Dxyanalysis
US Dollar Index Technical Forecast: USD Weekly Trade LevelsTechnical Outlook: In remaining month`s US Dollar Technical Forecast we mentioned that DXY was, “buying and selling into confluent guide this week on the 52-week transferring average / 38.2% retracement of the December rally at 103.96-104.26 – searching out a response / feasible rate inflection right here over the following few days.” The index grew to become better two-days later with USD surging greater than 2% off the June lows. The rally faltered at key resistance into the near of the month on the 2023 / 2024 high-week closes (HWC) at 106.10/11- the point of interest is on feasible inflection off this threshold with the long-bias susceptible whilst below.
Initial weekly guide rests with the June low-week reversal near at 104.ninety five sponsored through key guide once more on the 52-week transferring average / 38.2% retracement, now 104.21/26- losses need to be constrained to this threshold for the January uptrend to stay viable. Broader, bullish invalidation regular at 102.87/99- a area outline through the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the December rally, the 2016 high-near, and the 2023 January low-week near (LWC).
A topside breach / weekly near above 106.10 might be had to mark uptrend resumption with next goals eyed on the 50% retracement of the 2022 decline / 2023 highs at 107.18/34 and key resistance on the 100% extension of the 2023 advance / 61.8% retracement at 108.38/97- search for a bigger response there IF reached.
DXY declined when Biden withdrew from the White HouseDXY: The USD index in today's session has reacted to a decrease and correction right after the information last weekend. Showing a bearish outlook in the context of Biden's withdrawal from the white house. The scenario in today's trading session is that DXY is expected to continue to weaken. Ace, please consider selling with USD
US President Joe Biden introduced the stop of his re-election marketing campaign on July 21 (US time) and nominated Vice President Kamala Harris to update him because the Democratic presidential candidate.
In the assertion on
This week, he's scheduled to present a public speech.
Being your president is the greatest honor of my life. Although I intend to run for re-election, I believe that for the best interests of my party and the country, I should stop and only focus on completing my presidential duties," Mr. Biden wrote.
A few minutes after the above message, he wrote another message supporting Ms. Harris. "I chose Ms. Kamala Harris as my vice presidential candidate in the 2020 race. And it was the best decision I made," he continued.
DeGRAM | DXY reversal after AB=CDDXY continues to move in a descending channel between trend lines.
The price has reached the lower boundary of the channel, and also broke through the resistance level, which now acts as support, and also already acted as a growth point.
The chart has formed a pattern AB=CD.
We expect the growth to continue after the retest of the nearest support.
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DeGRAM | DXY retest of the channel boundaryDXY is moving in a descending channel between trend lines.
The chart has already reached the lower boundary of the channel.
The price is at the 78.6% retracement level.
We expect a rebound after a retest of the lower channel boundary.
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DXY Heading Lower Toward Bitcoin Rally Zone The DXY is in a downtrending channel and despite today's small bounce based on MFG data, it's still looking like it will lose this key level in the coming days.
This brief cool-off period before the 23rd when the ETH ETF is schedule to start trading would make sense and with BTC retracing from the strong sell order blocks at $66k which I've been talking about for over a week.
The big question will be -- If BTC can break above the 5th attempt at the upper trendline resistance and close back above $72k and then a new new ATH over $74k.
THEN I'll be convinced we do head hither.
Until then, I recommend cautious optimism, taking profits along the way and being ready to get out of this market. The cycle low should be later in August, but we'll see.
US stocks and bond yields increased sharplyLong-time period U.S. bond yields rose on expectancies that Trump`s rules could boom authorities debt and inflation, at the same time as cryptocurrency shares additionally rose together with Bitcoin. Trump has delivered himself as a cryptocurrency advocate.
Investors say a Trump victory may want to imply greater tax cuts and a greater comfortable regulatory environment. The S&P 500's strength region rose 1.6%.
Impact from assassination and hobby rates
On making a bet web website online PredictIt, the agreement for a Trump victory become buying and selling at sixty eight cents, up from 60 cents on Friday, with a capacity agreement of $1. Contracts for a Biden victory had been at 26 cents.
The assassination in Pennsylvania on Saturday of Trump regarded to enhance his election chances. The 20-year-antique attacker's reasons continue to be a mystery, with the suspect killed and the FBI not able to decide the intentions in the back of the attack.
“The marketing and marketing round this occasion is offering a boost,” stated Josh Wein, portfolio supervisor at Hennessy Funds. “But in latest days the inventory marketplace has increased. So that is a continuation of a sturdy rally from the second one 1/2 of of remaining week while we found out that there has been purpose to rejoice the concept that there might be one and now probably price cuts in stop of the year."
DeGRAM | DXY has reached strong supportDXY is moving in a descending channel under the trend line.
The chart is above the support level, which has already become a rebound point three times.
We expect a rebound after a retest of the support level.
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DXY on the Brink! Key Levels and Patterns You Can't Miss Trading Idea Breakdown for USD Index (DXY)
Chart Overview:
Time Frame: 4-hour and 1-hour charts
Instrument: U.S. Dollar Index (DXY)
Key Levels and Zones:
Daily High:
Level: 112.304
Significance: Significant resistance level from previous price action peaks.
Weekly LQZ (Liquidity Zone):
Level: 108.007
Significance: Key zone where price has shown notable liquidity and potential for major reversals or continuations.
Daily LQZ:
Level: 106.524
Significance: Important daily liquidity zone that influences short to medium-term price action.
4-hour LQZ:
Level: 103.894
Significance: Critical level for intraday trading, often indicating significant support or resistance.
Daily LQZ (Lower Zone):
Level: 101.908
Significance: Lower daily liquidity zone that could act as a strong support if the price dips.
Missed LQZ:
Level: 100.552
Significance: A previous liquidity zone that was not retested, potentially a strong support area.
Missed LQZ (Lower Zone):
Level: 99.561
Significance: Another potential support level if the price continues to decline.
Technical Patterns:
Descending Triangle:
Visible on the 4-hour chart, the descending triangle pattern indicates a potential bearish continuation if the price breaks below the lower trendline.
Ascending Triangle:
Observed in the price action within the upward sloping trendlines, suggesting potential bullish movement if the price breaks above the upper boundary.
Flag Pattern:
Noted in both the charts, flag patterns typically indicate a consolidation phase before a continuation of the prevailing trend.
Price Action Insights:
Current Price: 104.084 (at the time of the screenshot)
The price is hovering near the 4-hour LQZ, indicating a critical decision point for either a bounce or a further decline.
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario: If the price holds the 4-hour LQZ and breaks above the recent consolidation, we could see a move towards the daily LQZ at 106.524 and potentially higher towards the weekly LQZ at 108.007.
Bearish Scenario: If the price fails to hold the 4-hour LQZ and breaks below, we might see a decline towards the daily LQZ at 101.908 and possibly further towards the missed LQZ at 100.552.
Market Sentiment:
The charts suggest a balanced sentiment with key liquidity zones serving as potential pivot points for future price action. Traders should watch these levels closely for signs of strength or weakness to determine the next significant move.
DXY Analysis. Bullish dollarHello everyone i want share my idea about Dollar index.
From the beginning of the year dollar changed trend from bearish to bullish which is absolutely logical and still we are uptrend, in this year everyone waiting for cut rates which will positive for dollar and this 6 month upside movement is signal, the trend will be bullish next six month.
At the moment we see some correction of dollar index which is the best tool to understand what will happen to dollar pairs ( not to USDJPY pair, JPY is in trouble, the price moves different) i used support and resistance zones at higher timeframe to understand where the correction will end, then i used fibonacci tool and scenes what will happen when price will come at the point.
I am bullish at dollar for that i am waiting my first and second scene which is bullish movement but if i will be wrong i have prepared third scene which will cover my loses.
IF I AM WRONG I WILL ACCEPT IT AND FOLLOW TO PRICE ACTION!
ALWAYS MAK YOUR OWN RESERACH!
I WILL UPDATE THIS IDEA EVERY WEEK.
DXY rebounded after news about USDPlease follow my analysis DXY: Yesterday's USD index re-tested the bottom area then rebounded. On the H4 frame, a set of reversal candles appeared, but this morning's session has a decreasing GAP, so in the short term, it is expected that DXY will test this support zone again and then may increase again. Ace can consider buying with USD today
Mastering HTF Analysis: DXY & EURUSD Weekly to Monthly Forecast!Greetings, traders, and welcome back to today's video!
In this session, we'll be conducting a higher timeframe outlook on the DXY and EURUSD. Our goal is to understand what we can anticipate in this week's and this month's trading sessions.
This video will also provide insight into how I approach my trading, focusing on different logs for various aspects of my analysis:
Higher Timeframe Analysis : Monthly, weekly, and daily analysis conducted at the beginning of each week. (Primary Focus In Todays Video)
Interest Rate Logs: Tracking changes and impacts of interest rates.
Intraday Trading Layouts: Used daily to keep my charts organized and clutter-free.
Analyzing these layouts separately at different times helps me stay organized and maintain a clear perspective.
Let's discuss the market structure. Markets are driven by smart money, also known as the banks. They are the liquidity providers, while we are the spectators. Central banks own the currencies and set their trading values. Understanding that markets are liquidity-based—it's us against the banks—we see that banks move prices toward liquidity to pair and book against it.
So, where does the most liquidity reside? The higher timeframes. The higher the timeframe, the larger the sponsorship. That's why we'll be analyzing the higher timeframes today to gain a strategic edge.
Let's dive into the charts and uncover these crucial insights together.
Premium & Discount Price Delivery in Institutional Trading:
If you have any questions, please leave them in the comments section below.
Happy Trading,
The_Architect
DXY - testing the bottom, rebounding on news daysDXY: Yesterday's USD index re-tested the bottom area then rebounded. On the H4 frame, a set of reversal candles appeared, but this morning's session has a decreasing GAP, so in the short term, it is expected that DXY will test this support zone again and then may increase again. Ace can consider buying with USD today
What will be the dollar's next move?Week with little news, so what can we expect from the dollar?
The structure it is creating is bullish in all respects, it is continuing to test important resistance, will it be able to break it? if so it will visit the highs of recent months, otherwise if it continues to be rejected we will certainly be able to see the dollar visit lower areas.
I will monitor his movements before making a decision.
DeGRAM | DXY rebound from the retracement levelDXY has dropped to the next support level.
The price reacted to reach the support, which coincides with the 62% retracement level of the bullish momentum.
We expect a rebound after a retest of the current level.
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Selling pressure on USD is increasing and in the current contextDXY: USD index today is maintaining below 105.20.
After consecutive drops beyond the support level, the USD is in a continuing downtrend
Investors should pay attention to protect profits with BUY positionsShows that selling pressure on USD is increasing and in the current context, information about the US is getting worse, causing the USD to weaken. Regarding technical factors. Because it has broken out of the uptrend zone, it is expected that the market will have a slight retest of the trend and then continue to decline. You can consider maintaining a sell watch with USD today.
Is the correction coming?If we analyze the current dynamics of TVC:DXY , there is a probability that in the third quarter of 2024 the index will come out of accumulation and reach the levels of 109.535 and 113.148.
Note that the growth of TVC:DXY is usually accompanied by a correction in the financial markets.
DeGRAM | DXY rebound from the demand zoneDXY is moving in the demand zone above dynamic support.
The price is testing the support level, which has already acted as a rebound point.
We expect a reversal after a retest of the upper boundary of the current zone.
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