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3.12 Technical analysis of gold short-term operationGold Short-Term Technical Outlook From a technical perspective, the daily chart of gold shows that the price of gold remains below the currently flat 20-day simple moving average (SMA), which provides dynamic resistance near $2,910.00/oz. The longer-term moving averages continue to move upwards at levels well below the current gold price, suggesting that bulls remain in control in the long term. Meanwhile, technical indicators have turned down near their mid-lines, suggesting that gold prices may extend their corrective decline before finding new buying interest. In the near term, the price of gold is at risk of continuing its decline as seen on the 4-hour chart. The 20-period SMA and the 100-period SMA provide resistance in the $2,910/oz area, while the bullish 200-period SMA hovers around $2,867/oz, providing support. Finally, technical indicators remain in negative territory, albeit with mixed strength. However, a break below the intraday low of $2,881.80/oz on March 4 could see the price of gold fall further. Important support and resistance levels: Support level: $2881.80/oz; $2867.10/oz; $2854.95/oz Resistance level: $2910.00/oz; $2927.90/oz; $2941.40/oz
TVC:GOLDLong
by AIan_Gold
4
3.11 Gold’s short-term signal resistance levels are mixedSpot gold rebounded slightly in the Asian session on Tuesday (March 11) and is currently trading around $2,896.52 per ounce. The technical signals of spot gold are a bit mixed. It has successfully stabilized near the support level of $2,879 per ounce and started to rebound. The focus on the resistance near 2,915 is on the top. Between March 4 and March 7, a temporary top was formed in the range of $2,894 to $2,927. This indicates that the target is $2,861. However, after a brief confirmation, the top became invalid as the price of gold climbed above the neckline of the pattern at $2,894. The rebound increases the possibility of resuming the upward trend from $2,832. A breakthrough of $2,909 will be seen as a strong signal to resume the upward trend. Before the price of gold climbs above $2,915, the price of gold may still be biased to the downside, as the current rebound may just be a correction to the top, and the correction is a bit excessive. On the daily chart, gold is also neutral in the range of $2891 to $2934, similar to the situation on the hourly chart. When gold moves out of the range, the signal will become clearer. The wave pattern suggests that the market may experience a small decline first, followed by a strong rebound.
TVC:GOLDLong
by AIan_Gold
1
3.11 Analysis of gold short-term operation suggestionsOn Monday (March 10), the latest spot gold (XAU/USD) was quoted at $2915.01, up 0.10% on the day. In the Asian session, the gold price remained in a narrow range around $2914, but since 15:25 Beijing time, gold has fluctuated downward from $2915.39, reaching a low of $2896.73. Fundamental analysis: The Fed's interest rate meeting is approaching, and the market is cautiously watching At present, the gold market has entered a sideways consolidation phase, and investors are evaluating multiple factors, including the Fed's upcoming policy meeting on March 19 and the latest economic statements of US President Trump. In an interview with the media, Trump said that the US economy is in a "transition" stage, and the market has generally believed that the US economy is at risk of recession. Market sentiment and capital flows: Short-term funds are cautious, and gold is still supported Technical analysis: Long and short divergences are increasing, key support and resistance levels From a technical perspective, the gold price is currently consolidating around $2890. The key resistance above is the intraday high of $2918.19, followed by the intraday R1 resistance of $2927 and the R2 resistance of $2945. If the gold price breaks through $2945, the market may challenge the historical high of $2956 set on February 24. In terms of support below, the $2900 integer mark and the S1 support level of $2893 constitute double support. If it falls below this area, the gold price may test the S2 support level of $2878. Technical analysts believe that if Trump does not release additional tariff policy signals in the near future, market sentiment may gradually stabilize, and gold may pull back to the support range in the short term to accumulate power for subsequent gains. Conclusion: Short-term consolidation, pay attention to the dynamics of the Federal Reserve Overall, gold is currently maintaining a range of fluctuations, and the short-term trend is subject to the expectations of the Federal Reserve meeting and the uncertainty of the US economic outlook. Investors need to focus on the interest rate meeting on March 19 and the impact of the remarks of Federal Reserve officials on market sentiment in the coming weeks. In the current context, the market still tends to look for buying opportunities in pullbacks. If the gold price remains above $2,893, the bulls will still have a certain advantage.
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
1
3.11When will gold break out of its range?Will gold continue to adjust downward after the wash, or will it break upward after this period of consolidation? 1: Trump announced on the 7th that Russia launched a fierce attack on Ukraine. In order to encourage the two sides to sit down at the negotiating table for friendly negotiations, sanctions and tariffs will be imposed on Russia, including banks, until both sides are willing to stop the exchange of fire. This has increased the uncertainty of geopolitical risks, which will be a boost for gold. 2: Fed Chairman Powell reiterated at a press conference on Friday that the current US economic performance is relatively ideal, and the Fed does not intend to rush to cut interest rates next. As we all know, interest rate cuts will stimulate gold to rise, and slowing down the pace of interest rate cuts will form resistance for gold. Since gold entered the adjustment on February 11, the repeated high-level roller coaster shock wash has been brewing for a month, and it is time to end. The gold price has repeatedly fluctuated around $2,900, and even the non-agricultural data failed to break the support of $2,890 and the pressure of $2,930. As for gold, the focus is still on $2890 as the support point. As long as it is not lost here, it is still mainly based on reaching the bottom of the box. For players of physical gold, it is not recommended to repeatedly get on and off the gold when the funds are idle. It seems smart but will eventually miss it perfectly. Trading strategy: You can consider getting on the train within the range of 2900-2895, and defend below 2880 US dollars. The focus above is on the breakthrough of the 2920-30 pressure area.
TVC:GOLDLong
by AIan_Gold
1
3.10 Gold short-term operation analysis and suggestionsIn early Asian trading on Monday (March 10), spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading around $2,912.60 per ounce. Gold prices have fluctuated at high levels for three consecutive trading days, but they still rose 1.65% on a weekly basis, helped by safe-haven inflows and the U.S. employment report showing that job growth in February was lower than expected, suggesting that the Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates this year. In addition, the volatile tariff policy of U.S. President Trump has also increased uncertainty. Gold continues to fluctuate in a range, and the overall trend is in an upward trend. After the adjustment, the price of gold will continue to rise. The idea is to continue to step back on low-multiple operations. Pay attention to the 2898 support during the day. Relying on this position, short-term long, stop loss 2889, stop profit at 2922/2932. Breaking the 2932 suppression is expected to further rush to a new high. In addition, if it falls below the support near 2889, coupled with the recent strength of the U.S. dollar, gold may fall further, so if it falls below the support, don't consider continuing to go long, pay attention to the risk. March 10th gold short-term trading: long near 2898, stop loss 2889, take profit 2922/2932 Backup ideas: (fall below 2889, rebound to 2896 and continue to short, stop loss 2904, take profit 2880-2876)
TVC:GOLDLong
by AIan_Gold
1
Bearish drop?US Dollar Index (DXY) is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support which is an overlap support that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension. Pivot: 104.42 1st Support: 102.65 1st Resistance: 105.26 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYShort
by ICmarkets
1
$DXY MMSMIn my view, the DXY could have a bullish bias this week, but only as a correction after last week's sharp drop. The main bias is still bearish, as we are on the sell side of the curve. Therefore, long trades should be approached with caution since the price can reverse to the downside at any moment—after all, the market is sovereign, and only it determines its movements. I remain firmly bearish until the monthly range lows are taken out. I will only reconsider this outlook if the price holds at a high-timeframe PDA and institutional order flow (IOF) signals a potential shift in direction.
TVC:DXYShort
by Pilucax
DXY (Dollar Index) Ready to BUY? | Monthly FVG in Focus! 💰 Smart Money Preparing for a Bullish Move on DXY! The US Dollar Index (DXY) is approaching a key Monthly Fair Value Gap (FVG), which could act as a strong demand zone. If price reaches this level, we will look for confirmation on lower timeframes (H4/M15) before entering buys. 🔍 Why is this Important? ✅ Monthly FVG as a High-Probability Buy Zone ✅ Institutional Order Flow Aligning for a Bullish Reversal ✅ Strong Demand Expected at FVG ✅ DXY Strength = Bearish Pressure on Gold & Majors 📊 Key Market Levels: 🔹 Monthly FVG Buy Zone: 🔹 First Target: 🔹 Breakout Confirmation Above: 🔹 Invalidation Below: ⚡ Trading Plan: 📌 Wait for price to reach the Monthly FVG 📌 Look for Bullish Confirmation on H4/M15 (BOS, CHoCH, Liquidity Grab) 📌 Enter Buys Once Institutional Reversal is Confirmed 📌 Manage Risk – Watch CPI & FOMC Events 💥 Stronger DXY = Weak Gold & Bearish Pressure on Majors! 💬 Are you buying DXY at the Monthly FVG? Drop your thoughts below! 👇 #DXY #DollarIndex #Forex #SmartMoney #ICT #SMC #Liquidity #TradingView #OrderFlow
TVC:DXYLong
by twb1122
3.7 Gold short-term non-agricultural comingFundamental analysis Tariff policy shows signs of easing, but risks have not been completely eliminated Recently, the United States has postponed the implementation of the auto import tariff plan for Canada and Mexico, which has eased the economic and trade tensions in North America to a certain extent. However, this postponement is not indefinite. More importantly, import tariffs in other countries and regions are still in the process of being prepared or implemented, and potential uncertainties may still erupt again at any time. Driven by a series of previous tariff policy news, gold prices have repeatedly received safe-haven support. Although there is a slight correction at present, it is still near the historical relative high. Technical analyst interpretation: Currently, gold is fluctuating around $2,900/ounce. Overall, bullish confidence remains solid, but it also faces a large technical barrier in the short term. The following are several key observation points: Key levels and support and resistance Intraday key level: $2,914/ounce If this position can be effectively broken through, it may attract more bulls to enter the market and pave the way for further impact of $2,934/ounce (R1). R1 resistance during the day: $2934/oz If the gold price breaks through this level, the next target will be $2950/oz (R2), and approach the historical high of $2956/oz on February 24. Once it approaches this high again, the market may experience a new round of violent fluctuations. S1 support below: $2899/oz, coinciding with the $2900/oz mark This area is a short-term long-short watershed. Once the shorts successfully suppress the price below $2900/oz, the bullish sentiment is vulnerable, and the risk of a short-term correction will also increase significantly. If it effectively falls below $2899/oz, the gold price may continue to fall to $2879/oz (S2), which is another possible long defensive position. High consolidation and correction risk From the overall market situation, the gold price has been strong since the end of last year, constantly refreshing the interim highs. However, as the market digests the Fed's expectations of rate cuts, bullish sentiment may be blunted at the current position. In addition, if the ECB or the United States' policy expectations change again, causing funds to reassess the prospects of global economic recovery and monetary policy, gold may also face certain pressure to fall from highs. Pay attention to the operation of gold prices in the range of $2,900-2,934/ounce: If the bulls continue to fail to break upward, it is advisable to be alert to the potential correction caused by high-level profit-taking; and once the positive news is released, the possibility of gold prices quickly breaking through $2,934/ounce and heading straight to the $2,950-2,956/ounce area cannot be ignored.
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
1
3.6 Technical Analysis of Short-term Gold OperationsThe US ADP employment data for February fell sharply. The market expected 140,000, but only 70,000 were released last night, which was cut in half. This data is not surprising. Since Musk established the efficiency department at the oval table on January 20, a large number of government employees have been reduced, and the reduction in employment is reasonable. However, the consensus is that the number of employed people will decrease, which is good for gold, and washing the market has become a routine operation. After the data was released, gold not only did not rise, but fell rapidly, all the way to $2,894, and it seemed that it was about to fall by a waterfall. At that time, I said internally that we should be careful of the double kill of longs and shorts, but it was pulled back to above $2,920 in the late trading. In 1 hour, the US market quickly returned to the top and bottom conversion of $2,894 last night. After this retracement, it was pulled up again, indicating that the market bulls are still dominant, but the current market is still dominated by fluctuations, not a unilateral rise, so try to avoid chasing more and wait for the decline before intervening. Today, the dividing point is still 2895-2900. We will continue to go long after the pullback. The upper target is 2920-2935 US dollars. The US dollar has begun to weaken. Gold is just in the process of brewing. The single negative on the weekly line does not form a stage top.
TVC:GOLDLong
by AIan_Gold
2
DeGRAM | DXY retest of channel boundaryThe DXY is in an ascending channel between trend lines. The price has approached the lower boundary of the channel and the support level coinciding with the 62% retracement level, but has not yet reached the lower trend line. On the 4H Timeframe, the indicators are in the oversold zone and on the 1H they have formed a bullish convergence. We expect a rebound. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
TVC:DXYLong
by DeGRAM
3
3.5 Technical Analysis of Short-term Gold OperationsThe non-farm payrolls (NFP) and consumer price index (CPI) data to be released this week will be the focus of market attention. If the data is strong, especially the inflation data is higher than expected, the market may reduce the bet on the Fed to cut interest rates. The market currently expects the Fed to cut interest rates by 75 basis points this year, an increase from the 44 basis points expected last week. Gold Technical Analysis - Daily Chart From the daily chart, gold received support near $2,832 last Friday and rebounded to $2,900 driven by tariff concerns. However, from this time frame, market information is limited, so it is necessary to further zoom in on the analysis period to get more details.
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
1
U.S. Dollar IndexHello Dear Traders This is the updated analysis of the DXY chart. Last week, I explained its bullish trend to you, and this week I was waiting for the necessary confirmations for entry based on last week’s analysis. With this 1-hour confirmation, we can say that this chart has fully turned bullish, and the targets remain as stated in the previous analysis. Therefore, we can consider sell entries on the Euro, Pound, Australian Dollar, and New Zealand Dollar, while conversely, we can enter buy positions on the Japanese Yen, Canadian Dollar, and Swiss Franc. Thank you for your support. A very simple and clear chart has been drawn for your use. Wishing you all success! Fereydoon Bahrami A retail trader in the Wall Street Trading Center (Forex) Risk Disclosure: Trading in the Forex market is risky due to high price volatility. This analysis is solely my personal opinion and should not be considered financial advice. Please do your own research. You are responsible for any profits or losses resulting from this analysis.
TVC:DXYLong
by fereydoon1199