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U.S. Dollar IndexU.S. Dollar Index - Daily Dear traders, I sincerely apologize for my absence during this time; I have lost my father, who has passed away. I have not been well over the past two weeks, and I regret not being able to provide an analysis. DXY Chart Update I have updated the DXY chart and present it to you now. We know that in smart money analysis, it shows us the primary market trend structure, and by mapping the daily structure, it indicates that this chart is in an upward trend. Currently, we are looking for suitable areas to buy the dollar. Confirmation of Major High and Market Movements After confirming the major high with the price reaching the first standard pullback, which I indicated on the chart with IDM, and ultimately reaching the Decisional Order Block, we experienced a good upward move together with a proper buy. However, unfortunately, our major high was not broken, and the market pursued a downward phase towards the IFC Candles. Current Status and Key Levels Now, at the beginning of this week, with the price reaching this important IFC block and receiving confirmation in the 4-hour timeframe, we can set our target at the important resistance level of 109.533, which I have designated as my first target. Additionally, there is a 4-hour resistance at the price of 107.182 that should be closely monitored. Based on this dollar chart, this week we can look to sell euros, pounds, Australian dollars, and New Zealand dollars while buying Japanese yen, Canadian dollars, and Swiss francs. However, it is essential that we also examine other charts and find entry points on those charts as well. My focus this week is on buying the dollar and selling other currencies. I will be updating the entry points for the other charts today and sharing them in my channel. Fundamental News In his latest speech, Jerome Powell, the Chairman of the Federal Reserve, emphasized the continuation of contractionary policies to control inflation and mentioned the ongoing strengthening of the dollar. He highlighted positive signs in the U.S. economic growth, which increases the likelihood of a rise in the dollar's value this week. Source: Jerome Powell's speech at the Federal Reserve meeting, February 2025. Wishing you all success! Fereydoon Bahrami A retail trader in the Wall Street Trading Center (Forex) Risk Disclosure: Trading in the Forex market is risky due to high price volatility. This analysis is solely my personal opinion and should not be considered financial advice. Please do your own research. You are responsible for any profits or losses resulting from this analysis.
TVC:DXYLong
by fereydoon1199
Trade Idea for U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) – Feb 19, 2025📌 Current Market Context DXY is trading at 107.023 , slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level (106.344). This level is a key golden ratio support, where strong reversals often happen. The uptrend from Sept 2024 suggests that bulls are still in control unless this retracement turns into a full reversal. 📈 Bullish Trade Idea (Buy Setup) ✅ Entry: Look for bullish price action (rejection wicks, engulfing candles, or a strong bounce) near 106.344 - 106.500 . 🎯 Targets: Target 1 : 108.035 (78.6% Fib) Target 2 : 110.189 (previous high) 📍 Stop-Loss: Below 105.800 (just under 61.8% retracement to avoid stop hunts). 📊 Risk/Reward: ~1:2 or better. 📉 Bearish Trade Idea (Sell Setup) ❌ Trigger: If DXY closes below 106.344 on a daily candle , it could signal further downside. 📉 Entry: Sell below 106.200 after confirmation. 🎯 Targets: Target 1 : 105.156 (50% Fib) Target 2 : 103.968 (38.2% Fib) 📍 Stop-Loss: Above 107.000 (to avoid fakeouts). 📊 Risk/Reward: 1:2 minimum. 🛠️ Risk Management Notes Watch for fundamental news (FOMC, inflation data, rate decisions) that could cause volatility. Use partial take profits to secure gains along the way. If entering a buy trade, consider trailing stops once price reaches 108.035.
TVC:DXYLong
by RoadToAMillionClub
**DXY 4H Analysis: Ascending Channel Support, Bullish Move AheadThis DXY 4H chart shows an ascending channel with multiple BOS (Break of Structure) and CHoCH (Change of Character) points. The price is currently near the lower trendline support, around 107.754, suggesting a potential bullish reaction. A minor BOS has formed, and a possible retest of the 108.000 zone could act as confirmation for a bullish move. If the price holds above this support, the next upside target is around 110.062. However, a breakdown below the ascending trendline could indicate weakness, with support levels at 107.706–107.675 and a stronger demand zone lower around 106.400.
TVC:DXYLong
by TRADE_CENTER_1
A bullish DXY I think the dollar index TVC:DXY is gonna go higher coz of the recent price action. On the daily timeframe, we had a BOS and price created a swing failure as we couldn't close above the previous month's high. Price then retraced, took out internal range liquidity, tapped into a higher timeframe POI and reacted bullish (CISD). NFP triggered buy entries from the 4H OB, which rested below the pdl. Besides, the unemployment rate data indicates strengthening of the dollar as the rates have decreased from 4.3% to 4.0% in the past 6 months. I am confident jobs are increasing in the United States and unemployment rates will decrease
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by Fx-Eddie
Bullish bounce?US Dollar Index (DXY) has bounced off the pivot and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 107.16 1st Support: 106.51 1st Resistance: 107.92 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYLong
by ICmarkets
1
Strong Dollar Puts Bitcoin at Risk: 5 Things to Watch This Week The cryptocurrency market is bracing for a potentially volatile week as the US dollar reaches its highest point since the 2022 bear market. This surge in the dollar's strength has historically presented challenges for Bitcoin, and traders are closely monitoring several key factors that could influence BTC's price in the coming days. 1. The Dollar's Dominance The US dollar's resurgence is a critical factor for Bitcoin traders to consider. A strong dollar often exerts downward pressure on Bitcoin's price.2 This inverse relationship stems from Bitcoin's pricing in US dollars; when the dollar is strong, it takes fewer dollars to buy the same amount of Bitcoin, thus lowering the price. 2. Bitcoin's Price Risks Bitcoin's price has struggled to break free from the shackles of the bear market, and the strengthening dollar adds another layer of complexity. Traders are wary of potential downside risks, especially if the dollar continues its upward trajectory. The psychological barrier of $100k remains a key level to watch; a break below this could trigger further sell-offs. 3. Correlation with Traditional Markets Bitcoin's correlation with traditional markets, particularly the S&P 500, has been a recurring theme. As the dollar strengthens, it can also impact traditional markets, leading to a risk-off sentiment. This could further weigh on Bitcoin's price, as investors may seek safer assets like cash or bonds. 4. On-Chain Metrics While on-chain metrics provide valuable insights into Bitcoin's network activity, they may not offer immediate relief from the dollar's influence. Metrics such as exchange reserves, miner activity, and long-term holder behavior can indicate underlying strength or weakness in the Bitcoin market.3 However, these factors may take time to play out and may not immediately counteract the effects of a strong dollar. Conclusion The confluence of a strengthening US dollar and Bitcoin's existing price risks creates a challenging environment for traders. While the long-term outlook for Bitcoin remains positive, the short-term picture is clouded by uncertainty. Traders should exercise caution and closely monitor the factors outlined above to navigate the potential volatility in the Bitcoin market this week.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln