DXY Bullish again? rally from 102.600 back upOnce price mitigates and retests the daily demand zone I’ve marked out, I’ll be looking for the dollar (DXY) to trigger another bullish move within this point of interest (POI), potentially leading to a rally that could take out another all-time high (ATH).
Upon reaching this daily demand, I’ll focus on finding a lower time frame entry. As price pushes up, taking out the liquidity and filling the imbalance, I’ll be watching for potential short-term sell opportunities from the daily supply zone, which looks like a high-quality area.
Confluences for DXY Bullish Move:
Recent Bullish Momentum: Price has been strongly bullish.
Break of Structure (BOS): A clear BOS to the upside, leaving behind a demand zone.
Liquidity and Imbalance: Liquidity targets and imbalance above, providing room for a rally.
High-Quality Daily Demand: The daily demand zone is strong and has a good potential for a bullish push.
P.S. I wouldn’t be surprised if the daily supply also holds and causes a deep retracement, but we’ll see how the market reacts.
Have a great trading week guys!
Dxybearish
DXY (Dollar) Sells from 101.700For the DXY, my outlook is that the price will retrace back up to 101.700 before continuing its bearish trend with another drop. Since that point of interest (POI) is still far from the current price, I’ll be looking for a potential buy setup around the 100.800 area, which aligns with a 3-hour demand zone.
If the price respects this zone, it could generate enough momentum for the pullback. We’re already seeing a strong reaction from the 9-hour demand zone I marked last week, supporting this scenario. A further decline in the dollar will serve as a confluence for bullish moves in my other pairs.
Have a great trading week, everyone!
DXY (Dollar) Shorts from 101.600 back downMy outlook for the dollar is focused on scouting a bearish continuation. A 7-hour supply zone has emerged, and I'm looking for the price to enter this zone to trigger a bearish reaction, potentially creating a new leg to the downside.
If the supply zone is broken, I would then anticipate the price rallying higher into a more premium supply area. However, if the price heads down first, I expect the 9-hour demand zone to be violated, allowing for a better buying opportunity from the lower demand zone.
P.S.: Be cautious and trade with care, as PPI and CPI data are due this week. Keep an eye on Forex Factory for updates.
DXY | Market outlookJuly housing data was generally weak, with building permits down 4.0% to 1.396M and housing starts down 6.8% to 1.238M. The sector is under pressure as the Federal Reserve’s interest rates peak and may begin to decline soon. Yesterday, St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank Governor Alberto Musalem noted that macroeconomic data has strengthened the regulator’s confidence in inflation returning to the 2.0% target, so the adjustment of monetary policy looks timely, adding that the rise in unemployment to 4.3% was due to an increase in labor supply, not a loss of jobs.
DXY currently bearish ? (REACTION FROM 104.400)My DXY bias this week is to generally expect a greater downside. I anticipate a small retracement back up before making a new low. Given the recent significant news and the incident involving Donald Trump, we should be cautious and avoid trading at market open, as a major move or spike is likely due to its impact on the US economy.
Once the market settles, we will assess and adapt to the most probable scenarios. There's an 18-hour demand zone currently in play, and if price continues to drop, I expect a bullish reaction from the 21-hour demand zone.
DXY (Dollar Index) Shorts from 101.800 down to 100.800The outlook for the Dollar this week is a continuation of its bearish trajectory. With a recent downside break in structure, I anticipate a correction, expecting the price to retrace into the 14-hour supply zone.
Upon entering my Point of Interest (POI), I'll wait for price distribution and a change in character as a signal that the dollar is prepared for a decline. Additionally, I acknowledge the presence of imbalances above the supply, suggesting the potential for a break beyond this supply into a more premium area.
Confluences for Dollar Sells are as follows:
- This bias aligns with the current bearish trend that has been perpetuated.
- Lots of major trend lines, equal lows and asian lows below on the higher time frame.
- There's a14hr supply zone that has broken structure to the downside causing BOS.
- For price to maintain its bearish trend it must react off a supply to trigger another sell off.
P.S. While the dollar maintains an overall bullish stance on the higher time frame, it's only a matter of time before price sweeps liquidity and reacts strongly to a major supply. However, given the current bearish movement, It's advisable to follow the existing trend instead of opposing it for the time being.
If you guys have any interesting perspectives on this market, feel free to share down below!
DXY (Dollar Index) Shorts from 103.300 down towards 101.500My bias for the dollar this week remains bearish, leading me to seek pro-trend trades from any proximate valid supply zones. With the recent reaction from my prior 3-hour demand, I anticipate the price to continue its ascent to address the imbalances above.
Subsequently, my expectation is for the price to undergo distribution within a supply zone identified on the 14-hour chart, providing opportunities for selling positions on the way down. While acknowledging the possibility that the price may not ascend as high and instead continues to drop, I am prepared to wait for a new demand zone to seize potential buy opportunities in such a scenario.
Confluences for DXY Shorts are as follows:
- Price broke structure to the downside on the HTF, confirming a bearish bias.
- There's lots of liquidity left below in the form of trend line liquidity and asian lows.
- There's a clean 14hr supply zone that has caused the impulsive move to the downside in which I expect price to react from next.
- Since there are imbalances beneath the supply, it's probable that once the price addresses them, a bearish reaction will ensue from the supply.
P.S. My bearish stance on the dollar persists, prompted by the recent structural break observed on the higher time frame (HTF). This strengthens my inclination toward bearish positions, making me more inclined towards considering long positions for pairs like GBPUSD and EURUSD. If you guys have another take on this market I would love for you guys to leave a comment!
DXY Preparing for Another Leg Down! Grab This Next Short Entry!DXY confirmed its breakout from the bull channel to the downside and is currently showing some minor support at the 200EMA. I would expect the price gap from here to the 9EMA at 105.000 to close followed by another leg down. We have to be careful to not get caught in a 2 legged trap, which is also a possible outcome at this level.
How do we trade this?
Wait for a sell signal at the 9EMA with a strong bear bar closing on or near its low before entering a short.
Key Points
1. 200EMA Showing Some Support
2. Two Pushes down, Third Probable
3. Gap to fill to the 9EMA around 105.000.
4. Look for another Short entry at 105.000 with a sell signal
You are solely responsible for your trades, trade at your own risk!
Let us know what you think in the comment section below!
Potential Shark DXY...Dollar is consolidating, going to wait for confirmation of direction on the DXY too before taking any USD based positions, unmitigated supply above and liquidity building below, price will probably tap supply and break to the downside towards the shark D point, but let's see!
Let me know your thoughts!
* Disclaimer **
These ideas I never trade until the end target with my initial lots, I focused on high probable entries with higher lots and use a specific partial taking strategy giving me a very high win rate and take most of my profits very early, I only leave a small % of my capital to run the entire trade. On the flip side im constantly monitoring LTF momentum and will close early if things change, these analysis's are for research purposes only.
DXY-US DOLLAR INDEX--- BEARS TAKING OVER-SHORTThe markets are now correction and despite the fact the dollar has had a slow rally in 285 days it struggles to gain momentum and stay bullish. Now you can see from the charts that its heading into some sort of consolidation zone and I would personally short the dollar if I were trading it. I do not have any open positions on the DXY and I would watch it carefully. It seems like it would go bearish after a consolidation period the break out to the downside. Find out whats happeing with the dollar here in this TA Video...
Disclaimer
I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this TA,(Technical Analysis) are for informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute financial, investment, trading, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using or reading this technical analysis or site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this analysis, or post.
DXY!!!As I expected just hit the top of the right shoulder. We will see next week if it goes up or heads down to complete the Head and Shoulder pattern.
If it is goes down and completes Head and shoulder we can see some long positions on USD pairs. I see this high possibility to goes down.
Today USD did some strong moves but I am still bearish on USD!!!
please share your opinion on the comment. Any comment suggestions are appreciated. Thank you
DXY BEARISH REJECTION TO NEW LOWS?The dollar has been in a downtrend since late March 2019 and I'm expecting a bearish rejection off the 50DMA. If this were to happen I expect us to reach new lows, which would be very good for stocks and crypto markets.
Inversely if the dollar is able to break the turquoise downtrend line then that will be a worrisome signal. One thing to take note on is there is a record amount of dollar shorts so at some point there will be a dollar short squeeze.
I still believe that we will at least hit the monthly 200MA though and remain bullish on the markets.
Remember this is only my formed analysis outlook. This is not an endorsement or recommendation to buy or sell.