!
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EURUSD → Consolidation before Fed Interest Rate DecisionFX:EURUSD is in a consolidation phase, as is the dollar index. The outcome could be decided this week. Traders are waiting for the FED meeting on US interest rates
Globally the trend is neutral, but the price is consolidating near the key support that has been holding the market for two years. Aggressive interest rate cuts in Europe are putting overall negative pressure on the currency pair. The dollar may go into a downward correction if the decision to cut interest rates is made on December 17-18. But any hint of hawkish policy on the part of the Fed may strengthen the dollar, which will intensify the decline in EURUSD
Resistance levels: 1.0607, 1.065
Support levels: 1.045, 1.033
Based on interest, amid the downtrend, the price has not yet reached the key liquidity zone. Before important news, the market may reach 1.0607. But based on the technical and fundamental background, the fall may continue, and a breakdown of 1.0448 will strengthen this fall.
Regards R. Linda!
#DXY 1DAYDXY Daily Analysis
The DXY (US Dollar Index) is trading near a trendline resistance on the daily chart. This resistance is a critical level where selling pressure may dominate. A breakdown below the nearby support line would confirm bearish momentum, offering a strong sell opportunity for further downside.
Technical Outlook:
Pattern: Trendline Resistance
Forecast: SELL (Sell Opportunity upon Support Breakdown)
Entry Strategy: Enter a sell position once the price breaks below the support line and confirms the breakdown with bearish price action, such as a strong close below the support or a retest of the broken level as resistance.
Traders should watch indicators like RSI for overbought conditions or MACD for a bearish crossover. Use proper risk management by placing stop-loss orders above the trendline and setting profit targets at subsequent key support zones.