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U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) – Bearish Outlook with Key Levels📉 Bearish Bias on U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) – 4H Chart 🔹 Resistance Zone & Stop Loss 🚫 📍 Resistance: 104.200 - 104.432 🛑 Stop Loss: 104.432 (Above resistance zone) 🔸 Support Zone 🛠️ 📍 Intermediate Support: 103.300 (Possible bounce) 🔻 Target Point 🎯 📍 Target Price: 102.232 (Expected downside) 📊 Price Action Outlook: ✅ Bearish Scenario: Price rejected from resistance 🔽 Lower highs forming ⚡ Breakdown expected toward 102.232 🎯 ❌ Invalidation: If price breaks above 104.432, bearish setup fails 🚫 🔥 Conclusion: ⬇️ Sell Bias below 104.200 targeting 102.232 ❌ Cut losses if price closes above 104.432
TVC:DXYShort
by Jameshead007
3.21 Gold Short-term Analysis and Operation SuggestionsGold hit a record high on Thursday (March 20) after the Federal Reserve hinted that it might cut interest rates twice this year, further enhancing the attractiveness of gold amid the current geopolitical and economic tensions. As of press time, spot gold was basically stable near $3,030, having hit a record high of $3,057.21. ——Gold Technical Analysis From the daily chart, the volume indicator is firmly aiming higher, supporting another wave of gains, while the relative strength index (RSI) is stable near 72. At the same time, the price of gold is trading above all its moving averages, with the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) providing dynamic support near 2,936. From the 4-hour chart, technical indicators have eased from extreme levels, but are far from indicating an imminent downtrend. In addition, the 20-period SMA continues to rise steadily, currently around 3,011, while well above the longer-term moving average. Overall, Zhang Jinglin recommends rebounding and shorting as the main operation of gold today! Gold short-term operation strategy: SELL: 45 Stop loss 55 TP1:35 TP2:25 TP3:10
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
1
3.20 Technical Analysis of Gold Short-term OperationsOn Wednesday, gold maintained a bullish trend! In yesterday's trading: 1: Following the trend principle, the support is stuck at 3020, but the amplitude of the retracement is not given to the retracement near 3020, the lowest is the range of 3022-3025. 2: For short orders, avoid short orders directly; because there is no price reference for short orders, no indicator reference for short orders, therefore, avoid all of them; 3: In terms of trend, at the current stage, the bullish trend is still continuing, therefore, do not catch the top, do not think about catching a large-scale short order, it is not realistic for the time being! In today's market: 1: 4 hours, the stochastic indicator is in a golden cross state, the main long signal; MACD double lines are glued together, and the state of passivation divergence! These signals suggest that the market is mainly controlled by bulls during the day, and it is difficult to fall sharply for the time being; in terms of form, the continuous positive rise and the broken positive oscillation form, the short-term support position is near 3040; the high point is unknown; 2: In the daily K, the stochastic indicator continues to form a golden cross, which is a bullish signal; in terms of form, the continuous positive rise is the main trend, and the short-term support position today is near 3040; To sum up: today's short-term trend thinking; the support positions are near 3040, near 3020; near 3000, followed by around 2990; near the support, the trend thinking;
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
2
3.20 Focus on the long and short battle of the Federal Reserve!!On Wednesday (March 19), the spot gold price continued to fluctuate at a high level during the Asian and European sessions, hitting a record high of $3,045/ounce during the session, and then fell slightly to around $3,029. The market focus is highly concentrated on the upcoming Fed's March interest rate decision. Fundamentals: 1. The struggle between risk aversion demand and policy expectations 2. Rising geopolitical risk premiums 3. Trump's tariff remarks sparked concerns about economic recession 4. Fed policy expectations dominate short-term fluctuations Technical aspects: Long and short game in high-level fluctuations 4-hour structure chart: Bollinger Band pattern: upper track 3044.86, middle track 3031.24, lower track 3017.63, the current quote 3030.49 is close to the middle track, indicating a short-term balance of long and short forces. If the price stands firm on the middle track, it is expected to test the upper track (3044) again; if it falls below the middle track, it may seek support from the lower track (3017) Moving average support: The 100-day moving average (2928.75) and the 200-day moving average (2903.27) form a long-term support band, and the price difference with the current quotation exceeds US$100, further verifying that gold is in a strong cycle. Resistance level: 3050 3080 3100 Support level: 3018 3000 2980
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
1
3.19 Gold continues to peak, waiting for the Fed's interest rateThe gold market continued to rise strongly after opening yesterday, reaching the highest point of 3038 and then consolidating at a high level, with no obvious adjustment in the middle. Although we determined that the market would surge, it was still stronger than expected. The daily line finally closed with a big positive line with a slight shadow line. After this pattern ended, the bulls in today's market are still there. Resistance level: 3045 3050
TVC:GOLDLong
by AIan_Gold
2
On 3.19, gold continued to fluctuate upward after breaking throuAs a safe-haven asset, gold has attracted more buying amid global political tensions: the escalation of the conflict in the Middle East and the continued strikes by the United States against the Houthi armed forces in the Red Sea region may affect the energy supply chain. The uncertainty of the ceasefire negotiations between Russia and Ukraine has led to a high risk aversion in the market. The increase in domestic political risks in the United States may affect market confidence and push up gold demand. The rise in gold on March 18 is in line with my thinking. Obviously, the US market was suppressed at 3028. After a short-term retracement, it further broke upward. It is expected to continue the upward trend at night and see the suppression of 3044. The weekly and monthly lines are concerned about the upper track position, and even diverge upward under the impetus of market sentiment. The specific position cannot be determined because there is no reference point, but it is only necessary to follow the market trend to do it, and the transaction is relatively simple. From a technical perspective, the upper track of the weekly line is 3030, and the upper track of the monthly line is 3050. This is the position that needs attention. In addition, the previous two waves of rises have gone through 4 positive monthly K lines, and then closed with a negative correction. Support level $2994; $2982; $2950 Resistance level $3025; $3050; $3080
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
1
3.18 Gold Refreshes $3,000, Be Cautious About Backtesting RisksIn 4 hours, the main trend is continuous rising and breaking rising; the main trend is anti-falling; in terms of indicators, the stochastic indicator crosses downward, mainly empty, but the pattern is anti-falling. At the same time, the MACD double lines are glued together, without crosses. Therefore, the cross of the stochastic indicator is just a correction method for 4 hours to change time for space; the horizontal support position is at the support position of 2980 and 2955. Short-term operation: SELL: 3000 TP1: 2990 TP2: 2980 TP3: 2970 As usual, we will update regularly throughout the day and tell you how we manage active ideas and settings. Thank you for your likes, comments and attention, we are very grateful!
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
8
3.17 Technical Analysis of Gold Short-term OperationsIn the early Asian session on Monday (March 17), spot gold fluctuated at a high level and is currently trading at $2,990.02/oz. Spot gold once broke through the important $3,000 mark during trading last Friday, reaching a high of $3,004.82/oz, setting a new historical high. Investors chased this historic surge in safe-haven assets, seeking to avoid the economic uncertainty caused by US President Trump's tariff war, and then fell slightly due to profit-taking, closing at $2,988.12/oz. Analysis of intraday gold short-term operations: Gold is still in a three-month upward channel, and the relative strength index (RSI) on the daily chart remains around 70, indicating that the bullish tendency is still intact. Once the gold price stabilizes above $3,000/oz (integer level, midpoint of the ascending channel) and confirms that this level is support, then $3,060/oz (upper limit of the ascending channel) may be set as the next bullish target, and the next bullish target is $3,100/oz (integer level). On the other hand, if gold fails to turn $3,000/oz into support, technical buyers may be frustrated. In this case, $2,920/oz (20-day simple moving average, lower limit of the ascending channel) and $2,900/oz (round level, static level) may be seen as the next support level for gold Resistance: 2998 3010 3020 Support: 2980 2965 2950
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
2
3.17 Gold short-term may extend low and longLast week, the gold market opened at 2912.9 at the beginning of the week, and then fell back at the beginning of the week. After the weekly low reached 2880, the market rose strongly due to risk aversion. After breaking the previous historical high of 2957, the market accelerated upward. On Friday, the weekly high reached 3005.2, and then the market consolidated. The weekly line finally closed at 2986.1, and the market closed with a big positive line with a lower shadow slightly longer than the upper shadow. After this pattern ended, the market continued to look at the bullish demand point after the adjustment at the beginning of the week. After the breakout of 2940 and 2958 last week, the stop loss was followed up at 2956. Short-term operation suggestions: SELL: 2995 target 2980 70 stop loss 10
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
2
DXY Dollar Index Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰🐱‍👤🐱‍🏍 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the DXY Dollar Index Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (37800) then make your move - Bearish profits await!" however I advise placing Sell Stop Orders below the breakout MA or Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 38500 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 36500 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook: DXY Dollar Index Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend., driven by several key factors. ⚡Fundamental Analysis Fundamental factors driving DXY focus on U.S. economic conditions, Fed policy, and global currency dynamics. Interest Rates: U.S. Federal Reserve: Rates steady at 3-3.5%, down from 2024’s 4.5-5%. Fed officials stress data dependency, with no cuts signaled despite weak PMI (50.4) and jobless claims (219,000 vs. 215,000 forecast). Real yields (10-year Treasury at 3.8%, ~1% inflation-adjusted) support USD. Other Countries: ECB at 2.5%, BoJ at 0.25-0.5%, BoE at 4-4.5%—U.S. yield advantage persists, though narrowing. Impact: Bullish for DXY, tempered by global easing. Inflation: U.S.: PCE at 2.6% YoY (Jan 2025), above the Fed’s 2% target, with producer inflation hotter-than-expected (X posts). Inflation fears linger, supporting USD. Other Countries: Eurozone at 2.8%, Japan at 2.5%, UK at 2.5-3%—global inflation pressures USD rivals less. Impact: Bullish, as U.S. inflation sustains Fed hawkishness. Economic Growth: U.S.: Mixed signals—PMI at 50.4 (near stagnation), jobless claims up, but ADP jobs beat at 183,000 (Jan 2025). Tariffs add uncertainty. Other Countries: China at 4.5% (slowing), Eurozone at 1.2%, Japan at 1%—U.S. outperforms peers. Impact: Mildly bullish, U.S. resilience aids USD. Safe-Haven Flows: USD competes with JPY and CHF amid tariff risks and geopolitical flare-ups (Russia-Ukraine, Middle East). Recent yen strength (X posts) pressures DXY. Impact: Mildly bearish, global risk-off challenges USD dominance. Trade Balance: U.S. deficit persists, but Trump’s tariffs (25% Mexico/Canada, 10% China) aim to bolster USD via trade shifts. Impact: Bullish long-term, short-term neutral. ⚡Macroeconomic Factors U.S.-focused with global context: U.S. Policy: Fed’s tighter stance vs. global easing (ECB, BoJ) favors USD. Trump’s tariff threats add volatility, potentially strengthening USD via trade protectionism. Global Growth: 3% (Morgan Stanley), with China slowing and Eurozone stagnant (PMI 46.2). U.S. relative strength supports DXY. Commodity Prices: Oil at $70.44 pressures import-heavy peers (Japan), mildly weakening JPY vs. USD. Currency Dynamics: Yen strength and EUR softness (EUR/USD below 1.0500) drag DXY lower recently, ⚡Commitments of Traders (COT) Data Hypothetical COT (mid-Feb 2025, CME): Large Speculators: Net long USD ~70,000 contracts (down from 80,000 post-110 peak), cooling after profit-taking. Commercial Hedgers: Net short USD ~80,000, hedging export exposure as tariffs loom. Open Interest: ~150,000 contracts, stable, reflecting U.S. trader engagement. Key Insight: Speculative longs suggest bullish bias, but moderation hints at consolidation. ⚡Market Sentiment Analysis Includes retail, institutional, and corporate traders: Retail Sentiment: U.S. retail traders likely 60% short DXY at 106.000 (hypothetical broker data), betting on yen/CHF gains. Contrarian upside risk if shorts unwind. Institutional Traders: U.S. funds (e.g., Citi, HSBC) mixed—bearish short-term (DXY to 96.87, Citi Hong Kong), bullish long-term (WalletInvestor to 119.193). Sentiment leans cautious. Corporate Traders: U.S. exporters hedge at 106.50-107.00, neutral as tariffs loom; European firms favor EUR weakness. Social Media (X): notes yen-driven DXY weakness, sees bearish momentum to 106.15—trending bearish. Broker Data: U.S. IG sentiment ~55% long—balanced positioning. ⚡Quantitative Analysis Moving Averages: 50-day SMA (106.30), 200-day SMA (105.50)—price below 50-day, above 200-day, neutral signal. RSI: 45 (daily), bearish momentum fading, room for reversal. Bollinger Bands: 105.80-106.80 range, 106.000 at midpoint—consolidation likely. Fibonacci: 38.2% retracement from 110.00-102.50 at 105.62—key support holds. Volatility Model: Implied volatility (1-month) at 7%, suggesting 0.75-point monthly range (±0.7%). ⚡Intermarket Analysis USD/JPY: At 150.00, yen strength pressures DXY; drop to 145 could accelerate declines. EUR/USD: Below 1.0500, EUR weakness supports DXY mildly. Gold: XAU/USD at 2940 (risk-off proxy) inversely pressures USD. Equities: S&P 500 range-bound (5960-6120) reflects stability, neutral for DXY. Bonds: U.S. 10-year yield at 3.8% vs. JGB at 0.9%—yield gap aids USD. ⚡News and Events Analysis Recent: Trump’s tariff threats (25% Mexico/Canada, 10% China, Feb 23-25) fuel risk-off, pressuring DXY via yen strength (X posts). Weak U.S. PMI and jobless claims offset by PCE at 2.6% (Jan 2025). Upcoming: U.S. PCE data (Feb 28) critical—hotter data could lift DXY, softer data bearish. Fed rhetoric pending. Impact: Bearish near-term from risk-off, bullish potential from Fed stance. ⚡Overall Summary Outlook DXY at 106.000 balances U.S. resilience (Fed policy, inflation) against global risk-off pressures (tariffs, yen strength). Fundamentals favor USD long-term, but macro risks and sentiment (retail shorts, X bearishness) suggest near-term softness. COT shows cautious longs, quant signals consolidation, and intermarket flows (gold rise, yen strength) lean bearish. Short-term dip to 105.50-105.91 likely, medium-term range-bound with a bullish tilt if Fed holds firm. ⚡Future Prediction Bullish Case: DXY to 108.00-110.00 by Q2 2025 if PCE/Fed bolster USD, tariffs lift trade flows, and risk-on resumes. Bearish Case: Drop to 103.50-105.00 if yen/CHF surge, tariffs falter, or Fed dovishness emerges. Prediction: Mildly bearish short-term to 105.50, then bullish to 108.00 by mid-2025, driven by Fed policy divergence. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by Thief_Trader
3.14 Gold breaks through historical high to 3000Yesterday, the gold market continued the risk-averse rally and broke through the historical high. After opening at 2933.4 in the morning, the market first rose to 2947.4 and then fell back. The daily line reached a low of 2932.4 and then rose strongly. After breaking through the previous historical high of 2957 during the US trading session, the market accelerated upward. The daily line reached a high of 2989.3 and then the market consolidated. The daily line finally closed at 2988.8 and the market closed with a basically saturated big positive line. After this pattern ended, the weekly line completed the N-shaped break. Today's market reached the 3000 mark and quickly pulled back to 2988 and then came to 2997. Short-term recommended operations: Resistance level: 3000 3010 3020 Support level: 2995 2985 2970
TVC:GOLDLong
by AIan_Gold
2
3.14 Risk aversion and interest rate cuts have pushed gold to thGold is supported by risk aversion and interest rate cut expectations, and the overall trend remains upward. Short-term technical aspects also show that the advantages of the bulls have been strengthened. On the daily chart, gold has set a new record high and performed very strongly. For the support below gold, radicals pay attention to the upper rail position of the daily and weekly Bollinger bands at $2,983, which is also the low point of the gold price falling back in the morning. Secondly, the low point of the fall after the intraday high in the US market on Thursday was $2,976. The continued fall suggests that the gold price has the risk of adjustment. Pay attention to the previous historical high of $2,956; for the pressure above gold, pay attention to the breakthrough of the integer position of $3,000. If it breaks through and stands firm here, it will not guess the top. The 5-day moving average is golden cross upward, the KDJ and RSI indicators are golden cross upward, and the MACD indicator forms a dead cross, indicating that the advantages of the bulls in the short-term technical aspect are further strengthened. Resistance points: 2,990, 3,000, 3,010 Support points: 80, 70, 56
TVC:GOLDLong
by AIan_Gold
3
3.14 Gold peaks againGold is forming higher highs while forming an ascending triangle, which will be confirmed if the price of gold closes above the record high of $2,982/oz on a daily basis. If the price of gold breaks the record high, then the price of gold will target the round mark of $2,990/oz. If the buyers conquer the latter, a test of the psychological barrier of $3,000/oz will be inevitable. The 14-day relative strength index (RSI) is moving higher above 50, supporting the case for further upside in gold prices. On the other hand, the price of gold has strong support at the 21-day simple moving average (SMA) of $2,914/oz. If the selling pressure intensifies, the price of gold will challenge the ascending trendline support of $2,893/oz. Failure to defend this level will accelerate the decline towards the psychological level of $2,850/oz. Resistance 2980 2990 3000 Support 2950 2930 2900 As always, we will be updating regularly throughout the day and letting you know how we are managing active ideas and settings. Thank you all for your likes, comments, and attention, we really appreciate it!
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
8
3.13 Technical analysis of gold short-term operationGold market analysis: , Gold hourly level: In the morning, it rose from 2932 to 2946, and fell back to 2932 from 2946 in the afternoon. It rose from 2932 to 2948 in the European session. From the trend of the Asian and European sessions, it can be seen that it may enter a certain range of back and forth consolidation; combined with the trend of the bottom of 2880 rising to 2948, it can be found that there is a similar pattern in early March. After a short-term continuous rise, it will enter the box oscillation for several hours, and then continue to rise in a short-term continuous rise, and then continue to enter the box oscillation; then combined with the yellow channel in the above figure, pay attention to the pressure of the upper rail 2951-53 tonight. If it is suppressed, it may fall back to 2932-30 repeatedly. The lower rail support is an ideal bullish point. It will move up to 2923-25 ​​tonight, which is also the top and bottom conversion position. If it can be touched, it is necessary to continue to follow the bullish Resistance point l: 2945 2955 2970 Support level: 2935 2920 2900 Traders, if you like this idea or you have your own opinion about it, please write it in the comments. I will be happy
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
2
U.S. Dollar Index Hello and greetings to dear traders, I have identified important areas on the DXY chart. As the price approaches these areas and we receive the appropriate confirmations, we can execute effective trades. Key Areas: Strong Area for Selling: Secret Order Block (4H): 103.979 and 104.064 Liquidity (4H): 104.064 Effective Imbalance on the Chart: Market targets to reach this imbalance are at: 104.558 and 104.850 Considering this scenario, we can look for effective selling opportunities in the currency pairs of Euro, Pound, Australian Dollar, and New Zealand Dollar. I will send you updates with these charts for more information. Thank you for your support. A very simple and clear chart has been drawn for your use. Wishing you all success! Fereydoon Bahrami A retail trader in the Wall Street Trading Center (Forex) Risk Disclosure: Trading in the Forex market is risky due to high price volatility. This analysis is solely my personal opinion and should not be considered financial advice. Please do your own research. You are responsible for any profits or losses resulting from this analysis.
TVC:DXYLong
by fereydoon1199
3.13 Gold surges higher againGold technical analysis It has fluctuated continuously for two weeks in the 2890 to 2930 area. It broke through the Asian session yesterday. Then the second crazy game of the previous high formed a double top prototype structure. The global risk aversion gradually receded. The only rise was the economic recession of the United States. In fact, you think too much about global buying orders. Regardless of the recent territorial expansion speech or various taxes, or even selling cards, the purpose is to make the US dollar strong again, and hope to continue global hegemony. Therefore, it is uncertain that all kinds of speeches in the middle of the night stimulate risk aversion. Gold is constantly falling and giving you a V back every day, which is to constantly cultivate your inertia. Falling is an opportunity, and buying in batches is profit. So today is very simple. If the weakness is below 2956, it is at most 2942 to 2947, which is a direct decline, not giving you a second chance to rush high, or quickly reaching a new high, making you feel that gold is bullish again, the world is chasing more, or low-level shorts are forced to chase more hedges, then the market will change quickly. The short-term operation ideas are as follows: Pressure: 2955------2975 Support: 2880-----2830 Traders, if you like this idea or you have your own opinion on it, please write it in the comments. I will be happy
TVC:GOLDLong
by AIan_Gold
2
3.13CPI is bullish, gold cautiously rises and falls in short terThe CPI data released in the evening was lower than expected, which is bullish for gold in the short term and continues to fluctuate during the day. In the short-term 1-hour chart, according to 4, the price has risen above the directionless 20-period SMA and 100-period SMA, while the 200-period SMA is rising below the above short-term moving averages. At the same time, technical indicators have lost directional strength and turned slightly lower within the neutral level, predicting that gold prices may fall soon. Short-term trading: short near 2935, stop loss 2945, take profit 2920/2915
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
2
3.12 Gold shocks, waiting for CPIGold prices surged nearly 1% on Tuesday (March 11) as the dollar weakened and tariff wars triggered concerns about economic slowdown. Gold continued to fluctuate in one hour, and gold continued to be shorted at high levels. Gold was under pressure near 2922 several times yesterday and began to fall. Gold was still under pressure at 2922 in the early trading and continued to be shorted at high levels. Gold can be shorted near 2920, but you have to pay attention today. If gold continues to resist falling, then gold may be accumulating momentum and may use data to attack. So if gold still does not fall quickly in the European session, then leave the market first and wait for data guidance.
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
1