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Dxyforecast

DXY AFTER CPI AND PPI US RELEASEHELLO DEAR TRADERS I think we have currently created a short-term bottom on DXY and we need to go retest the zone of interest US PPI release yesterday was lower than expected and these numbers did not help us at all. Dollar takes another hit. We will see how the FED reacts in mid-December to the positive feedback from the economy due to the increase in interest rates The current one-time declaration of inflation numbers smaller than expected does not seem to me to be enough for the dollar to change its current trend. I haven't seen a single statement from the FED that they currently plan to ease the monetary policy of aggressively raising rates. If this opinion is still in their statements in December, despite the current numbers, I think we will go lower again on the equity markets. Do not forget that November and December may once again be the months when inflation shows that it is not yet at its peak. People spend a lot on Christmas
TVC:DXYLong
by Crypto-Frantisek
3
DXY MOVE NEXT WEEK The dollar is still resisting the rise and it has signs of weakness, and I expect the next movement to be downward, especially with the somewhat lower inflation and the comments of the Monetary Policy Committee from the Federal Reserve members to reduce interest rates on the US dollar during the coming months. We wait and see what next week has in store for us. What do you think of the strength of the dollar currently? Is it subject to more collapses, or will it have a word next week that contradicts all expectations? The four golden rules of trading 1 Don't be greedy 2 Always use stop loss 3 Never add other positions to the losing positions 4 Use a suitable lot for your account ❤️Please, support our work with like & comment!❤️
TVC:DXYShort
by zaidhatem
DXY Daily TA Neutral BearishDXYUSD daily guidance is neutral with a bearish bias. Recommended ratio: 40% DXY, 60% Cash. *I violated the House Rules for showcasing private indicators that I didn't create and was put in timeout in addition to my previous 5 ideas being hidden. Sorry I guess.* *Investors are fleeing DXY and their Fixed Income trades and moving back into Risk-On assets as market participants seem to think that the Fed is going to slow down rates hikes by opting for 50bps vs 75bps on December 14th. Meanwhile Ukraine continues to operate with half of the country's energy capacity as the winter continues to get colder and has appealed to President Biden to consider sending Gray Eagle Drones to aid in their defense against Russia . Tomorrow is a big day for economic data in the US with Manufacturing PMI, Consumer Sentiment, New Homes Sales and the FOMC Minutes all due to report. It's important to remain prepared for a reversal back to DXY and US Treasuries if the numbers don't support the "inflation is coming down" narrative. TIPS are still attractive until CPI comes down consistently. Equities, Equity Futures, Cryptos, Commodities, JPYUSD, GBPUSD, EURUSD, CNYUSD, NI225 and N100 are up. DXY, US Treasuries, VIX and HSI are down. Key Upcoming Dates: S&P US Manufacturing PMI at 945am EST 11/23 ; UofM November Consumer Sentiment Index at 10am EST 11/23 ; US October New Homes Sales at 10am EST 11/23 ; FOMC Minutes at 2pm EST 11/23 ; 6th GDPNow US Q4 GDP estimate 11/23 ; 2nd BEA Estimate of US Q3 GDP at 830am (EST) 11/30; October PCE Index at 830am EST 12/01; Last FOMC Rate Hike Announcement of 2022 at 2pm EST 12/14. * Price is currently trending down at $107.15 after being rejected by $108 resistance. Parabolic SAR flips bullish at $109.73, this margin is mildly bullish. RSI is currently testing 39.43 resistance, if it can break above this level then the next resistance is the uptrend line from July 2020 at 49 resistance. Stochastic remains bullish and is currently trending up at 39 as it approaches a test of 45.65 resistance. MACD remains bearish and is currently trending up off of -1.21 support, if it can get above -1.05 this would be a bullish crossover. ADX is currently trending sideways at 25 as Price attempts to recapture its uptrend, this is neutral at the moment. If Price is able to bounce here then it will likely aim to retest $108 resistance before potentially pushing higher to test $110 minor resistance . However, if Price continues down here, it will likely test the 200MA at ~$105 as support for the first time since June 2021 before potentially retesting the uptrend line from May 2021 at $103.15 support . Mental Stop Loss: (two consecutive closes above) $108.04.
TVC:DXY
by dailytaguy
DXY can rise again above 109After the break under the last ascending trend line started in mid-August on 21st Oct and a retest of this break at the beginning of Nov, DXY continued its drop and also broke under horizontal support and the long-term trend line 5 days after. This important break led to aggressive losses and a test of the following horizontal support at the 105 zone. Now the index is in recovery and a rise to the 109 zone could follow. I'm bullish USD as long as last week's low is intact and selling rallies for EurUsd, AudUsd, NzdUsd and GbpUsd could be a goos strategy
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by Mihai_Iacob
2
DXY - LONG | CHART PATTERNDXY has broken its bullish cycle and we are about to head into a strong general Bearish Trend . As a day trader, The Daily, 4H, and 1H tend to be my go-to timeframes, and on these time frames, the market has broken to the downside, breaking through the trend, so a correction or retracement is imminent. The Formation of the BULLISH Triangle on the 4H timeframe, shows the incoming of a Bullish short time move for next week. The PINBAR on the weekly time frame acts as a strong indicator for this to happen, I will watch out for the price action of the various support level that price might act on.
TVC:DXYLong
by MaximFxBoss
DXY Daily TA Cautiously BearishDXYUSD daily guidance is cautiously bearish. Recommended ratio: 20% DXY, 80% Cash. *DXY and Long-Term US Treasuries are down after a barely dovish October CPI print that has investors thinking that the Fed is going to somehow pause rates hikes in 2023 or slow down on December 14th. Equities benefited from this and if it wasn't for the FTX/Alameda fallout then Cryptos may also be benefitting from this recent transition back to Risk-On. Bad headlines keep coming out for FTX as a large portion of their remaining assets (around ~$700m) were "illegally moved" last night after they filed for Chapter 11 Bankruptcy earlier in the day; after hearing about the FTX backdoors that only SBF and 3 other people knew of, it's hard not to be skeptical of who orchestrated this. The Fed has made it abundantly clear that they still have a ways to go before bringing the federal funds rate to a sufficiently restrictive level, and if there's one thing that we learned in 2020 and this year, it's to not fight the Fed. Keep an eye out for what Russia decides to do about the Grain Deal with Ukraine that's set to expire next Saturday 11/19. Key Upcoming Dates: Fourth GDPNow Q4 GDP estimate 11/16; US October Retail Sales at 830am EST 11/16; US October Building Permits and Housing Starts at 830am EST 11/17; Russia/Ukraine Grain Deal Expiration on 11/19; 2nd Estimate of US Q3 GDP at 830am (EST) 11/30; October PCE Index at 830am EST 12/01; Last FOMC Rate Hike Announcement of 2022 at 2pm EST 12/14 . * Price is currently trending down at ~$106.41 and broke below $108.04 support after falling 4% on the CPI report. Parabolic SAR is bullish at the moment. RSI is currently trending down at 32 with no signs of trough formation, the next support is at 23. Stochastic remains bearish and is currently trending down at 10.25 as it approaches a retest of 9 support. MACD remains bearish and is currently trending down at -0.75 as it approaches a test of -0.83 support for the first time since July 2020. ADX is currently trending up at 16 after forming a trough at 13 as Price continues falling, this is mildly bearish at the moment. If Price is able to bounce here then it will likely test $108.04 resistance . However, if Price keeps going down, it will likely test the 200MA at ~$104.75 as support for the first time since June 2021. Mental Stop Loss: (two consecutive closes above) $108.04.
TVC:DXY
by dailytaguy
The dollar breaks an uptrend 👌Is the dollar trip over? Is it the beginning of the fall of the dollar? - With the release of inflation data, which came contrary to what the dollar wished, and with what the trader wished. the dollar fell nearly 300 points, heading towards the 107 support. It reduces the rate to 50 percent by the end of this year, and if it continues in this manner, inflation may decline faster and at a higher rate than before. - Everything may happen. We are on the cusp of an annual closure, so please be careful with your trading, and that greed does not take you and not manage risks towards the unknown, please.
TVC:DXYShort
by zaidhatem
1
DXY: A MOVE WE ALL WISH FOR.Hello guys, here's an update on DXY in 2 days timeframe. The US dollar index is currently holding long-term support ever since early 2022. In this span of 10 months, we have seen the DXY bounce back making a higher high. This allowed DXY to form a nice rising wedge pattern and now once again we come to the point where DXY will either bounce back or break down. I wish DXY could play out according to the chart because this will mean a good green rally incoming in the crypto market. A bounce, on the other hand, will show some more bearish moves and will lead the market to drop further low. I am anxiously waiting for a breakdown. Will it happen now or after one last bounce? To know the answer, we will have to wait for the next weekly candle to close. I hope this update is helpful for you all. Trade safely.
TVC:DXYShort
by Dexter_The_Trader
5
DXY Daily TA Neutral BearishDXYUSD daily guidance is neutral with a bearish bias. Recommended ratio: 40% DXY, 60% Cash. * The US October Employment Situation today reported 261k nonfarm payroll jobs added (vs 250k expected), a 0.2% increase in unemployment and a 62.2% labor force participation rate. These numbers hardly reflect monetary tightening (labor force participation rate has remained largely unchanged since Covid-19 lockdowns) nor a recessionary environment. If CPI comes in lower on the 10th it will likely help soften the Fed's stance on inflation but as it stands now, the Federal Reserve is likely to increase the funds rate by another 75bps in December. If CPI comes in higher on the 10th, 100bps would likely be on the table come December 14th. The Russia/Ukraine grain deal that Putin resumed this past Wednesday will expire on 11/19/22 and there have been no commitments to extension thus far. Chinese stocks are in rally mode as rumors regarding a reopening from Covid restrictions are beginning to circulate. Key Upcoming Dates: Third GDPNow US Q4 GDP Estimate 11/09; US October CPI at 830am EST 11/10; UofM November Consumer Sentiment Survey at 10am EST 11/11; Russia/Ukraine Grain Deal Expiration on 11/19; 2nd Estimate of US Q3 GDP at 830am (EST) 11/30; Last FOMC Rate Hike Announcement of 2022 at 2pm EST 12/14 .* Price is currently trending down at $110.78 and is still technically testing the 50MA at $111.15 as support. Parabolic SAR flips bearish at ~$109.61, this margin is bearish at the moment. RSI is currently trending down at 45.84 with no signs of trough formation and is on the brink of losing both 49.10 support and the uptrend line from July 2020 as support; the next support is at 39.43. Stochastic is currently on the verge of crossing over bearish as it tests 68.24 resistance. MACD remains bearish after a failed bullish crossover and is currently trending down at 0.035 as it approaches a potential retest of -0.065 support. ADX is currently trending down slightly at 13.70 as Price continues to try to push higher, this is mildly bearish at the moment. If Price is able to bounce off of the 50MA as support then it will likely retest the local-high of ~114 as resistance . However, if Price continues to break down here, it will likely retest $110 minor support . Mental Stop Loss: (two consecutive closes above) $111.20.
TVC:DXY
by dailytaguy