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4.7 Interpretation of gold short-term operation ideas! US market4.7 Interpretation of gold late trading operation ideas: Falling more than 70 points in the morning, it quickly rebounded and reversed! How will gold evolve tonight? This V-reversal market frequently appears in these three trading days. It is difficult for us to encounter it once or twice a month. This increases the risk of trading. Once you make a mistake, it will be a reversal of dozens of points! When trading, you must strictly use the "stop loss". We note that the three V-reversals in this stage have common characteristics. The stop in the last trading intensive period means that "3130" can be used as a reference for stage support and pressure. Then these three are: 3130, 3050, 2970---2980 The decline caused by the backlog of sell orders and insufficient liquidity! For gold, it will cause multiple stimulations, panic selling, and funds leaving the market for a short time to avoid risks. Selling gold to fill the gap in other markets and many other factors, and the central banks around the world that intend to reserve gold will not wait! They will still buy strategically, so the trend determines that the decline is limited. 2880 and 2630 are the two main observation positions. After the small-cycle funds rebounded in the morning, the market entered a triangular consolidation state, the highs were gradually decreasing, and the lows were flattening. This is an obvious sign of market wait-and-see sentiment. The probability of a V-reversal phase or a continuous unilateral trend in the evening increased! If you follow this logic, gold should be under pressure around 3035-3038 during the rebound phase of 16-18 points! And then continue to fall. Of course, if the EU further expresses its tariffs! It may cause the short-term volatility of the market to intensify! Any unilateral trend needs to be confirmed in the US market. In the evening, whether it is a V-reversal from north to south or a continuation of the Asian and European market, it is normal. The overall framework will not deviate from the framework of 3130, 3050, 2980! We will update regularly every day to introduce to you how we manage active ideas and settings. Thank you for your likes, comments and attention. Thank you very much
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
1
DeGRAM | DXY dollar in the turbulence zoneDXY is in a descending channel under the trend lines. The price is moving from the upper boundary of the channel. After breaking the trend line, the chart went sharply lower amid the announcement of trade duties, after which it formed a gap. On the main timeframes indicators have gone into the oversold zone. We expect that the index will seek to close the gap after testing the lower boundary of the channel. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
TVC:DXYLong
by DeGRAM
1
Bitcoin Lost 50 SMA overnight, what next ? - still BULLISH.In a week where I am still expecting the beginnings of a bounce, we saw a Major Drop overnight. This has pushed PA below the 50 SMA that I was hoping PA would bounce off, as it had previously. So, Whats Next ? It is not as bad as it may appear but CAUTION is a Very Very good idea. There are a number of lines of support below and if we do not find any soon, 73K is the next line of Support. then down to 71K and ultimately, the long term line at 64K, though I still doubt we will get that low. But FEAR is BIG...be a Vulture..Buy the remains of people Fear...Bitcoin IS a Scarce asset and people Still want it. The Weekly MACD The MACD is now in the bounce Zone. Yes, it may drop below neutral if this "Tariff Fear" continues. But Technically, We now have the ability to bounce once sentiment turns On a slightly more bearish side is the fact that Histogram has dived deep and Red. The Bears are biting and has momentum The RSI Relative Strength Index Like the MACD, the RSI is now in an area where it has bounced in the past and yet, it can still drop further before we reach Neutral ( 30 line ) . It has to be said, the RSI is a bit behind the MACD in that it has a later date when it could reach Neutral. There is no guarantee that Neutral will hold RSI up.... Other Markets are struggling also The DXY $ has had a sustained drop but is near an area of support. I am watching this closely. Normaly, we see DXY and BTC move in opposite directions but we have seen both Recover at the same time, The lines between the teo are getting blurred. GOLD - has been doing well for some omnths However, in th elast 2 weeks, Gold has been selling off also and saw a steep drop towards the end of last week. Will be very interesting to see where this goes this week The fact that Gold was selling, shows that investors were comfortable to leave a safe haven. Lets see if that changes this weel Conclusion for BITCOIN HOLDERS This could all sound a little scary for Bitcoin and it should be taken as a HUGE Warning that we Lost the 50 SMA Support. This does open up the possibility of further drops and it may well happen We are currently heading towards major support at 73K This is an area I said we could hit a few weeks back and so I am not in a bad state of mind just yet. If we Loose 71K, I will get uncomfortable. The Lower timeframes are very much heading to OVERSOLD and so we shold get some support here and then we wait to see if Fear takes hold further. This week, we Get the FOMC minutes and then Inflation data coming out of the USA Thsi could Tip the balance either way, depending on the data For me, I am NOT Selling Just yet. I imagine many Short term holders will be and these coins will be snapped back up We wait to see how today plays out BUY THE DIP
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
1
Golden Horizons on the PrecipiceGold on the Brink of a Downturn: A Shift in Market Sentiment Gold, once a shining symbol of financial security and prosperity, now finds itself on the cusp of a significant bearish turn. The precious metal, which has long been a safe haven for investors during times of economic uncertainty, is entering a new phase that could see its value dwindle in the face of shifting global financial conditions. The Russian central bank, historically one of the major players in the gold market, is currently at the forefront of this market retreat. By liquidating a significant portion of its gold reserves, Russia is not just participating in the market shift, but may be sending a signal to other nations and financial institutions. Their decision to sell is not an isolated move; it could well be the beginning of a broader trend. As the Russian central bank offloads its holdings, it's highly probable that other central banks, which have long viewed gold as an essential asset for economic stability, may soon follow suit. These institutions, often holding vast quantities of the precious metal, could begin liquidating their reserves in an effort to take advantage of the currently elevated prices. The global economic landscape is constantly in flux, and with many countries facing mounting fiscal pressures, the temptation to cash in on gold's recent price surge could become too great to resist. Hedge funds and private investors, always looking for opportunities to capitalize on price movements, may also jump on the bandwagon. They have the flexibility and agility to react swiftly to market shifts, and with a growing consensus that gold may have reached its peak, it would not be surprising if they decide to sell off their positions in the metal. With such a large portion of the market potentially pulling away from gold, the selling pressure could intensify, leading to a sharp drop in prices. If this trend gains momentum, we could witness a rapid and dramatic decline in gold’s value. The metal, which has been the go-to asset for many investors during times of economic uncertainty, could soon lose its appeal as a safe haven. The factors driving this potential downturn are multifaceted, ranging from shifting monetary policies and global inflationary pressures to geopolitical tensions and central bank strategies. The impact of this market shift could be far-reaching. Not only would it affect the price of gold, but it could also send shockwaves through the broader commodities and financial markets. If the sell-off gathers pace, it could have a cascading effect, causing investors to rethink their positions in other assets traditionally viewed as safe havens, such as silver or even government bonds. The question on many investors’ minds is whether this bearish trend is a temporary correction or the beginning of a longer-term downturn. Only time will tell, but one thing is certain: the dynamics of the gold market are shifting, and the once steady climb of the metal may now be facing a downward spiral. For those who are closely following the market, it is essential to stay updated on the latest developments. A deeper analysis of the factors driving this potential gold sell-off and the broader market implications can offer valuable insights into the direction of this volatile asset. As we continue to monitor the situation, I encourage you to stay informed and consider how these developments could impact your own investments. While gold may still hold value in the eyes of many, its future trajectory is now uncertain, and the risk of significant price fluctuations looms large. Thank you for your attention, and I wish you the best of luck navigating these turbulent financial waters!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by lonelyPlayer0
2
Bearish continuation?US Dollar Index (DXY) is rising towards the pivot an could drop to the 1st support. Pivot: 103.26 1st Support: 101.79 1st Resistance: 104.68 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYShort
by ICmarkets
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) - Bearish Breakdown or Reversal?📊 U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) - 4H Chart Analysis 🔵 Supply Zone (104.400 - 104.683) 🟦 Resistance area where sellers may step in 📉 🟡 Key Level (~104.200) 🟧 Decision point – price struggling to hold this level 📉 Trend Line (Broken) 🔻 ❌ Previous uptrend is broken, signaling potential bearish momentum 🟢 Demand Zone (103.200 - 103.400) 🟩 Support area where buyers may get active 📈 🚀 Potential Market Movement: 1️⃣ Bearish Breakdown Expected ⬇️ 🔹 Price broke below trendline ➡️ selling pressure increasing 🔹 Possible pullback to key level (~104.200) before more downside 🔹 Targeting demand zone (~103.200-103.400) 🎯 2️⃣ Invalidation/Stop-Loss 🚫 🔺 If price moves back above 104.683, bearish setup is invalid 🔺 Stop-loss placed at 104.683 for risk management 🎯 Trading Strategy: ✅ Short Entry: After pullback near 104.200 🎯 Target: 103.200 demand zone ⚠️ Stop Loss: Above 104.683
TVC:DXYShort
by Jameshead007
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) – Weekly Outlook | Elliott Wave Analysis This DXY weekly chart highlights a potential (A)-(B)-(C) corrective structure unfolding after a completed 5-wave impulsive rally. Wave A bottomed out around the 100 level, followed by a retracement in Wave B which tested the 111.893 supply zone. Currently, price is reacting strongly from that level, suggesting a possible move toward completing Wave C. Current Market Structure: Wave B faced strong rejection near the 111.893 resistance/supply zone. Price is now hovering near a short-term support zone (light green) around 102–100, which could serve as a decision point. Two scenarios are in play: 1. Bullish Rejection from Support: If buyers defend the support, a new bullish leg may begin, retesting 111.893 or even pushing slightly higher. 2. Break Below Support: A decisive breakdown could initiate a deeper decline toward the major demand zone (highlighted in beige) near 90.00–92.50, completing Wave C. Key Technical Zones: Resistance (Supply Zone): 111.893 Immediate Support: 100.00–102.00 Major Demand Zone (Wave C Target): 90.00–92.50 Current Price: 102.892 Elliott Wave View: The ongoing move appears to be part of a Wave C correction, which will be confirmed only if price breaks below the current support. On the flip side, a higher low and bullish continuation could mean the correction ended early, transitioning into a fresh impulse. Conclusion: The DXY is at a critical juncture. Traders should monitor price action closely at the 100–102 zone. A bounce could trigger a bullish setup back toward resistance, while a breakdown would likely bring Wave C to completion in the 90–92.50 zone. Stay tuned and trade with discipline.
TVC:DXY
by Greenfireforex
1
USDJPY - 4H more fall expectedFX:USDJPY - 4H Update 🔻 If you've traded USDJPY in recent years, you're no stranger to the significance of the 150.00 zone. This level has historically acted as a critical resistance and psychological barrier. Now, the pair is trading below this key level and has also broken the ascending channel support on the daily timeframe, signaling that bulls are likely out of the game. The recent drop to 147.00 and bounce toward 151.00 could be setting up the next short opportunity. 📌 What to watch for: A liquidity grab above the 151.50–152.00 zone could occur before the next fall. This aligns with institutional behavior, hunting stops before continuing the trend. We're now in a sell-the-rally phase, watching for confirmations around the red zone. Remember, I previously signaled a short from the 157 zone, which played out beautifully. We’re now gearing up for the next big short, and this setup might just be it. 📉 Stay cautious, wait for price action signals, and trust the structure. 💸 If you’ve missed previous entries, don’t miss what’s coming next! 🔔 Follow for real-time updates and live trade ideas!
Short
by Sober_Trading
13
Blueprint for Becoming a Successful Forex Trader in 2025🚀 Blueprint to Becoming a Successful Forex Trader in 2025: Leveraging ICT, Automation, and Prop Funding Here’s a detailed, actionable blueprint designed to position you for success by carefully navigating broker selection, adopting advanced trading strategies, obtaining prop funding, and integrating automation and AI technologies into your trading. 🏦 Broker Selection (Actionable Steps) 🔍 Choose brokers with true ECN/STP execution ⚡ Ensure brokers offer low spreads (0.0-0.2 pip average) and fast execution to maximize ICT precision entries. 🛡️ Prioritize brokers regulated by ASIC, FCA, or FSCA with verified Myfxbook execution reports. 📊 Confirm broker compatibility with MetaTrader 4 (MT4) to seamlessly integrate Expert Advisors (EAs). 💳 Check for flexible withdrawal/deposit methods and swift payouts (Crypto, Wise, Revolut). 🎯 Trading Strategy (ICT Concepts & Supply-Demand Zones) 🧠 Master ICT Concepts: Liquidity sweeps, Order Blocks (OB), Fair Value Gaps (FVG), Market Structure Breaks (MSB). 📍 Combine ICT with Supply-Demand: Identify institutional supply-demand zones aligning with ICT Order Blocks & liquidity areas. 📐 Execute High-Probability Setups: Trade only after liquidity grabs at key daily/weekly ICT points, avoiding retail traps. 📈 Time & Price Theory: Trade London Kill Zones and New York Open exclusively, exploiting predictable ICT volatility. 📆 Weekly Preparation: Annotate D1/H4 charts on weekends marking liquidity points, order blocks, and premium/discount zones clearly. 💰 Getting Prop Funding (Actionable Approach) 🥇 Target reputable prop firms (FTMO, MyForexFunds, The Funded Trader, 8cap, etc) with clear and attainable evaluation objectives. 📑 Use ICT trading style for evaluation: lower-frequency, high-probability trades with clearly defined risks. 🎯 Implement strict risk management rules: never exceed 1% risk per trade, aiming for steady account growth (5-10% monthly target). 📊 Monitor performance closely using provided analytics dashboards (e.g., FTMO Metrics App) and adapt accordingly. 📚 Diversify funded accounts across multiple firms, compounding total available trading capital while reducing firm-specific risk. ⚙️ Automating & Executing Trades (MT4 EA & Bots) 🛠️ Hire experienced MQL4 developers to code custom ICT-based MT4 Expert Advisors 🤖 Develop EAs specifically around ICT logic (Order Block detection, liquidity grabs, market structure shifts) and or supply/demand logic 🤖 use advanced algo based breakout EAs for automation 📌 Automate trade management: EAs should handle entry precision, partial exits, break-even stops, and trail stops. 📡 Set EAs on VPS Hosting (NY4, LD4) for optimal latency and consistent execution (ForexVPS, AccuWeb Hosting). 📈 Regularly perform forward-testing and optimization of EAs on demo accounts before live deployment (at least quarterly optimization). 📲 Integrating Advanced Bots and Technology in 2025 📊 Combine your MT4 EAs with third-party analytics platforms for detailed trade performance insights. 🔮 Incorporate AI-based forecasting tools to refine ICT setups and trade signals. 🔔 Use automated bots for real-time alerts on ICT-based setups via Telegram or Discord channels. 🧑‍💻 Maintain manual oversight for discretionary ICT decisions—use automation for entry efficiency, not blind reliance. 🔄 Continuously retrain and update your bot’s logic monthly using the most recent trade data, ensuring adaptive execution. 🗓️ Daily Routine for Success 🌅 Pre-session (30 mins): Review annotated charts, ICT concepts (liquidity, OB, FVG), and supply-demand levels. 💻 During trading session: Monitor EA execution, manually adjust positions based on real-time ICT setups. 📝 Post-session (15 mins): Journal trades meticulously in detail, noting ICT reasoning behind wins and losses. 📆 Weekly review: Assess overall ICT & EA performance—adjust EA parameters as needed to match evolving market conditions. 📚 Continuous learning: Keep updated on advanced ICT framework, supply demand zone trading. 📌 Final Actionable Advice for 2025 🔍 Specialize intensely on ICT & supply-demand concepts rather than multiple strategies—depth over breadth. 🚩 Always adapt and evolve your trading algorithms to ICT methodology—market dynamics continually change. 🧘 Maintain emotional discipline and patience, relying on high-probability setups to steadily compound your account. 💡 Stay ahead by embracing technology: automation, AI-driven forecasting, and custom ICT tools will provide a significant edge in 2025.
Education
by ProjectSyndicate
26
DXY Breaking Down?The US Dollar Index (DXY) may be entering a strong bearish wave. After completing wave B, the market has started impulsive wave C to the downside. Currently, wave 3 might be ending, with a potential short-term bounce for wave 4, followed by a drop into wave 5. Key Bearish Outlook: Resistance Zone (Wave 4): 104.924 – 104.932 Invalidation Level: 106.505 Final Wave 5 Target: Near 93.422 If price stays below the invalidation level, more downside is expected. Watch for shorting opportunities if wave 4 completes and reverses.
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by Greenfireforex
WTI , road map on high time frame "Hello traders, focusing on WTI on high time frames, this analysis is based on the liquidity concept. Observing the chart, the price has surpassed the $69 level, which was significant for institutional orders. Consequently, I anticipate a decline towards lower prices. In my view, the next potential level could be around $64." If you have any specific questions or require further assistance with your message, feel free to let me know!
OANDA:WTICOUSDShort
by somayehbasiri
EURUSD on high time frame "When considering EUR/USD, the price has decisively broken the structure on the daily time frame. Currently, it is undergoing a pullback towards the origin of the move. In my analysis, once this pullback is complete, it presents a favorable buying opportunity. My target for this trade is 1.120. Depending on your strategy, you may opt to wait for the completion of the pullback and the formation of a (FVG) candle on the 1-hour chart before taking action." If you need further assistance or have any specific questions, feel free to ask!
Long
by somayehbasiri
How Worrying is the Weakening Dollar? A Departure from TraditionThe value of a nation's currency is a critical barometer of its economic health and global standing.1 Typically, in times of international turmoil or economic uncertainty, the U.S. dollar, as the world's reserve currency, tends to strengthen.2 This "safe-haven" effect is driven by increased demand for the dollar as investors seek stability and liquidity. However, recent trends have seen the greenback exhibit a notable weakening, even amidst persistent global anxieties.3 This begs the crucial question: how worrying is this deviation from the norm, and what are the potential implications for the U.S. and the global economy? To understand the significance of a weakening dollar, it's essential to first recognize the factors that typically influence its strength. These include interest rates set by the Federal Reserve, inflation levels, the overall performance of the U.S. economy relative to others, trade balances, and geopolitical stability.4 Higher interest rates tend to attract foreign investment, increasing demand for the dollar and thus its value.5 Strong economic growth similarly boosts confidence in the currency.6 Conversely, high inflation erodes the dollar's purchasing power, while a significant trade deficit (importing more than exporting) can indicate an oversupply of the currency in global markets, leading to depreciation. Historically, during periods of global crisis, the dollar has often acted as a port in a storm. Events like geopolitical conflicts, financial market meltdowns in other regions, or global pandemics have typically triggered a "flight to safety," with investors flocking to the perceived security and liquidity of U.S. dollar-denominated assets, thereby strengthening the currency.7 This was evident during past crises, where the dollar often appreciated as investors sought refuge from volatility elsewhere. The current weakening of the dollar, therefore, raises eyebrows precisely because it seemingly contradicts this established pattern. While global uncertainties persist – ranging from ongoing geopolitical tensions in various parts of the world to concerns about the pace of global economic growth – the dollar has not consistently exhibited its traditional strengthening behavior. This departure suggests that underlying factors might be at play, potentially signaling deeper concerns about the U.S. economic outlook or the dollar's long-term standing. One potential reason for this weakening could be a shift in relative economic strength. If other major economies are perceived to be on a stronger growth trajectory or offering more attractive investment opportunities, capital might flow away from the dollar, putting downward pressure on its value. For instance, improvements in economic prospects in the Eurozone or emerging markets could lead investors to diversify their holdings, reducing their reliance on the dollar. Furthermore, concerns about the U.S.'s fiscal health, including rising national debt and persistent budget deficits, could also contribute to dollar weakness. While the dollar's reserve currency status has historically provided a buffer, a sustained period of fiscal imbalance could eventually erode investor confidence in the long-term value of the currency.8 Another factor to consider is the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. While higher interest rates typically support a stronger dollar, expectations of future rate cuts or a more accommodative monetary stance could dampen investor enthusiasm for dollar-denominated assets. If the market anticipates that the Fed will need to lower rates to support economic growth or combat deflationary pressures, this could lead to a weakening of the dollar.9 The implications of a weakening dollar are multifaceted and can have both positive and negative consequences for the U.S. economy. On the positive side, a weaker dollar makes U.S. exports more competitive in international markets, as they become cheaper for foreign buyers.10 This could potentially boost U.S. manufacturing and help to narrow the trade deficit. Additionally, a weaker dollar can increase the value of earnings that U.S. multinational corporations generate in foreign currencies, as these earnings translate into more dollars when repatriated. However, the downsides of a weakening dollar can be significant. Firstly, it makes imports more expensive for U.S. consumers and businesses.11 This can lead to higher prices for a wide range of goods, potentially fueling inflation.12 For businesses that rely on imported components or raw materials, a weaker dollar can increase their costs of production, which may eventually be passed on to consumers. Secondly, a sustained weakening of the dollar could erode its status as the world's reserve currency. While this is a long-term prospect, a decline in the dollar's dominance could have significant implications for the U.S.'s ability to borrow cheaply and exert influence in the global financial system.13 Thirdly, a weakening dollar could lead to concerns among foreign investors holding U.S. assets, such as Treasury bonds. If they anticipate further depreciation of the dollar, they might become less inclined to hold these assets, potentially leading to higher U.S. borrowing costs in the future. In conclusion, the current weakening of the dollar, particularly in the face of ongoing global uncertainties where it would typically strengthen, is a trend that warrants careful attention. While a moderate depreciation can have some benefits for U.S. exports, a sustained or significant weakening could signal underlying economic vulnerabilities or a shift in global investor sentiment towards the greenback. Factors such as relative economic performance, U.S. fiscal health, and the Federal Reserve's monetary policy will likely play a crucial role in determining the future trajectory of the dollar. The departure from its traditional safe-haven status serves as a reminder that the dollar's dominance is not immutable and underscores the importance of maintaining sound economic policies to underpin its long-term strength and stability. Monitoring these trends will be critical for understanding the evolving global economic landscape and its implications for the United States.
TVC:DXY
by bryandowningqln