dxy deciding areai want to see how dxy plays out but if the 104.800 level holds we could see a nice move to the upside if not we will see a test of bigger time frame order block which would a nice pull back for a possible move up either way im waiting on price development market is getting ready for some nice size moves
Dxylong
dollar index update!I am super bullish with dollar index.
Wallstreet corporation banks are fighting with FED despite that Powell's pessimistic speech afterward.
Fear and Greed index became GrEEEEEEED now :)
Extreme greed will appear soon.
then
Extreme fear will begin.
USA CPI data was low as expected. but we have to watch oil price and China's re-opening.
Inflation is a beast that we can't kill at once.
MSCI EM and DXYDollar and EM markets.
A non Brainer with 1:1 correlation.
The DXY (black line) is inverted to show the coorelation with EM.
Strenthening Dollar means weaker EM and vice versa.
Soince with rate ris eback inti the limelight, the DXY should rally an dEM would be under pressure. The weakness of Chines Equity markets which makes up 31% of MSCI EM would also be a factor.
dollar index possible dobule bottomI was very bullish with dollar since 100-102 point
I was expecting it to reaches to 106 immediately but the chart seems want to make more remarkable pattern to stabilize the bullish movement.
So I analyze that major will make some doble bottom before it goes up and smash the above 106 point :)
so I am short term bearish with dollar and long term bullish.
MACD needs more power to create bigger move.
GOLD SHORT TERM INTRADAY IDEAIntraday Analysis - ( 23 FEB 2023 )
For weeks we have been emphasizing on dollar dominance and gold bears and have been adapting to clean sells with our key levels. Last night during FOMC meeting minutes , there was a slight hawkish tone which led gold to do a shot squeeze down. Will be playing the bearish bias as there is no shift in fundamentals just yet.
HRHR SELLS AT 1832ish region
MRMR SELLS AT 1828 region
SAFEST SELLS BELOW 1820
However if the whole move from FOMC meeting minutes gets corrected , i will only look for safest buys above 1848 which we may potentially see gold retest greater sell side liquidity zones. Till then scalp buys are valids but my bias will be shorts.
We have GDP data releasing tonight whereby its a good indicator of overall economy. As forecasted , we are expecting to see an improvement in US economy which can give DXY strength and potentially create a new high this will then be in line with our gold shorts possibly to 1812-1800.
If data release above forecast or as forecasted is good for the dollar, is data is bad , expect deeper pullbacks on gold but the market sentiment that holds more weight is still dollar dominance. What this means is we may see deeper pull backs above 1848 to possibly 1855 before heading back down again.
USD rally stalls at resistance, pullback and breakout pending?The US dollar index (DXY) posted three solid days of gains between Thursday and Monday. I cannot say I am overly surprised to see A Doji formed yesterday given the resistance cluster around 103.50 which includes a previous support zone, trend resistance and the 50-day EMA. But we also had a change in sentiment for markets yesterday that were eager for a decisively hawkish message from Jerome Powell, which was not delivered. Therefore I suspect the US dollar needs a pullback or period of consolidation before its next leg higher. And I maintain my view that the US dollar remains oversold, and there is more upside on the horizon after its initial pullback is complete.
USD Index Targets 104.820 After US Federal Reserve Meeting?We have learned that almost all US Federal Reserve officials backed a 25-basis-points rate hike at the last FOMC meeting held on January 31 to February 1.
Only a few officials favored a larger 50-basis-points hike at the meeting or said they "could have supported" it. Even so, many more dovish sentences were spoken in the latest meeting than compared to the December meeting. Although, officials did not go as far to consider a pause in rate hikes. The only time this topic was broached was in reference to foreign central banks and their potential strategies.
Of course, the meetings also showed the obligatory note that, although the rate hikes have started to ease inflationary pressure, officials agreed that there was much more work to do to get inflation under control and were definitely aware of the risk of not doing enough, so the drip of dovish language will likely continue for some time before a dovish outlook overtakes a hawkish. Especially, because the meeting took place before the release of the hotter-than-expected jobs and retail sales data from January. This might go some way in supporting the USD in the short to medium term.
Looking at the DXY after the release of the minutes, it looks to have helped the USD index push into the mid 104s, where it is encountering some resistance. The index only has to break into 104.700 to eclipse its recent one week high and return to its month high. A target above this range could include 104.820, which aligns with the 200-EMA and some peaks reached in January.
EXPECT STRENGTH IN DOLLAR PAIRSI spotted a bullish flag chart pattern and a fake out on Dollar index. once dollar index is bullish expect other dollar pairs to gain strength, like: EURUSD, AUDUSD, GBPUSD, XAUUSD, USDJPY, NZDUSD etc.. currently I'm short in EURUSD and USDJPY I'm in long position. Please becareful, reduce your position percentage when trading correlated pairs.
DXY Potential for Bullish Rise to recent swing high Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for DXY is bullish, as the current price is above the Ichimoku Cloud. Looking for a pullback buy entry at 103.775 where the overlap support and 61.8% Fibonacci line are, and the stop loss is at 103.189 where
50% Fibonacci line is.
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DXY Chart Analysis....
DOLLAR INDEX MY VIEW-
N.B- In this situation DXY chart create Bullish Flag Pattern's breakout @104.360.
resistance level, then market Buy UP to 105:000; @ 105.500 and 106:000 resistance level.
Then market need seems sell correction to nearest Support 105.500 level.
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DXY Pre-market Analysis Daily TFBased on my analysis, DXY broke out of its previous descending bearish channel last week, and I'm currently anticipating a sustained bullish trend in the coming days or weeks. I have identified specific price levels as potential targets, which are shown on the chart.
However, if the market retraces back into the bearish channel, this could potentially invalidate my bullish outlook, and I would need to reassess the market's direction.
What's your oipinion on this? like and comment below
End Of The Dollars Plummet?What you see here is a larger time frame analysis of the overall price action of DXY(dollar). Price has moved away from previous major resistance and is now showing bullish price action and is now showing resistance at a price area that previously caused a strong sell of (supply). Price will consolidate here before choosing a direction which I believe will be to the upside. Wait for break of yesterdays manipulated high for entry with stop below the red supply line.
GOLD SHORT TERM INTRADAY IDEAIntraday Analysis - ( 14 FEB 2023 )
Price setting up for CPI data today with many choppy price action and no smooth upside or downside moves. However on the higher timeframe we can see lower lows printed respecting the bearish structure.
Personally am looking at cpi to continue being high with a strong labour data as reflected on NFP day. Potential liquidity grabs to the upside whereby i am eyeing 1876 and 1865 regions for shorts. Would be best if there is straight melts ofcourse. However this is in the event inflation still prints high.
HRHR SELLS 1883
MRMR SELLS 1876 / 1865
SAFEST SELLS below 1850
Will be looking at 1820 if cpi data prints with dollar domination and weakness in risk assets
If CPI data prints low, showing signs of improvements, i would be looking at longs only above 1883 cancelling out the entire downside move.
Either ways stay adaptive to the markets and safest is enjoy a glass of wine with your girl and stay away from the charts.
HAPPY VALENTINES DAY