DXY
DXY:Maintain a long position above the daily line supportOn Monday, the price of the US Dollar Index generally showed an upward trend. On that day, the price rose to a maximum of 104.422, dropped to a minimum of 103.814, and closed at 104.285. Looking back at the price performance on Monday, after the opening in the morning, the price initially came under pressure and declined in the short term.
Subsequently, when the price reached the 103.80-90 area, it stopped falling and then started to rise, and finally closed with a large bullish candlestick on the daily chart. Currently, since the retracement and rally on Monday have provided confirmation, if the price remains above the 103.80 level in the subsequent period, a swing long position can be taken.
In the short term, on the four-hour chart, attention should be temporarily paid to the support in the range of 104.00-104.10. After the price reaches this level in the future, further upward movement should be observed. In the short term, attention should be paid to the resistance in the area of 104.50-104.90 on the upside.
Trading strategy:
buy@104.00-104.10
TP:104.50-104.90
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EURUSD Short IdeaTrade entered. Entry rules met.
Confluences:
✅ Bearish overall bias
✅ Bearish demand zone
✅ Bearish impulse crab pattern
✅ Bearish divergence
✅ Bearish break of structure
✅ Entering London close zone
✅ Price is in entry zone
✅ Required risk:reward met
⭐ I shared this watch zone in my weekly forex outlook this week, you can subscribe by clicking the link in my bio.
potential liquidity grab and sell-offEUR/USD Key Setup – Smart Money in Action! 🚀
The market is setting up for a potential liquidity grab and sell-off! 📉 Here’s the breakdown:
🔹 Price is approaching a key supply zone (highlighted in yellow & purple). A strong reaction here could indicate a short opportunity.
🔹 Invalidation level is clearly marked—if price breaks above, the setup is invalid.
🔹 Anticipated move: A rejection from the zone could lead to a drop towards the 1.07200-1.07600 demand area.
🔹 Confluence factors: Structure, liquidity, and institutional order flow align with this move.
📊 Trade Idea:
✅ Entry: Wait for a confirmation in the highlighted area
✅ Stop Loss: Above the invalidation level
✅ Take Profit: Lower demand zone
💡 Will this setup play out? Let’s see how the market reacts! Comment below with your thoughts! 🔥📉
#ForexTrading #EURUSD #SmartMoney #PriceAction #Liquidity #ForexSetup
USDJPY Buy Setup – Breakout Confirmation & Seasonal TailwindTechnical: USDJPY has broken above a downtrend resistance line after finding support at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at 146.95 . This breakout suggests the corrective phase may have ended, signaling potential for further upside. Pullbacks toward 149.70 (a retest of the broken trendline) present an attractive entry opportunity. Upside targets are 152.74 and 157.10 in the short to medium term. The setup is invalidated below 147.97 , with a break below 146.33 negating further bullish expectations.
Fundamental: Commercial selling of the Japanese Yen and renewed dollar purchases indicate a shift favoring USD over JPY, supporting the bullish technical outlook.
Seasonal: Over the past 25 years , USDJPY has risen 76% of the time between March 25 – April 8 , with an average gain of 1.04% .
Trade Idea:
Entry: On pullbacks toward 149.70
Stop Loss: 147.97 (or 146.33 for extended risk management)
Targets: 152.74 and 157.10
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
+250 pips EURUSD XABCD Short From Resistance ADVANCED🔸Hello traders, let's review the 12 hour chart for EURUSD. Strong gains off the lows recently, however price getting overextended and expecting reversal later at/near PRZ/B.
🔸Speculative XABCD structure defined by point X 1140 point A 0240 point B 0935 point C 0425 point D/PRZ 1390 still pending. C also pending.
🔸Advanced short from point B targeting point C of the sequence.
Higher risk trade setup, use protective SL and adjust to PE at +50 pips.
🔸Recommended strategy for EUR traders: short sell rips / short sell
at market now, target is +250 pips or point C of the XABCD structure.
Later will update the setup for the BULLS for a potential ride to 1390.
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RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
Bears give the USD a break, EUR/USD pullback may not be overThe retracement higher for the US dollar is finally underway, which also shows further upside potential. And this is why I am wary of being long EUR/USD over the foreseeable future, even if I suspect it is poised to break to new highs in the coming weeks.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
US Dollar Weakens: Hedge Funds Shift to Short PositionsThe U.S. dollar, long considered a bastion of stability, is facing a significant shift in sentiment as hedge funds begin to adopt a bearish stance. This reversal, marking a notable change since the period following Donald Trump's election, is driven by a complex interplay of economic uncertainties and evolving market expectations.
Factors Driving the Bearish Turn:
• Shifting Federal Reserve Expectations:
o A key driver of this bearish sentiment is the evolving outlook on the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. Initially, expectations of a strong dollar were bolstered by projections of limited Fed rate cuts. However, growing concerns about the fragility of the U.S. economy have led to increased expectations of multiple rate reductions. This shift in expectations weakens the dollar's appeal.
• Economic Uncertainty and Trade Policies:
o Concerns surrounding potential trade wars and the impact of certain economic policies are also weighing on the dollar. Uncertainty about future trade relations and their potential impact on U.S. economic growth is creating apprehension among hedge fund managers.
o The impacts of possible public sector job cuts, and restrictive immigration policies, are also adding to the economic uncertainty.
• Data from the CFTC:
o Data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) reveals a clear trend. Speculative traders have moved from holding significant long-dollar positions to net short positions, indicating a substantial shift in market sentiment.
• Global Economic Factors:
o The relative strength of other global economies also plays a role. If other global economies are showing signs of stronger growth, that can also put downward pressure on the dollar.
Implications of a Weaker Dollar:
• Impact on Global Trade:
o A weaker dollar can have significant implications for global trade, potentially making U.S. exports more competitive while increasing the cost of imports.
• Inflationary Pressures:
o A depreciating dollar can also contribute to inflationary pressures within the U.S. as import prices rise.
• Investment Flows:
o Changes in the dollar's value can influence international investment flows, as investors adjust their portfolios in response to currency fluctuations.
Market Analysis:
• Analysts are closely monitoring these developments, with some revising their dollar forecasts downward. The shift in hedge fund positioning underscores the growing uncertainty surrounding the U.S. economic outlook.
• It is important to understand that the currency markets are very dynamic, and things can change rapidly.
• The effects of political events, and world wide economic changes can have very large effects on the dollar.
In essence, the shift in hedge fund sentiment reflects a growing recognition of the complex economic challenges facing the U.S. As these challenges unfold, the dollar's trajectory will remain a key focus for investors and policymakers alike.
AVAX / AVAXUSDT | 1H | Avax will be the rocketHey there;
I have prepared avax analysis for you. All I ask from you is to support this analysis with your likes.
My Avax target level is 22.62 and my stop level is 17.37.
This analysis has a win rate of 2.00
Guys I will update this analysis under this post
Now let's just follow this analysis and see if my analysis is correct or not.
Thank you very much to everyone who has been kind and supported me with their likes.
Thanks to your support, I am constantly preparing special analyzes for you.
I love all my followers very much.
GOLD H1 Update: Pullback in Progress BUY DIPS TP 3 100 USD🏆 Gold Market Update (March 24th 2025)
📊 Technical Outlook update
🔸Bullish OUTLOOK
🔸Broke out and set new ATH
🔸Strong UPTREND: Sequence of Higher Lows
🔸Recommend to BUY DIPS 2950 USD
🔸Price Target BULLS: 3075 USD - 3100 USD
📈 Market Performance & Price Action
🚀 Gold Hits All-Time High – Reached $3,057.21/oz this week
📊 Driven by: Geopolitical tensions + economic uncertainty
🏦 Federal Reserve Impact
🛑 Fed Keeps Interest Rates Steady at 4.25%–4.50%
🔮 Signals 2 rate cuts likely in 2025 due to slowing growth
📉 Lower rate outlook supports bullish gold sentiment
💹 Gold Investment Trends
📈 Gold ETFs Outperform Physical Gold
GDX (Gold Miners ETF) ↑ 32%
GLD (SPDR Gold Shares) ↑ 15.5%
📊 Investors leaning toward mining stocks & ETF exposure for higher returns
DOLLAR INDEX (DXY): Bearish Outlook Explained
Dollar Index is currently consolidating within a range on intraday time frames.
Testing its upper boundary, the market formed a double top pattern.
With a strong bearish mood after the opening, the market is going
to drop lower.
Goal - 103.8
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Correction( old gbpusd chart was invert post by mistake)
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GBP/USD Bears Taking Control? 🔥
🚨 Smart Money Shift in Play! GBP/USD just broke a key Choch (Change of Character) level, signaling a potential trend reversal. The bulls are losing momentum, and smart money could be preparing for a deeper correction.
📉 Bearish Setup in Progress:
✅ Liquidity grab above previous highs
✅ Break of structure confirming weakness
✅ Retest of supply zone (1.29500) before a potential dump
📍 Target Zone: 1.27800 – 1.28000
📊 If price respects the supply zone, we could see a strong downside move into the next demand area. Watch for confirmation signs before entering!
🔥 Will GBP/USD hit the target, or will bulls fight back? Drop your thoughts below.
USD/CAD Triangle Pattern (24.03.2025)The USD/CAD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 1.4403
2nd Resistance – 1.4435
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The New week can give us a Pullback on Gold!Waiting for the bigger move and for that bigger move to happen we need a solid pill back to fill in some gaps. Focused on the patience for this in order to maximize the reward. Allow Monday and Tues to show if they will reach for the lows and set up. Logically the best entry should come after Tuesday. But you never know. Just wait for it cause price will show when it is ready.
EURUSD - Anticipated Pullback to Key Reaction ZoneThe EUR/USD 4-hour chart shows a recent downward movement after reaching peaks around 1.0950. Price action indicates a bearish momentum developing, with the pair currently trading at approximately 1.0815. We are expecting a pullback to occur first to the reaction zone marked on the chart (approximately 1.0730-1.0750 area, highlighted in blue), which represents a significant fair value gap. Traders should wait for the price to reach this zone and then look for signs of a bullish reversal, such as candlestick patterns (like hammers or engulfing patterns), divergences on oscillator indicators, or increased buying volume. This reaction zone could provide an attractive entry opportunity for long positions if bullish confirmation signals appear, potentially initiating a new upward movement from this established support area.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
$DXY IdeiaFor the DXY, we expect the week to remain bullish, driven by the ongoing correction after a significant price drop. Our expectation is that the upward movement will extend to the weekly key level premium.
This bullish outlook is reinforced by several factors. First, we observed a bottom SMT with GU, followed by a market structure break on the daily chart. Additionally, the H4 timeframe has shown continuation purges, where lows are rejected, indicating buying strength. Finally, we identified a bearish SMT in bond yields, providing a strong indication that we are following the correct direction.
Ultimate 2025 Forex Prop Trading FAQ + Strategy Guide🧠 Forex Prop Trading: What Is It?
Prop trading (proprietary trading) is when a trader uses a firm’s capital to trade the markets (instead of their own), and keeps a share of the profits – usually 70–90%.
✅ Low startup cost
✅ No personal risk (firm takes the loss)
✅ Big upside potential with scaling plans
📋 Step-by-Step Action Plan to Get Started (2025)
🔍 1. Understand the Prop Firm Model
🏦 Prop firms fund skilled traders with $10K to $500K+
🎯 You pass a challenge or evaluation phase to prove your skills
💵 Once funded, you earn a profit split (70%–90%)
🧪 2. Choose a Top Prop Firm (2025)
Look for reliable and regulated firms with transparent rules:
FTMO 🌍 – Trusted globally, up to $400K scaling
MyFundedFX 📊 – Up to 90% profit split, no time limit
E8 Funding ⚡ – Fast scaling and instant funding
FundedNext 💼 – 15% profit share during challenge phase
The Funded Trader 🏰 – Up to $600K with leaderboard bonuses
🔎 Compare features: fees, drawdown limits, trading style freedom
💻 3. Train & Master Your Strategy
🧠 Pick a clear, rule-based strategy (e.g. trend following, breakout, supply/demand)
📅 Backtest over 6–12 months of data
💡 Use AI tools & trade journals like Edgewonk or MyFXBook
🎯 Focus on:
Win rate (above 50–60%)
Risk-reward ratio (1:2 or better)
Consistency, not wild profits
🧪 4. Pass the Evaluation Phase
🔐 Follow risk rules strictly (daily & max drawdown)
⚖️ Use proper risk management (0.5–1% risk per trade)
🧘♂️ Trade calmly, avoid overtrading or revenge trades
📈 Most challenges:
Hit 8–10% profit target
Stay under 5–10% total drawdown
Trade for at least 5–10 days
🧠 Tip: Pass in a demo environment first before going live!
💵 5. Get Funded & Start Earning
🟢 Once approved, you trade real firm capital
💰 You keep up to 90% of profits, with withdrawals every 2 weeks to 1 month
🚀 Many firms offer scaling plans to grow your account over time
💬 FAQ – Prop Trading in 2025
❓ How much can you make?
🔹 Small accounts ($50K): $2K–$8K/month with 4–8% returns
🔹 Large accounts ($200K+): $10K+/month possible for consistent traders
💡 Many traders start part-time and scale as they build trust with the firm
❓ How much do I need to start?
💳 Challenge fees range from:
$100 for $10K
$250–$350 for $50K
$500–$700 for $100K+
⚠️ No need to deposit trade capital – just the challenge fee
❓ What are the risks?
You can lose the challenge fee if you break rules or over-leverage
You won’t owe money to the firm
The biggest risk is psychological – many fail from overtrading or emotional decisions
🚀 Final Tips to Succeed
✅ Trade like a robot, think like a CEO
✅ Journal every trade – self-awareness is key
✅ Avoid over-leveraging and gambling mindset
✅ Stick to one strategy and master it
✅ Focus on consistency over quick wins
Potenial inverse head and shoulders pattern for Bitcoin This is the scenario I’m believing in for the near term for BINANCE:BTCUSD .
One more leg down to confirm the neckline around 78,300 USD.
Quick reversal price action to retest the 92,300 USD (ish) level.
If the breakout takes place to the upside, then I think we will retest the previous highs, with a higher probability of going much higher. Although I believe the tariffs will have a big impact on the USD (DXY index), which I believe will have a strong effect on BTC for the near term, around the coming 6 months. So, I believe the new high will most likely come in Q4 this year, making this cycle different from the historic crypto cycles. Although, there is still a chance that other countries will start to adopt more crypto-friendly policies for crypto or Bitcoin, making this thesis more uncertain. If the policies come out as positive, then I think there are good chances of reaching new highs earlier than Q4, 2025.
DXY Update – Two Possible Scenarios! 📢 DXY Update – Two Possible Scenarios! 📢
1️⃣ Bearish Scenario: Looking for sell from the Bearish OB 🎯
2️⃣ Bullish Scenario: If price doesn’t reach the Bearish OB, we shift focus to the Bullish OB for a potential buy ✅
📌 Waiting for price to approach key zones & using confirmations for entry!
📊 Stay updated with our latest analysis – Follow our TradingView page! 🚀
Weekly FOREX Forecast Mar 24-28: Buy CAD, CHF, JPY vs USD!This is an outlook for the week of March 24 - 28th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets:
USD Index
EUR
GBP
AUD
NZD
The USD Index is entering a Daily +FVG, which is nested in a Weekly +FVG. This is a bearish indication for the USD, which is a potential bullish situation for EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD and NZDUSD. This will be potentially bearish for the USDCAD, USDCHF, and USDJPY. Wait for the market structure shift going in the direction of your TP, and enter on the pullback.
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I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
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