Dxyindex
#DXY 1W chartLet's update our #Dxy 1W chart;
100$ already seen.
The pattern I mentioned before continues, I was wondering if it would only go up one more round, but it did not allow it.
* Weekly close came below the trend line.
* It gave a mismatch signal.
* For the first time in 2.5 years, it closed below the 200 EMA on a weekly basis.
After OB fills the resistance zone (gray box), it may rise again for an up retest.
If it closes below the blue line, the decline may deepen.
Why is DXY important for us?
DXY Potential Longs from 100.200 back upMy current bias for the dollar is very much bearish, as price has broken structure to the downside once again. While I don’t trade the dollar directly, I use it as a confluence to confirm trade ideas for other pairs like GBP/USD (GU) and EUR/USD (EU). Since I’m looking to short both pairs right now, this bearish outlook on the dollar makes sense.
In scenario (B), I can see the price heading to the 9-hour demand zone, where it might accumulate and then shoot back up to the next supply zone. With the recent break of structure (BOS), a nicely formed 4-hour demand zone is also in play.
Since price is currently in a supply zone, I’ll stick with this bias until the dollar "shows its hand." However, if the dollar slows down and begins to accumulate on Monday, we might see some promising opportunities this week.
Given that this is a counter-trend trade, I’ll be cautious, aiming for high risk-reward ratios while keeping an eye on the nearest demand zone for entries.
Happy trading, guys!
DXY Analysis - Is there light at the end of the tunnel?DXY tested support around 100.5 and is currently around 100.8, well below 4HR 50MA. Reclaiming 4HR 50MA, a reversal pattern in the support zone from 100 or 1W 200MA could signal a reversal and/or recovery. Closing below 1W 200MA could signal further weakness. Jobless Claims at 14:30 and PMI at 15:45.
SasanSeifi| Mid-Term Bearish Outlook for Dollar Index! (5Day)Hey there, In the 5-day long-term timeframe, the TVC:DXY faced a correction from the supply zone around $106.500. After some minor fluctuations within this range, the price, failing to stabilize above the $106 level, encountered a renewed downtrend from the bearish order block. Currently, a strong bearish momentum is observed, and the midterm outlook remains predominantly bearish.
It is expected that, in the midterm timeframe, the price will move toward the identified demand zone, with a potential decline to the corrective target around $99 to $98.73, especially after breaking the $100.600 to $100 range. Once this area is reached, there is a possibility of a positive price reaction. To better understand the future movement of the Dollar Index, it's crucial to closely monitor how the price reacts to these corrective targets. However, if the downtrend continues and the $98 level is breached, and the price stabilizes below it, the next corrective target could be around $97.50 to $96.
To better understand the future movement of the Dollar Index, it's essential to keep a close watch on how the price reacts to these corrective targets.
💢 Please remember that this is just my personal viewpoint and should not be taken as investment advice. I’d love to hear your thoughts and share opinions!
Happy trading!✌😎
Sure, if you have any more questions or need further clarification, feel free to ask. I'm here to help!✌
DXY Bullish this week from 101.200?The DXY is currently in an 8-hour imbalance, which could give us an initial bullish reaction. Although price has already broken structure to the downside and shown strong bearish pressure, I expect this bearish momentum to weaken. Once price reaches the 14-hour demand zone, I will be looking for a stronger bullish reaction back up.
If price retraces from either of these zones and moves back to the daily supply, I will then expect the bearish order flow for the dollar to continue. Since this is a clear bearish price structure, any upward movement will likely be short-term and temporary until the daily supply zone is mitigated.
This aligns with my analysis for GBP/USD (GU) and EUR/USD (EU), where I'm looking for short-term sells before entering buy positions. Similarly, for the dollar, I'm expecting a small upward move before it continues its decline.
Have a great trading week, everyone!
DXY is moving lower**Monthly Chart**
DXY monthly candle closed as bullish. This month's candle (still active) reached the supply zone last week around the 106 level and bounced lower from it.
Note: I don’t trade DXY but I use it as an indication when analyzing other currency pairs linked to USD.
**Weekly Chart**
Last week's candle closed as a bearish engulfing suggesting a reverse trend lower at least to test the demand zone around the 104 level and then moving lower to the 103 level.
**Daily Chart**
This week, DXY is expected to have a corrective wave structure and consolidate before continuing the downward movement. There will be a release of monthly and yearly CPI on Thursday which can provide some strength to USD.
BTC + DXY (Convergence & Divergence + Symmetrical Triangle)Impact on Bitcoin (BTC):
The DXY’s movement often has an inverse relationship with Bitcoin. A rising DXY typically exerts downward pressure on BTC, as a stronger USD reduces the appeal of alternative assets like Bitcoin. Conversely, a weakening DXY can provide a tailwind for BTC, encouraging capital flows into the cryptocurrency.
Historically, the 12 EMA and 50 MA crossovers: have provided reliable signals for entering and exiting trades.
As the DXY approaches the apex of its triangle, traders should watch for a breakout, which could have significant implications for Bitcoin.
What news is needed to push the #DXY down? Let's take a look;Do you remember the pandemic period? The markets seemed to crash first, many of us even said, let's keep our money, neither stock market nor investment, let's see the way ahead first, let's not be exposed.
Today, they had another case that shook the world. I say they did because I think there is nothing unconsciously done.
Does the Monkeypox case look familiar?
Could Bitcoin be pricing it in again right now?
Not yet;
I think today's drop is due to the NYSE withdrawing its offer to trade options on #Bitcoin ETFs. However, they will deepen the situation and it will create a domino effect.
For exchanges that shape the world economy and politics, every movement on the charts is very valuable. Although the crypto exchange is not yet at this level, we are sure that it will be much more valuable in the near future.
This chart I am sharing with you is the #DXY 1W chart ;
It takes big events to make big moves on key charts like this one.
It is highly likely to make a pattern like the one in the chart (no one knows tomorrow and the next move 100%).
We are traders and our job is to make predictions. In order to make accurate predictions, we have to include all the data that concerns us. And those who make the right predictions and take the right risks always win.
8.14 USD Trend AnalysisCPI is lower than expected, gold falls off a cliff, can the US dollar survive the desperate situation?
Today, the US seasonally adjusted CPI annual rate for the end of July was lower than expected. With gold and silver slightly bullish, gold price fell from a high of 2474 to 2050, a drop of 24 US dollars.
Everyone knows that if gold price falls, the US dollar will rise. Gold price currently lacks momentum. The war in the Middle East is still unclear. It may continue to fall. Will there be new entry opportunities for the US dollar?
What do you think of this view? Welcome to comment below
A 100 basis point rate cut making the dollar weakMarkets expect a 100 basis point Fed rate cut during the remaining meetings this year.
A 100 basis point rate cut by the Fed would likely weaken the U.S. dollar.
Lower interest rates reduce the yield on dollar-denominated assets, making them less attractive to investors.
This could lead to a decrease in demand for the dollar, causing the Dollar Currency Index (DXY) to decline.
Additionally, a weaker dollar might boost U.S. exports by making them more competitive globally, but it could also increase inflationary pressures.
DXY Shorts from the daily supply at 104.200 back down.The dollar has broken significant structure to the downside, leaving a clean, unmitigated daily supply zone with an imbalance that adds validity to this point of interest. Once price reaches this level, I'll likely refine the zone and wait for a CHOCH on the lower timeframe.
If price moves down first, I’ll watch for it to enter the newly created 3-hour demand zone, which swept previous higher-timeframe structure. This could propel the dollar up to the supply zone.
Confluences for DXY Shorts:
Strong bearish momentum on the higher timeframe, breaking previous structure.
Significant liquidity to the downside.
A solid daily supply zone caused this move, with an imbalance below.
This pro-trend trade aligns with my other pairs.
P.S. I expect Monday to start slow, with consolidation before either zone is mitigated. We'll make our move from there.
DXY Long Term MovingDear All,
I see something about DXY which is more sophisticated than I thought, Maybe The Great Recession is on the way to the American economy!!!
See if they could recover the USD strength before 79-81 or we should face it as firm reversal support in next four to eight years !!!
DXY New Week MovePair : DXY Index
Description :
DXY Index is following Symmetrical Triangle as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame and It has breakout the Lower Trend Line. According to Elliot Waves theory it has Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves and " ABC " Corrective Waves. Rejecting from Strong Support Zone and Fibonacci Level - 61.80%
DXY coold down before going up. Inv H&S pattern.The TVC:DXY is experiencing a cooldown, as indicated by the MACD. It was overbought and needs to relax a bit. However, this is not a reversal; it is just a reaccumulation. The inverse head and shoulders pattern suggests a target of $106 if the pattern stops at the bottom of the right shoulder, returning to its previous level and ready for more uptrend.
A buy in the green zone is a safe entry.
Always do your own research (DYOR). This is just chart analysis, not financial advice.