Dxylong
Dollar Index Chart Analysis....
In this situation DXY chart create Bullish Flag Pattern.So,If breakout @103.777
resistance level, then market Buy UP to 103:999 ; @ 104.720 and 105:600 resistance level.
Then market need seems sell correction to nearest Support 104.950 level.
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DXY BullishDollar is looking incredibly bullish.
This rhymes with my overall short outlook. Stocks look weak, commodities look weak, oil looks weak, cryptos are on the verge of total disaster. All very interesting (assuming it continues and heads deeper) considering where we are in the world. As far as the effect on the market - be careful, because if you fomo-ed long into stocks last week, a spike in the dollar is probably going to sting.
Kinda nauseating. Anyway I think this is a good place to maybe expect DXY to spike higher. We will monitor!
God bless!
US Dollar Index - Looking To Buy Pullbacks In The Short TermD1 - Price respected a strong support zone and is bouncing higher.
Bullish divergence.
H4 - Bullish divergence.
Higher highs.
Downtrend line breakout.
Until the strong support zone holds I expect the price to move higher further after pullbacks.
DXY - Dollar In the middle of October I suggested to short the dollar in this post:
Unfortunatley didn't have time for an idea to post. A few days ago I closed the short positions , and now I think it's very possible the dollar will print a rally in the following days.
The FED's rate hiking cycle pushed the dollar above 114 in the summer, but in October the market started to price the end of the aggressive rate hiking cycle...
The dollar collapsed in a few weeks breaking every level almost without stops.
At 101 finally we found a support.
101 was the bottom of the 2022.05.30.correction :
and this is also the 50% FIB retracement of this 2-year-rally.
The chart is not giving too much sign of a reversal yet, only MACD is showing divergence,
and trying to cross over. Ahead of the next week FED meeting I think we a have good chance for a dollar rally.
DXY strong to the upside after FED meeting...DXY moving to the upside due to the interest hike by the FED, it means USD getting stronger, look for bullish for USD Pair at least for a week.
USDCAD - Bullish - as USD Strong, CAD (USOIL) will be traded to the south due to the slow demand as Operational Cost will be increased (USD).
USDJPY - Bullish - JPY so sensitive with the interest hike
Dollar will longPowell confirmed his expectation that the central bank will raise interest rates (at least) two more times, but his acknowledgement that “the disinflationary process has begun” has given traders more confidence that those will be the last two hikes of this cycle and that the Fed will be on hold midway through Q2. Meanwhile, his repeated focus on “core services ex-housing” provides a clear inflation metric for traders to watch to evaluate whether what the central bank will do in the coming months. Here this is not actually FED dovish but not hawkish.
US labour market performing very well; Yesterday JOLTS Job Openings 11.01M from 10.44M, Tomorrow NFP data with Publish; Technical chart says Data Will be Favour for Dollar.
Dollar now create a bullish butterfly pattern from 100.5xx or Fibonacci 1.42 support.
Pre-fed DXYThe noise pollution for the market is extreme this week, from interest rate announcements to non-farm payrolls and manufacturing PMI's. Based off technicals, the dollar is looking rather perky at the moment. The DXY seemed to find support off its 61.8% Fibo retracement level, from the 2022 gains, of 101,841. I suspect a move higher towards the 50-day MA level of 103,950 is on the cards. This level coincides with the neckline as well as the 50% Fibo retracement level of 104,184. A break above this resistance range between 103,950 and 104,184 will allow the greenback to test the blue zone between 105,092 and 105,690.
The RSI has bounced out of the overbought zone and the daily MACD indicator is currently holding a buy signal which is dollar positive.