DXY Dollar Next Possible Move#DXY Dollar
- According to the Long Time Frame #LTF we have BEARISH CHANNEL and Rejected from the Lower Trend Line #LTL
- Buying Divergence in #RSI
- We have IMPULSE CORRECTION IMPULSE - Completed the Correction " ABC " and Again Following IMPULSIVE WAVE
- RISING WEDGE in Short Time Frame #STF
Dxyforecast
dxy #1this is a turning point for dxy it did create a lower high last week close also opened with a gap
also has a lot of trend line liquidity resting below and the external trend is still down
now on the flip side there is equal highs and also dxy could push up to the 112 area which would be a nice discounted move
DXY New Week Possible Move#DXY - DOLLAR
FALLING WEDGE Pattern in Long Time Frame #LTF and Rejection from the Lower Trend Line #LTL
Impulse Correction Impulse Completed the " ABC " Corrective Wave will Again Follow Impulsive Wave ( Bullish )
Buying Divergence in #RSI
Falling Wedge Pattern also in Short Time Frame #STF and Breakout of the Upper Trend Line #UTL and Completed the Retest
Bullish Moves Expected till the Upper Trend Line #UTL or Fibonacci Level - 61.80%
20 REASON FOR SHORT DOLLER INDEX1 Structure analysis time frame DAILY
2 target time frame :DAILY
3 Current Move : IMPULSE
4 Entry Time Frame : H4
4.1 Entry TF Structure: BEARISH
4.2 entry move : RETRACEMENT
5 Suppot resistence base : H1 ORDER BLOCK BLOCK
6 FIB: DISCOUNTES AREA
7 candle Pattern: MOMENTUM ENGULFING
8 Chart Pattern: RISING WEDGE BREAKOUT
9 Volume : DRIED
10 Momentum UNCONVENTIONAL Rsi: SIDEWAYS
11 Volatility measure bollinger bands: POSSIABLE DIVERGENCE MOVE
12 strength ADX: BEARISH
13 Sentiment ROC: STRONG BUT ITS A DAILY CORRECTION
14 final comment : GOING DOWN FOR A FINAL TARGET
15 : decision SELL
16 Entry: 110.540
17 Stop losel: 111.090
18 Take profit: 108.260
19 Risk to reward Ratio: 1:4
Excepted Duration : 4 DAYS
DXY Daily TA Cautiously BearishDXYUSD daily guidance is cautiously bearish. Recommended ratio: 25% DXY, 75% Cash.
* 50MA RESISTANCE TEST. Both PCE price index and Core (without food and energy) for September saw the same increase from the August report , with PCE increasing 0.3% from August and Core increasing 0.5%. Though some may see this as plateauing, it's a bit premature and doesn't negate the fact that PCE is still increasing. Federal funds rate traders are still betting on a 75bps rate hike next Tuesday. The first GDPNow US Q4 GDP estimate is 3.1% ; the last Q3 GDP estimate was 2.6%. DXY, US Treasuries, Cryptos, Equities, Equity Futures and GBPUSD are up while Commodities, CNYUSD, JPYUSD, EURUSD and VIX are down. Key Upcoming Events: 2nd GDPNow US Q4 GDP estimate 11/01; FOMC Statement at 2pm EST 11/02; October Employment Situation at 830am (EST) 11/04; 2nd Estimate of US Q3 GDP at 830am (EST) 11/30.*
Price is currently trending down at ~$110.70 after getting rejected by the 50MA at ~$111 as resistance on the first test, the next support (minor) is at ~$110. Parabolic SAR flips bullish at $113.45, this margin is mildly bullish at the moment. RSI is currently trending up slightly at 46 as it approaches a test of the uptrend line from July 2020 as resistance at ~47, if it's able to break above then it will likely test 49.10 minor resistance. Stochastic crossed over bullish in today's session after bouncing off of 9 support, the next resistance is at 24. MACD remains bearish and is beginning to show signs of trough formation as it tests -0.065 support. ADX is currently trending down slightly at 15 as Price continues to fall, this is mildly bullish at the moment; if ADX doesn't form a trough and Price keeps falling, this would imply that the bull run isn't over.
If Price is able to breakout above the 50MA at ~$111 as resistance then it will likely retest the 1-month high of $113.95 as resistance . However, if Price continues to trend down here, it will likely retest $110 minor support . Mental Stop Loss: (two consecutive closes above) $111.
dxyso on the smaller time frame dxy created a double bottom im looking for a retest of a 5min ob and also if you look closely theres a fair value gap in that same area if that area holds we can see a bullish ny session for dxy most likely im still bearish dxy this is just a pull back for the next real move
dxy up or downa niceeeeee down move giving you direction on all the other dxy pairs but this dollar weakness could be coming to a pause as it approaches this key level
now with that being said it could just break down at this level and go fill that fair value gap and cause a nice up move for gold
we have to see how price develops here but it is a point of intrest everyone should be watching
DXY is facing key support zoneSince the end of September, Dxy has had 3 attempts to conquer 114 figure and failed each time.
On Monday the index broke down the rising trend line that kept price elevated since August and an aggressive drop followed.
At this moment the price hovers above the support area (108-109 zone) and a resumption to the up move can follow.
Dips against 107.50 should be bought for a rise towards 112.
DXY Dollar Next Possible Move#DXY Dollar
Time Frame - M45
IMPULSE CORRECTION IMPULSE Completed will again Follow IMPULSIVE WAVE ( Bullish )
According to Long Time Frame #LTF - ELLIOT WAVE " 123 " Wave formed will Follow Long to complete " 4 "
In Short Time Frame #STF It has completed ELLIOT TRIPLE COMBO " WXYXZ" Wave will make ELLIOT DOUBLE WAVE " XYZ "
Rejection from the Previous Strong Support Level
Buying Divergence #RSI
DXY Daily TA Cautiously BearishDXYUSD daily guidance is cautiously bearish. Recommended ratio: 15% DXY, 85% Cash.
* BOUNCE WATCH . DXY, US Treasuries and VIX are down while EURUSD, GBPUSD, JPYUSD, CNYUSD, Cryptos, Equities, Equity Futures and Commodities are up. US October Consumer Confidence dropped to 102.5 from 107.8 in September as consumers are beginning to expect economic decline in the short to medium term. Russia told the UN today about their fear of a Ukrainian 'dirty bomb' ploy to accuse Russia of using tactical nuclear warfare . This type of strategy was most recently used in the Crimea bridge explosion incident which Russia was quick to pin on Ukraine, it's based on a kind of Red Herring fallacy in relevance called Circumstantial Ad Hominem where one arguer claims that the other's personal situation or perceived benefit from advancing a conclusion means that it's the wrong conclusion. Key Upcoming Dates: US September New Home Sales at 10am EST 10/26 ; Alphabet Q3 Earnings and Microsoft Q1 Earnings 10/26; 20th and Final GDPNow US Q3 GDP estimate 10/26 ; US Q3 GDP First Estimate at 830am EST 10/27; Amazon Q3 and Apple Q4 Earnings 10/28; US September PCE Price Index at 8am 10/28; FOMC Statement at 2pm EST 11/02.*
Price is trending down and currently testing the 50 MA at ~$110.75 as support, the next support (minor) is at ~110. Parabolic SAR flips bullish at ~$113.90, this margin is mildly bullish at the moment. RSI is currently trending down at 45 and is on the verge of losing support of the uptrend line from July 2020 at 49 minor support, the next support is at 39.43. Stochastic remains bearish and is currently testing 9 support with no signs of trough formation. MACD remains bearish after breaking down below 0.65 support and is currently trending down at 0.34 with no signs of trough formation as it approaches 0.24 support. ADX is trending down at 17 with no signs of trough formation as Price is beginning to breakdown, this is neutral at the moment.
If Price is able to bounce here than it will likely retest ~$112 as resistance before potentially retesting the one-month-high of $114 as resistance . However, if Price breaks down below the 50 MA, it will likely retest $110 minor support . Mental SL: (two consecutive closes above) $112.
DXY Potential pullback and fall to supportWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
**DXY - Listen to video!
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