Here’s an analysis of the DXY on the 1-hour chart, Here’s an analysis of the DXY on the 1-hour chart, with your updated target of 107.100:
Current Analysis
Trend Overview:
The dollar index (DXY) is in a clear downtrend on the 1-hour chart, forming lower highs and lower lows.
Momentum indicators like RSI are likely staying below 50, reinforcing bearish sentiment.
Key Resistance Zone (108.100):
This is the potential sell zone, where the price may face rejection.
Look for a bearish candlestick pattern at or near this level (e.g., shooting star, evening star, bearish engulfing) to confirm the entry.
Support Zones on the Path to 107.100:
Intermediate Support 107.500: DXY might consolidate or bounce slightly here, as it's a possible reaction point.
Final Target 107.100: This aligns with a major support level from prior price action or Fibonacci retracement zones.
Indicators to Watch
RSI:
If RSI is below 40, it confirms strong bearish momentum.
Any divergence (e.g., higher low on RSI while price makes a lower low) near 107.500 or 107.100 could signal weakening downside momentum.
MACD:
Look for a bearish crossover (MACD line crossing below the signal line) as confirmation to enter or hold the trade.
Volume:
A spike in volume near resistance (108.100) supports rejection. Similarly, decreasing volume near the target (107.100) could indicate trend exhaustion.
Trade Setup for 1-Hour Chart
Sell Entry: Around 108.100 (resistance zone).
Take Profit (Target): 107.100.
Stop Loss: Around 108.300, slightly above resistance, to account for volatility.
TVC:DXY
Dxyindex
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DXY: USD is likely to continue dominate the market! Dear Traders,
DXY has been in news ever since US Election results came out in the market. We expect price to reverse after making small correction, once the correction has been made we can correlate dxy and trade dxy pairs. Good luck and trade safe!
EURUSD Downtrend Holds Steady: Time to Go ShortEURUSD experienced a sharp decline earlier today, following the release of key economic data that spurred renewed bearish momentum. The market reaction was swift, with sellers overwhelming buyers and driving the price lower. After this initial move, the pair is now staging a pullback, attempting to recover some ground as it approaches a critical resistance zone. This retracement presents a significant technical setup that could dictate the pair’s next major move.
The current pullback is bringing the price closer to the resistance zone around 1.04300, a level that has proven pivotal in the past. Historical price action highlights this area as a confluence zone, marked by prior reversals and intensified trading activity. As the price approaches this region, signs of exhaustion are becoming increasingly evident. On closer examination of the candlestick patterns, rejection candles—characterized by long upper wicks and small bodies—are forming near this resistance level. These candles suggest that buyers are struggling to push the price higher, while sellers are beginning to regain control.
A deeper look at the 1-hour chart reveals a clear ABCD pullback pattern, a widely recognized harmonic structure in technical analysis. This pattern indicates a measured retracement within a broader downtrend, providing traders with potential entry points for the continuation of the trend. In this case, the "AB" leg represents the initial bearish impulse, the "BC" leg corresponds to the current corrective move, and the anticipated "CD" leg signals the likely continuation of the downward movement. If the pattern completes as expected, the price is likely to reverse from the resistance zone near 1.04300 and resume its descent.
The broader market sentiment further supports a bearish outlook. Macroeconomic conditions, combined with the technical dynamics of the pair, point to continued selling pressure. The recent news release acted as a catalyst, intensifying the downward momentum, and this sentiment is unlikely to change unless there is a significant shift in market fundamentals. Additionally, the lack of follow-through by buyers in the pullback phase underscores the strength of the prevailing bearish trend.
From a technical perspective, the resistance zone around 1.04300 holds immense importance. Not only does it align with the upper boundary of the ABCD pattern, but it also coincides with a key Fibonacci retracement level and a psychological price barrier. These overlapping factors create a strong confluence area, increasing the likelihood of a reversal. If the price fails to break above this zone, the bearish momentum is expected to accelerate, targeting the next significant support zone around 1.03260.
The support zone at 1.03260 represents a critical area where buyers may reenter the market. This level has acted as a demand zone in the past, providing temporary relief from selling pressure. However, given the strength of the current bearish trend, a test of this level seems increasingly likely. Traders should watch for additional confirmation signals, such as bearish candlestick formations or increased selling volume, as the price approaches the resistance zone.
It’s also worth considering potential invalidation levels. Should the price manage to break and sustain above the 1.04300 resistance, the bearish scenario would need to be reassessed. Such a move could indicate a shift in market dynamics, opening the door for a potential bullish reversal. However, until that happens, the dominant trend remains bearish.
In conclusion, EURUSD continues to exhibit strong bearish momentum, with the current pullback offering an opportunity to position for the continuation of the downtrend. As the pair approaches the 1.04300 resistance zone, the technical and fundamental landscape suggests that the bearish trend is likely to resume. My primary target remains the support zone at 1.03260, which aligns with prior swing lows and key technical levels. Traders should remain cautious and monitor key levels closely, ensuring that their risk management strategies are firmly in place.
DXY Bullish trend continue**Monthly Chart**
The Sept 24 candle formed an inside candle after it swept the liquidity from the previous candle low and tested the low of the July 2023 monthly candle at the midpoint of April 22 Fair Bullish Value Gap (IPA).
The Oct 24 candle closed as a bullish engulfing candle, suggesting a strong bullish move for DXY in the next few months.
This month's candle (which is still active) continued the strong bullish move for the DXY and took the liquidity above 106.49 and 107.34. I am still expecting DXY to at least move to test 110.00 before looking for any bearish structure.
**Weekly Chart**
Last week's candle closed bullish after swept liquidity above 107.348 level. Since DXY already took the liquidity. For Now, for DXY to continue the upward trend, it needs to form a bullish structure on smaller time frames for one more bush higher at least to test the low of 24 Oct 2022 weekly candle at 109.535 level.
**Daily Chart**
I would like to see DXY retrace lower at least to test 0.50 or 0.618 Fibs levels and FVG on the daily chart and form bullish confirmation for another push higher this week.
This means a bearish continuation for opposite pairs to USD. Such as GBPUSD, EURUSD, AUDUSD..etc.
Note: I don’t trade DXY but I use it as an indication when analyzing other currency pairs linked to USD.
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#DXY 1DAYDXY Daily Analysis
The DXY (US Dollar Index) is trading near a trendline resistance on the daily chart. This resistance is a critical level where selling pressure may dominate. A breakdown below the nearby support line would confirm bearish momentum, offering a strong sell opportunity for further downside.
Technical Outlook:
Pattern: Trendline Resistance
Forecast: SELL (Sell Opportunity upon Support Breakdown)
Entry Strategy: Enter a sell position once the price breaks below the support line and confirms the breakdown with bearish price action, such as a strong close below the support or a retest of the broken level as resistance.
Traders should watch indicators like RSI for overbought conditions or MACD for a bearish crossover. Use proper risk management by placing stop-loss orders above the trendline and setting profit targets at subsequent key support zones.
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Target 🎯 : 107.500
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DXY- Will it continue up into year's end?December is usually a bearish month for the USD. However, this time, the situation could be different. The USD seems well-supported by fundamentals, and the technicals are looking bullish.
Looking at the 4-hour chart, we can see that after the local high at 108, the index started to fall and broke below the support from the April-May highs (old resistance). However, after hitting a low at the 105.50 zone, the USD Index reversed, breaking above the falling trendline of the corrective falling wedge and also reclaiming the 106.40 resistance.
At this moment, there is a high chance of upward continuation, and as long as the 106–106.40 zone remains intact, the outlook remains valid.
Is USD Setting Up for a Retrace?👀 👉 The DXY (USD) has shown strong momentum, rebounding sharply from a key support level and pushing into this 4H resistance zone. In my view, the price seems overextended, and I’m anticipating a retracement within the current price swing range back to equilibrium. 📢 *Disclaimer: This content is not financial advice.
Risk ON-Bearish stance on Dollar indexFor longer Term I'm focusing on 99.500 level which is 15 July 2023 low.
As price already clear the Buyside liquidity which was resting above Oct 2023 High.And price broke the Bullish structure on daily Time Frame and now price is accumulating shorts for the new move.In my opinion dollar is making its anchor point for the move.
Analyzing DXY: Key Clues for USD Pair Trading Opportunities👀👉 In this video, we dive into the DXY index and analyze its bearish break of market structure on the 4-hour chart, highlighting the mounting pressure on the dollar. We discuss the importance of monitoring price action through the London session into the New York open, waiting for potential liquidity runs and pullbacks before the daily or weekly trend emerges. Learn how the DXY provides vital clues for trading correlated and inversely correlated currency pairs, unlocking potential opportunities across the forex market. Don’t miss these key insights to stay ahead in your trading! Not financial advice.📊✅
DOLLAR DROPPING?This week, I anticipate the DXY to retrace before continuing its recent bearish trend. Since reaching the weekly supply level, the price has consistently formed lower lows and lower highs. This bearish momentum aligns with the bullish trends seen in pairs like GBP/USD and EUR/USD, which I use as additional confluence.
I’ll be watching for the price to retrace to around 106.400, a key area for potential sell opportunities on the dollar. This level aligns well with points of interest (POIs) in my other forex pairs, adding further confidence to this setup.
Note: As we approach the final month of the quarter and year, market conditions may become less predictable due to lower volume. Stay alert, but manage expectations accordingly.
Stay vigilant, and trade safe!
DXY index
Hello traders,
I would like to discuss the DXY (U.S. Dollar Index). The price has reached the monthly Fair Value Gap (FVG), and all the buy stops indicated on the chart are now in play. Additionally, the daily and 4-hour timeframes are showing signals that suggest a downward movement.
After a pullback to the 107 zone, this could present a good opportunity for a short position.
---
If you have any specific areas you’d like to focus on or further questions, feel free to let me know!
Shorting the Dollar: A Madman's GameI’m going to take this trade—it's close enough to the level where it would invalidate my idea. I may tighten my stops a bit, but I’m okay with taking a second shot later if I get stopped out.
The Dollar is indeed strong right now, so I’m going against the trend here. I’ll be aggressively taking profits if it dips a bit. If we push past 106.75, I might consider shorting it.
This price action is looking very similar to the July-September 2023 move.
TVC:DXY
USD Index // Preparation for the ExpansionThe Dollar Index is bearish on the daily, within the valid daily countertrend.
The H4 long countertrend is also valid, and since in this trend, there is no space to trade, I'm waiting for the market to turn south in the direction of the daily short trend.
My trigger is at the H4 breakout. Once this level is broken, I'm in to ride the wave down to the daily breakout (blue) and maybe to the weekly breakout (purple).
The correction fibo is drawn with thin black dashed lines, and 38.2 is pretty much in line with the daily breakout, therefore, a nice target.
Going for the correction fibo 50 is a bit more risky, and there is the weekly breakout along the way.
Stay Patient, Stay Disciplined!
🏄🏼♂️
And feel free to express your opinion in the comments! 🙂
Bit Digital, Inc. ($BTBT): High-Risk, High-Reward OpportunityBit Digital, Inc. ( NASDAQ:BTBT ): High-Risk, High-Reward Opportunity
Trade Setup:
- Entry Price: $4.30
- Stop-Loss:** $3.34
- Take-Profit Target: $8.40
- Long-Term Target: $16.77
Rationale:
Bit Digital, Inc. is a digital asset mining company focusing on Bitcoin. The stock has exhibited significant volatility, often influenced by the performance of the cryptocurrency market. This setup presents a high-risk, high-reward opportunity, appealing to traders with a higher risk tolerance.
Financial Performance:
In Q3 2024, Bit Digital reported a net loss of $2.69 million, with total revenue of $98 million over the trailing twelve months. The company's financial performance is closely tied to Bitcoin's market dynamics.
Volume and Short Interest:
The stock has experienced increased volatility, correlating with Bitcoin's price movements and recent company expansions. The acquisition of renewable energy assets reflects a strategic move towards sustainable operations.
Analyst Ratings:
Analyst sentiment is mixed, with some maintaining a "Buy" rating and price targets around $6.00, indicating potential upside from the current price.
Risk Management:
Given the stock's volatility, strict adherence to the stop-loss at $3.34 is crucial to manage potential losses. The take-profit target of $8.40 offers a favourable risk-reward ratio, but traders should be prepared for significant price fluctuations.
When the Market’s Call, We Stand Tall. Bull or Bear, Just Ride the Wave!
*Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Traders should conduct their own due diligence before making investment decisions.*