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6.26 Gold intraday analysis guideOn Wednesday (June 25), international spot gold rose slightly during the US trading session, but was still suppressed by the 20-day moving average (US$3,355). The RSI (14) was at 48.7, in the neutral range of 40-60, suggesting that the market lacks a clear direction. US$3,355 (20-day moving average) has become the recent watershed between long and short positions. If it breaks through this level, it may test the psychological barrier of US$3,400. The support below is US$3,245 (the low point on May 29). If it fails, it may drop to the integer level of 3,200 and US$3,121 (the low point on May 15). Stability of the geopolitical situation: If the ceasefire agreement in the Middle East continues, the outflow of safe-haven funds may further suppress the gold price. Fed policy expectations: If the July non-agricultural and CPI data show that inflation is cooling down, it may rekindle expectations of interest rate cuts and boost gold. The current gold market is in a "wait-and-see mode", and both long and short sides lack decisive momentum. Traders need to pay close attention to: US economic data: especially employment and inflation indicators for the Fed's policy path. Geopolitical dynamics: Any breakdown of the ceasefire agreement could quickly push up safe-haven demand. Dollar trend: If the Fed maintains a hawkish stance, a stronger dollar may further suppress gold prices. Gold is expected to maintain range fluctuations in the short term, with the $3,355 moving average resistance and $3,245 support forming a key trading range. The direction of the breakthrough depends on new fundamental catalysts. Personal operation analysis: Trend: Oscillating trend Support: Near 3,300.00 Resistance: Near 3,335.50 Strategy: View logic: Short view near 3,335-3,340, stop loss 3,345, take profit near 3,300--3,280, and follow the stop loss 300 points.
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
4
Dollar Index Analysis: Wedge + Powell Outlook – June 25, 2025📉 Technical Outlook: Bearish Rising Wedge + Liquidity Sweep Setup TVC:DXY The Dollar Index (DXY) is currently trading within a rising wedge pattern, typically a bearish structure. We're anticipating a fake breakdown, potential sweep of the key demand zone, followed by a reversal move targeting key highs. 🔍 Key Technical Zones 📥 Demand Zone (Buy Area): 🔵 97.50 – 97.20 = Institutional accumulation + unfilled orders 🚫 Invalidation Level (Stop-Loss) : ❌ 96.70 = Clean break below confirms full bearish continuation 🎯 Target Projections (Upside Levels) : TP1: 99.00 TP2: 100.00 TP3: 101.04 (HTF swing high liquidity cleanout) 🧠 Summary Setup : Downtrend Rising wedge formation Sweep of 97.20 possible Watch for fakeout & reversal play toward 101.04 🏛️ Fundamental Analysis – Powell’s Testimony Insights Fed Chair Powell highlighted the following during his recent testimony: 🔄 “We’re not there yet on inflation” — Core services remain sticky 🛑 No immediate rate cuts — Growth is slowing but not crashing 🕰 Rate cuts likely postponed to Q4 2025 🔐 “Real rates are restrictive enough” = No more hikes expected 💡 Implication for DXY : ✅ Short-term bullish bias as higher U.S. yields remain attractive if rate cuts are delayed. 🌍 Macro Context Snapshot (as of June 25, 2025) 🇺🇸 US Disinflation: CPI & PCE easing, but not collapsing 🇪🇺 ECB Cut in June: Euro may weaken further 🇯🇵 BOJ Policy Unclear: USD/JPY likely volatile 🌐 Global Risk Appetite High: Volatility may return with geopolitical events 🔥 Watch This: Trade Tariff Narrative Heating Up 🚨 New U.S. Tariff Signals on Chinese tech and EU autos are resurfacing. This could: Push inflation risk higher Delay Fed’s easing timeline Add support to USD short term as markets price in geopolitical tension and uncertainty 📌 Trading Strategy Recap : Monitor wedge support near 97.20 Look for fakeout/sweep and bullish reversal Target 99–101 zone on rebound Stay alert to Powell/Fed rhetoric + tariff news If you find this analysis helpful, Like, Comment, and Follow for more DXY, gold, and macro trades!
TVC:DXY
by DECRYPTERS
Gold breaks down and moves downward, focus on the 3300 markWith the official ceasefire between Iran and Israel, although there are some repeated frictions in the middle, under Trump's mediation, both parties are relatively tolerant. It seems that the war has been declared over. Gold has also fallen sharply. In the early trading, it fell sharply to around 3333 and stabilized. After rebounding to around 3357, it fell again under pressure. During the European trading session, it broke the low and continued. It repeated around 3317/8 and fell again under pressure around 3332. This position has become the key pressure point for the current top and bottom conversion. In the evening, the testimony of Federal Reserve Chairman Powell was also relatively cautious. He believed that inflation had declined, but it was still far from the 2% target. He tended to adjust interest rates after inflation achieved the target. Therefore, the double pressure caused gold to rebound weakly and repeatedly run weakly. At present, the lowest level reached 3304, which is one step away from the 3300 mark. Judging from the current trend, the overall weak pattern continues. In the evening, relying on the 3300 mark, try a long order for the last time, and then do a good job of continuing defense after the break. 6/24 Gold Evening Reference Ideas Gold is long near 3303/05, defend 3298, target 3320/3330, short at 3298, defend 3305, target near 3276, short at 3330, defend 3337, watch 3316/08
TVC:GOLDLong
by AIan_Gold
2
Continue to short after the rebound on 6.24Judging from the current market trend, the upper short-term resistance is around 3343-48, the lower short-term support is around 3310-15, the short-term long-short strength watershed is 3300-05, the daily level is under pressure and continues to see suppression and adjustment, and the main tone should actually be rebound shorting. Gold operation strategy: Gold rebounds to 3343-48 and shorts, stop loss 3356, target 3317-3323, continue to hold if it breaks;
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
1
6.24 Gold safe haven fades and gold falls Technical aspect: After the gold price hit the 3400 integer mark overnight, it fell rapidly under the impetus of negative news. The overall fluctuation range is still within the 3330-3400 range we expected. This shows that the current market dominated by news lacks continuity. We make a golden section of the high and low points of the overnight decline to the current level, and the current position of 0.618 is 3370. Pressure level: 3370\3375\3400 Support level: 3330\3300
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
2
6.24 Gold resistance strengthens + kinetic energy exhaustionGold prices have fallen under pressure near $3,380 several times, and this area gathers three technical resistances: 1. The daily Bollinger band middle track 3,375 and the upper track 3,450 form a suppression. 2. The previous high of $3,400 plus the Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level constitutes a concentrated selling pressure area. 3. The previous high of $3,451 failed to break through effectively, forming a bearish structure with the second highest point moving down. Risk of breaking the shock range: Gold continues to trade sideways in the 3,300-3,450 range, but the K-line continues to close in a small real body alternating yin and yang pattern, indicating that the long and short momentum is exhausted. If it falls below 3,350 , a technical sell-off will be triggered, with the target pointing to 3,300-3,330! SELL: 3,388\3,393 Stop loss: 3,398 Target: 3,360 Profit point: 30
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
1
6.23 Gold Short-term Technical AnalysisStimulated by geopolitical conflicts such as the US airstrike on Iran's nuclear facilities on Monday, gold opened $24 higher at 3398 in the early trading. However, it failed to continue the upward trend and quickly fell back to the 3360-65 area. Retrieve all the gains! Technical analysis: 4-hour head and shoulders top pattern: right shoulder 3373 neckline 3340 MACD dead cross diverges downward Bollinger band opening expansion and price running near the lower track, short-term trend is bearish, and the daily line is still in the rising channel! Short-term operation: SELL: 3375\3385 Stop loss: 3390 $1:3360 $2:3340 BUY: 3338\3345 Stop loss: 3353 $1:3380 $2:3400 Operation suggestion: High-altitude is the main, low-multiple is the radiation
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
2
6.23 Gold Short-term Technical GuidanceThe current price is in the double-line interval of 3350-3375 on the hourly chart. Please note that the four-hour lifeline 3368 is also the resistance point determined by the last rebound in the Asian session. The Asian session fell under pressure and returned to the sweeping range. It was treated as a sweep. The European session was able to hold the 3350 mark. Look up to find the 3368 area, followed by 3375 and 3385-3388. If the European session falls below and closes below 3350, the short-selling forces are dominant. The four-hour lifeline 3368 is used as suppression. Look down to find 3333-3331, followed by 3320-3315
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
1
DXY Bullish Reversal & Cup Formation The DXY (US Dollar Index) is exhibiting a strong bullish reversal pattern, with multiple technical signals suggesting upward momentum: 🔍 Technical Analysis Summary: ✅ Support Holding Strong: Price has respected the horizontal support zone around 98.00–98.50 on multiple occasions (highlighted by orange circles and green arrows), forming a solid base. ✅ Breakout from Downtrend: A clear breakout above two descending trendlines (black and blue) indicates a shift from bearish to bullish sentiment. ✅ Cup Pattern Formation ☕: A textbook Cup pattern is visible, where price formed a rounded bottom — a bullish continuation formation. The handle is minor and price has broken above the neckline (around 99.00), signaling a potential continuation toward the target. ✅ Bullish Target 🎯: Based on the cup pattern and prior resistance, the projected target is around 101.846, aligning with previous major resistance. 📌 Key Levels to Watch: Support Zone: 98.00 – 98.50 Immediate Resistance: 99.50 – 100.00 Major Resistance/Target: 101.846 🧭 Outlook: As long as the price remains above the 98.50 zone, the bullish scenario remains intact. The cup breakout indicates strong buying pressure, and momentum could push DXY toward the 101.846 target in the coming sessions.
TVC:DXYLong
by MrStellanSight
The DXY eince 1979 and Rate Rises / Cuts & the Crucial point NOW What i want to draw your attention now, more than anything is simplay that DXY PA is on the line of Support created in the 2008 Crash Thisis Crucial as if it drops belwo, that is the $ on the international stage loosing the strongest line of support it has ever had If we look at the stage now, you will also see that the DXY was loosing traction BEFORE the FED began cutting Rates. This is due to many things on the internationa stage, Like BRICS gaining momentum. If we look closer, at the weekly chart since around 2017 We can see how the DXY has been Ranging, with a Few Peaks and Drops, the deepest being in 2021, just before the Bitcoin ATH that year. It bounced well and hit a Peak in late 2022, when Bitcoin was in its Deep Bear. DXY has ranged ever since j a tight range... Untill this year And now, we find DXY on that line of support once moew, Bitcoin maybe heading to a New ATH But this time we have the serious threat of Global Mayhem So, the thing to watch here, Like a HAWK, is if DXY can hold this line of support. Can the $ regain international support and bounce OR will it Fall through this line of support ? Or Range on it as in 2021 I am not going to pretend to know the answer but I certainly recommend we all pay attention to this- This could take a while................
TVC:DXY
by Orriginal
DXY: US dollar To Drop Further Around 95?The US dollar has been steadily declining since the new president was elected in the USA. This decline has been accompanied by the ongoing trade wars. Numerous economic indicators have supported this trend, and we anticipate further depreciation in the coming days or weeks. Before trading, it’s essential to conduct your own analysis and gain a comprehensive understanding of the market. We wish you the best of success in trading. Good luck and trade safely. Like and comment for more, and as always, happy trading! Team Setupsfx_
TVC:DXYShort
by Setupsfx_
4
Bullish bounce?USD Dollar Index (DXY) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 97.81 1st Support: 97.19 1st Resistance: 98.69 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYLong
by ICmarkets
Index/US) Bearish trend analysis Read The caption)SMC trading point update Technical analysis of U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) on the 30-minute timeframe, with the price respecting a clear downtrend and repeatedly rejecting a resistance zone near the 200 EMA. --- Analysis Breakdown Key Technical Elements: 1. Downtrend Structure: The price remains within a descending channel. Multiple lower highs and lower lows signal sustained bearish pressure. 2. Resistance Zone: Highlighted near 98.490–98.495, aligned with the EMA 200. Multiple rejections from this level (indicated by red arrows), confirming strong supply. 3. EMA 200 (98.490): Acts as dynamic resistance. Price is below it, reinforcing the bearish bias. 4. Projected Move: Bearish price path targets the 97.189 level (target point). A measured move of approximately -1.30% is illustrated. 5. RSI (14): RSI currently at 46.27, below the neutral 50 mark. This confirms bearish momentum without being oversold, leaving room for further downside. --- Bearish Thesis: Repeated failure to break above key resistance + downward channel + RSI weakness suggests a continuation to the downside. Short-term consolidation expected before breakdown continuation. --- Trade Idea Concept: Entry: Sell on a minor pullback near resistance (~98.300–98.490), or breakdown below the recent minor support. Target: 97.189 zone. Stop Loss: Above 98.500 or EMA 200 to invalidate the bearish setup. Mr SMC Trading point Risks to Watch: A break and strong close above 98.500 would invalidate the bearish structure and could initiate a trend reversal. Economic events (noted by calendar icons) may trigger volatility – ideal to monitor closely around those times. plesse support boost 🚀 this analysis)
TVC:DXYShort
by SMC-Trading-Point
18
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Bearish Setup – Supply Zone Rejection & 🔹 Trend Overview 📊 Overall Trend: Bearish (Downtrend) 📉 Price is forming lower highs and lower lows within a descending channel. 🔻 Recently bounced off a support zone, now heading toward a potential pullback. 🔵 Supply Zone (Resistance Area) 📍 Zone Range: 100.049 – 100.601 🧱 Acts as a resistance block where sellers might step in. 📏 Confluent with EMA 70 at 100.178, strengthening its validity. 🔸 Trade Setup – Short Position 🟠 ENTRY POINT: 100.088 ❌ STOP LOSS: 100.587 – 100.595 (Just above supply zone) 🎯 TARGET: 98.000 (With intermediate support levels) 📌 Support Levels 🔹 98.112 – First minor support 🔹 98.106 – Close-range confirmation 🔹 97.885 – Additional support zone 🟦 Main Target: 98.000 ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio 🟧 Small risk above supply zone 🟩 Large reward to downside = Favorable R:R 📌 Summary 📈 Expecting a pullback into supply zone. 🧨 Look for bearish confirmation around 100.088. 🎯 Target the downside at 98.000 for profit.
TVC:DXYShort
by Jameshead007
18
Bearish continuation?US Dollar Index (DXY) is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support. Pivot: 100.54 1st Support: 98.32 1st Resistance: 101.78 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYShort
by ICmarkets
DXY Under Pressure: Breakdown Incoming Below 99.00?After testing the 102 resistance zone in mid-May, the TVC:DXY resumed its downward move, dropping back into the 98.50–99.00 support zone. The brief spike above the psychological 100 was quickly rejected, and price has since rolled over — currently trading around 99.27 at the time of posting. 🔻 The downside pressure is strong, and a break below support looks imminent. If that break occurs: 🎯 Short-term target: 98 (approx. 1% drop) 📉 Medium-term potential: A deeper decline toward 95
TVC:DXYShort
by Mihai_Iacob
DXY Analysis today : Possible reversal?With strong liquidity grab at 99.00 DXY, with monthly rejection to the upside, past week we have seen with gap open the market started to drop long term support level 99.000 which smart money zone price has got bounce back to the upside with strong momentum potentially forming a double bottom with series of higher low price may continue to move up to the 100.75 to long term monthly resistance with NFP we may see further rejection down again. A bullish on support is high probability !
TVC:DXYLong
by ForexWizard01
2