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Dxyanalysis

$DXY MMSMIn my view, the DXY could have a bullish bias this week, but only as a correction after last week's sharp drop. The main bias is still bearish, as we are on the sell side of the curve. Therefore, long trades should be approached with caution since the price can reverse to the downside at any moment—after all, the market is sovereign, and only it determines its movements. I remain firmly bearish until the monthly range lows are taken out. I will only reconsider this outlook if the price holds at a high-timeframe PDA and institutional order flow (IOF) signals a potential shift in direction.
TVC:DXYShort
by Pilucax
DXY (Dollar Index) Ready to BUY? | Monthly FVG in Focus! 💰 Smart Money Preparing for a Bullish Move on DXY! The US Dollar Index (DXY) is approaching a key Monthly Fair Value Gap (FVG), which could act as a strong demand zone. If price reaches this level, we will look for confirmation on lower timeframes (H4/M15) before entering buys. 🔍 Why is this Important? ✅ Monthly FVG as a High-Probability Buy Zone ✅ Institutional Order Flow Aligning for a Bullish Reversal ✅ Strong Demand Expected at FVG ✅ DXY Strength = Bearish Pressure on Gold & Majors 📊 Key Market Levels: 🔹 Monthly FVG Buy Zone: 🔹 First Target: 🔹 Breakout Confirmation Above: 🔹 Invalidation Below: ⚡ Trading Plan: 📌 Wait for price to reach the Monthly FVG 📌 Look for Bullish Confirmation on H4/M15 (BOS, CHoCH, Liquidity Grab) 📌 Enter Buys Once Institutional Reversal is Confirmed 📌 Manage Risk – Watch CPI & FOMC Events 💥 Stronger DXY = Weak Gold & Bearish Pressure on Majors! 💬 Are you buying DXY at the Monthly FVG? Drop your thoughts below! 👇 #DXY #DollarIndex #Forex #SmartMoney #ICT #SMC #Liquidity #TradingView #OrderFlow
TVC:DXYLong
by twb1122
3.7 Gold short-term non-agricultural comingFundamental analysis Tariff policy shows signs of easing, but risks have not been completely eliminated Recently, the United States has postponed the implementation of the auto import tariff plan for Canada and Mexico, which has eased the economic and trade tensions in North America to a certain extent. However, this postponement is not indefinite. More importantly, import tariffs in other countries and regions are still in the process of being prepared or implemented, and potential uncertainties may still erupt again at any time. Driven by a series of previous tariff policy news, gold prices have repeatedly received safe-haven support. Although there is a slight correction at present, it is still near the historical relative high. Technical analyst interpretation: Currently, gold is fluctuating around $2,900/ounce. Overall, bullish confidence remains solid, but it also faces a large technical barrier in the short term. The following are several key observation points: Key levels and support and resistance Intraday key level: $2,914/ounce If this position can be effectively broken through, it may attract more bulls to enter the market and pave the way for further impact of $2,934/ounce (R1). R1 resistance during the day: $2934/oz If the gold price breaks through this level, the next target will be $2950/oz (R2), and approach the historical high of $2956/oz on February 24. Once it approaches this high again, the market may experience a new round of violent fluctuations. S1 support below: $2899/oz, coinciding with the $2900/oz mark This area is a short-term long-short watershed. Once the shorts successfully suppress the price below $2900/oz, the bullish sentiment is vulnerable, and the risk of a short-term correction will also increase significantly. If it effectively falls below $2899/oz, the gold price may continue to fall to $2879/oz (S2), which is another possible long defensive position. High consolidation and correction risk From the overall market situation, the gold price has been strong since the end of last year, constantly refreshing the interim highs. However, as the market digests the Fed's expectations of rate cuts, bullish sentiment may be blunted at the current position. In addition, if the ECB or the United States' policy expectations change again, causing funds to reassess the prospects of global economic recovery and monetary policy, gold may also face certain pressure to fall from highs. Pay attention to the operation of gold prices in the range of $2,900-2,934/ounce: If the bulls continue to fail to break upward, it is advisable to be alert to the potential correction caused by high-level profit-taking; and once the positive news is released, the possibility of gold prices quickly breaking through $2,934/ounce and heading straight to the $2,950-2,956/ounce area cannot be ignored.
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
1
3.6 Technical Analysis of Short-term Gold OperationsThe US ADP employment data for February fell sharply. The market expected 140,000, but only 70,000 were released last night, which was cut in half. This data is not surprising. Since Musk established the efficiency department at the oval table on January 20, a large number of government employees have been reduced, and the reduction in employment is reasonable. However, the consensus is that the number of employed people will decrease, which is good for gold, and washing the market has become a routine operation. After the data was released, gold not only did not rise, but fell rapidly, all the way to $2,894, and it seemed that it was about to fall by a waterfall. At that time, I said internally that we should be careful of the double kill of longs and shorts, but it was pulled back to above $2,920 in the late trading. In 1 hour, the US market quickly returned to the top and bottom conversion of $2,894 last night. After this retracement, it was pulled up again, indicating that the market bulls are still dominant, but the current market is still dominated by fluctuations, not a unilateral rise, so try to avoid chasing more and wait for the decline before intervening. Today, the dividing point is still 2895-2900. We will continue to go long after the pullback. The upper target is 2920-2935 US dollars. The US dollar has begun to weaken. Gold is just in the process of brewing. The single negative on the weekly line does not form a stage top.
TVC:GOLDLong
by AIan_Gold
2
DeGRAM | DXY retest of channel boundaryThe DXY is in an ascending channel between trend lines. The price has approached the lower boundary of the channel and the support level coinciding with the 62% retracement level, but has not yet reached the lower trend line. On the 4H Timeframe, the indicators are in the oversold zone and on the 1H they have formed a bullish convergence. We expect a rebound. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
TVC:DXYLong
by DeGRAM
3
3.5 Technical Analysis of Short-term Gold OperationsThe non-farm payrolls (NFP) and consumer price index (CPI) data to be released this week will be the focus of market attention. If the data is strong, especially the inflation data is higher than expected, the market may reduce the bet on the Fed to cut interest rates. The market currently expects the Fed to cut interest rates by 75 basis points this year, an increase from the 44 basis points expected last week. Gold Technical Analysis - Daily Chart From the daily chart, gold received support near $2,832 last Friday and rebounded to $2,900 driven by tariff concerns. However, from this time frame, market information is limited, so it is necessary to further zoom in on the analysis period to get more details.
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
1
U.S. Dollar IndexHello Dear Traders This is the updated analysis of the DXY chart. Last week, I explained its bullish trend to you, and this week I was waiting for the necessary confirmations for entry based on last week’s analysis. With this 1-hour confirmation, we can say that this chart has fully turned bullish, and the targets remain as stated in the previous analysis. Therefore, we can consider sell entries on the Euro, Pound, Australian Dollar, and New Zealand Dollar, while conversely, we can enter buy positions on the Japanese Yen, Canadian Dollar, and Swiss Franc. Thank you for your support. A very simple and clear chart has been drawn for your use. Wishing you all success! Fereydoon Bahrami A retail trader in the Wall Street Trading Center (Forex) Risk Disclosure: Trading in the Forex market is risky due to high price volatility. This analysis is solely my personal opinion and should not be considered financial advice. Please do your own research. You are responsible for any profits or losses resulting from this analysis.
TVC:DXYLong
by fereydoon1199
Short AUDUSD The Perfect Storm: Stagflation, GeopoliticsIn a world increasingly defined by geopolitical volatility and economic uncertainty, a perfect storm is brewing, casting a long shadow over the Australian dollar. The confluence of persistent stagflationary pressures, escalating trade tensions, and a resurgent U.S. dollar is creating a formidable headwind for the AUDUSD pair. This article delves into the intricate web of factors driving this bearish sentiment, offering a comprehensive analysis for macro traders and financial viewers seeking clarity amidst market turbulence. The Stagflationary Grip: A Global Economic Quagmire The global economic landscape is ensnared in a precarious dance between "sticky" inflation and a palpable slowdown. Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) remains stubbornly elevated, while Producer Price Index (PPI) figures signal continued upward pressure on consumer prices. This persistent inflation, coupled with a weakening housing market, declining consumer confidence, and a sharp contraction in global trade activity (as evidenced by the plummeting Shanghai and China Containerized Freight Indices), paints a stark picture of a "Stagflationary Weakness." www.census.gov The Federal Reserve finds itself trapped between a rock and a hard place, grappling with the unenviable task of taming inflation while averting a looming recession. Policy missteps are increasingly probable, further amplifying market anxieties. Geopolitical Fault Lines and Trade Wars: Fueling the Fire Adding to the economic woes are escalating geopolitical tensions and trade disputes. The contentious US-Ukraine situation, heightened US-China strategic competition (including technology decoupling and potential military tensions in the South China Sea), and the ever-present threat of cyberattacks are creating an environment of heightened risk aversion. President Trump's aggressive tariff policies, targeting Canada, Mexico, and China, have ignited fears of retaliatory measures and further disruptions to global trade flows. The market's reaction has been swift and decisive, with the S&P 500 experiencing consecutive weekly declines, reflecting growing investor unease. The AUDUSD Under Siege: A Technical and Fundamental Breakdown Against this backdrop, the AUDUSD pair is experiencing a decisive bearish breakdown. The U.S. dollar (DXY), fueled by its safe-haven appeal and the prevailing risk-off sentiment, is exhibiting robust strength, targeting 109.900. This dollar resurgence is exerting significant downward pressure on the risk-sensitive Australian dollar. Gaining Traction Amidst Global Uncertainty The AUDUSD has decisively breached the critical 0.64000 level, signaling a clear shift in market sentiment. While rising commodity prices, particularly in energy, have historically provided support for the AUD, the current environment is unique. Geopolitical risks and global economic uncertainties are overshadowing the positive impact of rising commodity prices. Technical indicators, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), confirm the bearish momentum. The 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day moving averages are all trending downwards, reinforcing the bearish outlook. Key Support Zone and Outlook: We have identified a key support zone between 0.61435 and 0.60838. This zone represents a potential area of consolidation or a temporary pause in the downtrend. However, given the strong bearish momentum and the prevailing fundamental factors, we anticipate a continued downward trajectory. Impact of Strong Dollar and Risk Aversion" Traders should closely monitor the DXY and global risk sentiment for further confirmation of the bearish trend. Any sustained break of the 0.64000 level would confirm the current outlook. The AUDUSD pair is currently navigating a perfect storm of stagflationary pressures, geopolitical risks, and a resurgent U.S. dollar. This confluence of factors has created a compelling bearish outlook, with technical indicators and fundamental analysis aligning to support continued downward momentum. In this environment, vigilance and a deep understanding of the global macroeconomic landscape are paramount. Traders must remain attuned to the evolving geopolitical and economic narratives, adapting their strategies to navigate the turbulent waters of the current market. FX:AUDUSD CAPITALCOM:DXY
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by TyrusL
DXY Correction Plays Out – Is a Reversal Next? Since the end of January, I have been anticipating a correction in the TVC:DXY , with a target around the 106 support level. This correction has unfolded as expected, with the Dollar Index touching 106 on Monday, followed by another test and reversal yesterday. A key observation is that since the early February spike, the DXY has been trading within a falling wedge—a pattern that often signals a potential reversal. What’s Next? ✅ Bullish confirmation would come with a daily close above the 106.60–106.70 zone. If this happens, we could see a move up to 108.50, a key resistance level. ✅ Interim resistance sits at 107.30, which could also act as a potential target for bulls. Trading Implications: If the Dollar Index confirms an upside breakout, it could present selling opportunities in FX:EURUSD , FX:GBPUSD , FX:AUDUSD , and TRADENATION:NZDUSD .
TVC:DXYLong
by Mihai_Iacob
1
XAUUSD BUY AND SELLGold price is unable to hold on to the modest gains booked on Wednesday as buyers and sellers enter a tug-of-war situation early Thursday, courtesy of the uncertainty around US President Donald Trump’s tariff plans and lingering US economic concerns. Gold price outlook appears more or less the same from a short-term technical perspective. So long as the Gold price defends the 21-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $2,890 and the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits above 50, the bullish potential will likely remain intact. Gold buyers could retest the all-time highs at $2,956 on acceptance above the previous day’s high of $2,930. The next topside barriers are seen at the $2,970 resistance and the $3,000 threshold. However, if sellers crack the 21-day SMA at $2,890 on a daily candlestick closing basis; the downside could open toward the February 14 low of $2,877. The last line of defense for Gold buyers is at the $2,850 psychological barrier. 🔥Buy Gold $2880 -> $2876 SL $2870 TP 1->$2885 >2->$2890 >3->$2900 🔥Sell Gold $2941 -> $2938 SL $2950 TP 1->$2935 >2->$2925 >3->$2910
OANDA:XAUUSD
by JasmineScalper
#DXY 4HDXY (4H Timeframe) Analysis Market Structure: The price is forming a falling wedge pattern, which is generally considered a bullish reversal pattern. This suggests that the downtrend is losing momentum, and a potential upward move could follow if the price breaks above the wedge resistance. Forecast: A buy opportunity may arise if the price confirms a breakout from the falling wedge pattern, signaling increased bullish pressure. Key Levels to Watch: - Entry Zone: A buy position can be considered after a confirmed breakout above the wedge resistance. - Risk Management: - Stop Loss: Placed below the recent swing low to manage risk. - Take Profit: Target key resistance levels based on previous price action. Market Sentiment: The falling wedge suggests potential bullish momentum. A confirmed breakout with strong price action can provide better validation for the buy setup.
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by PIPSFIGHTER
USDJPY AnalysisPotential Pullback Before Bearish Continuation USDJPY is currently in a downtrend, respecting the descending trendline. Price is approaching a key supply zone (151.00 - 151.50), where a potential reversal may occur. A short-term bullish correction could push price into this resistance area before continuing the overall bearish trend. If price rejects this level, we could see a drop towards 148.00 - 147.00. Bias: Bearish Key Levels: 📉 Resistance: 151.00 - 151.50 (Supply Zone) 📉 Target : 148.00 - 147.00 (Potential Downside) Watch for rejection patterns in the supply zone before entering shorts. What’s your outlook? Drop your thoughts below!
Short
by HAAADY