DXY
The DXY shows a downward tendency.In the long run, the implementation of tariffs will prompt trading partners to take countermeasures 😡, resulting in a contraction of the global trade scale 😔. American enterprises will face higher import costs for raw materials, and their export markets will be restricted, thus curbing the economic growth of the United States 😩. This will put depreciation pressure on the US dollar, causing the DXY to decline 📉.
U.S. Tariff Policies
Since April 9th, the United States has levied tariffs ranging from 10% to 25% on goods from China, the European Union, Canada, and other regions. These tariffs cover crucial sectors like automobiles, steel, and semiconductors 😒.
Countermeasures of Various Countries
China: On April 4th, China declared that it would impose a 34% tariff on U.S. goods starting from April 10th. Then, on April 9th, the tariff rate was further hiked to 84%, applying to all U.S. goods 😠.
The European Union: Announced that it would impose a 25% tariff on U.S. motorcycles, diamonds, and other goods as of May 16th 😤.
Canada: On April 9th, imposed a 25% retaliatory tariff on U.S. automobiles, while exempting auto parts 😏.
💰💰💰 DXY 💰💰💰
🎯 Sell@ 100 - 101
🎯 TP 98 - 97
Traders, if you're fond of this perspective or have your own insights regarding it, feel free to share in the comments. I'm really looking forward to reading your thoughts! 🤗
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Gold Wave 5 Bull Complete?! (4H UPDATE)Today & yesterday's price action is the slowest movements we've seen in the market in the past few weeks, which in my eyes is a positive sign. It means Gold has either or is close enough to topping in the next week or two, after which we should see a bearish market sentiment kick in.
POI 1: $3,147📉
POI 2: $3,060📉
Markets are hugely volatile, so we need to monitor minor areas for any potential reversals or continuation of trends.
Dovish ECB Meets Technical Confluence – EUR/USD at Make-or-BreakEUR/USD has been respecting a clear bearish trend structure, consistently forming lower highs and lower lows across the lower timeframes. The pair is currently in a corrective phase, retracing toward the 1.13600 zone, a critical area where the descending trendline, horizontal resistance, and prior support converge. This level could serve as a strong turning point.
Fundamentally, the euro remains under pressure as markets anticipate a dovish stance from the ECB amid subdued inflation and softening economic data. Meanwhile we should be very cautious about the dollar with the very mixed war tariffs.
A rejection at this level with confirming bearish price action could open the door for a fresh leg lower in line with the prevailing trend. I’m closely monitoring candlestick behavior and momentum signals around 1.13600 for a potential short setup.
USDCHFHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on USD/CHF?
On the weekly timeframe, USD/CHF has broken below a major support zone that has acted as a key reversal area multiple times over the past two years. This support zone, has now been clearly breached. Additionally, price has also fallen below the long-term ascending trendline, signaling a potential shift in market structure.
A corrective move (pullback) back toward the broken support zone is expected, after which the pair is likely to resume its downtrend.
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USD/CAD Breakout Pattern (15.04.2025)The USD/CAD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 1.4034
2nd Resistance – 1.4131
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DXY aka usd 15 Apr 2025Price is ranging within a triangle, a break below will confirm the wave count.
Following the move down from a triangle, it suggest the move down is completed and a reversal at least for the short term will proceed next.
Waiting for the break and move lower and a rejection bounce to suggest a bottom is in.
Will long usdjpy, short eurusd gbpusd etc when the above comes true
Good luck.
Gold Market Outlook: Key Risks and Opportunities Ahead 📌 Gold Market Outlook: Key Risks and Opportunities Ahead 💰📉
🔍 Current Trend and Short-Term Risk
Gold continues to exhibit strong bullish momentum, although minor corrections remain possible in the short term. A key driver for sustaining the uptrend will be the strength of buyers at support zones like 3196 and 3204.
However, if the market fails to hold above 3135, we could see a deeper retracement. In such a case, a drop toward the 311x region could offer an attractive buying opportunity — particularly if bullish price reactions are confirmed near that level.
🧭 Key Levels to Watch
3135 Support: A break below this zone with strong momentum could signal potential bearish continuation. Any move toward 311x should be closely monitored for a bullish reversal setup.
311x Zone: If price pulls back to this range and we observe reaction or rejection, it could present a high-probability buy opportunity to rejoin the broader uptrend.
🌍 Impact of a Quiet News Week
With no major economic releases on the calendar, market direction will likely be determined by volume flows and price action near key technical zones. Areas such as 3195, 3204, and 3245 will be pivotal in shaping short-term sentiment.
Traders should remain attentive to how price behaves around these levels, especially during London and New York sessions where most volume is concentrated.
🛠️ Tactical Plan for the Week
Asian & European Sessions Focus: Look for momentum plays or reaction signals at key intraday support levels (e.g. 3196). Sharp pullbacks may offer buy setups with solid risk/reward ratios.
Sell Scenarios at Resistance: If price breaks above 3245 with weak follow-through and fails to hold, that could provide an opportunity for tactical short entries — but only with confirmation via volume or rejection patterns.
Stick to Your Plan: Despite the current volatility, it’s critical to adhere to your strategy. Avoid emotional trades, always manage risk, and respect your TP/SL levels.
💡 Conclusion
Gold remains in a strong upward trend with active buyers around key support zones. While short-term pullbacks are expected, they could offer new opportunities to scale in.
Stay patient, trade with discipline, and let the market offer confirmation before committing to a position. Even in a quiet news environment, well-prepared traders can take advantage of high-quality setups by focusing on structure and risk management.
Why Gold bullish ?? Detailed AnalysisXAUUSD is currently showing strong bullish momentum after completing a clean retest of the breakout zone near 3200. Price action confirmed this level as new support, and we are now seeing price bounce back with conviction. This structure is a classic continuation setup, and as long as price holds above the retest zone, the next leg higher toward the 3265–3300 range looks highly probable.
Technically, the 8H chart displays a strong impulse move followed by a controlled pullback into a demand zone. Price formed a higher low and immediately pushed back into bullish structure, signaling continuation. If gold stays above the 3200–3180 level, I expect buyers to maintain control, and the market could drive further upside targeting the previous swing high and beyond. The rejection wicks and volume spike at the base of the retest add to the bullish conviction.
From a fundamental standpoint, gold continues to benefit from a combination of factors including global uncertainty, persistent inflation, and dovish sentiment from major central banks. With US inflation data keeping rate cut expectations alive and the dollar softening slightly, gold remains a preferred hedge. Additionally, increased demand from central banks and institutions continues to support gold's long-term uptrend.
This setup is one of the most closely watched on TradingView right now due to its clean structure and strong confluence. With macro and technical conditions aligned, this bounce off support could lead to another wave of bullish momentum. As a professional trader, I’m staying long-biased above 3180 and will look for momentum confirmation to scale into the next bullish wave.
Last Week’s FX Recap: April 7–11 (Zone Reactions & Trade Notes)📈 Weekly Forex Recap – Market Reactions & Lessons (Apr 7–11)
Last week there were about +320 pips of reaction potential (excluding Gold, which I was completely off on). There were multiple opportunities to capture solid intraday or swing setups.
3 out of 6 weekly targets were hit.
5 out of 6 trend biases were either accurate or neutral —meaning no major misreads, aside from one or two volatile zones. The only pair that really got me was Gold.
Let’s run it back real quick:
✅ AUDJPY
Bearish bias accurate.
30 pip reaction off zone with just 1 pip drawdown.
Weekly target hit.
✅ NZDJPY
Bearish bias accurate.
Weekly target hit, though price never reached the watch zone.
No setup triggered, but direction was respected.
⚠️ EURUSD
Range-bound bias played out majority of the week.
Gave about 90–100 pip drop from the hot zone mentioned.
Weekly target came close but didn’t hit.
⚠️ GOLD
Watch zone completely failed.
Short-term bounce gave 480 pip reaction—but that volatility was tough to catch cleanly.
Directional bias wasn’t helpful here. Gold was chaos.
✅ EURGBP
Cleanest setup of the week.
Bias was bullish, price tapped the buy zone and ran 100 pips.
Weekly target hit. Textbook move.
⚠️ GBPUSD
Consolidation-heavy.
Watch zone gave 100 pip reaction, but weekly target didn’t hit.
Bias was unclear—no real conviction either way.
📉 Total Zone Reaction Potential: 320 pips
🎯 Weekly Targets Hit: 3/6
📊 Trend Accuracy: 50% (3 clear hits, 2 neutral, 1 miss)
But that’s done now.
Whether you hit it last week or fumbled the ball, let it go.
We trade forward. Eyes up. Mind clear.
Time to dive into the new week.
Let’s get it. 👊
DXY: Target Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DXY together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 99.315 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 99.687.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
USDCADHello Traders!
What are your thoughts on USD/CAD?
After its recent decline, USD/CAD has reached the bottom of the descending channel and a key support zone.
This area may act as a strong support, and we expect a bullish reaction from here.
We anticipate a bounce from this support zone, with the price potentially rising at least toward the specified target level.
Will USD/CAD hold the support and rebound, or break lower? Share your thoughts below!
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
top is in for the dxygm,
this idea has been in the works for years, ever since we topped out 3 years ago. there has been quite a bit of variations of this idea, but this one right here has been my primary idea for a very long time.
initially i imagined the dxy coming up to 111-113 before topping out, and i reckon it still can, but the worst is behind us, relatively speaking.
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if my count here is correct, the dxy will begin extending down into wave c into the last days of 2025 where a major low will be put in place .
this will create a hyper-parabolic bull phase for risk assets, in conjunction with declining rates.
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if you've been waiting for a signal to buy alts
this is your signal.
🌙
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ps. view my private idea from last year via:
🌙
DeGRAM | DXY has broken the downward structureThe DXY is under a descending channel above the trend lines.
The price has broken the upper trend line.
The chart maintains a harmonic pattern and has already broken the descending structure.
We expect a rise after consolidation above the resistance level.
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EURUSD Setup: Buy First, Sell Later – Don’t Miss the Move!EURUSD has been trending upward for a while now, just as we discussed in the last post. We're reaching higher levels, and while it does look like we could be approaching a potential sell zone, I’m staying patient.
I believe there are still some highs above us that need to be taken out first. What we’re seeing right now could be manipulation—an attempt to trap early sellers. That’s why I won’t be selling yet.
Instead, I’m watching for buy setups today and tomorrow off key levels on my chart. Once those highs are swept and we get confirmation, that’s when I’ll start looking for potential sells.
Give this a boost if you found it useful!
How far could the USD fall?.. WATCH THE DOLLAR INDEXThe dollar is declining as US uncertainty continues and cash moves out of the US. I personally think the dollar will bounce, but how far could it fall in the meantime...
Price is testing the previous monthly horizontal resistance as support and the monthly 100 SMA. The dollar may find a bottom here. From 98 to 100 on TVC:DXY
Price may reach the monthly bullish channel support. There will likely be technical buyers in this area. From 95 to 96 on TICKMILL:DXY
Good luck!
DeGRAM | DXY dropped below 100 pointsDXY is in a descending channel between trend lines.
On the downside, the price has formed a gap and dropped below 100 pips and has already reached the lower trend line.
The chart maintains a descending structure but has already formed a harmonic pattern and a descending wedge.
On the major timeframes, the index relative strength is in the oversold zone and on the 30m Timeframe it is forming a bullish convergence.
We expect a reversal after a support retest.
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U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) – Key Resistance & Bearish Target Analys📊 Key Observations:
🔵 Resistance Zone (📍~103.5 Level)
A strong resistance area (🔵 blue box) is marked, indicating potential selling pressure if the price reaches this level.
The price is moving upwards (📈) towards this resistance, so watch for rejection or breakout.
🔵 Support/Target Zone (📍~101.5 Level)
A lower support zone (🔵 blue box) is marked as the bearish target 🎯.
If the price fails at resistance, it may head downwards (📉) to this level.
📉 Recent Price Action:
🚀 Sharp drop followed by a rebound (📈).
The price is currently moving back up (🔼), possibly forming a lower high before another drop.
📌 Exponential Moving Average (DEMA 9 - 102.488)
The price is hovering above the 9-period DEMA (📏), showing short-term bullish momentum.
If the price rejects resistance and falls below the DEMA, a bearish continuation (📉) is likely.
🚀 Potential Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Breakout: If price breaks above 🔵 resistance, it may continue rising (📈) to higher levels.
❌ Bearish Rejection: If price fails at resistance, expect a drop (📉) towards 101.5 🎯.