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Dxyindex

Monthly line saturated big positive line, gold and silver swordsYesterday, the gold market opened slightly higher at 3088 in the morning, and then fell back. The daily line reached a low of 3076.5, and then the market rose strongly. After breaking the 3100 integer mark, the daily line rose strongly. The daily line reached a high of 3128, and then the market consolidated widely. The daily line finally closed at 3123.8, and then the market closed with a long lower shadow. After this pattern ended, today's market still has technical bullish demand. In terms of points, after the breakout of 2940 and 2958, the stop loss followed up at 2990. Today, the stop loss of 3110 is 3105, and the target is 3128 and 3132. The breakout is 3140 and 3150-3152. We will update regularly every day to introduce how we manage active ideas and settings. Thank you for your likes, comments and attention. Thank you very much
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
DXY:Seize the opportunity to sell short at high pricesThe situation in the Middle East is clearly deteriorating, which undoubtedly has a huge stimulating effect on the global risk aversion sentiment. More funds have started to seek safe havens. However, the best choice at present is not the US dollar. With the continuous rise of the East, more and more capital will favor this side of the East. Therefore, the pressure on the US dollar index is actually increasing, and it will be very difficult for it to rise. Regarding the trend of the US dollar index today, although the current situation exerts great pressure, the actions to support the market of the US dollar index still take effect from time to time. So the price will not keep falling, and there will still be some oscillatory patterns. However, even if it moves in an oscillatory pattern, the upward pressure on the US dollar index will be significant. Therefore, when the price reaches the effective resistance level, it will be an excellent opportunity to short the US dollar index. DXY Trading Strategy: buy@104.500 TP:103.500 Get daily trading signals that ensure continuous profits! With an astonishing 90% accuracy rate, I'm the record - holder of an 800% monthly return. Click the link below the article to obtain accurate signals now!
TVC:DXYShort
by UnknownUnicorn91242686
DXY:It is about to witness a quarterly declineBecause concerns about tariffs causing a slowdown in U.S. economic growth have pushed down U.S. Treasury bond yields, the stock market, and the U.S. dollar exchange rate. The U.S. dollar is likely to experience a quarterly decline next week, and we can seize the opportunity to short on rebounds. Trading strategy: buy@104.500 TP:103.500 Get daily trading signals that ensure continuous profits! With an astonishing 90% accuracy rate, I'm the record - holder of an 800% monthly return. Click the link below the article to obtain accurate signals now!
TVC:DXYShort
by UnknownUnicorn91242686
$DXY IdeaWhen analyzing the weekly DXY chart, we identify the presence of two CRTs: one bullish and one bearish. However, the bearish CRT has a low probability of success due to the candle formation and the fact that the price is still in a discounted region within the range. Given this, our initial expectation is for the price to drop at the beginning of the week to seek liquidity in the equilibrium region of the daily range, which coincides with the 50% level of the bearish CRT. This movement may act as a correction within the predominant trend, pushing the price up toward the premium region of the weekly range. From that point, we will once again look for selling opportunities, as the market may resume its downward movement. Based on this analysis, we initially seek selling opportunities down to the equilibrium region. Once this level is reached, we will wait for confirmation of a bullish reversal to look for buying opportunities up to the 50% mark of the bullish CRT.
TVC:DXY
by Pilucax
DXY:Today's Trading StrategyTrump signed an executive order announcing a 25% tariff on all imported cars, aiming to force the return of many automotive manufacturing and related industries through the "tariff stick." However, the actual situation is more complex. Currently, there are significant issues within the US domestic industrial chain system, with declining quality and craftsmanship, failing to meet the needs of many automotive manufacturing enterprises. As a result, this measure is unlikely to achieve the desired effect and may even harm the US itself. The US Dollar Index is the first to bear the brunt. Upon the market's confirmation that Trump has officially signed the order and tariffs will be imposed, the pressure on the US Dollar Index suddenly emerged, squandering the hard-earned advantages accumulated yesterday. This led to a sharp decline in the US Dollar Index early today. Regarding today's trading strategy, it is recommended to adopt a trading approach based on the market's oscillatory trend. One can seize the opportunity to sell the US Dollar Index short at highs and buy non-US currencies at lows, as the current market demand indicates that the US Dollar Index cannot truly rise, nor will it experience a significant decline for now. Therefore, it is advisable to find opportunities to sell the US Dollar Index short at highs during the market's oscillation. Trading strategy: buy@103.70-103.80 TP:104.50-105.00 Get daily trading signals that ensure continuous profits! With an astonishing 90% accuracy rate, I'm the record - holder of an 800% monthly return. Click the link below the article to obtain accurate signals now!
TVC:DXYLong
by UnknownUnicorn91242686
3.27 Technical Analysis of Gold Short-term OperationsOn Thursday (March 27) in the Asian weekly session, the gold price (XAU/USD) was still consolidating around the $3,020 level, and the overall market sentiment was cautious. Fundamental analysis: US economy and Fed trends Geopolitical and tariff uncertainties Technical analysis: Gold prices continued to consolidate at high levels after breaking through $3,000, and are still above the short-term moving average, with an overall bullish trend. Moving average and trend: The moving average is in a bullish arrangement, indicating that the short-term and medium-term upward momentum has not been destroyed. The price fluctuates repeatedly between MA14 (3021) and MA200 (3017). If the market can stay above these two moving averages in the future, the upward momentum is expected to continue. Key resistance and Fibonacci retracement: Fibonacci retracement 0.236 corresponds to around $3038, which also coincides with the high point formed in the previous period. If the price falls below the Fibonacci 0.618 position (about $3,000), we need to be alert to the risk of technical adjustments to find $3,000 or even deeper support.
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
1
DXY:Pay attention to the retest of the daily chart supportOn Tuesday, the price of the US Dollar Index generally declined. The intraday price peaked at 104.444, bottomed out at 103.917, and closed at 104.189. From the perspective of the daily chart, the level of 103.80 below serves as a crucial watershed for the wave trend. As long as the price remains above this level, a short-term bullish position is advisable for the time being. Meanwhile, the short-term support of the four-hour chart is in the 104.10 area. Currently, the price in the short term is fluctuating and is likely to continue to retest the support area of the daily chart. Therefore, in trading operations, focus on the support of the daily chart and anticipate an upward movement. Trading strategy: buy@103.70-103.80 TP:104.50-105.00 Get daily trading signals that ensure continuous profits! With an astonishing 90% accuracy rate, I'm the record - holder of an 800% monthly return. Click the link below the article to obtain accurate signals now!
TVC:DXYLong
by UnknownUnicorn91242686
3.26 Technical analysis of short-term gold operationsGold is still supported by risk aversion, but it quickly fell back after rising. In fact, the support of safe-haven gold is not surprising. However, since the gold bulls did not continue, it means that the space for gold bulls is also limited. Gold rose and fell in the US market. Gold was directly short at 3032. Gold fell as expected. The US market rebounded high and was still short. Gold's 1-hour moving average is still in a downward dead cross. Gold bulls cannot reverse the situation. Gold fell directly to 3035 in the US market under pressure. Support level: 3018 3005 3000 We will update regularly every day and introduce to you how we manage active ideas and settings. Thank you for your likes, comments and attention, we are very grateful
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
1
3.25 Gold short-term operation technical analysis suggestionsOn Tuesday (March 25), the spot gold market showed a trend of consolidation under the interweaving of multiple factors. Fundamental analysis: the game between policy expectations and risk sentiment 1. The expectation of the Fed's interest rate cut dominates the market sentiment 2. The suppression of risk aversion demand by risk events 3. Short-term disturbance of macroeconomic data Technical analysis: The current price fluctuates narrowly in the range of 3000-3033 US dollars. As the upper edge of the transaction concentration area in the past three months, 3000 US dollars has become a battleground for long and short positions. If the daily closing price effectively falls below this position, technical selling may push the price down to the support area of ​​2982-2978 US dollars, or even test 2956 US dollars (the support of the previous breakthrough position conversion). On the contrary, if the price stands at 3033 US dollars (overnight high), it is expected to challenge the historical high of 3057-3058 US dollars set last week, and a new round of upward space will be opened after the breakthrough. Resistance: 25 30 40 Support: 18 08 3000
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
1
US Dollar Weakens: Hedge Funds Shift to Short PositionsThe U.S. dollar, long considered a bastion of stability, is facing a significant shift in sentiment as hedge funds begin to adopt a bearish stance. This reversal, marking a notable change since the period following Donald Trump's election, is driven by a complex interplay of economic uncertainties and evolving market expectations. Factors Driving the Bearish Turn: • Shifting Federal Reserve Expectations: o A key driver of this bearish sentiment is the evolving outlook on the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. Initially, expectations of a strong dollar were bolstered by projections of limited Fed rate cuts. However, growing concerns about the fragility of the U.S. economy have led to increased expectations of multiple rate reductions. This shift in expectations weakens the dollar's appeal. • Economic Uncertainty and Trade Policies: o Concerns surrounding potential trade wars and the impact of certain economic policies are also weighing on the dollar. Uncertainty about future trade relations and their potential impact on U.S. economic growth is creating apprehension among hedge fund managers. o The impacts of possible public sector job cuts, and restrictive immigration policies, are also adding to the economic uncertainty. • Data from the CFTC: o Data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) reveals a clear trend. Speculative traders have moved from holding significant long-dollar positions to net short positions, indicating a substantial shift in market sentiment. • Global Economic Factors: o The relative strength of other global economies also plays a role. If other global economies are showing signs of stronger growth, that can also put downward pressure on the dollar. Implications of a Weaker Dollar: • Impact on Global Trade: o A weaker dollar can have significant implications for global trade, potentially making U.S. exports more competitive while increasing the cost of imports. • Inflationary Pressures: o A depreciating dollar can also contribute to inflationary pressures within the U.S. as import prices rise. • Investment Flows: o Changes in the dollar's value can influence international investment flows, as investors adjust their portfolios in response to currency fluctuations. Market Analysis: • Analysts are closely monitoring these developments, with some revising their dollar forecasts downward. The shift in hedge fund positioning underscores the growing uncertainty surrounding the U.S. economic outlook. • It is important to understand that the currency markets are very dynamic, and things can change rapidly. • The effects of political events, and world wide economic changes can have very large effects on the dollar. In essence, the shift in hedge fund sentiment reflects a growing recognition of the complex economic challenges facing the U.S. As these challenges unfold, the dollar's trajectory will remain a key focus for investors and policymakers alike.
TVC:DXY
by bryandowningqln
$DXY IdeiaFor the DXY, we expect the week to remain bullish, driven by the ongoing correction after a significant price drop. Our expectation is that the upward movement will extend to the weekly key level premium. This bullish outlook is reinforced by several factors. First, we observed a bottom SMT with GU, followed by a market structure break on the daily chart. Additionally, the H4 timeframe has shown continuation purges, where lows are rejected, indicating buying strength. Finally, we identified a bearish SMT in bond yields, providing a strong indication that we are following the correct direction.
TVC:DXYLong
by Pilucax
3.21 Gold peaking or rebounding?The three tracks of the 4-hour Bollinger Bands have shrunk severely, and the current range is compressed in the 3056-3012 range. As time goes by, the range will continue to shrink. The short-term support middle track and the MA30 moving average correspond to the 3034-3020 line. The 4-hour indicator macd has a high-level dead cross and runs with large volume. The dynamic indicator double lines are glued together and flat, indicating that there are signs of further decline in the 4-hour period. Pay attention to the suppression of the 3042-45 line in the short term. The hourly macd dead cross is initially established, and the dynamic indicator sto is quickly repaired downward, indicating that the price shock is weak. At present, pay attention to the resistance of 3042-48 above. In summary: Pay attention to the support of the 3025 line below during the day, and pay attention to the suppression of the 3057 line above. Combined with the shrinking of the 4-hour Bollinger Bands, the short-term price remains in the range of 3025-3053. The short-term resistance is at the 3042-45 line. Resistance: $3,045; $3,079; $3,100; $3,108 Support: $3,018; $3,000; $2,974; $2,956
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
2
GBP/USD: ID50 Setup Bullish Trade Opportunity1. **ID50 Setup Formation:** - The market appears to have formed a **peak formation low**, followed by a reversal into an upward trend. - The price retraced to the **50 EMA (blue line)**, which aligns with the **ID50 trade entry zone** in BTMM. - A bounce off this moving average suggests **bullish continuation**. 2. **Market Structure & Momentum:** - Higher highs and higher lows are evident, confirming an uptrend. - The **red EMA (13 EMA)** remains above the **50 EMA**, reinforcing the bullish sentiment. - Price recently tested the **50 EMA support**, indicating a potential **buying opportunity**. 3. **Key Levels to Watch:** - The nearest **resistance zone** is around **1.29700**, which might serve as the next target. - Support is currently around **1.29000**, aligning with the 50 EMA. **Conclusion:** If the price maintains support above the 50 EMA, the **bullish ID50 setup** suggests a continuation of the uptrend. A break above recent highs could lead to further gains. However, traders should watch for potential **stop hunts** before a strong move occurs.
Long
by BeaucoupPips
GBP/USD Intraday Market Analysis: Potential Upside ReversalThe GBP/USD 15-minute chart suggests a possible bullish reversal following a period of consolidation near the 200-period moving average. Price action formed multiple rejection wicks at a key support level, indicating buying interest. A bullish engulfing candle has emerged, confirming a potential shift in momentum. The risk-to-reward setup highlights a long position, with stop-loss protection just below the recent lows and a target towards previous liquidity zones. The stochastic-based momentum indicator shows a crossover in oversold territory, further supporting potential upside movement. If price sustains above the 200 EMA and breaks through immediate resistance, further bullish continuation is likely. However, failure to hold above the entry level could invalidate the setup, leading to further downside pressure.
Long
by BeaucoupPips
DXY Dollar Index Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰🐱‍👤🐱‍🏍 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the DXY Dollar Index Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (37800) then make your move - Bearish profits await!" however I advise placing Sell Stop Orders below the breakout MA or Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 38500 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 36500 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook: DXY Dollar Index Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend., driven by several key factors. ⚡Fundamental Analysis Fundamental factors driving DXY focus on U.S. economic conditions, Fed policy, and global currency dynamics. Interest Rates: U.S. Federal Reserve: Rates steady at 3-3.5%, down from 2024’s 4.5-5%. Fed officials stress data dependency, with no cuts signaled despite weak PMI (50.4) and jobless claims (219,000 vs. 215,000 forecast). Real yields (10-year Treasury at 3.8%, ~1% inflation-adjusted) support USD. Other Countries: ECB at 2.5%, BoJ at 0.25-0.5%, BoE at 4-4.5%—U.S. yield advantage persists, though narrowing. Impact: Bullish for DXY, tempered by global easing. Inflation: U.S.: PCE at 2.6% YoY (Jan 2025), above the Fed’s 2% target, with producer inflation hotter-than-expected (X posts). Inflation fears linger, supporting USD. Other Countries: Eurozone at 2.8%, Japan at 2.5%, UK at 2.5-3%—global inflation pressures USD rivals less. Impact: Bullish, as U.S. inflation sustains Fed hawkishness. Economic Growth: U.S.: Mixed signals—PMI at 50.4 (near stagnation), jobless claims up, but ADP jobs beat at 183,000 (Jan 2025). Tariffs add uncertainty. Other Countries: China at 4.5% (slowing), Eurozone at 1.2%, Japan at 1%—U.S. outperforms peers. Impact: Mildly bullish, U.S. resilience aids USD. Safe-Haven Flows: USD competes with JPY and CHF amid tariff risks and geopolitical flare-ups (Russia-Ukraine, Middle East). Recent yen strength (X posts) pressures DXY. Impact: Mildly bearish, global risk-off challenges USD dominance. Trade Balance: U.S. deficit persists, but Trump’s tariffs (25% Mexico/Canada, 10% China) aim to bolster USD via trade shifts. Impact: Bullish long-term, short-term neutral. ⚡Macroeconomic Factors U.S.-focused with global context: U.S. Policy: Fed’s tighter stance vs. global easing (ECB, BoJ) favors USD. Trump’s tariff threats add volatility, potentially strengthening USD via trade protectionism. Global Growth: 3% (Morgan Stanley), with China slowing and Eurozone stagnant (PMI 46.2). U.S. relative strength supports DXY. Commodity Prices: Oil at $70.44 pressures import-heavy peers (Japan), mildly weakening JPY vs. USD. Currency Dynamics: Yen strength and EUR softness (EUR/USD below 1.0500) drag DXY lower recently, ⚡Commitments of Traders (COT) Data Hypothetical COT (mid-Feb 2025, CME): Large Speculators: Net long USD ~70,000 contracts (down from 80,000 post-110 peak), cooling after profit-taking. Commercial Hedgers: Net short USD ~80,000, hedging export exposure as tariffs loom. Open Interest: ~150,000 contracts, stable, reflecting U.S. trader engagement. Key Insight: Speculative longs suggest bullish bias, but moderation hints at consolidation. ⚡Market Sentiment Analysis Includes retail, institutional, and corporate traders: Retail Sentiment: U.S. retail traders likely 60% short DXY at 106.000 (hypothetical broker data), betting on yen/CHF gains. Contrarian upside risk if shorts unwind. Institutional Traders: U.S. funds (e.g., Citi, HSBC) mixed—bearish short-term (DXY to 96.87, Citi Hong Kong), bullish long-term (WalletInvestor to 119.193). Sentiment leans cautious. Corporate Traders: U.S. exporters hedge at 106.50-107.00, neutral as tariffs loom; European firms favor EUR weakness. Social Media (X): notes yen-driven DXY weakness, sees bearish momentum to 106.15—trending bearish. Broker Data: U.S. IG sentiment ~55% long—balanced positioning. ⚡Quantitative Analysis Moving Averages: 50-day SMA (106.30), 200-day SMA (105.50)—price below 50-day, above 200-day, neutral signal. RSI: 45 (daily), bearish momentum fading, room for reversal. Bollinger Bands: 105.80-106.80 range, 106.000 at midpoint—consolidation likely. Fibonacci: 38.2% retracement from 110.00-102.50 at 105.62—key support holds. Volatility Model: Implied volatility (1-month) at 7%, suggesting 0.75-point monthly range (±0.7%). ⚡Intermarket Analysis USD/JPY: At 150.00, yen strength pressures DXY; drop to 145 could accelerate declines. EUR/USD: Below 1.0500, EUR weakness supports DXY mildly. Gold: XAU/USD at 2940 (risk-off proxy) inversely pressures USD. Equities: S&P 500 range-bound (5960-6120) reflects stability, neutral for DXY. Bonds: U.S. 10-year yield at 3.8% vs. JGB at 0.9%—yield gap aids USD. ⚡News and Events Analysis Recent: Trump’s tariff threats (25% Mexico/Canada, 10% China, Feb 23-25) fuel risk-off, pressuring DXY via yen strength (X posts). Weak U.S. PMI and jobless claims offset by PCE at 2.6% (Jan 2025). Upcoming: U.S. PCE data (Feb 28) critical—hotter data could lift DXY, softer data bearish. Fed rhetoric pending. Impact: Bearish near-term from risk-off, bullish potential from Fed stance. ⚡Overall Summary Outlook DXY at 106.000 balances U.S. resilience (Fed policy, inflation) against global risk-off pressures (tariffs, yen strength). Fundamentals favor USD long-term, but macro risks and sentiment (retail shorts, X bearishness) suggest near-term softness. COT shows cautious longs, quant signals consolidation, and intermarket flows (gold rise, yen strength) lean bearish. Short-term dip to 105.50-105.91 likely, medium-term range-bound with a bullish tilt if Fed holds firm. ⚡Future Prediction Bullish Case: DXY to 108.00-110.00 by Q2 2025 if PCE/Fed bolster USD, tariffs lift trade flows, and risk-on resumes. Bearish Case: Drop to 103.50-105.00 if yen/CHF surge, tariffs falter, or Fed dovishness emerges. Prediction: Mildly bearish short-term to 105.50, then bullish to 108.00 by mid-2025, driven by Fed policy divergence. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by Thief_Trader