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DXY

GOLD → Pressure from the bears. Why are we falling?FX:XAUUSD does not react to strong support levels. The bulls, despite the positive background for them, could not keep the defense above the key structure. Weak structure on the D1 timeframe. A complex structure is forming on the D1 indicating that the uptrend support is under pressure. That is, if this area is broken, there could be momentum in the market through capitulation. Fundamentally, the market is not reacting to the escalated situation in the middle east and eastern Europe, accepting what is happening at the moment. China has promised increased financial support for the economy and this could attract new capital into the gold market. Markets are likely to trade cautiously as they prepare for a series of labor market data from the US later this week. Resistance levels: 2637, 2648, 2664 Support levels: 2615, 2606, 2600 Technically, the price is inside the local ascending channel, but in the selling zone. Due to bearish pressure, the price may head down and test the 2600 area. But where to go from here? The reaction to the 2600 area after the retest will tell us. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
12
XAGUSD - Silver, waiting for the start of the upward trend?!Silver is located between EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its descending channel. If the decline continues, we can see a support limit. Stabilization of silver above the resistance range will provide us with the path of silver up to the supply zone, where we can sell in that range with a suitable risk reward. In 2025, it might be wiser to adopt a contrarian approach, as the upcoming year has the potential to be one of the most turbulent, especially in the commodities market. The return of Donald Trump as the President-elect of the United States brings the threat of disrupting global trade flows through the imposition of heavy tariffs on U.S. imports. With a Congress led by Republicans, there seems to be little to restrain him this time. Furthermore, there remains significant uncertainty regarding the economic trajectory of China, the world’s second-largest economy and the biggest buyer of commodities. Historically, the dollar tends to perform strongly in January and February. Interestingly, last month also saw a 2.6% rise in the DXY index, breaking a seven-year streak of December weakness. This performance suggests that macroeconomic factors and expectations around Trump’s policies were strong enough to counteract the usual seasonal drag. As the year begins with a positive phase for the dollar, any shift in the current narrative sustaining the dollar’s strength through the end of the year would require a significant change in economic dynamics. The U.S. dollar started 2025 with a slight dip but quickly resumed its upward trend, as the fundamental drivers of the U.S. economy remain intact. The Federal Reserve, adjusting its projections downward, indicated that there might only be two rate cuts in 2024. This stance has further widened the yield gap between the U.S. and other major economies, as central banks in other regions move towards more accommodative monetary policies. Kugler, a member of the Federal Reserve, recently stated that the U.S. economy ended 2024 in good shape, exhibiting solid growth. He noted that the Federal Reserve is likely to take its time before implementing future rate cuts and sees no urgency in this regard. Meanwhile, questions remain about whether inflationary pressures will continue to persist. Kugler also highlighted improvements in productivity and labor supply, which have played a key role in strengthening the economy. He emphasized that the labor market still appears stable, with the current unemployment rate remaining at historically low levels. Even as the labor market cools gradually, real wages remain elevated. Overall, while the labor market is slowly losing heat, it continues to demonstrate resilience. Similarly, the disinflation process is steadily progressing at a consistent pace.
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by Ali_PSND
Welcome The New Yearly Candle!We have another yearly candle print, the 2024 candle. It is an especially interesting one due to the US elections and the how the candle printed. In this video I go through analyzing the charts starting with the yearly candle, all the way down to the daily and hourly. I begin on the Dollar Index (DXY) and then have a look at the EURUSD chart, with some intermarket analysis on USDCAD and NZDUSD. So as to make the video not too long, I just demonstrate how I would do my analysis on these pairs. With that framework, you can perform the same analysis on the assets of your choice. Good luck this year and may it be a prosperous trading year for you all! - R2F Trading
by Road_2_Funded
1
USDJPY → Consolidation before continuing growthFX:USDJPY is consolidating after strong growth. A promising dollar and weak japanese central bank policy form a medium-term bullish potential in the currency pair The currency pair returns almost all of the strong fall associated with last year's course of rate cuts in the U.S., rate hikes in Japan and interventions that were actively conducted by the Central Bank of Japan. What was the outcome of all the actions? It was all in vain. The price turned around and almost approached 162.0. At the moment the emphasis is on consolidation, which has been forming for several weeks. We have clear boundaries, trend and strong levels to use in our trading. Resistance levels: 158.1 Support levels: 156.74, 155.88 The trigger for me is the resistance at 158.1. A breakout and price consolidation above this level will be a confirmation that we are ready to move further towards ATH. I do not exclude the fact that now the price may not be let in and the currency pair will form a correction to the consolidation support before further growth Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
2
Bearish drop?US Dollar Index (DXY) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 38.2% Fibonacci support. Pivot: 109.64 1st Support: 108 1st Resistance: 110.93 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYShort
by ICmarkets
2
DXY Continues bullish momentum from 108.600For the DXY, I anticipate a corrective move, as the price has recently broken structure to the upside. This break has created new demand zones, which we can expect to act as strong support, allowing bullish momentum to continue. This week, my focus will be on the 8-hour demand zone around 108.600. If the price mitigates this zone, I’ll look for lower time-frame confirmation to enter a trade. My target will be the 8-hour supply zone above, where I anticipate some bearish pressure may emerge. However, if the price moves lower and breaches the 8-hour demand zone, I’ll shift my attention to the extreme 5-hour demand zone for a potential buying opportunity, aligning with the overall bullish trend. Let’s stay sharp and make the most of this week. Let’s crush Q1!
TVC:DXYLong
by Hassan_fx
1
EURUSD 5/1/25Heading into the First Trading Week of the Year We’re ready to dominate as always, with Orion leading the way and providing a clear bias. This week, we continue with our bearish outlook, looking to trade from the highs into the lows outlined here, with the target clearly defined. Before diving in headfirst, let’s cover a few key points: There’s currently a large gap between the highs and the current price. Based on this, we need to be mindful of the following scenarios: A short-term high could form before reaching the main highs shown here. A new low might be created, giving us an additional target low. These scenarios suggest we could see some form of manipulation before a move higher. For example, the price could create new highs, sweep them, and then form a new short-term low. While this wouldn’t invalidate the larger bearish move, it could shake out many lower time frame traders. Please also take note of the heavy liquid we have stored above the current highs we are looking at. Trade safe and stick to your plan.
by PipSurfingSociety
DXY Is Going Up! Long! Here is our detailed technical review for DXY. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 108.922. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 110.143. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TVC:DXYLong
by SignalProvider
2
GOLD → Retest of the level after its breakoutFX:XAUUSD inside the new flat is looking for strong support. The fundamental backdrop is complex and amid high risks, buyers are looking for a safe haven Fundamentally, the situation is complex, the weakening of gold is influenced only by the hawkish stance of the Fed and the growth of the dollar. But the pressure for further growth is exerted by many other factors: the escalation of the conflict in the Middle East and Eastern Europe. Trump's protectionist policies toward europe, asia. Geopolitical risks in the world. Technically, the price is testing a strong support area after breaking through resistance. Below is the key Fibo level of 0.5 - 0.7, which may play the role of the lower boundary from which the bulls will start an aggressive game. Support levels: 2637, 2630, 2616 Resistance levels: 2649, 2665 In general, I am more inclined for a medium-term decline, but the local situation is quite tense and complicated. If the bulls hold 2630 - 2640, the gold will continue to rise If the bulls lose, the price will form a deeper correction with the possibility of further prolongation of the fall. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
15
Analysis of EUR/USD: A Strategic Insight for TradersThe EUR/USD currency pair has extended its rally for the third consecutive day, trading near the 1.0430 level during Monday’s Asian session. This uptick is primarily driven by remarks from members of the European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council and expectations of delayed interest rate cuts in the Eurozone. However, the hawkish tone of the Federal Reserve (Fed) and a stronger U.S. Dollar (USD) could cap the Euro’s gains in the short term. Fundamental Factors Influencing EUR/USD European Central Bank (ECB) Robert Holzmann, a member of the ECB Governing Council, stated that further rate cuts might be delayed. He highlighted recent inflation spikes and emphasized the inflationary pressures stemming from the Trump administration’s tariff policies, which may slow economic growth but increase inflation. Delayed Rate Cut Expectations: Markets anticipate the ECB to slow down rate cuts due to rising inflation and the need for economic stabilization. U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) The Fed reduced rates by 25 basis points during the December meeting, but the dot plot indicates only two rate cuts anticipated for 2025. Fed Chair Jerome Powell: He reiterated that the central bank would approach further rate cuts cautiously. Impact on USD: The Fed's hawkish messaging has bolstered the USD, acting as a counterweight to the EUR/USD rally. Economic Policies under the Trump Administration Tariffs and Tax Cuts: The administration’s policies are expected to intensify inflationary pressures, potentially altering the Fed’s monetary policy outlook in favor of the USD. Short-to-Medium Term Outlook for EUR/USD Bullish Scenario : Signals of delayed ECB rate cuts and improved Eurozone economic data could sustain support for the Euro. Bearish Scenario : Continued hawkish Fed messaging, coupled with strong U.S. economic data, could exert downward pressure on EUR/USD.. Technical Analysis: Pivotal Levels in Play Weekly Momentum: Momentum indicators on the weekly timeframe highlight persistent selling pressure, aligning with the prior bearish analysis. Key Support Levels: The price is trading near the confluence of the lower boundary of a neutral channel and the median line of the Andrews Pitchfork, intensifying the sensitivity of this zone. Potential Breakdown: The momentum suggests a higher likelihood of breaking below this support unless weekly price action signals a reversal by surging and breaking above the 1.0534 resistance level. Conclusion and Call to Action This analysis outlines critical fundamental and technical elements shaping the EUR/USD’s trajectory. With key macroeconomic events and technical levels at play, traders should stay vigilant for decisive moves. 👉 What’s Your Move? If you find this analysis insightful, hit the Boost button and share it with your trading community. Let’s navigate these markets together—profitably!
Short
by Mohammad_Mirdehghan