Dxyindex
DXY: BRICS Creating New Reserve CurrencyHi Traders, Investors and Speculators of the Charts 📈📉
Ev here. Been trading crypto since 2017 and later got into stocks. I have 3 board exams on financial markets and studied economics from a top tier university for a year.
For the past eight decades, the U.S. dollar has been the dominant global currency following the Second World War. It has been widely accepted worldwide, with only a few exceptions, and is commonly recognized by the image of Andrew Jackson and the seal of the U.S. Treasury, making it the most recognizable export of the United States.
The U.S. dollar became the reserve currency of the world following the Second World War, mainly because the United States was the dominant global economic and military power at the time. The Bretton Woods Agreement of 1944 also played a crucial role in establishing the dollar's role as the world's reserve currency. Under this agreement, other countries agreed to peg their currencies to the U.S. dollar, which was backed by gold. This made the U.S. dollar a stable and reliable currency for international transactions, leading to its widespread acceptance as a reserve currency. Additionally, the U.S. had a large trade surplus, making it easier for other countries to hold dollars as reserves to pay for U.S. goods and services.
The dominance of the U.S. dollar as the world's reserve currency has been a source of both admiration and resentment among other countries and superpowers. Many countries have benefited from the stability and liquidity that the U.S. dollar provides as a reserve currency, allowing them to conduct international trade and investments with greater ease. However, some countries have also experienced the negative effects of dollar dominance, such as the risk of currency fluctuations and the potential for U.S. monetary policy decisions to have spillover effects on their own economies.
The U.S. dollar was not only commonly used in international transactions but also widely held as a long-term store of value across the globe. Central banks worldwide held more U.S. dollars than any other currency. This resulted in low borrowing costs for Americans , which allowed middle-class people to buy homes. Furthermore, the U.S. government was able to incur significant debts without apparent consequences due to the dollar's global dominance. Americans may not have been aware of this situation, but it had a favorable impact on their daily lives. Occasionally, the Congress discussed the debt ceiling, but it seemed like an abstract topic that most people did not care about since America controlled the global reserve currency and could print U.S. dollars. This privilege made money cheap, and Americans enjoyed benefits that were not available to other countries. However, the thought of losing this dominance was too terrible to contemplate, and concerns began to arise around the time the Russian military entered Ukraine about a year ago. The consequences of such a loss would be dire, and it was a worrisome issue.
The Russian military's invasion of Ukraine was destabilizing, as wars typically are. However, it was the West's reaction to the invasion that raised concerns. U.S. policymakers, led by USA President Joe Biden and supported by Republican senators, seemed intent on not only toppling the Russian government but also disrupting the post-World War II economic order that had benefitted the U.S. for decades. The sanctions weren't expected to harm the U.S. economy more than the Russian economy. Russia's economy is not heavily reliant on financial services but on natural resources such as oil, gas, iron, and coal . Despite the sanctions imposed on Russia, its Ruble remains stable against the US dollar, which suggests that the sanctions did not have a significant long-term impact on Russia's economy. The seizure of Russia's central bank's dollar reserves was intended to collapse Russia's credit system and cause bank runs, but it didn't happen. The USA did not consider the dangers when using the dollar, the sign of security and unity, as a weapon. The result of this is unsurprising, many countries lost confidence in the dollar. And so, Russia, Brazil, Pakistan, India, Malaysia, France, China, and Saudi Arabia are conducting business in currencies other than the US dollar, such as the Chinese currency Yuan. This is happening at a fast pace and shutting out the US dollar, which is losing trust from other countries due to its use as a weapon and excessive printing, leading to inflation and currency devaluation.
💭Final Thoughts 💭
We look to history to speculate on the future. As the saying goes, history repeats itself.
During the First World War, the German government borrowed heavily to finance the war effort, resulting in a significant increase in national debt. The government continued to print money to pay for its expenses, which led to hyperinflation and a collapse of the German economy in the early 1920s. In 1923, the German mark was practically worthless, and people had to carry wheelbarrows of money to buy basic goods. This hyperinflation had a devastating effect on the German people, wiping out their savings and pensions and causing widespread poverty and social unrest. The situation stabilized when the German government introduced a new currency, the Rentenmark, backed by mortgages on agricultural and industrial land which restored some degree of confidence in the currency.
The German government basically inflated their currency due to excessive debt accumulated from war. The United States has a similar history with wars, relying on the reserve currency status to recover from the economic damage of these wars. However, considering the large economical impact of Russia and BRICS's contribution the the economy, it could be catastrophic due to the current state of the US economy.
The BRICS nations (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) are exploring the possibility of creating a new reserve currency as an alternative to the US dollar-dominated international financial system. The proposal was discussed at a virtual meeting of the BRICS finance ministers and central bank governors, with a goal to decrease the dependency on the US dollar and increase trade between member countries. However, no specific details were provided yet about the potential reserve currency.
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🥇Gold🥇 is trying to break the Descending Channel(Short term)!Gold has been moving in a descending channel for about 5 days.
Since Gold could not touch the lower line of the descending channel again, I expect that the descending channel will break soon, and gold will at least raise itself to the resistance line, and the second target can be the 🔴 resistance zone($ 2015- $ 2012) 🔴.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute Time frame ⏰.
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Dollar Index Chart Analysis....
In this situation, DXY chart creates ab=cd Pattern. So,if a breakout market 101:000 support level is then market sell to the nearest 100.800 and 100.230 support levels. If breakout 101.700 resistance level is, then the market will go up 102 resistance level.
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DXY Dollar Index Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaIn this video we look at the #DXY dollar index and analyse its potential trend reversal. The daily timeframe shows a pattern of higher lows and highs, with a clear formation of a bottoming structure. Throughout the video, we will discuss the current market conditions, including price action, market structure, and the trend, and identify a potential swing trade opportunity for the upcoming week. It's important to note that the information presented in this video reflects only my personal opinion and should not be considered as financial advice.
Still looking to short DollarThe dollar is experiencing fundamental weakness due to its data, with yuan transactions surpassing it for the first time. The GDP was worse than anticipated, causing concerns of an impending recession. Today's core PCE data, a crucial inflation indicator, could potentially alter the trajectory of the dollar, therefore, be cautious.
From a technical standpoint, I am searching for a trend rejection.
The 🦈Shark🦈 Harmonic Pattern is a sign of a bullish DXY🚀DXY seems to have successfully broken the descending channel and is currently completing a pullback to the upper line of the descending channel.
Also, it seems that the Bullish 🦈Shark🦈 Harmonic Pattern can be formed in the 🟢support zone($ 101.96-$ 101.9)🟢 and near the support line and play the role of pullback.
I expect DXY to rise in the coming hours with the help of a Bullish 🦈Shark🦈 Harmonic Pattern and at least grow to the resistance line.
U.S.Dollar Currency Index ( DXYUSD ) Analyze,15-minute time frame⏰.
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When can the DXY index break the Descending Channel❗️❓The DXY index has been moving in the descending channel for more than 1 month.📆
DXY seems to have formed the Double Three Correction structure(WXY) in the middle of the descending channel during the last two weeks.
I expect the end of wave Y to finish near the middle line of the descending channel and the🟢 support zone($ 101.3-$ 100.82) 🟢, and again DXY will attack the upper line of the descending channel for the 5️⃣fifth time5️⃣ and break the descending channel.
U.S.Dollar Currency Index ( DXYUSD ) Analyze, 2-hour time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy, this is just my Idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
DXY - U.S Dollar Index LongDXY is in the support zone that used to be a resistance level from January 2017 and March 2020. a resistance level for 3 years. If the 100 -102 support doesn't get broken we are now looking at our new support and the U.S Dollar index can give us another bullish scenario. The new resistance would be September 2022 High 114-115.
Has The U.S. Dollar DXY Peaked In 2023?After steadily climbing throughout 2021, the DXY saw a solid start to 2022. The US Dollar Index rallied from a low point of 94.63 in mid-January to a 20-year high of just over 114 in late September.
DXY has experienced a significant drop since the publication of cooler-than-expected inflation data. Expectations of slower rate hikes from the Fed, and a lower potential terminal rate for US interest rates, have resulted in a repositioned dollar.
I believe the USD will weaken further in 2023, as its significant overvaluation (based on the real effective exchange rate (REER)) can no longer be supported, once the Fed stops hiking, global growth shows signs of toughing and market volatility comes down.
Technically, the dollar index DXY on the monthly timeframe closed below the 21-EMA for the first time since Aug. 2021, below the critical resistance represented in 102.80 level. Next downside target: 99.35 support level. (on the medium-to-long term)
DXY mid to long term analysisLong term I am Bearish on DXY, with De-Dollarization happening in the world especially BRICS countries preparing to create a new currency to use for trade amongst them and 24 other nations joining them. So, we will see the dollar lose its value over the next few years.
But in the short to midterm (Few Months to a year) I am seeing a nice bottom form for DXY.
I have drawn two rounded curves in purple where I see rounded double bottom formations which in my experience are immensely powerful Market structure for explosive move to the upside a move to 109 is expected because of this structure.
I have also drawn two smaller Rounded bottoms in yellow and Red which I see playing out to the upside in the short-term A move to 104 is expected if these structures continue to develop.
PA is also reacting to the PRZ 1.414 of butterfly, if DXY comes down to play the red rounded bottom, we can see a strong move up from 1.618 extension of the butterfly as a Type 2 return on the harmonic.
We also have the 3 key EMAs (13 21 and 34) on daily start to curve to the upside, these are initial signs of Trend reversal. Right now, PA is above 21 and 13, but below 34, As long as 34 EMA is not broken through on Daily Time Frame 21 and 13 EMA act as weak support and 34 EMA will continue to act as resistance, and we will be in a down trend. Once the 34 EMA is claimed on Daily and held for few days, we get a confirmation for the uptrend and then 21 and 13 EMA will start to act as strong support along with 34 EMA.
With FOMC coming up, if the news is favorable for Dollar, we can break thorough 34 EMA and confirm the trend reversal.
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DXY close to great daily support area 📖🚀Hello 🐋
Based on the chart, the price is close to the support area and channel support ✔️
if
the price doesn't break the support zone to the downside, we can see more gain 💣🚀
otherwise
we can see more correction ❌🧨
👌 Notice: pay attention to the price on shortcut chart (located above the main chart with black colour) 📖💡
Please, feel free to share your point of view, write it in the comments below, thanks 🐋