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DXY

DXY.GBPUSD.GOlD.Day 4 2025.No major news with today being a bank holiday in the US which affects the DXY ( Dollar Index).I do not expect sharp moves heading into the NY session with majority of the big players waiting for tomorrow's financial readings so as to understand better the current economic health in the states.Today looks like a continuation of yesterday's trend with the dollar performing fairly good. We are currently testing fresh lows in this pair which has been in a downtrend since turn of November.Looking to test the previous low which was broken @ 1.23200.Price currently at 1.22700 at time of writing. After a stellar year for Gold with the precious metal gaining more than 5000 pips it's time for a fresh year.We have been ranging in the 2600-2700 region for the past one month and if prices are to react soon then we need to breakout of the orderblock above.Waiting for NFP data tomorrow to breakout and get fresh moves for the coming week.Price @ 2665 at time of writing...break above 2670 takes us to 2686.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Muchangi
Technical Analysis and Trade Setup for GBPNZDThe forex pair GBPNZD is currently trading at a price of 2.2000, with a target price set at 2.3000, indicating a potential gain of 500+ pips. This suggests a bullish outlook for the pair, as it is expected to appreciate in value. The analysis highlights that the pair is showing a good bounce from a key support level, which often signals a reversal or continuation of an upward trend. However, the trader is exercising caution by waiting for confirmation before entering the trade. This confirmation could involve technical indicators, price action patterns, or fundamental factors aligning with the upward movement. Such an approach helps minimize risk and improve the probability of success. The trade setup relies on the strength of the support level and market sentiment favoring the pound over the kiwi. Proper risk management and adherence to a trading plan are essential when executing this strategy.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
1
Gold's Shine Dims: Retesting Peaks Before the DropXAU/USD: Navigating Uncertain Currents Amid Resistance Challenges Gold (XAU/USD) has been navigating a phase of consolidation while steadily creeping toward the critical resistance level at 2667. This level stands as a psychological and technical barrier, and the market seems poised for a decisive moment. The current upward trajectory suggests a potential breakout is on the horizon. However, doubts loom large as various economic and geopolitical factors cast a shadow over this bullish move. Economic Crosswinds and Market Sentiment The lingering question remains: Will the breakout materialize? Gold’s performance has been mired in a complex web of economic data that has consistently hindered its momentum. Over the past few months, the global economy has presented a mixed bag of signals, with inflationary pressures rising across major economies, particularly in China, which recently released discouraging data on its economic growth. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance, as reflected in its latest meeting minutes, continues to support the strength of the US dollar, further dampening gold’s appeal. Adding to this complexity, the lack of fresh geopolitical flashpoints or significant shifts in fundamental data leaves gold’s recent ascent somewhat puzzling. Historically, gold has thrived on uncertainty, but with no major new developments from global hotspots and a stronger dollar exerting downward pressure, its current upward move appears to lack a robust foundation. Moreover, the metal faces headwinds from an improving macroeconomic environment in the United States. The Federal Reserve’s resolute approach to inflation control, coupled with Trump-era tariff policies still casting a shadow on international trade, adds to the uncertainty surrounding gold’s price action. Liquidity Grabs and Resistance Retests From a technical perspective, the market’s structure remains bullish, though caution is warranted. Before a potential reversal or significant correction, the possibility of a liquidity grab around the key resistance level at 2667 cannot be ruled out. This move would likely attract cautious buyers and trigger stop-loss orders, temporarily pushing prices higher. A subsequent retest of key zones of interest—such as the higher resistance levels at 2675 and 2692 or the channel resistance—could follow before any meaningful correction materializes. Such behavior aligns with gold’s historical price action, where false breakouts or liquidity hunts often precede major directional shifts. Buyers, already hesitant due to the lack of strong bullish fundamentals, may adopt a wait-and-see approach as the market tests these critical thresholds. Fundamental Challenges Weighing on Gold Despite its recent climb, gold remains under pressure from a host of unfavorable factors. The following nuances continue to resist upward momentum: Stronger US Dollar: As the dollar strengthens, gold, priced in dollars, becomes more expensive for international buyers, limiting demand. Hawkish Federal Reserve: The Fed’s firm stance on controlling inflation and its willingness to maintain higher interest rates for longer reduce the appeal of non-yielding assets like gold. Global Inflation: Rising inflation in key economies, coupled with central bank tightening, creates a challenging environment for gold. Lack of Geopolitical Catalysts: With no new conflicts or crises dominating headlines, gold lacks the safe-haven demand typically driven by geopolitical turmoil. Trump’s Tariff Policies: Although dated, the lingering effects of these trade policies continue to influence the broader market sentiment, adding uncertainty to gold’s performance. Resistance and Support Levels From a technical standpoint, the following levels are crucial: Resistance: 2667 (key level), 2675 (upper zone of interest), and 2692 (channel resistance). Support: The ascending trendline near 2656 acts as a critical support level, underpinning the bullish structure in the short term. Short-Term Outlook and Market Expectations In the near term, I anticipate an attempt to break through the 2667 resistance level. Should this breakout occur, gold may test higher zones of interest such as 2675 or even 2692. However, such a move would likely face stiff resistance, paving the way for a corrective phase. The interplay of technical signals and fundamental challenges makes the current price action intriguing yet uncertain. While the structure remains bullish in the short term, the broader picture suggests caution. A breakout above resistance levels might temporarily buoy sentiment, but without solid fundamental support, any gains could prove short-lived, leading to a sharp correction as the market recalibrates. In conclusion, while gold’s recent rise has sparked interest, it remains entangled in a web of conflicting signals. As traders navigate this challenging environment, all eyes will be on key resistance levels and the broader macroeconomic backdrop to determine the metal’s next move.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by lonelyPlayer0
GBPUSDHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on GBPUSD? In the GBPUSD chart, it is observed that after breaking the support zone, the price is currently in a correction phase and pulling back towards the broken zone. Considering the price structure and the descending trendline, it is expected that after reaching the identified resistance area, the price will resume its downward movement and target lower levels. Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Short
by HAMED_AZ
16
Levels discussed on livestream 8th Jan 20258th January 2025 DXY: Consolidating just below 50% (108.70), stronger ADP, DXY break higher, to 109.20 NZDUSD: Sell 0.5620 SL 20 TP 30 AUDUSD: Look for reaction at 0.62 strong round number support GBPUSD: Sell 1.2450 SL 25 TP 80 EURUSD: Sell 1.0320 SL 30 TP 60 USDJPY: Watching that 158 resistance level EURJPY: Sell 162.95 SL 30 TP 60 GBPJPY: Sell 196.50 SL 30 TP 70 USDCHF: Buy 0.9120 SL 20 TP 50 USDCAD: Buy 1.4385 SL 20 TP 50 XAUUSD: Consolidating below 2655, potential break out to upside, to 2672
TVC:DXY
by JinDao_Tai
GBP/USD Trendline BreakoutThe GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a Strong Trendline . This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.2390 2nd Support – 1.2332 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
41
Copper - Markets are waiting for Trump's decisions!In the 4-hour timeframe, copper is above the EMA200 and EMA50 and is moving in its descending channel. Copper moved down from the supply zone of the previous analysis. The downward correction of copper will provide us with the opportunity to buy it with the appropriate risk reward. If the upward trend continues, you can sell copper in the next supply zone. According to experts, commodity prices are expected to decline in 2025 due to a weak global economic outlook and the resurgence of the US dollar. Analysts at Deutsche Bank have identified three key political developments in their latest report that could shape the strategy of US President-elect Donald Trump. These developments include changes in tariff policies, Trump’s preference for introducing a large, comprehensive bill, and his plan to fund tax cuts through tariffs. Deutsche Bank notes that the year will largely be influenced by the combination of policies Trump proposes. However, it seems unlikely that a comprehensive bill addressing both border and tax issues will be ready before April or May. Experts believe that Trump is likely to use Section 232 investigations to impose sector-specific tariffs. These investigations allow the government to implement tariffs on the grounds of national security. Deutsche Bank forecasts that Trump will employ multiple tariff approaches, including legislative and executive actions. Analysts suggest that Trump may attempt to enact broader tariffs through legislation, as this is the only way tariff revenues can be incorporated into the budget reconciliation process by the Congressional Budget Office (CBO). Two key bills in Congress related to the revocation of China’s normal trade status have been highlighted as important areas to monitor in this regard. This multi-faceted approach and the varying timelines for imposing tariffs introduce significant complexities and risks. However, from a financial perspective, Deutsche Bank predicts that Trump’s fiscal policies may have more moderate impacts, potentially easing some of the existing tensions. Markets are also watching for further moves by China to stimulate its economy in hopes that such measures might revive demand for commodities in the world’s second-largest economy. The People’s Bank of China (PBoC) has announced plans to cut interest rates and required bank reserves. However, the market is looking for more tangible actions to directly support consumers, rather than simply increasing public sector wages. In other words, the market seeks renewed confidence and vitality in the economy. Nonetheless, the lack of transparency in China’s economy remains a pressing issue. Even within China and among government officials, there appears to be no clear understanding of the economic situation. Public sentiment remains highly negative and has not recovered since the COVID-19 pandemic. Despite these challenges, China continues to excel in certain sectors. For instance, the country has achieved notable success in the automotive and artificial intelligence industries. Additionally, China is still considered the easiest place in the world to manufacture anything. However, these advantages ultimately need to translate into improved domestic consumption to create lasting positive effects. In a note, BMI stated that potential slowdowns in the energy transition due to Trump’s policy changes could dampen the green energy sentiment that bolstered prices in 2024. John Gross, president of John Gross Consulting, told CNBC that while copper prices peaked in May 2024 due to market pressures, they have since been in a downward trend, which is expected to continue. He added, “A complex combination of high inflation, elevated interest rates, and a strong dollar will negatively impact metal markets.”
CAPITALCOM:COPPERLong
by Ali_PSND
GOLD → The calm before the storm. What to expect?FX:XAUUSD is consolidating above 2645 and trying to test the strong resistance of 2664. Downside risks are quite high and it may happen after liquidity capture. Gold has high risks due to yesterday's favorable data in the US. Hawkish expectations for the Fed, strong economic data put the dollar back on the northbound train. Markets priced in a 35% chance of a Fed interest rate cut this month. Trump takes office on Jan. 20 and his proposed tariffs and protectionist policies are seen as inflationary, requiring higher interest rates and a stronger U.S. dollar. If risk aversion intensifies amid renewed geopolitical tensions in the Middle East or Trump's tariff threats, that could send gold higher A symmetrical triangle is forming on D1, which confuses everyone - where will the price go? And all because the technical situation is neutral. Resistance levels: 2664, 2674 Support levels: 2645, 2632. False breakdown of resistance can provoke a fall to the strong support, the border of the triangle. Gold is growing reluctantly and slowly, as if something is in the way, and the risks and pressure are increasing. BUT! If the price goes to 2664, it is important to watch the price reaction to this level: consolidation above the level may provoke further growth to 2674. Similarly with the support of 2645 Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
6
Levels discussed on livestream 7th Jan 20257th January 2025 DXY: For further downside to 107 support level, needs to break 38.2% and bottom of channel (107.80) or bounce off bottom of channel NZDUSD: Retracing, look for rejection at 0.57 or 0.5760 AUDUSD: Test and reject trendline, Sell 0.6280 SL 30 TP 60 GBPUSD: Break above 1.26 round number, Buy 1.2620 SL 30 TP 100 EURUSD: Buy 1.0440 SL 30 TP 90 USDJPY: Sell 157.50 SL 70 TP 140 EURJPY: Look for reaction at 165 resistance GBPJPY: Look for reaction at 197, Buy 197.25 SL 40 TP 90 USDCHF: Buy 0.9070 SL 30 TP 60 USDCAD: Could trade down to 1.4250, bullish trendline XAUUSD: No clear directional bias, choppy between 2625 and 2646, break, above 61.8% 2646 could trade up to 2655
TVC:DXY
by JinDao_Tai
2
US Dollar Index (DXY) Rising Channel IntactChart Analysis: The US Dollar Index (DXY) continues to trade within a well-defined ascending channel (green-shaded area), signaling sustained bullish momentum. 1️⃣ Ascending Channel: The DXY is consolidating near the channel's midline, with the upper boundary around 110.00 acting as a potential resistance area. A breakout above the channel's upper boundary would signal continued bullish momentum, while a retracement to the lower boundary around 106.00 could provide buying opportunities. 2️⃣ Key Support Levels: The 50-day SMA (blue line) at 106.50 is providing dynamic support, aligning with the channel's lower boundary. The 200-day SMA (red line) at 104.50 reinforces long-term support. 3️⃣ Momentum Indicators: RSI: Currently at 62, indicating bullish momentum but shy of overbought levels. MACD: Momentum remains positive, with the MACD line above the signal line, supporting the bullish bias. What to Watch: Monitor the channel's upper boundary for potential resistance or breakout opportunities. Watch for pullbacks towards the 50-day SMA and lower trendline for potential support levels. RSI and MACD trends will be key in confirming momentum strength or weakness. The DXY remains firmly within its bullish structure, with the ascending channel and moving averages providing a clear technical framework for traders to follow. -MW
TVC:DXY
by FOREXcom
1
DXY: Ascending Triangle topping soon. Excellent sell opportunityThe U.S. Dollar Index is on a steady bullish 1D technical outlook (RSI = 60.447, MACD = 0.640, ADX = 33.835) as with the exception of November's last week, it has been rising nonstop since September 30th 2024. The price is near the HH Zone of the Ascending Triangle, the 1W RSI has double topped and we are, or getting close to, the new long term top. Technically the 1W RSI is already similar to the October 9th 2023 top. The risk now is lower in going short. Aim for the 1W MA200 (TP = 103.000), which was the level that offered the late September support. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
TVC:DXYShort
by InvestingScope
1
GOLD → Price buyback, local bull characterFX:XAUUSD is in a narrow channel, in consolidation, which complicates intraday movement, but nevertheless traders have a chance for possible growth. There is a lot of important news ahead that may give traders a chance. Despite the strong intraday movement in gold, we can say that the price is standing still in the range of 2600 - 2660. Quite a difficult place for the price due to the huge density of volumes, levels, tails... Traders are refraining from new directional bets ahead of the release of crucial data on ISM Services PMI and JOLTS job openings in the US. After a strong fall the price was bought back and returned to resistance 2648 - 2650, most likely further struggle will be for this area. The falling dollar broke the support line, thus giving an advantage to gold. Gold and the dollar are already starting to feel Trump's power and are reacting to his statements as quickly as they did during the last period of his presidency.... Resistance levels: 2649, 2664, 2674 Support levels: 2632, 2610 Until the price leaves the channel 2600 - 2665, most of the movements will not be very clean (nature of price movement inside consolidation). At the moment the emphasis is on 2649. If the bulls will keep the defense above this zone, then in the short term the price may show growth to the local maximum Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
14
CRUDE OIL TO HIT $160?! (UPDATE):It's been a few months since I've done an update on my Crude Oil analysis, as Oil prices have been stagnant & consolidating. But in the past week & a half we've seen a huge push to the upside, with Oil now sitting at a 3 month high! Currently up 700 PIPS (10.40%) in profit from our support zone. Long term I still remain bullish from a technical standpoint. Also, we already know from a fundamental standpoint, the puppet Donald Trump will be used to worsen geopolitical situations globally, weather that's in the Middle East or with China & Russia.
TVC:USOILLong
by BA_Investments
DXY Is Going Down! Sell! Take a look at our analysis for DXY. Time Frame: 12h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 108.155. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 107.189 level. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TVC:DXYShort
by SignalProvider
3
EURUSD, swing of the year.FOREXCOM:EURUSD / 1D Hello Traders, welcome back to another market breakdown. EURUSD is showing strong bearish momentum after the dollar index DXY broke above the 2 years range. However, the price is oversold for now. Hence, instead of jumping in at current levels, I recommend waiting for a pullback into the middle of the range zone for a more strategic entry. If the pullback holds and sell off confirms, the next leg higher could target: First Resistance: Immediate levels formed during prior consolidation. Second resistance: Yearly lows. Stay disciplined, wait for the market to come to you, and trade with confidence! Trade safely, Trader Leo.
Short
by BTM-LEO
12
Levels discussed on livestream 6th Jan 20256th January 2025 DXY: Consolidating along 108.90, could test 108.50 (61.8%) before trading higher again to 109 round number (below 108.50 could test bottom of channel) NZDUSD: Sell 0.5575 SL 30 TP 60 AUDUSD: Sell 0.6265 SL 30 TP 60 GBPUSD: Wait for reaction at 1.25 round number resistance level EURUSD: Look for rejection of 1.04, Sell 1.0315 SL 30 TP 90 USDJPY: Sell 157.65 SL 50 TP 150 EURJPY: Buy 163.55 SL 40 TP 120 GBPJPY: Sell 196.40 SL 50 TP 150 USDCHF: Look for reaction at bottom of channel 0.9060 or support level 0.9020 USDCAD: Ranging between 1.4335 and 1.4465 XAUUSD: Break 2624 to trade down to 2610 (bullish trendline)
TVC:DXY
by JinDao_Tai
2