DeGRAM | DXY pullback in the channelThe DXY is in an ascending channel between trend lines.
The price is moving from the upper boundary of the channel and dynamic resistance.
The chart has fallen below the support level.
We expect the pullback to continue
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Dxyanalysis
DeGRAM | DXY seeks to close the gapDXY is in a descending channel between trend lines.
After the gap formation, the price has reached the lower boundary of the channel, the support level and the lower trend line, which previously acted as a rebound point.
The chart approached the 38.2% retracement level and is now holding above the resistance level.
We expect the rebound to continue if successfully consolidated above the resistance level.
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DXY- Start of correction?In my previous analysis of the DXY, I mentioned that the index might begin a correction after more than three months of upward movement and a 10% increase.
Yesterday, the market opened with a downside gap and broke below the rising trendline that had been supporting the price since the 100 mark. This suggests that 110 could now serve as a local top. As long as the price remains below this level, shorting the USD currency could present a viable trading opportunity.
I am currently looking for buying opportunities in currency pairs such as EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, and NZD/USD.
DXY Dive Incoming? Watch the Liquidity Zones!From the higher timeframe perspective, DXY is currently hovering within a key monthly Fair Value Gap (FVG), marked in red. This zone serves as a critical point of interest and could dictate the next directional bias for the dollar.
Key Observations:
Current FVG Zone:
-Price is consolidating within the monthly FVG. A close below this zone would provide stronger confirmation of a bearish move targeting lower liquidity levels.
Bearish Bias:
-The recent price action indicates weakness as sellside liquidity (SSL) is beginning to show signs of attraction.
-The presence of significant sellside liquidity targets below, including:
-105.411 (Weekly SSL - Sweep)
-103.370 (Weekly SSL - Next Zone)
-100.215 (Major Daily SSL Zone)
Messy Market Conditions:
-Due to fluctuating macroeconomic factors, including USD news events, we may observe temporary rallies or retracements. However, these are likely to form lower highs before continuing the descent.
Confirmation Levels:
-Bearish Confirmation: A daily or weekly close below the monthly FVG would solidify the bearish case, signaling that sellside liquidity at 105.411 and lower levels are likely next.
-Bullish Risk: If the current FVG holds as support and price pushes higher, we could see an attempt to retest higher zones (e.g., 109.535) before resuming downside momentum.
Conclusion:
The expectation is for DXY to drop towards sellside liquidity levels at 105.411, 103.370, and potentially as low as 100.215. However, traders should await a clean confirmation (such as a close below the monthly FVG) to validate the move.
DYOR (Do Your Own Research) and trade safely amidst potential market volatility!
Let me know if you'd like any refinements!
DXY (INDEX) analysis This chart shows the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) on the 1-hour timeframe. Key observations:
1. **Support Zone**: The shaded grey area around 108.800–109.000 is acting as a strong support zone, with multiple rejections visible.
2. **Rounded Retest**: There seems to be a rounded retest pattern forming, suggesting bullish momentum might build if the price sustains above this level.
3. **Structure**: Break of structure (BOS) and change of character (ChoCh) markers indicate recent shifts in momentum. The latest BOS suggests the potential for bullish continuation.
4. **Key Resistance**: Immediate resistance is visible near 109.400–109.600. A breakout above this could lead to further upside.
5. **Strategy**: Watching for bullish confirmation above the support zone or at breakout levels could be prudent. Alternatively, failure to hold this zone may lead to bearish pressure.
DeGRAM | DXY growth in the channelThe DXY is in an ascending channel above the trend lines.
The price is moving from the lower boundary of the channel and the support level.
The chart has broken the descending structure.
We expect the index to continue rising after consolidating above the resistance level, which coincides with the 50% retracement level.
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DXY could start correcting soonThe last quarter of 2024 was exceptionally bullish for the DXY, with the price climbing from 100 to a peak around 109—a substantial 9% increase in a relatively short period.
The bullish momentum has continued into the start of 2025.
However, since late December, the price action has become more overlapping, which could indicate the potential for a reversal.
At present, the price remains above the bullish trendline, so there are no clear reversal signals yet.
That said, it’s important to monitor for a downside break. If such a scenario occurs, the index could drop toward the 106 support level.
DeGRAM | DXY decline in the channelThe DXY is in an ascending channel between the trend lines.
The price is moving from the upper boundary of the channel and has already dropped below the trend line.
We expect the index to continue its decline in the channel.
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DeGRAM | DXY held the supportThe DXY is in an ascending channel between the trend lines.
The chart maintains an upward structure and has already reached the 62% retracement level.
We expect growth.
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Bearish drop?US Dollar Index (DXY) has reacted off the pivot and could potentially drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 109.38
1st Support: 108.53
1st Resistance: 110.17
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DeGRAM | DXY prepare for correctionThe DXY is in an ascending channel between trend lines.
The price is moving from the dynamic resistance and the upper boundary of the channel.
The chart maintains an upward structure, but the growth rate has slowed down and indicators indicate a hidden bearish divergence.
We expect a correction.
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DeGRAM | DXY bearish takeover from the resistance levelDXY is in an ascending channel between trend lines.
The price is moving from the dynamic resistance, which previously acted as a pullback point.
The chart has formed a harmonic pattern, and upon reaching the resistance it formed a bearish takeover twice.
On the 1H Timeframe, the indicators indicate a hidden bearish divergence.
We expect a pullback.
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DeGRAM | DXY the index will continue to strengthenThe DXY is in an ascending channel between trend lines.
The chart has already consolidated above the dynamic support, which previously acted as a rebound point.
The price is holding above the 62% retracement level.
We expect the growth to continue.
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"US Dollar Index (DXY): Bearish Rejection at Key Resistance ZoneThis chart for the US Dollar Index (DXY) on the 2-hour timeframe highlights a clear resistance zone around **109.034–109.278**, where price has rejected multiple times (marked by the orange circles). This indicates strong selling pressure at this level.
### Key Observations:
1. **Double/Triple Top Formation**: The repeated rejection around 109.034 suggests that sellers are defending this area.
2. **Bearish Bias**: The projection arrow indicates a potential bearish move from this resistance zone toward lower support levels around **108.380** and possibly further.
3. **Stop Loss Zone**: The red zone above 109.278 likely represents an invalidation level for any short positions. If price breaks and holds above this zone, it could signal further bullish momentum.
4. **Support Areas**: The highlighted zones below (around **108.380** and **108.000**) serve as potential profit-taking or reversal zones for shorts.
### Potential Trade Idea:
- **Sell Zone**: Around 109.034–109.278.
- **Target 1**: 108.380.
- **Target 2**: 108.000 (if momentum continues).
- **Stop Loss**: Above 109.278.
This aligns with a bearish rejection play at resistance. However, if DXY breaks above 109.278 with strong momentum, you might consider switching bias to bullish. Always watch for confirmation before entering!
here is an analysis for the DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) on the 30-m
Based on the chart provided, here is an analysis for the DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) on the 30-minute timeframe:
### Observations:
1. **Resistance Zone (Blue Area)**:
- The price is approaching a marked resistance zone around 109.000.
- The annotation "wait for bearish confirmation" suggests this level is significant, and traders are looking for signs of reversal (e.g., bearish candlestick patterns or failure to break above).
2. **Key Levels**:
- **109.000**: Strong resistance zone where selling pressure is anticipated.
- **108.600-108.400**: A support zone below, indicated by green shaded areas.
- **107.800**: A major lower support zone, indicating where buyers might step in strongly if the price drops significantly.
3. **Market Structure**:
- **Higher High (HH)**: The price has created a higher high, indicating bullish momentum in the short term.
- **Change of Character (ChoCh)**: Highlighted earlier in the chart, signaling a shift from bearish to bullish structure during the recent recovery.
4. **Potential Scenarios**:
- If the price forms bearish confirmation at the resistance zone (e.g., double top, bearish engulfing), a sell-off might be expected toward the first support level around 108.600.
- If bullish momentum continues and the price breaks and retests above 109.000, it could target higher levels.
### Strategy:
- **For Selling**:
- Wait for bearish confirmation around 109.000.
- Potential targets could be the support zones at 108.600 and 108.400.
- **For Buying**:
- Monitor if the price respects the support zones (108.600-108.400) and shows bullish signs for potential entries.
- If price breaks below these support zones, consider 107.800 as the next key level.
DeGRAM | DXY movement is in a rangeDXY is in a range, in an ascending channel between the trend lines.
The price is moving from the lower boundary of the channel and is now testing the support level.
The chart maintains an ascending structure and is now holding in the accumulation zone after the correction. At the moment the indicators have formed a bullish convergence on the 1H timeframe.
We expect the price to rise if the index consolidates above the current range.
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