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DXY

XAGUSD - Silver on the rise?!Silver is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is moving within its medium-term descending channel. If a valid trendline break or bullish correction is observed, silver can be re-sold and followed to the specified support level. Looking ahead, analysts predict that rising economic uncertainty will drive stronger investment demand in Western markets. In recent weeks, consumer sentiment has dropped to its lowest level in years, while concerns over inflation have intensified. Experts argue that stagflation provides an ideal environment for gold, as the precious metal is widely regarded as a safe-haven asset during economic instability.Additionally, higher inflation leads to lower real yields, reducing the opportunity cost of holding gold, which does not generate interest. Major investment firms, including WisdomTree and Goldman Sachs, believe that despite the possibility of short-term corrections, gold remains on track to reach $3,000 per ounce this year. In another indication of investor sentiment, analysts at BMO Capital Markets reported that gold and copper were the most discussed commodities at their exclusive mining industry conference. Interestingly, silver ranked as a “distant third” in terms of interest. While downside risks for gold still exist, focusing on the long-term outlook remains crucial. Daniel Ghali, a senior commodities strategist at TD Securities, stated that gold is in a unique position where it can appreciate regardless of the U.S. dollar’s performance. Meanwhile, silver’s physical supply flows and structural deficit could make it a long-term winner in the market. Ghali also noted that even as Washington considers devaluing the U.S. dollar to enhance export competitiveness, the currency’s strength is actually supporting higher gold prices. He remarked, “What’s fascinating about this gold rally is that, contrary to conventional wisdom, I genuinely believe a strong U.S. dollar has contributed to gold’s price increase.” He added, “One of my core beliefs is that market anomalies can teach us invaluable lessons.” According to Ghali, gold’s exceptional performance last year was highly unusual. He explained, “Gold managed to rally even during periods of rising U.S. interest rates and a strong dollar.” He also pointed out that historically, gold has only twice exhibited such strong performance alongside a robust S&P 500 index. The first instance was in 1933, when the U.S. government revalued gold, and the second occurred in 2009, during the most significant round of quantitative easing (QE) policies. He emphasized that gold has never sustained such a strong uptrend without a concurrent bearish market for the U.S. dollar. Ghali concluded, “Clearly, gold’s price strength represents a market anomaly, and I believe this sends a message to those willing to listen.” Regarding silver, Ghali argued that the metal is no longer seen as a lesser counterpart to gold. He said, “Silver has a truly unique narrative. We are now entering the fifth consecutive year of a structural deficit. The imbalance between supply and demand is unprecedented, primarily driven by surging demand, particularly in the global solar energy sector.” He continued, “Silver’s situation is different because we are transitioning from a demand surge to a liquidity crisis. The physical pull of silver from London to the U.S. has been so intense that it has placed enormous strain on the world’s largest bullion storage system, disrupting daily physical market trading.” He added, “We believe this situation could worsen, ultimately requiring higher silver prices to incentivize the return of supply from unconventional sources to London.”
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by Ali_PSND
DeGRAM | DXY retest of channel boundaryThe DXY is in an ascending channel between trend lines. The price has approached the lower boundary of the channel and the support level coinciding with the 62% retracement level, but has not yet reached the lower trend line. On the 4H Timeframe, the indicators are in the oversold zone and on the 1H they have formed a bullish convergence. We expect a rebound. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
TVC:DXYLong
by DeGRAM
3
DXY looking for a final push higher before collapse.The U.S. Dollar index (DXY) has been on a strong decline recently, having even broken below its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). The multi-year trend is however bullish, a Channel Up pattern since the 2008 market bottom. With the use of the time Cycles tool, we can estimate when the next Bullish Leg starts, and that's not before 2027. Based on the previous Channel Up corrections (red Channels) we should be expecting one final push towards Resistance 1, before a long-term decline and completion of the Bearish Leg. As a result, as long as the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) holds, we can take a low risk buy and target the 112.000 - 114.000 Zone. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:DXYLong
by TradingShot
3
GBPUSD - Dollar’s ​​view on jobs data!The GBPUSD pair is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its ascending channel. In case of a downward correction, the pair can be sold to narrow it. Last week ended with an unexpected shock for economists: estimates pointed to a significant trade imbalance in the United States for January, primarily driven by a sharp surge in imports. The data indicated that U.S. businesses had made extensive efforts to ramp up foreign purchases ahead of the imposition of new tariffs. Economic analysts expressed concerns that this trend could negatively impact U.S. GDP growth in the first quarter of 2025, as increased imports are typically subtracted from gross domestic product calculations. However, Goldman Sachs experts presented a different perspective. They argue that the unexpected surge in imports was mainly due to an influx of gold bars into the U.S.—a trend that reflects the dynamics of the global precious metals market and the price disparity between gold in London and New York. According to data cited by Goldman Sachs, the U.S. imported approximately $25 billion worth of gold in January, meaning that a substantial portion of the commodity trade deficit was driven by gold transactions. Since gold is generally considered a financial asset, these imports are not factored into GDP calculations. As a result, the actual economic impact of this growing trade deficit may be significantly lower than initially perceived. Currently, financial markets anticipate a 77-basis-point rate cut by the Federal Reserve this year. However, this expectation largely hinges on the trajectory of inflation. At the same time, uncertainty surrounding tariff policies remains high. A new report from the New York Federal Reserve indicates that inflation expectations among businesses have risen. According to the report, projected inflation for the next year has increased from 3% to 3.5% among manufacturing firms and from 3% to 4% among service-based companies. Additionally, many businesses foresee a significant rise in operational costs in 2025. Meanwhile, market pricing suggests that traders no longer expect the Bank of England to implement two rate cuts this year. Taylor, a member of the central bank, stated that every policy meeting carries great importance. He noted that the output gap—the difference between actual and potential production—may be larger than previous Bank of England estimates. Taylor emphasized that monetary policies should gradually return to normal and that a cautious approach is necessary when dealing with multiple price shocks. Furthermore, Andrew Bailey, Governor of the Bank of England, stressed that the economic outlook remains uncertain, with risks moving in both directions. He stated that while inflation is expected to rise, it will not resemble the severe inflationary periods of recent years. According to Bailey, decisions on rate cuts will depend on inflation trends, which have so far remained within an acceptable range. He also noted that the likelihood of second-round inflationary effects—where slowing economic growth leads to renewed price pressures—has diminished.
Short
by Ali_PSND
XAU/USD Bullish Flag (06.03.25)The XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bullish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 2949 2nd Resistance – 2969 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
20
US DOLLAR Approaching Key Support – Will Buyers Step In?TVC:DXY is approaching a key support level, highlighted by strong buying interest. This area aligns with a trendline support level, increasing the likelihood of a bullish bounce if buyers step in. If the price confirms support within this zone through bullish price action—such as long lower wicks or bullish engulfing candles—we could see a reversal toward 106.200, a logical target based on previous market structure and price behavior. However, if the price breaks below this support zone and sustains, the bullish outlook would be invalidated, potentially leading to further downside. Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management. Best of luck!
TVC:DXYLong
by TrendDiva
17
EURJPY IS GETTING STRONGE OR WEAK ? DETAILED ANALYSISEURJPY has successfully broken out of the falling wedge pattern, hitting the projected target of 160.000 and delivering significant profits. This breakout confirmed a strong bullish reversal, allowing traders to capitalize on a deep profit opportunity. The falling wedge is a classic bullish pattern, and its breakout was accompanied by increasing momentum, pushing the pair higher in a sustained rally. With price action playing out as expected, traders who entered early have already locked in substantial gains. From a technical perspective, EURJPY’s bullish structure remains intact, with strong support now forming around the 158.000–159.000 range. If the price consolidates above this level, we could see further upside potential beyond 160.000. However, traders should watch for any retracements or potential resistance at key psychological levels. If bullish momentum continues, the next targets could extend toward 162.000 or higher, depending on market conditions. Fundamentally, EURJPY’s movement is heavily influenced by central bank policies. The European Central Bank’s (ECB) stance on interest rates, coupled with the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) continued monetary easing, has contributed to yen weakness and euro strength. Additionally, risk sentiment in the market plays a crucial role—any shift toward a more risk-on environment will likely support further bullish moves in EURJPY. As the pair remains in an uptrend, traders should monitor key economic events and price action signals to maximize their profit potential.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
4
EUR/USD : Get Ready for a Huge Sell Position! (READ CAPTION)By analyzing the EUR/USD chart on the three-day timeframe, we can see that the price has started to rise following the sharp decline in the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY). Currently, it is attempting to fill the identified Fair Value Gap (FVG). The key supply zone is located between 1.08300 and 1.09380. Traders can look for a suitable sell trigger within this range for potential short positions. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Short
by ArmanShabanTrading
11
GBP/USD: Bulls in Control… For Now! Key Levels to Watch Hello Folks GBP/USD is holding strong above 1.2533, and I see a potential bullish move toward 1.2805 if momentum continues. But I’m staying flexible—if price breaks below 1.2450, my bias shifts, and I’ll look for downside targets instead. 📊 📍 Here’s how I see it: ✅ Bullish above: 1.2533 → 1.2627 → 1.2650 → 1.2805 🚀 ❌ Bearish shift below: 1.2450 → 1.2378 👀 💡 My Plan: As long as GBP/USD stays above 1.2533, I’m bullish and expecting a push toward 1.2805 📈 If price drops below 1.2450, I’ll reconsider and look for shorts instead 📉 ⚠️ No need to rush—let the market confirm the move!
Long
by QuantumFusion