DXY: The USD kept its weekly rise ahead of the Fed's decisionThe dollar edged higher in early European trading on Wednesday, heading for its biggest monthly gain since September, while the euro edged lower after weak inflation data.
At 04:45 ET (09:45 GMT), the Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of six other currencies, traded 0.1% higher at 103.352, on track for more than a gain. 2% this month.
Dollar demand has been buoyant this month as traders trimmed expectations for when the Federal Reserve will start cutting interest rates due to strong U.S. economic data and reaction from central banks. naughty.
The greenback was also supported by escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, which have weighed on risk sentiment amid fears of a broader regional conflict.
The US central bank is expected to leave interest rates unchanged, and so the focus will likely be on Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's post-meeting press conference to see if he will signal a cut.
Analysts at ING said: “With US data releases - most recently December JOLTS data showing expanding employment opportunities - there appears to be little reason for the FOMC announcement tonight prompted the market to price in well above the current 130 basis point rate cut this year.” in a note. “This would be a neutral/positive development for the USD.”
There's more labor data to study on Wednesday, in the form of ADP Private Payrolls for January, ahead of weekly initial jobless claims on Thursday and then broad data on Friday. - viewed monthly salary reports.
Dxyindex
DXY SHORT TERM BULLISH !!!HELLO TRADERS.
As I can see DXY on smaller TF creating H & S pattern we are looking for it to test the downtrend line once in 2024 and then all the way down its just a trade idea has a look on our previous analysis share Ur thoughts with us, we appreciate Ur love and comments.
Stay Tuned for more updates!
DXY Dollar Index Technical AnalysisThe DXY has demonstrated a notable rally on the 1-day (1D) time frame, exhibiting distinct range-bound price action as it operates within a previously established weekly distribution level. The absence of a discernible trend is evident, with the market remaining in a sideways movement for an extended period. With high-impact news events scheduled for later today, Thursday, and Friday, there is potential for a breakout from the current range, presenting opportunities with dollar pairs.
It is imperative to clarify that this analysis is intended exclusively for educational purposes and should not be construed as financial advice.
DXY: Will the Fed Be a Catalyst for Direction in the USD Index?For the past two weeks, the DXY has been trading within a frustratingly narrow range, lacking clear direction. Today's FED press conference may provide some resolution to this stagnant pattern.
Leading up to this event, prominent Fed members have cautioned against overly optimistic expectations regarding future rate cuts. They emphasized that the Fed does not intend to reduce the benchmark rate as rapidly as markets had anticipated.
Supporting data further reinforced the Fed's stance. December's CPI surpassed expectations, indicating persistent price pressures, although much of this was influenced by base effects that are now mostly behind us. Additionally, January's flash PMI data and Q4 GDP print were strong, albeit slightly lower than the 4.9% growth seen in Q3. Despite this, equity markets rallied, and the unemployment rate now stands well below 4%, suggesting a positive outlook for a 'soft landing' or 'golden path' scenario.
If the Fed identifies upside risks to services inflation due to the strong data, it will proceed with caution. However, there's a general expectation that the Fed's statement will adopt a more neutral tone.
Technically, as indicated in the posted chart, the DXY is trading within a defined range between the 103.10 zone and the 103.70 zone. A breakout from either of these zones could provide insight into a medium-term direction.
In my view, considering the market's overly optimistic anticipation of rate cuts and the upward pressure on prices, we may see a breakthrough above resistance. In such a scenario, a bullish medium-term trend could emerge, potentially driving the index back towards the 107 zone.
DXY INDEX New Week MovePair : DXY Index
Description :
Bullish Channel as an Corrective Pattern in Long Time Frame and Rejecting from the Lower Trend Line. Completed " 12 " Impulsive Waves and making its " 3rd - wxy " Wave. EXP Fiat and Symmetrical Triangle in Short Time Frame need to wait for Breakout
DXY Dollar Index Technical Analysis and Preping for MondayThe DXY is presently confined within a range, evident on both the 1-day (1D) and 4-hour (4H) time frames. Given that it is the end of the week, I am exercising caution about active market participation, considering the customary manipulation observed on Fridays as smart money strategically targets stops, aligning them with the upcoming week's trend. In this video, we evaluate the dollar index and contemplate potential trade scenarios with dollar pairs for the approaching week. It is important to emphasize that this content is intended strictly for educational purposes and should not be considered as financial advice.
DXY Dollar Index Technical Analysis - Where Is The USD Heading?DXY Analysis: The Dollar Index (DXY) has exhibited range-bound behavior recently, lacking a clear directional bias. While there are bearish undertones, a confirmed downtrend requires a break below the current range followed by a failed retest. This video explores multiple timeframes (monthly, weekly, daily, 4-hour) to identify potential dollar direction in the coming days and week. Given the key role of the dollar in shaping currency markets, its trading action significantly impacts opportunities in other pairs. However, with the current sideways movement, identifying high-probability trades could be challenging, especially considering the increased risk associated with end-of-week volatility and potential stop-hunting activity.
Disclaimer: This analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered financial advice.
GOLD ANALYSIS DAILYHello dear traders,
In the global gold market on the daily timeframe, we are witnessing the price reaching its previous ceiling. Considering the strong upward momentum in gold, we expect it to break the resistance ahead. We have drawn two scenarios for the price movement of gold, and personally, I prefer the first scenario more, as I am looking for long setups in the golden zone.
I hope this has been helpful for you.
Thank you for following me.
The USD index look set to trade to and through 104We have remained bullish the US dollar the past few weeks, and continue to suspect there are plenty of shorts to be covered as markets finally concede that fewer Fed cuts are coming this year and already priced in.
The dollar has posted a strong rally YTD, and after a brief consolidation momentum is trying to turn higher with a bullish outside candle. It's not major surprise to see it is holding beneath the 200-day EMA, but it did close above the 200-day MA. And if the US delivers a strong set of flash PMI figures or PCE inflation data, we suspect the US dollar can travel to and through 105 on its way to 105.
DXY Index New Week MovePair : DXY Index
Description :
According to Elliot Waves it has completed Impulsive Waves " 12345 " and " AB " Corrective Waves. Bearish Channel as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame with the Breakout of the Upper Trend Line and Retracement. Break of Structure with Retracement and Divergence
AUD/USD 0.65897 - 0.08% SHORT IDEA MTF WEEK BIAS 🐻🐻🐻HELLO TRADERS
Hope everyone is doing great a look at AUDUSD 🛑IN THE COMING WEEK
MULTI TIME-FRAME BREAK-DOWN
DXY DAILY
* Lets start with the DXY.
* We see the 78.6 % FIB level holding in the past week.
* Looking for signs of some bearish momentum for continuation with the bears.
* The DXY is currently trading in PREMIUM.
* Any signs of bearish momentum would Signal Bearish moves for the week that is.
* Bullish momentum changes the Bias for the week & possibly signals reversals
AUDUSD DAILY TIME-FRAME
* On the DAILY we are trading / rejecting of a FVG.
* Should we violate this FVG looking to trade in premium, before continuation.
* This week looking for a push higher before continuing down.
* Should the FVG hold looking to go short, should momentum signal.
* We have a draw in LQ below which will serve as targets should we push higher.
AUDUSD 4H TIME-FRAME
* We pushing higher having some bullish momentum on the 4H.
* Looking for some push higher before seeing bearish moves.
* We see + FVG holding signalling bullish momentum.
* Looking to trade in PREMIUM for short entries & longs alike.
AUDUSD 1H TIMEFRAME
* We are in a BULLISH trend.
* Looking for continuation into premium.
* shift in momentum would validate the BEARISH BIAS.
HOPE YOU ENJOYED THIS OUT LOOK, SHARE YOURS BELOW🛑
lets see how it goes.
IF THIS IDEA ASSISTS IN ANY OR IF YOU LIKE THIS ONE
SMASH THAT LIKE BUTTON & LEAVE A COMMENT.
ALWAYS APPRECIATED
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* Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT.
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| * ENTRY & SL -KINDLY FOLLOW YOUR RULES | * RISK-MANAGEMENT | *PERIOD - I TAKE MY TRADES ON A INTRA DAY SESSIONS BASIS THIS IS NOT FINACIAL ADVICE TO EXCECUTE ❤
LOVELY TRADING WEEK TO YOU!
DXY 103.176 - 0.06% SHORT IDEA HTF BIAS 🐻🐻🐻HELLO TRADERS
Hope everyone is doing great 🛑 New week new opportunities
A look at the DXY ahead of the new week 👌 MULTI-TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS
DXY DAILY
* We see the 78.6 % FIB level holding in the past week.
* Looking for signs of some bearish momentum for continuation with the bears.
* The DXY is currently trading in PREMIUM.
* Any signs of bearish momentum would Signal Bearish moves for the week that is.
* Bullish momentum changes the Bias for the week & possibly signals reversals
DXY 4H CHART
* We see rejections at the VI holding.
* DXY failed to take the high on Friday, signaling possible weakening of the bulls.
* Looking at the small FVG above to hold and reject.
* This would be one of the confirmations for some Bearish moves.
DXY 1H TIMEFRAME
* On the 1H we see that the 4H FVG does not align with premium.
* But we find a -OB just above this zone on the 1H
* Looking for rejections at this levels.
* For a bearish week.
HOPE YOU ENJOYED THIS OUT LOOK, SHARE YOURS BELOW🛑
lets see how it goes.
IF THIS IDEA ASSISTS IN ANY OR IF YOU LIKE THIS ONE
SMASH THAT LIKE BUTTON & LEAVE A COMMENT.
ALWAYS APPRECIATED
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
* Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
| * ENTRY & SL -KINDLY FOLLOW YOUR RULES | * RISK-MANAGEMENT | *PERIOD - I TAKE MY TRADES ON A INTRA DAY SESSIONS BASIS THIS IS NOT FINACIAL ADVICE TO EXCECUTE ❤
LOVELY TRADING WEEK TO YOU!
DXY (Dollar Index) Longs from 102.200 back upThe dollar index is presently responding to my 14hr supply zone, leading to a visible bearish reaction. Given that this supply is part of a 2-day supply, I anticipate price to move upward to further mitigate this supply, potentially triggering a more stronger bearish response.
With the breakout from consolidation, I anticipate clearer price action. I will be monitoring for price to reach a 10hr demand zone that has previously resulted in a BOS on the higher timeframe. Upon reaching this point of interest (POI), I will then be on the lookout for an accumulation to unfold.
Confluences for Dollar buys are as follows.
- Market trend is overall bullish on the higher timeframe
- Price has broken structure to the upside on the HTF.
- Price is currently reacting off a supply to trigger the pullback towards our demand
- Theres lots of liquidity and imbalances that need to get taken above as well.
- 10hr demand zone lies within the 0.78 fib range and it caused the BOS to happen
P.S. While I don't engage in direct trading of the dollar, I utilise it for confluence, especially since this pair significantly impacts the others I monitor. There's a possibility of a short-lived bullish trend if the 2-day supply zone doesn't hold. However, given the initial reaction, a downward movement seems likely.
HAVE A GREAT TRADING WEEK AHEAD, LET'S CATCH THESE PIPS!
DXY to 150 and Above - Cash Should Be King AgainI think cash will be king again soon! It broke a downtrend from 1985 and 2002. It has backtested all lit needs to, could get down to 102.8 on the very short term (4hr chart) but after that it should fly.
I think this will take everything down, equities, crypto and metals. Pretty sure you're only going to want to hold cash and shorts. Good luck out there have a feeling it's going to get nasty.
DXY TOP target 103.78/103.92 I am rather BEARISH US$ into 2/9The DXY is nearing the end of the ABC I talked about . Most traders are looking for above 104 But that is very crowded wave A and C will be equal at 103.85 This should be the cause for the SP 500 should now be ready to see the print at or above 4821 I lean towards 4888/4912 Best of trades WAVETIMER
DXY Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaDXY Technical Analysis and Trade Idea. The DXY is currently range bound, the higher time frame is bearish i'm looking for a break of the current range and a possible trade opportunity if it sets up. As always, everything explained in the video in detail and this not to be construed as financial advice.
DXYDXY was trading in descending parallel channel. The price was reacting well the support and resistance of descending channel.
Currently the price has given the breakout of channel and now retesting the broken level where it is also forming a local support zone and seems like the price may go for another leg higher.
If the breakout sustain to upside the optimum target could be 104.50.
What you guys think of this idea?
Is the DXY in a long term downtrend? DXY Downtrend
The 6 month candle chart suggests we could be in for at least two red quarters which would suggesting positive markets..... which seems contradictory to the current sentiment BUT not the current charts (S&P, NASDAQ,etc).
The weekly chart currently shows the critical resistance at $1.00 and we appear to be heading straight for it.
I genuinely think that given the 10 month SMA turning to the downside will act as resistance and the three tests of the underside support may puncture the resistance and lead to further downside.,
As always there are no guarantee's but the DXY chart in my opinion currently looks bearish long term.
I am currently looking at a time based analyses at the which will follow
Time will tell
PUKA OUT
DXY (Dollar Index) Shorts from 103.400 back down!As the dollar has been consolidating in the past week, opportunities near the current price are limited. However, my nearest Point of Interest (POI) is a supply zone on the 14-hour chart. I am looking to capitalize on this by selling to continue the bearish trend observed in the dollar index. I'll be patiently waiting for a breakout from this range, aiming to fill the imbalances above and eventually reach our identified supply zone.
On the flip side, if price breaks below the consolidation, it could tap into a demand zone, sweeping liquidity beneath the range. In this scenario, I anticipate a bullish reaction, possibly a temporary move to the upside before eventually targeting our supply zone.
Confluences for Dollar sells are as follows:
- Overall temporary trend for this pair is bearish so this idea aligns with that bias.
- Bullish pressure is now getting exhausted as you can see from the ranging price action
- Price has left imbalances just below the supply that needs to get filled, validating our POI.
- There is lots of liquidity to the downside that needs to be taken.
- Price is due for a pullback to enter a level of supply if price wants to keep dropping lower.
P.S. If price unfolds in a manner similar to how EURUSD is behaving, I will patiently await a breakout from this area. Subsequently, I will assess its behaviour and adapt my approach based on the information the market presents.
Have a great week ahead traders!