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DXY

🦘🦘 Aussie Kangaroo Returns Home In The OutbackThe Australian dollar has been taking a bath. It’s gone from buying 71 US cents at the beginning of the year to netting you just 63.3 US cents against the benchmark greenback. The dollar is down over the last year against most currencies, and down over the past few weeks against almost every currency. The humble Aussie dollar is suffering in particular against European currencies: Pound Sterling, the Swiss Franc and the Euro. However, even in Japan where the AUD is up over the year so far, it is down in recent weeks. What’s going on? The answer is two-fold. 👉 America’s economy is stronger than expected. And China is weaker, so Chinese yuan has little to no chance of dethroning the US dollar, even as global de-dollarization happens. 👉 Australia gets hit on both of those trades. Difference between 10-Year United States and Australian Govt Debt becomes lower Technical graph for FX:AUDUSD indicates that Aussie has a lot down to deliver.
by PandorraResearch
2
DXY: HTF Analysis (72D)What’s Happening Now on the High-Timeframe? The DXY measures the strength of the U.S. dollar against other major currencies. On the 72-day chart, we’re seeing signs of a potential shift, but the overall trend is still in downtrend territory. Keep an eye on how the price reacts to these levels and stay ready to adjust your strategy! RESISTANCE (Areas where price struggles to rise above): If Resistance holds firm, Price Action could reach Support I (see below) If Resistance is strong, Price Action could short to Support II (see below) 118.53 (Sell Limit Order II): the 2nd resistance level for sellers 117.09 (Supply Zone): This is a hard ceiling for now, far above the current price. 113.50 (Sell Limit Order I): the 1st resistance level for sellers 110.29 (Resistance) If the price keeps getting stuck here, it might fall back down. SUPPORT (Areas where price might stop falling): 100.4180 (Support I): The first major safety net if the price drops. 95.8590: A deeper support that could attract buyers. 93.96 (Support II): The second major safety net if the price drops. 89.9269: A historical level where prices have bounced in the past. OSCILLATORS (Measure speed or momentum of price) Relative Strength Index (RSI): At 81.36, it suggests the price is overbought, meaning it’s been rising too fast and might slow down. Commodity Channel Index (CCI): At 134.004, it’s signaling a potential SELL since the price might drop soon. Momentum: Shows a weak SELL signal, suggesting the upward speed is losing steam. MACD: Shows a small BUY signal, meaning there’s still some upward energy left. MOVING AVERAGES (Track average price over time) Most moving averages (10-day, 20-day, etc.) show a BUY, meaning the price has been above its averages and is in an uptrend for now. Hull Moving Average: Shows a SELL signal, hinting at potential short-term weakness. KEY TAKEAWAYS The Good News (for buyers): The moving averages suggest that DXY is still in an upward move on shorter timeframes, with prices above key averages. The Bad News (for sellers): Oscillators like the RSI and Momentum show that the current upward push might be losing strength. The market might correct (fall) soon. If the price struggles to break 110.2990, it might fall back to 100.4180. A breakthrough above 112.5000 could lead to a move toward the 118.5326 zone. Even though we’re seeing some upward action now, the bigger trend is still downward. A reversal would need sustained movement above major resistance. If price falls: Look for potential rebounds around 100.4180 or 95.8590. If price rises: Be cautious as it approaches 112.5000, where sellers might come back in. Right now, DXY is facing challenges near 110.3990. If it can’t push higher, it’s likely to fall back to lower levels. Moving averages suggest strength, but oscillators are hinting at exhaustion. This mix of signals means you should be cautious and wait for clear moves.
ICEUS:DXY
by ProfessorCEWard
Apparently, bright days are ahead of DXYDXY has underwent a reversal: 1- A clean inverted head and shoulders 2- A dropping wedge break high (Which is a reversal at the end of the bearish move) 3- Break and retest of the inverted head and shoulders and the wedge simultaneously 4- Ichimoku cloud broken high as well, indicating the shifting trend bias Expect the target area as marked on the chart either by the end of this year or whenever FED announces rate cuts. Best of luck and happy trading!
TVC:DXYLong
by Uzi-Trades-Forex
2
DXY at 108.4: The Dollar’s Midlife Crisis—Breakout or Breakdown?Alright, traders, let’s not sugarcoat it. What you’re looking at here isn’t just another chart—it’s the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) standing at the gates of destiny. 💥 🔥 The Setup: Testing the almighty 108.4 resistance. Will it smash through like a battering ram or faceplant into oblivion? 🤔 Riding the top of the Bollinger Bands like it’s a rollercoaster at peak speed. Overbought much? 🎢 RSI? She’s chilling at 59 —neither here nor there but whispering “don’t count me out just yet.” 🧘‍♂️ 🚀 The Bullish Dream: Break 108.4, and this thing’s flying to the moon (or at least 112). Bulls will party like it’s 1985. 🐂💃 💀 The Bearish Nightmare: Rejected here? Say hello to a pullback at 104, and if things really hit the fan, we’re looking at 100.6. Bears will sip their coffee smugly. 🐻☕ But here’s the kicker: DXY isn’t just a chart—it’s the puppet master pulling the strings of everything from Bitcoin to gold to your morning cup of coffee. ☕ (Yes, inflation is still a thing.) ⚡ Final Word: Whether it breaks or bends, this is the make-or-break moment for the dollar. Get ready for fireworks. 🎇 George out. ✌️ #DXY #DollarIndex #Forex
TVC:DXYLong
by RoadToAMillionClub
Weekly Forex Forecast: Last Show For 2024Dec 30th to Jan 3rd. USD is still strong, and so are the indices. I will be looking for buys until there is a significant bearish Break of Structure. A strong USD is a headwind for Gold, Silver and the other metals. It is also a headwind for GBP, EUR and the other majors. USDCHF, USDCAD and USDJPY should see some upside. Thank you for hangin' with me for 2024! I hope you found a benefit in my weekly forecasts this year. 2025 will be even better! Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
by RT_Money
Bullish bounce?US Dollar Index (DXY) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 107.49 1st Support: 106.72 1st Resistance: 108.52 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYLong
by ICmarkets
DXY at a Critical Juncture: Will Bulls Break the Resistance?The US Dollar Index (DXY) is currently consolidating just above the ascending trendline while approaching a critical horizontal resistance zone around 108.00. The price action shows a contracting triangle pattern, suggesting indecision in the market. A breakout above the resistance could confirm bullish momentum, potentially driving the index toward 109.50 or higher. Conversely, a breakdown below the ascending trendline and support zone could indicate bearish pressure, targeting the next key level at 106.50.
TVC:DXYLong
by unichartz
es1! retests 5kes1! appears poised for a larger move down, based on the smaller timeframe count . this leads me to believe that es1! has entered a larger fourth wave. historically, these waves take an average of 2 months to play out and typically result in a 12% decrease from the high before completing. wave 4's often retrace back into the territory of the prior degree's wave 4, and i expect this one to follow suit. pay attention to the green trendline i've drawn on the chart,,, it serves as a solid guide for where i anticipate es1! to find a bottom. dipping below the trendline is acceptable, provided we don't see any weekly candle closes beneath it. even if a weekly candle does close below, a strong recovery the following week, such as a gap-up scenario , could invalidate the breakdown. there’s not much else to add here, as the chart is fairly straightforward. keep an eye on the trendline and monitor weekly closes for confirmation. 💸
CME_MINI:ES1!
by notoriousbids
GOLD FURTHER SELL OFF?! (UPDATE)I am expecting a ‘complex correction’ of the Elliott Wave Theory, to complete the correction on Gold. So a 5 Sub-Wave pattern (A,B,C,D,E). This correction should push the price down towards $2,240 roughly. We can then look to start buying Gold again at cheaper prices. At the most extreme, if the bigger institutional firms want to really shake people out of buying Gold before it creates new high’s towards $3,200+, I would not rule out the possibility of price dropping towards $1,960 as an extreme target.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BA_Investments
DXY Trading plan Here’s a more detailed CAPITALCOM:DXY DXY Trading Plan: - **Buy Entry:** Enter a buy position around **107.800**, watching for price action confirmation at this level. - **First Target:** **108.000** – This is the immediate resistance and serves as a safe partial profit-taking level. - **Second Target:** **108.300** – A key resistance level, ideal for booking the remaining profits. Risk Management: - If **107.800** fails to break out or shows signs of reversal, **close the trade immediately** to minimize potential losses. Look for candlestick patterns, rejection wicks, or bearish momentum as warning signs. Additional Notes: - Monitor DXY momentum and overall trend direction on the 1-hour timeframe. - Keep an eye on related macroeconomic data or news events that could impact dollar strength.
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by TRADE_CENTER_1
1
The Relationship Between Dollar Dominance, Debt, and Deficits The US dollar's position as the world's reserve currency grants the United States a unique set of economic advantages and challenges. This "exorbitant privilege," as it's often called, significantly influences the nation's ability to manage its debt and deficits. Understanding this complex relationship is crucial for comprehending the dynamics of the global financial system and the US economy's position within it. Dollar Dominance: A Foundation of Economic Power The dollar's status as the primary reserve currency means that it is widely held by central banks, international institutions, and businesses worldwide. This widespread acceptance creates consistent demand for dollar-denominated assets, particularly US Treasury bonds. This demand is a key factor in allowing the US government to finance its debt at relatively low-interest rates. If the US were to borrow in another currency, or if global demand for its debt were significantly lower, the cost of borrowing would likely increase, making it more expensive to finance government spending. This dominance also simplifies international trade for US businesses. Because the dollar is the standard currency for many global transactions, US companies can conduct business with reduced exchange rate risks and transaction costs. This ease of trade strengthens the US position in the global economy and contributes to its overall economic power. Debt and Deficits: The Fiscal Realities Government debt represents the accumulation of past budget deficits. A budget deficit occurs when government spending exceeds its revenue in a given fiscal year. These deficits require the government to borrow money, primarily by issuing Treasury bonds, which then contribute to the overall national debt. While deficits can be used strategically to stimulate the economy during downturns or to fund essential public services, persistent and large deficits can lead to a growing national debt. A high debt level can have several potential consequences, including higher interest payments on the debt, reduced fiscal flexibility to respond to future economic crises, and potential inflationary pressures. The Interplay: Dollar Dominance and Fiscal Policy The relationship between dollar dominance, debt, and deficits is complex and multifaceted. The ability to borrow at lower costs due to the dollar's reserve currency status can, in some ways, lessen the immediate pressure to address budget imbalances. The lower interest rates make it less painful in the short term to finance deficits, potentially leading to a greater accumulation of debt over time. However, it's crucial to understand that dollar dominance does not directly cause deficits. Deficits are a result of fiscal policy decisions—specifically, decisions about government spending and taxation. Dollar dominance merely affects the cost of financing those decisions. A government could run deficits regardless of its currency's global status, but the financial implications would likely be significantly different. One could argue that the "exorbitant privilege" afforded by dollar dominance creates a moral hazard. Knowing that borrowing costs are relatively low could incentivize policymakers to engage in more expansive fiscal policies than they might otherwise pursue. This can lead to a situation where the long-term consequences of debt accumulation are downplayed in favor of short-term political or economic gains. Potential Challenges to Dollar Dominance While the dollar has maintained its dominant position for decades, several factors could potentially challenge its future status. The rise of other economic powers, the development of alternative reserve currencies, and shifts in global trade patterns are all potential threats. For example, the increasing economic influence of countries like China has led to discussions about the potential for the renminbi to become a more prominent player in the global financial system. However, for a currency to achieve reserve status, it requires deep and liquid financial markets, strong institutions, and widespread trust in the issuing country's economic and political stability. These are factors that have contributed to the dollar's strength and are not easily replicated. Furthermore, the emergence of new technologies, such as cryptocurrencies and digital payment systems, could potentially disrupt traditional financial flows and challenge the existing currency hierarchy. However, these technologies are still relatively new and face regulatory and adoption hurdles before they could pose a significant threat to the dollar's dominance. Maintaining the Dollar's Strength Maintaining the dollar's strength and its reserve currency status is a complex undertaking. It requires a combination of sound economic policies, strong institutions, and a commitment to maintaining open and transparent financial markets. Sustainable fiscal policies are essential. While dollar dominance provides some flexibility, persistently large deficits and a rapidly growing national debt could eventually erode confidence in the dollar and its long-term value. This could lead to a decrease in demand for dollar-denominated assets, potentially increasing borrowing costs and weakening the dollar's global position. In conclusion, the relationship between dollar dominance, debt, and deficits is a critical aspect of the US and global economies. While the dollar's reserve currency status provides significant advantages in financing government spending and facilitating international trade, it also presents challenges in managing fiscal policy. Maintaining the dollar's strength requires a balanced approach that prioritizes sound economic management and recognizes the complex interplay between these crucial economic factors.
TVC:DXYLong
by bryandowningqln
GOLD → A chance for growth or a trap?FX:XAUUSD continues to give hope to the bulls, trading inside a local rising channel resembling a flag on the background of a local bearish trend. Further upside for the gold price may remain limited as the US dollar remains underpinned by the Fed's hawkishness. This begs the question: what will happen to rates? Hold or rise? It is worth understanding that the rise in inflation expectations against the backdrop of Trump's protectionist policy requires an increase in interest rates. In addition, statistically, the dollar enjoys interest towards the end of the year, and because of the Christmas holidays Technically, I am still skeptical about a possible strong growth, as the fundamental background is weak. Technically, the price may bounce from any nearby strong level. Resistance levels: 2633, 2650 Support levels: sma, 2606 We may not expect strong moves at the end of the year, the market is already celebrating the end of 2024. But the probability is there. Emphasis on the nearest strong levels from which the fall may resume Regards R. Linda! Happy Holidays to all and a productive new year 2025!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
12