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Dxyanalysis

75: DXY's Reclaimed 102.6: Eyes on Long Positions around 102.4Greetings, traders! 📊📈 A new chapter is unfolding in the world of the DXY (US Dollar Index) as it resurfaces above the 102.6 mark. This resurgence has ignited discussions about potential long opportunities near the 102.4 region, presenting an intriguing prospect for those closely monitoring this market movement. 🔀 Shift in Dynamics: With the 102.6 level now back in play, the landscape is shifting. This pivotal juncture, now functioning as a support-turned-resistance, signals a renewed bullish sentiment. Coupled with the proximity to the 102.4 zone, previously holding as a support, the stage seems set for potential long positions to come into play. 📉 Analyzing the Context: For those considering a long play, it's essential to stay attentive to the prospect of a pullback toward the 102.4 area. This could be an opportune entry point, especially if accompanied by encouraging bullish confirmations such as robust candlestick patterns or indicators signaling an upward trajectory. 🎯 Strategizing for Profits and Risks: As you craft your long strategy, mapping out profit targets around significant resistance levels or recent highs is prudent. Pair these targets with a well-placed stop-loss, likely positioned below the 102.2 level, to mitigate risk and cushion against potential adverse market movements. 📆 Event Sensitivity: Maintain vigilance over forthcoming economic events or announcements that might sway the DXY's course. These factors, combined with the broader market sentiment, can play a pivotal role in shaping the outcome of your long-trade scenario. 🚧 Ready for Contingencies: In the unpredictable realm of trading, having a contingency plan is a must. Should the DXY falter and dip beneath the 102.4 support, being prepared to reassess and recalibrate your trading approach is crucial. 📖 Unending Learning Journey: Remember, the path of a trader is one of perpetual learning and adaptation. Take advantage of this opportunity to refine your technical analysis skills and deepen your grasp of market intricacies. Disclaimer: This post is intended for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct thorough research and seek guidance from financial professionals before executing any trading decisions. Wishing you all success on your trading endeavors! 🚀📈📊
TVC:DXYLong
by Soldi75
⚠️DXY will go DOWN(Short term)⚠️As I expected in the previous post, DXY reached the resistance lines.✅👇 💡If you look closely at the chart, you will notice that DXY is moving in an Ascending Channel . 💡It seems that DXY failed to break the resistance lines. 💡Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD-) between consecutive peaks. 🔔I expect the DXY will go DOWN at least to the lower line of Ascending Channel. U.S.Dollar Currency Index ( DXYUSD ) Analyze, 4-hour time frame⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy, this is just my Idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
TVC:DXYShort
by pejman_zwin
33
DXY Hits a 3-Week High Following Fitch US DowngradeBrace yourselves because the DXY has just hit a 3-week high, thanks to the recent Fitch US downgrade. Talk about an unexpected twist, right? Now, let's dive into the details. Fitch Ratings, the renowned credit rating agency, has downgraded the United States' credit rating, causing quite a stir in the market. As a result, the US dollar has emerged as a haven for investors seeking stability amidst uncertainty. Isn't it fascinating how the market reacts to unexpected events? But that's not all! This turn of events presents a golden opportunity for traders like you to capitalize on the situation. With the DXY soaring, it's time to consider going long on the US dollar. By doing so, you can potentially benefit from its current haven status and ride the wave of this unexpected surge. So, here's your call to action: seize this opportunity and consider going long on the US dollar. Keep a close eye on the market trends, analyze the charts, and make informed trading decisions. The profit potential is knocking at your door, and it's time to answer! Remember, surprises like these are what makes trading so thrilling. Stay vigilant, stay informed, and don't hesitate to take calculated risks when the market throws unexpected curveballs your way. As always, please conduct thorough research and analysis before making trading decisions. Market conditions can change rapidly, so staying updated and adapting your strategies is essential.
TVC:DXYLong
by bryandowningqln
What do we expect from the DXY index this week❗️❓🚀The DXY index failed to break the 🟢 support zone($101.30-$100.82) 🟢 reliably, and with the Double Bottom pattern , it resumed its upward trend and formed a 🐻 Bear Trap 🐻. 💡Also, the DXY index issued a Buy signal through the 50-SMA and 50-EMA . 💡The Bullish Marabozu candle was also a sign and confirmation that DXY's fall below the support zone was just a Bear Trap. 🔔I expect the DXY to have a bullish trend this week and ⚔️attack⚔️ the resistance lines. 📚In general, I try to show you all the points of technical analysis on the chart, which also has an educational aspect(I apologize for the busy chart).📚 U.S.Dollar Currency Index ( DXYUSD ) Analyze, 4-hour time frame⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy, this is just my Idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
TVC:DXYLong
by pejman_zwin
27
DeGRAM | Dollar Index confluence levelDXY is approaching the major resistance level by making higher highs. Price action may create an AB=CD pattern or an equal-measured move. Price action created a nice long opportunity where a couple of confluence lines up with the support level. Previous resistance becomes support; 38.2% fibo level bullish harmonic pattern and of course the price in the bullish trend. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
TVC:DXYLong
by DeGRAM
2
Have DXY bottomed?Since the top from October last year, DXY has been in a strong down trend. However, considering the trend started back in May 2021, this is only a correction, in fact, it even stopped at the 0.618 Fibo. The recent drop under 101 support was, in fact, a false break, one more reason to believe the Usd index found its bottom. At this moment Dxy is trading in a confluence resistance: a recent low, and the falling trend line from the top, and a correction could follow. This potential correction should be considered a good opportunity to sell Usd pairs and my main focus is on EurUsd and GbpUsd. Only a drop back under 101 would change my bullish outlook for the index (bearish Usd pairs)
TVC:DXYLong
by Mihai_Iacob
31
DXY Elliott Waves AnalysisHello friends. Please support my work by clicking the LIKE button👍(If you liked). Also i will appreciate for ur activity. Thank you! Everything on the chart. Main target zone: 96 - 94 Stop: ~103.7 (depending of ur risk). ALWAYS follow ur RM . RR: 1 to 3 risk is justified Good luck everyone! Follow me on TRADINGView, if you don't want to miss my next analysis or signals. It's not financial advice. Dont Forget, always make your own research before to trade my ideas! Open to any questions and suggestions
TVC:DXYShort
by trytofeelpositive
2
Beware of Relying on Dollar Price Moves to Predict Bitcoin's FutThe inverse relationship between the US dollar and Bitcoin has long been a reliable indicator for traders seeking to gauge the potential movement of the cryptocurrency market. Historically, when the dollar strengthened, Bitcoin tended to experience a decline, and vice versa. This relationship allowed us to make informed decisions and manage our portfolios effectively. However, it is essential to recognize that the dynamics of this correlation have started to shift, posing potential risks to our trading strategies. Over the past months, we have witnessed instances where the US dollar has weakened while Bitcoin continued to soar to new heights. This decoupling of the two assets challenges the reliability of the inverse correlation we have grown accustomed to. While it is tempting to continue relying on this relationship, doing so mindlessly may lead us astray and result in significant losses. Therefore, I strongly urge you to exercise caution and refrain from using dollar price moves to indicate Bitcoin's future direction. Instead, let us analyze the underlying factors that drive the cryptocurrency market, such as market sentiment, regulatory changes, technological advancements, and institutional adoption. By adopting a more holistic approach to our trading strategies, we can better position ourselves to successfully navigate the evolving landscape of digital currencies. In light of these developments, I encourage you to diversify your sources of information and stay updated with the latest market news and expert opinions. Engage in meaningful discussions with fellow traders, share insights, and challenge conventional wisdom. By fostering a community that embraces critical thinking and adaptability, we can collectively navigate the uncertainties of this ever-changing market. Remember, the cryptocurrency market is highly volatile and subject to various external influences. Relying solely on the inverse correlation between the US dollar and Bitcoin is no longer reliable. Let us be vigilant, open-minded, and proactive in our approach to trading. If you have any questions or concerns, please do not hesitate to comment. Together, we can navigate these challenging times and adapt our trading strategies to ensure long-term success.
TVC:DXY
by bryandowningqln
DXY doesn't look too happy below 100Last week the US dollar index (DXY) closed at a 15-month low and beneath 100 for the first time since April 2022. Yet subsequent price action has seen a lack of conviction form bears, allowing prices to form a double bottom just above the March 2022 high and close with a Spinning Top doji yesterday. Given US yields are showing signs of stability (and hinting at a move higher themselves), it seems reasonable that the US dollar is due a corrective bounce over the near-term which brings 100.5 and the April low into focus for bulls. A break beneath the March 2022 high invalidates the bearish bias, but this could be raised to the recent swing lows if we see a decent break (or daily close above) 100.
TVC:US02YLong
by CityIndex
dxy after federal Fund ratehi dear trader my road map for dollar curency index ... One more Fed rate hike at least and a narrowly softer dollar outlook The forthcoming Federal Open Market Committee meeting may be a relatively subdued gathering, leaving exciting loose ends for September. Meanwhile, the dollar could trade around current ranges with a modest softening bias over the rest of the year. July FOMC meeting The FOMC meets on 25-26 July and a 25-basis point hike in the Fed Funds rate is inevitable. The ‘skip’ from the last meeting foreshadowed a hike in July – and potentially another in September. Markets unanimously expect a July hike and Federal Reserve officials haven’t pushed back. Since the June FOMC meeting, and in view of favourable inflation prints and softer employment data, markets no longer anticipate a September hike. While that may prove right, they might be getting ahead of themselves. One month’s data doesn’t make a trend. Further, core inflation remains too high for the Fed and labour markets are still quite resilient. Expectations of a US recession or hard landing continue to fade – ‘soft landing’ is the buzzword of the day. More data will come in after the July FOMC meeting and data dependence will shape the September decision. Perhaps the Jackson Hole symposium in August will shed some light on Fed thinking. The key challenge for the July meeting will be communications. Regardless of the September outlook, the Fed has won its months-long struggle, convincing markets that, at least for now, the FOMC is on hold for the rest of 2023. The July meeting should be wary of any statements that might imperil this victory. Foreign exchange outlook Predicting exchange rates is a fool’s errand. With that disclaimer, what is the dollar’s outlook for the remainder of the year? The dollar is off its peak from last autumn, but it remains strong (Figure 1). The dollar’s upside may be limited as the Fed’s rate hiking cycle is nearing an end. Improving inflation may inject a downward bias to note and bond yields. However, the downside may also be limited given anticipation that the FFR, after peaking, will be on hold for the rest of 2023 and services price will be sticky. Figure 1. Dollar remains strong despite falling from peak Source: Federal Reserve; through June 2023 A soft landing scenario would comport with muted dollar sentiment and modest volatility, unlike a sharp risk-off or risk-on environment. Decent dollar selling could emerge when markets perceive with certainty the Fed will start embarking on rate cuts, but that isn’t priced in at this juncture until early next year. The base case faces two-sided risks. If US inflation comes down more sharply than anticipated, major financial instability emerges or the economy sharply stagnates, the Fed could begin cutting rates earlier than expected, yields could fall and the dollar tumble. On the upside, more inflation persistence or greater than expected vigour in the US economy could sustain demand, as could a heightening in geopolitical risks. Of course, the dollar will also be impacted by what is happening abroad. Markets are discounting two more European Central Bank hikes this year – though there is increased debate about a September hike. The euro area economy has already stagnated and the outlook is for continued weakness. Absent further inflationary impulse, this weakness will curb the ECB’s hiking appetite and limit euro appreciation. The Japanese yen’s course will be sensitive to finance ministry concerns about yen weakness and yield curve control policy expectations. Further yen weakness will be limited by market concerns over official jawboning or intervention. Meanwhile, markets expected a quick abandonment of YCC after Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda stepped down earlier this year, but his successor Kazuo Ueda has taken a cautious approach. However, YCC adjustment seems more a question of when than if. Altering YCC could significantly boost the yen. There may be modest renminbi upside against the dollar. It’s a managed currency, and opaquely so. It has depreciated against the dollar by some 4% this year, mainly reflecting divergent monetary policy stances in the US and China. Capital inflow to China has sharply ebbed over the last year. The authorities are resisting depreciation, though not through formal People’s Bank of China intervention, and increasingly signalling stronger aversion to renminbi weakness. . The Chinese growth surge expected after reopening has fallen short of expectations given strong headwinds. The PBoC has only run slightly more accommodative policies and the fiscal authorities have so far eschewed significant stimulus given the economy’s high indebtedness. The renminbi will remain soft overall, unless authorities embark unexpectedly on stepped up fiscal stimulus – a topic increasingly debated. With the UK facing continued inflation challenges, the Bank of England may need to stick with relatively high rates, undergirding sterling. One quarter of the dollar’s trade-weighted basket consists of the Mexican peso and Canadian dollar. Mexico moved preemptively to raise interest rates ahead of the Fed, hiking by nearly six percentage points since early 2022, and Banco de México is holding rates high, given elevated inflation. The peso took off this year, rising by 16%. Further upside is limited. The Canadian dollar through ups and downs has been fairly flat this year. The picture facing emerging market currencies varies. But good performers that raised policy rates preemptively relative to the Fed, such as Brazil, have experienced good capital inflows this year. Putting it all together, the dollar may trade narrowly with a softening bias for the rest of 2023. Next year may prove more interesting. Mark Sobel is US Chair of OMFIF. source passage : Federal Reserve
TVC:DXY
by mehdi_kb
7 Dimension analysis for DXY 7 Dimension analysis 🟢 Analysis time frame: Daily 1: Price Structure: The market is currently exhibiting a bearish price structure with a corrective move. An inducement has already taken place, and the first order block (OB) is formed along with a gap and window area. There is also a supply area at the window. 2: Pattern: Various chart patterns are observed: Trend lines acting as perfect resistance. A rising wedge pattern with a downside breakout move already completed, leading to the start of a correction. A flag pattern formation. A double bottom breakout with heavy volume. A CIP (Change in polarity) expected at the gap. Candle patterns are as follows: Doji candle at the bottom, indicating a potential reversal. A record low session count of just 4 bullish candles, further supporting the reversal expectation. 3: Volume: Good volume is observed at the bottom, supporting the potential for a reversal. 4: Momentum UNCONVENTIONAL Rsi: The Unconventional RSI is currently in the bearish zone but showing correction momentum. 5: Volatility measure Bollinger bands: Volatility recently finished walking on the band, and the move is now resisting at the mid band, indicating a significant resistance area. 6: Strength ADX: Bears are currently in strength according to the ADX indicator. 7: Sentiment ROC: The market is in a corrective phase, and the USD is strong during this correction. ✔️ Entry Time Frame: H1 ✅ Entry TF Structure: Bullish ☑️ Entry Move: Impulsive ✔ Support Resistance Base: Swing Order Block (OB) support ➕ FIB: Waiting for confirmation Trend Line: Waiting for a breakout when the price touches the support level. ☑️ Final comments: Consider buying at the dip. 💡 Decision: Wait until price takes liquidity from the bottom. 🚀 Entry: 100.57 ✋ Stop Loss: 100.425 🎯 Take Profit: 101.270 😊 Risk to Reward Ratio: 1:5 🕛 Expected Duration: 2 days.
ICEUS:DX1!Long
by Optimum369