DXY continued to rise significantly and gold prices started to fThe DXY index, also known as the USD index, is a measure of the strength of the U.S. dollar relative to six of the United States' major trading partners, including the euro (EUR), yen, and Japanese yen (JPY). ), British Pound (GBP), Canadian Dollar (CAD), Swedish Krona (SEK), Swiss Franc (CHF).
The USD Index is calculated from the exchange rates of 6 other currencies (together with the parts that make up the USD Index): EUR 57.6%, JPY 13.6%, GBP 11.9%, CAD 9.1%, SEK 4.2%, CHF 3.6%. Therefore, fluctuations in this index depend not only on the US domestic economy, but also on its correlation with major economies around the world.
To understand this better, let's look back a little at history. When the US Federal Reserve began raising interest rates in 1994, the dollar appreciated until 2000 as tech stocks rose. However, the bursting of the dot-com bubble and the September 11, 2001 terrorist attacks ended DXY's bullish momentum and caused the US dollar to plummet. DXY fell to historic lows during the 2008 financial crisis.
The DXY index started rising again from his 2011 year. This is mainly due to two factors. First, in 2011, most economies in southern Europe were in a difficult situation due to over-indebtedness, which led to a weak euro and a strong US dollar. Second, the Fed first talked about tapering its bond purchases in 2013 and began raising interest rates in 2015. In 2016, with the election of Donald Trump as US president, the dollar hit a 13-year high amid confidence that the Federal Reserve would increase spending on roads, bridges and industry, as well as raise interest rates. , investors are optimistic about future growth rates. of the US economy.
Dxyindex
DXY Peaks as Leverage Combined Positions for USD Index RiseIt is with great concern that I bring to your notice the recent surge in leverage combined positions for the USD index, coinciding with the apparent peak of the Dollar Index (DXY). This convergence of events has prompted us to urge you to exercise caution and consider pausing your USD trading activities.
Over the past few weeks, we have witnessed the DXY reaching new heights, bolstered by a series of positive economic indicators and widespread optimism. However, it is crucial to recognize that such prolonged upward trends tend to have limitations, often leading to market corrections or reversals.
The mounting leverage combined positions for the USD index indicate an increasing number of traders speculating on the dollar's continued ascent. While this may seem enticing, history has shown us that excessive optimism and overleveraging can be precursors to market downturns. As responsible traders, it is our duty to approach these situations with a level-headed perspective.
Therefore, we strongly advise you to pause and reevaluate your USD trading strategies, taking into account the current market conditions and the potential risks associated with the DXY's peak. Consider diversifying your portfolio, exploring alternative currency pairs, or even temporarily shifting your focus to other assets that exhibit more favorable risk-reward ratios.
By exercising prudence during this phase of heightened optimism, you can better protect your capital and avoid potential losses. Remember, trading is a marathon, not a sprint, and preserving your financial stability is paramount.
In conclusion, we urge you to approach USD trading with caution, recognizing the potential risks associated with the DXY's current peak and the surge in leverage combined positions. Take this opportunity to reassess your strategies, diversify your portfolio, and consider alternative trading options. By doing so, you will be better positioned to adapt and thrive in the ever-evolving world of trading.
DXY:Oil prices recovered after a volatile end to OctoberOil prices rose slightly in Asian trade on Wednesday, the first in five months, as traders priced in lower risk premiums from the Israel-Hamas war and focus now shifted to the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions. I have recovered from the worst month of .
The market also had mixed data on U.S. oil inventories, showing that while overall inventories increased, gasoline and distillate inventories declined significantly.
Oil prices have fallen sharply in recent trading amid growing expectations that Israel and Hamas will not have a significant impact on Middle East oil flows, especially with no Arab powers in sight. Others are also involved in the conflict.
However, the World Bank has warned that the conflict could continue to affect oil supplies and cause prices to rise. However, the organization also predicts that oil prices will remain depressed until 2024 on the back of slowing global economic growth. Concerns over weak demand in China also weighed on oil markets, following disappointing factory activity data released on Tuesday by the world's biggest oil importer. The figures came after a dire business report in the euro zone, raising concerns about a slowdown in global economic growth.
DXY: USD exchange rate today (November 1); The USD reversed and The US economy is resilient, as evidenced by new data released on October 31. This is the most recent indication that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) can sustain high interest rates for an extended length of time.
As a result, given the substantial rise in wages during the third quarter, US labor costs rose dramatically. After increasing by 1.0% between April and June, the employment expenditure index (ECI) increased by 1.1% in the most recent quarter.
According to additional data, US housing prices increased in August for the third straight month, up 5.6% over the same time last year and 4.6% from July.
The Fed started a two-day policy meeting on October 31 and was predicted to maintain interest rates at that time.
Is DXY retesting 107 again? In the 4H timeframe there is a bullish movement for DXY reaching near 107 which is the main resistance level in daily timeframe.
Tomorrow is FOMC meeting so the volatility is high and i think we might see some retracement down from 107 and the the bullish trend will continue.
But I strongly suggest to do not trade near FOMC meeting.
Latest news: Gold price has surpassed the $2,000 mark, as demandGold prices rose above $2,000 amid rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and demand for safe-haven assets ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. However, the 10-year bond yield has reached 5.02%, the highest level since 2007, and remains high.
The increase in the US government's debt service rate strengthens the strength of the US dollar, leading to increases in the price of both the US dollar and gold. But gold, which doesn't pay interest, is often under selling pressure when the U.S. dollar and government bond yields rise.
Despite these factors and the fact that U.S. real yields have reached a 15-year high of over 2.60%, gold prices remain resilient.
Prediction of the dollar index in the long term (weekly)The dollar index has moved on the path of July 11 so far and the scenario has not changed for now
According to the left of the chart and the completion of the technical model of liquidity provision, the long-term correction of the dollar index has been completed and it has started its main movement. This break of the dollar in 2023, in my opinion, was like the rest of a sheep before going to the slaughterhouse.
2023 was a break before the slaughter of all markets and 2024 is the beginning of the fall of markets.
This is confirmed by the dollar index with targets of 114 and 121.
Of course, markets like crypto are still alive and we can see price growth in them, but soon they will also approach the crash market.
The whales are currently resting.
DXY D1 - Short SetupDXY D1
Today, or at least this morning is all about waiting for these corrections to unfold and settle. The DXY is being used to compare against FX pairs, and we are just waiting to see whether this resistance price holds, or breaks.
Like I say, we aren't looking to trade just yet, merely try and get some consensus of direction early on in the week, we can then trade off the back of that.
DXY Dollar Index Technical Analysis And Trade IdeaIn this video, we conduct an in-depth analysis of the DXY (US Dollar Index). Our focus lies in deciphering the pronounced bullish trend observed on higher time frames. Throughout the video, we explore prospective price targets and trading opportunities, delving into trend assessment, price action, market structure, and a conceptualised trade proposition. Please be reminded that the content herewith is designed solely for educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is crucial to acknowledge the substantial risk associated with currency markets, emphasising the necessity of implementing astute risk management techniques in your trading endeavours.
DXY Index New Week MovePair : DXY Index
Description :
Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Wave and " A " Corrective Wave , It will Complete its " B " Corrective Wave at Daily S / R Level. Falling Wedge as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame with the Breakout of the Upper Trend Line and Retest
Entry Precautions :
Wait until it Completed Reject the Falling Wedge or S / R Level
DXY US INDEX LONGhi traders as i can see a very simple view on Dxy chart
that the bullish move is still going to complete the given level
if we watch deeply in the chart the DXY holding a strong support zone with a strong data of CPI & NFP with FOMC meeting minutes then its an easy target for incoming days
Kindly share ur thoughts via comment session...
stay tuned for new updates
US-DXY SELL AFTER BREAKOUT !!!HELLO TRADERS ,
Double-Top Patterns Indicate Market Rally Could Be Nearing End
as i can see the chart DXY is holding a support zone and trading under the trend line so
outer middle east tensions are increasing day by day no ceasefire happen soon in coming days war is spreading to other nations that not good for $ it had still not touch 107.40 level in this volatility this just an idea i personally enter in sell if it break the support as it is drawn in chart with a small risk and higher rewards
Stay tuned for updates on chart
USDT.D MONTHLYHello, traders. In my opinion, the Tether index should have another rise in the monthly time frame to finish the 5th wave. For this reason, the current increase in the value of Bitcoin is temporary and will eventually reach 40,000. Then again, there will be bloody days ahead for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies until the USDT.D Elliott Waves end. Goodbye
Analyzing DXY's Recent Performance and Future Prospects in ForexLast week, I expected the US Dollar Index (DXY) to decline to 106.011, a key area of interest, and then bounce. It did indeed bounce strongly, but faced resistance at 106.651. DXY needs to close above 106.651 on daily or 4-hour candles for its rally to continue. Once it does, we can expect DXY to target buy-side liquidity.
However, I would now prefer to see DXY absorb sell-side liquidity today or tomorrow before resuming its upward movement. In the meantime, while DXY consolidates, I believe there may be good opportunities in minor or exotic currency pairs. So, keep an eye on those.
#forextraders #forextrading ##DXY #marketanalysis
US Dollar Soaring with US Yield - Let's Long DXY!US dollar is currently on the rise, dancing in perfect harmony with the surging US yield!
The US dollar has been flexing its muscles lately, gaining strength against several major currencies. This upward trajectory has been propelled by the impressive rise in US yields, which have been climbing to new heights. It's a fantastic opportunity for us to capitalize on this bullish trend and potentially reap some significant rewards.
Now, you might be wondering how we can make the most of this incredible situation. Well, my dear traders, I would highly encourage you to consider going long on the US Dollar Index (DXY). By taking a long position on DXY, we can align ourselves with the current market sentiment and potentially maximize our profits.
Here's why I believe this is a golden opportunity:
1. Strong US Economy: The US economy has been showing remarkable resilience, with positive economic indicators and robust recovery efforts. This strength is attracting investors, leading to increased demand for the US dollar.
2. Rising US Yield: The surge in US yields has been grabbing attention worldwide, making US bonds more attractive to investors seeking higher returns. This influx of capital further bolsters the US dollar's position.
3. Technical Indicators: By analyzing technical indicators, we can see a bullish pattern emerging in the US dollar. This pattern, combined with the positive fundamentals, reinforces our confidence in the potential success of a long position on DXY.
So, my dear traders, let's seize this opportunity and ride the wave of the rising US dollar together! I urge you to carefully evaluate your trading strategies, assess the risks involved, and consider initiating a long position on DXY to potentially capitalize on this exciting market movement.
Remember, success in trading often comes from recognizing opportunities and acting upon them swiftly. The US dollar's ascent, coupled with the soaring US yield, presents us with a chance to make profitable trades and elevate our trading portfolios.
DXY: Grass isn't greener above 107The Dollar Index (DXY) finds itself stretching towards the top of the current trading channel, eyeing the 107 mark. While this channel top is foreseen as a limiting factor in the future, the immediate trajectory for DXY hints at a stretch towards 107 before a possible retrace to the channel bottom.
Key Observations:
1. Targeting 107: DXY is progressing towards 107, post which, a descent to the red box at the channel's bottom (between 97 and 93) aligned with the 50-period Moving Average (MA) on the 3-month chart is expected.
2. Fisher Indicator: A crucial retest of the channel to meet the 55 MA/EMA is highlighted by the Fisher Indicator, verifying the trend's sustainability.
3. Pullback Needed: Despite the run, the stretched outlook on daily and weekly charts suggests a necessary pullback to at least 104, aiming for a retest of the 50-week MA.
4. ABCDE Corrective Pattern: If this phase represents the D in an ABCDE corrective pattern, the 50-month MA on the 3-month chart could help pinpoint our E.
5. Risk Assets Opportunity: As DXY nears its peak around 107, a window of opportunity opens for risk-on assets like BTC, stocks, etc., indicating a favorable period for entry.
6. Golden Cross at 103.1: This critical level needs to hold, albeit, in the short term, it's likely to continue straining risk-on assets, orchestrating a market strangle.
(Note: Thorough personal analysis and risk management are crucial before making any trading or investment decisions.)
DXY short term Shorts to 105.200SCENARIO 1 - This is my bias for the dollar index (DXY) which gives us extra confluence for my two GBPUSD & EURUSD temporary longs that I have recently posted. As they have a negative correlation between them it gives our trade ideas more confirmation. Im currently expecting price to react as it's in a 8hr supply zone and distribute to eventually sell off towards 105.200 or even lower possibly to 104.700. Once price reaches there we will then expect the dollar to push back up again from those POI's below ( 6hr or 4hr demand zone.)
My confluences for dollar (DXY) shorts are as follows:
- Price changed character to the downside on the higher time frame as well as broke structure indicating the shift in trend has become bearish.
- Price entered an 8hr supply zone that has caused this break of structure to the downside.
- Momentum has slowed down (a good sign that price wants to go back down.)
-Wyckoff distribution taking place to liquidate any previous buyers that was in profit to then allow us to enter the best possible sell position down towards the designated target.
- A few Imbalances have been left below that it must come back and fill.
- Lots of liquidity below as well to target in the form of untouched Asia lows and engineering liquidity.
P.S. Obviously as this is not the only possible scenario, price could also go higher and react off the 6hr supply zone above current price and mitigate that extreme zone to then sell off from there. Either way we are anticipating a drop to follow the bearish trend that has been formed.
Dollar Show Signs of Flat Price Action until Year-End
Here is an important update regarding the current state of the dollar and its potential price action for the remainder of the year. It is crucial to approach the subject with caution and consider the implications for your investment decisions.
Over the past few months, the dollar has exhibited signs of flat price movement, showing limited volatility and a lack of clear direction. This trend is likely to persist until the end of the year, as various economic factors and market uncertainties continue to influence its performance.
While it is tempting to engage in active investing in the Dollar Index (DXY) during such periods, it is important to exercise prudence and carefully evaluate the potential risks involved. The lack of significant movement in the dollar can make it challenging to achieve substantial returns within a short timeframe.
Considering these circumstances, I encourage you to pause your DXY investing activities and reassess your strategies accordingly. It is crucial to remain vigilant and closely monitor market developments, as sudden shifts in global economic dynamics or geopolitical events could potentially disrupt the current flat price action.
As traders, it is essential to adapt to the prevailing market conditions and adjust our investment approaches accordingly. This period of relative stability in the dollar can provide an opportunity to diversify our portfolios and explore alternative investment options that may offer better potential returns.
I urge you to consider this cautious approach and take the necessary time to evaluate your investment strategies. By doing so, you can ensure that your capital is deployed wisely and in alignment with the prevailing market dynamics.
Thank you for your attention, and I wish you continued success in your trading endeavors.