Get started

Dxyindex

EUR/USD Poised for a Pivotal Resistance BreachEUR/USD: Eyeing a Breakout Amid Dollar Weakness The EUR/USD pair is navigating a critical juncture as it attempts to capitalize on the ongoing correction in the U.S. dollar. After a prolonged period of downward pressure, the price is now testing a crucial resistance level, hinting at the possibility of a breakout that could pave the way for renewed bullish momentum. Technical Overview Following an initial attempt to breach the overarching downtrend resistance, EUR/USD has transitioned into a consolidation phase, creating a defined trading range between 1.053 and 1.021. Within this broader structure, a more localized consolidation channel has emerged, with the price repeatedly challenging resistance at 1.038. This level is proving to be a pivotal inflection point, where market participants are carefully assessing the potential for a sustained bullish reversal. The ongoing price action suggests that the market is still in the process of determining whether the recent correction in the dollar is sufficient to establish a structural shift in trend. A successful breakout above 1.038, followed by a decisive price stabilization above this threshold, would significantly increase the probability of continued upward movement. Market Sentiment and Fundamental Factors Beyond technical considerations, the fundamental landscape remains highly complex. Global economic uncertainties, compounded by the lingering effects of trade disputes and inflationary pressures, continue to shape investor sentiment. The ongoing tariff war and economic slowdown in key regions add another layer of unpredictability, making market reactions more sensitive to macroeconomic developments. Despite these challenges, the weakening U.S. dollar provides a window of opportunity for the euro to gain traction. If the dollar correction deepens, it could further bolster the euro's position, enabling it to sustain higher levels and potentially embark on a more pronounced bullish trajectory. Key Levels to Watch Resistance Levels: 1.038, 1.053 Support Levels: 1.033, 1.021 A confirmed breakout above 1.038, supported by strong buying momentum and sustained price action above this zone, could unlock additional upside potential, allowing EUR/USD to advance further within the broader framework of accumulated market energy. Conversely, a failure to hold above this level may result in renewed downward pressure, keeping the pair trapped within its consolidation range. As the market awaits further clarity, traders and investors should remain vigilant, keeping a close eye on both technical signals and fundamental catalysts that could influence the pair's next major move.
Long
by lonelyPlayer0
Bearish drop?The US Dollar Index (DXY) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the pullback support that lines up with the 100% Fibonacci projection. Pivot: 107.51 1st Support: 105.72 1st Resistance: 109.67 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYShort
by ICmarkets
2
EUR/USD on high time frame "Regarding EUR/USD on high time frames, as per my recent analysis, the price has shifted towards a bullish momentum. I anticipate the price to surpass the mitigated order block on the 4-hour chart and reach the 1/1 price zone on the weekly and daily time frames. However, this analysis would be invalidated if the price closes below 1.02 on the daily time frame." If you have any specific questions or if you need further assistance with your text, please let me know!
Long
by somayehbasiri
$BTC.D and $DXY are in diametrically opposite directionsIn this blog space we have been discussing Bitcoin Dominance ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D ) since Dec 2024. On 9th Feb 2025 I posted a blog where we discussed the Fib Retracement levels in CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D chart and we said that we can expect more upside and has broken past 0.618. I said it is possible that the dominance can reach the 0.786 Fib level at 66.12%. I tried to plot the Dollar index TVC:DXY in the same weekly chart as CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D and it was quite surprising that the FIB retracement levels in CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D are the same as the top to the bottom levels in the TVC:DXY chart. We are looking at the last 5 years for our analysis. When CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D has broken past 0.618 Fib level and trying to reach 0.786 @66.12%. But the TVC:DXY has broken below 0.786 and in the near term the TVC:DXY level can end up at 0.618 Fib levels which can take TVC:DXY to 104. So, in the near to medium term is CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D @ 66.12% and TVC:DXY @ 104.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DLong
by RabishankarBiswal
2
Elliott Wave Insight: DXY Correction to 100 ?PEPPERSTONE:USDX TVC:DXY TVC:DXY CAPITALCOM:DXY 📊 DXY Analysis with Elliott Waves 🌊 Wave (B) appears to be completing around 109. A corrective decline toward the 100 zone (Wave (C)) is likely. Key Fibonacci targets: 100% at 95.06 and 127.2% at 90.93. 🔎 Keep an eye on price action near these levels for potential reversals. ⚠️ Disclaimer : This analysis is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research before investing.
PEPPERSTONE:USDXShort
by Trwin
Gold: Northbound GoGold Market Outlook: Northbound Momentum Persists Amid Inflation and Trade Concerns XAU/USD Rebounds from Inflation Shock, Poised for Further Gains Following a temporary shakeout triggered by inflation data, gold (XAU/USD) has regained its bullish momentum, reinforcing the narrative of an ongoing uptrend. The precious metal demonstrated remarkable resilience, bouncing back from its dip to $2,865 and reclaiming higher levels as buyers stepped in swiftly. Currently, gold is navigating a pivotal zone around $2,908, a level that could determine the next major price move. Key upcoming events, such as the release of U.S. Initial Jobless Claims and Producer Price Index (PPI) data, will likely influence gold's trajectory in the short term. Macroeconomic Landscape: Inflation, Fed Policy, and Trade Risks The broader macroeconomic environment remains supportive of gold, primarily driven by persistent inflationary pressures and uncertainty surrounding U.S. trade policy. Former President Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs have injected fresh uncertainty into the global economic landscape, further bolstering demand for safe-haven assets like gold. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve continues its hawkish stance in response to rising inflation, resulting in higher bond yields that temporarily pressured gold prices downward. However, investors quickly capitalized on the dip, reinforcing the metal’s strong underlying demand. The upcoming PPI report will be a critical factor in shaping market expectations for the Fed’s next move. Should inflationary pressures remain elevated, gold could benefit as investors hedge against potential economic turbulence. Conversely, a softer PPI reading might provide temporary relief for the dollar and yields, exerting short-term pressure on gold. Technical Analysis: Key Levels and Market Sentiment Gold’s price action suggests that the market is in a consolidation phase within a key support zone. The $2,900–$2,908 range has emerged as an important battleground for bulls and bears. If buyers maintain control above $2,908, the potential for gold to retest and surpass its all-time high (ATH) in the medium term remains strong. Key Resistance Levels: $2,920: A critical near-term level that, if breached, could accelerate bullish momentum. $2,929: A significant resistance point that could attract selling pressure but, if surpassed, would signal continued strength. $2,942: A breakout above this level could set the stage for a new price discovery phase. Key Support Levels: $2,908: The immediate support level that must hold to maintain bullish sentiment. $2,902: A deeper retracement zone that could serve as a springboard for another leg higher. Additionally, traders should closely watch the $2,918–$2,920 region, as consolidation above this zone would reinforce bullish momentum and increase the likelihood of an extended rally. Conclusion: Gold’s Path Forward Gold remains well-supported by macroeconomic uncertainties and inflationary concerns, with technical indicators pointing to further potential upside. While short-term fluctuations may occur in response to economic data releases, the broader trend suggests that XAU/USD is positioned to continue its northbound journey. Investors should monitor price action around key levels, as a successful defense of support at $2,908 or a decisive break above $2,920 could confirm the next directional move. With the Federal Reserve’s policy stance and geopolitical risks in focus, gold remains a crucial asset for portfolio diversification and risk management. As market participants await further economic data, the precious metal's resilience underscores its role as a preferred safe-haven asset in times of economic uncertainty.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by lonelyPlayer0
Gold Alert: Testing 2881 Risk Zone!Gold at a Crossroads: Awaiting Key Triggers XAUUSD is navigating a critical juncture, testing a pivotal risk zone that could dictate its next major move. From this level, we either witness a trend continuation or a deeper corrective phase. Key Drivers: CPI Data & Policy Uncertainty All eyes are on the upcoming US CPI report, which could inject fresh momentum into the market. Inflation figures will play a decisive role in shaping expectations for the Federal Reserve’s next steps, influencing both gold and the broader financial landscape. Meanwhile, geopolitical and economic uncertainties add complexity. The Wall Street Journal reports that the Biden administration is preparing new tariffs, which could introduce fresh volatility and global economic risks. At the same time, Fed Chair Jerome Powell has signaled a cautious stance, reinforcing expectations of only a single rate cut in July. This has pushed bond yields higher, creating additional headwinds for gold. Technical Outlook: Key Levels to Watch Resistance: 2898, 2910, 2929 Support: 2881, 2870, 2855 Potential Scenarios: 🔹 Bullish Case: A false break below 2881 could signal ongoing bullish momentum. If buyers defend the 2881 – 2885 zone, gold may stage a rally towards 2930 – 2950 in the short to medium term. 🔹 Bearish Case: A decisive break and consolidation below 2881 could trigger a wave of liquidation, driving prices lower towards 2855 – 2848. Market Sentiment: A Stalemate Before the Storm With crucial news ahead, the market is at a tipping point. Whether gold surges or sinks depends on inflation data, Fed policy clarity, and potential tariff developments. Traders should brace for volatility as these catalysts unfold.
FX:XAUUSD
by lonelyPlayer0
#DXY 1DAYDXY (1D Timeframe) Analysis Market Structure: The price has broken below the uptrend support, signaling a potential shift from bullish to bearish momentum. This breakdown indicates that buyers were unable to sustain the upward trend, leading to increased selling pressure. Additionally, a sell engulfing candlestick has formed, further confirming bearish sentiment. Forecast: A sell opportunity is expected as the breakdown of uptrend support and the sell engulfing pattern suggest further downside movement. Key Levels to Watch: - Entry Zone: After a confirmed breakdown and possible retest of the broken support as resistance. - Risk Management: - Stop Loss: Placed above the broken support or recent swing high. - Take Profit: Target lower support zones for potential downside movement. Market Sentiment: The combination of the uptrend support breakdown and a sell engulfing pattern indicates that bearish momentum is increasing. Waiting for confirmation of continued selling pressure will help align with the prevailing market trend.
TVC:DXYShort
by PIPSFIGHTER
DXY (Dollar index) short from 108.800My DXY analysis aligns with the expectation of a bearish move, which suggests that my pairs—EU and GU—could push higher. However, before that, we may see a minor pullback as price moves toward a demand zone. Price has recently broken structure to the upside, leaving behind a fresh demand level. Once price reaches this area, I anticipate accumulation before a potential move upward. I will look for opportunities to capitalize on this movement across the pairs I trade, such as Gold, EU, and GU. The price action has been very clean so far, which is promising, and we can expect more of the same as we move further into Q1. Have a great week ahead and remain vigilant!
TVC:DXYShort
by Hassan_fx
1
A bullish DXY I think the dollar index TVC:DXY is gonna go higher coz of the recent price action. On the daily timeframe, we had a BOS and price created a swing failure as we couldn't close above the previous month's high. Price then retraced, took out internal range liquidity, tapped into a higher timeframe POI and reacted bullish (CISD). NFP triggered buy entries from the 4H OB, which rested below the pdl. Besides, the unemployment rate data indicates strengthening of the dollar as the rates have decreased from 4.3% to 4.0% in the past 6 months. I am confident jobs are increasing in the United States and unemployment rates will decrease
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by Fx-Eddie
$EURUSD relative strength and the $DXY index Today we are dipping into the currency markets where we are plotting the FX:EURUSD and the TVC:DXY index in the same chart. Even if the TVC:DXY is making a local top @ 108 but the FX:EURUSD is not breaking below the 0.236 Fib retrenchment level. FX:EURUSD has shown great resilience every step of the way recently. This might indicate a local bottom on $EURUSD. If FX:EURUSD bounces back from the 0.236 fib retracement level watch out for the next 0.382 Fib level when the FX:EURUSD hits 1.062. The TVC:DXY is failing to make a new top on the weekly chart. So, with ECONOMICS:USM2 increasing and the supply of USD increasing in the market there might be some weakness in USD in the weeks to come. And if TVC:DXY tops out here and fails then FX:EURUSD will show some bullish trends because 60% of the TVC:DXY index is still in EUR.
Long
by RabishankarBiswal
Surging Dollar Spurs Jump in Corporate FX HedgingThe relentless rise of the U.S. dollar is sending ripples of concern through the global economy, and businesses are taking notice. Faced with a strengthening greenback, corporations are increasingly turning to foreign exchange (FX) hedging strategies to mitigate the impact of currency fluctuations on their bottom lines. This surge in hedging activity reflects a growing awareness of the risks associated with currency volatility and a proactive approach to protecting profits in an increasingly uncertain global landscape. The Dollar's Dominance The U.S. dollar has been on a tear, appreciating significantly against a basket of other major currencies. This surge is driven by a confluence of factors, including the Federal Reserve's hawkish monetary policy, safe-haven demand amid geopolitical tensions, and the relative strength of the U.S. economy. While a strong dollar can have some benefits, such as lower import costs, it also poses significant challenges for multinational corporations.1 Impact on Corporate Earnings For companies that generate revenue in foreign currencies but report earnings in U.S. dollars, a strong dollar can create a significant headwind. When foreign revenues are converted back into dollars, they are worth less than they were before the dollar's appreciation. This can lead to lower reported earnings, even if the company's underlying business performance remains strong. Conversely, companies that import goods priced in dollars but sell them in other currencies see their profit margins squeezed as their input costs rise. The Hedging Imperative In this environment of heightened currency risk, FX hedging has become a crucial tool for corporations.2 Hedging involves using financial instruments, such as forward contracts, options, or swaps, to lock in exchange rates for future transactions.3 This allows companies to insulate themselves from adverse currency movements and provides greater certainty about their future cash flows and earnings.4 Surge in Hedging Activity Market data suggests a significant uptick in corporate FX hedging activity. Treasurers and finance departments are increasingly prioritizing currency risk management, recognizing that even small fluctuations in exchange rates can have a material impact on their financial results. This increased focus on hedging is driven by several factors: • Heightened Volatility: The dollar's rapid appreciation has created significant volatility in currency markets, making it more difficult for companies to predict future exchange rates. This uncertainty underscores the need for hedging strategies to protect against unexpected currency swings. • Earnings Protection: As mentioned earlier, a strong dollar can erode corporate earnings. Hedging allows companies to mitigate this risk and ensure that their financial performance is not unduly impacted by currency fluctuations.5 • Strategic Planning: Hedging provides greater predictability in cash flows, which is essential for strategic planning and investment decisions.6 By locking in exchange rates, companies can make more informed decisions about future investments and expansion plans.7 • Shareholder Expectations: Investors are increasingly scrutinizing companies' currency risk management practices. Companies that proactively hedge against currency risks are often seen as more prudent and better managed, which can be a positive factor for investor confidence. Types of Hedging Strategies Companies employ a variety of hedging strategies depending on their specific needs and risk tolerance.8 Some common approaches include: • Forward Contracts: These contracts obligate a company to buy or sell a specific amount of currency at a predetermined exchange rate on a future date.9 This is a straightforward way to lock in exchange rates for future transactions. • Options: Currency options give a company the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell currency at a specific price on or before a certain date.10 Options provide flexibility and allow companies to benefit from favorable currency movements while limiting their downside risk.11 • Currency Swaps: These agreements involve exchanging principal and/or interest payments in one currency for those in another currency.12 Swaps can be used to manage currency risk associated with long-term debt or investments.13 Challenges and Considerations While hedging can be an effective way to manage currency risk, it's not without its challenges. Hedging strategies can be complex and require specialized expertise. Furthermore, hedging involves costs, such as premiums paid for options or fees for forward contracts.14 Companies need to carefully weigh the costs and benefits of hedging and choose strategies that are appropriate for their specific circumstances. Looking Ahead The strong dollar is likely to remain a significant factor in the global economy for the foreseeable future. As such, corporate FX hedging is expected to remain a priority for multinational companies. Companies that proactively manage their currency risk are better positioned to navigate the challenges of a strong dollar environment and protect their earnings from adverse currency movements.15 The current surge in hedging activity reflects a growing recognition of this reality and a proactive approach to mitigating currency risk in an increasingly interconnected world. As global economic conditions evolve, companies will need to remain vigilant and adapt their hedging strategies accordingly to ensure they are adequately protected from currency volatility.
TVC:DXYLong
by bryandowningqln
Could the price bounce from here?US Dollar Index (DXY) is falling towards the pivot which is an overlap support and could bounce to the pullback resistance. Pivot: 107.14 1st Support: 106.57 1st Resistance: 108.11 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYLong
by ICmarkets
1