Taking a Look At The Dollar Index To Kick Off 2024 DXY / USDTaking a Look At The Dollar Index To Kick Off 2024 DXY / USD As everything hinges off the us dollar I think it is important to take a close look at the dollar index as we trade into the London Open today. In the video I give you my top down approach looking at the DXY
Dxyanalysis
DXY (Dollar) Shorts from 101.300 or 102.000My outlook for the dollar remains bearish, but it's currently in a bullish retracement phase triggered by the reaction at my identified 17hr demand (POI) from last week. I anticipate price to continue its upward movement to eventually reach a premium level. In this scenario, I'll be looking for selling opportunities around the 4hr supply zone or the 14hr supply at the top.
While the 4hr supply is still a possibility, it's not the optimal choice for sells due to its location within a trend line that I anticipate being taken out. Instead, I foresee a reaction at the 14hr supply, located within the 0.786 Fibonacci range and having caused a break of structure. Therefore, I'll be patiently waiting for some form of distribution to unfold once the bullish pressure is exhausted.
Confluences for DXY dollar sells are as follows:
- Dollar is temporarily bearish due to the break of structures on the higher timeframe.
- Currently price has reacted off a demand so I can expect bullish pressure to get exhausted.
- Price is slowing down foreshadowing a potential wyckoff distribution to play out.
- Lots of liquidity still left below in the form of equal lows and trend line liquidity.
P.S. Although I am currently bearish on the market, my overall sentiment is bullish. The recent reaction off the 17hr demand might spark an upward rally. Additionally, there's a 9hr demand zone where I anticipate another bullish reaction.
HAPPY NEW YEARS TO ALL OF YOU AND HOPE THIS YEAR BRING EVERYONE PROFITABILITY AND CONSISTENCY. LETS CATCH THESE PIPS!
DXY Long term Analysis. "King Dollar" is dead!Hello Everyone i want share my idea about DXY price analysis.
After big push up of dollar we saw some bearish momentum of dollar which is pretty clear, which i think made from us economy fall. couple of a week ago i published my idea about US20 Bond where i was bearish, because of 1 month chart RSI divergence and economical numbers.
Today at dollar we have clear bearish movement which testing support zones but the strongest support we have at 101.250 LVL 1W support. if dollar will continue fall then i will wait reaction from that 1W support, if we will get some trend change moments then i will publish my idea where i will be bullish.
Now i am bearish, my interesting price LVL will be 104.500 where we will see possible rejection from resistance.
BE PATEINT!!! ALWAYS MAKE YOUR OWN RESEARCH!!!
DXY H1 / BULLISH DOMINATION ON US DOLLAR💲Hello Traders!
This is my perspective on DXY H1. I see US DOLLAR very strong in the next few days. That's why I'm looking for a short entry for GBPUSD. The H1 chart shows a change of structure, and I expect an increase until the OB from the price of 102.350. Also, below this price, we have an FVG (fair value gap) or liquidity.
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USD Holds Near 5-Month Low on US Inflation ConcernsIn a fragile holiday trading session on Tuesday, the US Dollar Index remained at 101.6, hovering close to its lowest point in five months. This comes as additional signs of declining US inflation reinforce bets on the Federal Reserve initiating interest rate cuts next year.
Published data on Friday revealed that the core PCE index, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, dropped to 3.2% in November from October's 3.4%, below the anticipated 3.3%.
Moreover, Thursday's figures showed weaker-than-expected economic growth in the US for Q3, along with a slight increase in unemployment benefit claims in the recent period.
The US dollar trades near multi-month lows against major currencies, facing the risk of further depreciation compared to the yen. This concern amplifies as BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda stated on Monday that the likelihood of achieving the 2% inflation target is "gradually increasing."
📈💪 DXY at Support: Bullish Path to 106 & 112 Targets 🎯🚀It seems like traders and investors are showing a preference for holding cash, as precious metal prices, cryptocurrencies, and the US30 are all experiencing major resistance. This could suggest a lack of confidence in the current market conditions. However, on a positive note, the DXY and UUP have managed to find support on the 3-weekly chart, indicating that some investors are still bullish on the US dollar.
UUP 3 weekly finds support:
Target 1: 106
Target 2: 112
DXY Price Analysis -25 Dec, 2023Weekly:
As DXY touched the W-FVG Level( 101.531-101.188) & closed above, there well be 2 scenarios in this situations.
1. If there is any daily closing bellow the W-FVG-C.E, then we can anticipate, the price will going to touch the SSL level- 99.578.
2. If the daily price didn’t able to close bellow the W-FVG-CE, then the price will be going to hunt for the weekly FVG level – (103.064 to 102.634).
Weekly Bias: Neutral.
Daily:
As the price has been already taken the weekly FVG, so daily we could anticipate we are going to touch the 102.643 levels. If we can have daily closing above the D-FVG levels (102.156-101.895) then the price action will be more clear for Bullish.
Daily Bias: Bulish.
DXY (Dollar Index) Shorts from 101.800 down to 100.800The outlook for the Dollar this week is a continuation of its bearish trajectory. With a recent downside break in structure, I anticipate a correction, expecting the price to retrace into the 14-hour supply zone.
Upon entering my Point of Interest (POI), I'll wait for price distribution and a change in character as a signal that the dollar is prepared for a decline. Additionally, I acknowledge the presence of imbalances above the supply, suggesting the potential for a break beyond this supply into a more premium area.
Confluences for Dollar Sells are as follows:
- This bias aligns with the current bearish trend that has been perpetuated.
- Lots of major trend lines, equal lows and asian lows below on the higher time frame.
- There's a14hr supply zone that has broken structure to the downside causing BOS.
- For price to maintain its bearish trend it must react off a supply to trigger another sell off.
P.S. While the dollar maintains an overall bullish stance on the higher time frame, it's only a matter of time before price sweeps liquidity and reacts strongly to a major supply. However, given the current bearish movement, It's advisable to follow the existing trend instead of opposing it for the time being.
If you guys have any interesting perspectives on this market, feel free to share down below!
🗺️DXY Index Roadmap🗺️🏃♂️The DXY index has been moving in the Descending Channel for over two months .
🌊According to Elliott's wave theory , the DXY Index is near the end of the main wave 5 .
🌊If we want to look at the microwaves of the main wave 5 in the 1-hour time frame , we will find that the DXY index is on the way to completing the microwave 5 of the main wave 5 .
💡Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD+) between two Consecutive Valleys .
🔔I expect the DXY Index to start rising after touching the 🟢 Support zone($101.30-$100.80) 🟢, Support lines , and 🟡 Price Reversal Zone(PRZ) 🟡 and complete the main wave 5. The increase of the DXY index can fill the upper 🔵 GAP 🔵 and attack the upper line of the descending channel.
U.S.Dollar Currency Index ( DXYUSD ) Analyze, 1-hour time frame⏰.
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DXY Support or Not? Dollar ending this week falling onto a respected diagonal/staic support level. Also. we can look back to early this year and see consolidation on this level. With a short trading week next week I would expect to see the dollar to consolidate or even push up a bit. Ultimately looking into the beginning of next year. If the dollar continues to weaken, I dont see any real support TIll to 90=88 level
Feel free to leave thoughts or comments. Hope everyone has a safe, happy and prosperous holiday weekend
DXY (Dollar Index) Shorts from 103.300 down towards 101.500My bias for the dollar this week remains bearish, leading me to seek pro-trend trades from any proximate valid supply zones. With the recent reaction from my prior 3-hour demand, I anticipate the price to continue its ascent to address the imbalances above.
Subsequently, my expectation is for the price to undergo distribution within a supply zone identified on the 14-hour chart, providing opportunities for selling positions on the way down. While acknowledging the possibility that the price may not ascend as high and instead continues to drop, I am prepared to wait for a new demand zone to seize potential buy opportunities in such a scenario.
Confluences for DXY Shorts are as follows:
- Price broke structure to the downside on the HTF, confirming a bearish bias.
- There's lots of liquidity left below in the form of trend line liquidity and asian lows.
- There's a clean 14hr supply zone that has caused the impulsive move to the downside in which I expect price to react from next.
- Since there are imbalances beneath the supply, it's probable that once the price addresses them, a bearish reaction will ensue from the supply.
P.S. My bearish stance on the dollar persists, prompted by the recent structural break observed on the higher time frame (HTF). This strengthens my inclination toward bearish positions, making me more inclined towards considering long positions for pairs like GBPUSD and EURUSD. If you guys have another take on this market I would love for you guys to leave a comment!
📈🛢️US Oil Daily prediction 🛢️📉TVC:USOIL
TVC:DXY
Hello Traders.
Let's continue our analysis of USOIL.
Before we predict next week, let's take a look at oil chart's trend along with the DXY index.
The price continues to move in a downward trend. Due to the support area, we can expect a rise in oil price to the previous high level. (If weekly DXY doesn't consolidate above 103.285)
If the price of oil rejects at the level of $77.65, it is likely that the second scenario will occur for the price and vice versa.
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DXY Index New Week MovePair : DXY Index
Description :
Breakout and Retracement of the Corrective Pattern " Bullish Channel " in Short Time Frame. Breakout the Fibonacci Level 61.80% and it will Complete " 12345 " Impulsive Wave at Fibonacci Level - 78.60% or Daily Demand Zone
Entry Precautions :
Wait until Breaks or Rejects Previous Support
The Great Inflation AGAIN? US Inflation Rate YoY Comparison - ECONOMICS:USIRYY
Stark similarities to the beginning of the Great Inflationary Period (GIP) which ranged from 1965 - 1982.
The GIP fractal is not a prediction, it only offers us perspective and context. As an example, US Inflation YoY could potentially bounce around between 3 - 4% for another 32 months as it did between 1975 - 1978 before making any major move. This is a scenario I had not considered, an almost 3 year sideways boring consolidation.
We will continue to track this chart to see how it compares moving forward into the future.
PUKA
DXY Analysis Sell signalHello traders,
Last week, we saw a strong bearish momentum. Moving forward, I anticipate a continuation of the sell-off in DXY in the coming week, with my short-term target being the weekly fvg.
However, before taking any action,we should wait for a displacement lower to occur before considering entering the market.
DXY/USD ~ Bullish Reversal / Inverse H&S (1H)TVC:DXY chart mapping/analysis.
Bullish inverse H&S identified on lower timeframe charts, pending breakout confirmation.
Trading scenarios into EOY:
Inverse H&S breakout = extrapolated move into 23.6% Fib / ~106 horizontal line (yellow dashed) / upper range of descending parallel channel (light blue) confluence zone.
Breakout failure = re-test 50% Fib aka "Right Shoulder".
Further bearish capitulation = re-test lower range of ascending parallel channel (white) / Golden Pocket confluence zone.
Major macro economic news this week = higher probability of implied volatile swings in either direction.
Weekly DXY Breaking Down Below 103 = Bitcoin and Crypto RallyThis is a great looking chart of the DXY on a weekly time frame.
We have a huge Bearish engulfing candle forming on the DXY and breaking down below the 103 support level.
This is looking very Bullish for Bitcion and the Total Crypto Market Cap.
Also notice what happened after the last Bearish engulfing candles in October and November.
This is great to see, after 11 straight weeks of Bullish Green weekly DXY candles prior to that.
This is starting to look very interesting, and as we know as the DXY falls, Bitcion goes up.
Also see my recent analysis on how we could see new highs by January, and $100k BTC by or before the Halving.
Let me know what you think!
DXY Price Analysis-10 Nov, 2023Weekly: The PA has been rejected from the weekly breaker block-CE & M-BB C.E. W-IFVG has become the support. So we can anticipate that price could go upward at least towards the w-BB C.E.
Weekly Bias: Bulish
Daily: Daily the price has been closed above weekly FVG, so it may acting support. As there is D-SSL 104.557 which is aligned with W-SIBI-CE. As the price has been retested the w-BB and closed above so we can anticipated that the price will go for the D-BSL Level-104.557
Daily Bias: Bulish