Dxylong
DXY Analysis. Bullish dollarHello everyone i want share my idea about Dollar index.
From the beginning of the year dollar changed trend from bearish to bullish which is absolutely logical and still we are uptrend, in this year everyone waiting for cut rates which will positive for dollar and this 6 month upside movement is signal, the trend will be bullish next six month.
At the moment we see some correction of dollar index which is the best tool to understand what will happen to dollar pairs ( not to USDJPY pair, JPY is in trouble, the price moves different) i used support and resistance zones at higher timeframe to understand where the correction will end, then i used fibonacci tool and scenes what will happen when price will come at the point.
I am bullish at dollar for that i am waiting my first and second scene which is bullish movement but if i will be wrong i have prepared third scene which will cover my loses.
IF I AM WRONG I WILL ACCEPT IT AND FOLLOW TO PRICE ACTION!
ALWAYS MAK YOUR OWN RESERACH!
I WILL UPDATE THIS IDEA EVERY WEEK.
DXY rebounded after news about USDPlease follow my analysis DXY: Yesterday's USD index re-tested the bottom area then rebounded. On the H4 frame, a set of reversal candles appeared, but this morning's session has a decreasing GAP, so in the short term, it is expected that DXY will test this support zone again and then may increase again. Ace can consider buying with USD today
DXY - testing the bottom, rebounding on news daysDXY: Yesterday's USD index re-tested the bottom area then rebounded. On the H4 frame, a set of reversal candles appeared, but this morning's session has a decreasing GAP, so in the short term, it is expected that DXY will test this support zone again and then may increase again. Ace can consider buying with USD today
DXY Poised for Bullish Rebound: Targets Set for 106 and Beyond The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is showing signs of a potential bullish rebound as it approaches a critical ascending support line. Currently trading around 104.957, the index has maintained this uptrend since early 2024, suggesting strong underlying support.
Technical Analysis:
Support Line:
The green ascending trendline has been a key support for the DXY, providing a solid foundation for potential upward movements. As the index approaches this line, we could see a bounce back toward higher levels.
MACD (5, 8, 3):
The MACD indicator, despite showing a slight bearish divergence with the signal line crossing below the MACD line, is hovering near the zero line. This suggests that bearish momentum is weakening, and a bullish crossover could be imminent.
RSI (26, 14, 2):
The RSI indicator is currently at 42.43, indicating that the index is nearing oversold territory. Historically, RSI levels around 40 have marked the beginning of bullish reversals for the DXY. Additionally, the RSI is nearing a key support level, enhancing the likelihood of a bounce.
Bullish Targets:
First Target: 106.00
The first target for the DXY in a bullish scenario is 106.00. This level has previously acted as resistance, and breaking above it could signal further bullish momentum.
Second Target: 107.50
If the index manages to surpass the 106.00 level, the next target would be 107.50. This level represents a previous peak and would serve as a significant milestone for the bulls.
Major Target: 109.00
In a sustained bullish rally, the DXY could aim for 109.00. This major resistance level would mark a significant recovery and indicate strong bullish sentiment in the market.
Conclusion:
The DXY is currently positioned at a crucial juncture. The ascending support line, coupled with weakening bearish momentum on the MACD and an oversold RSI, suggests a potential bullish reversal. Traders should watch for a bounce from the current support levels, with targets set at 106.00, 107.50, and 109.00. Maintaining a close eye on these technical indicators will provide clearer insights into the future direction of the DXY.
Is the correction coming?If we analyze the current dynamics of TVC:DXY , there is a probability that in the third quarter of 2024 the index will come out of accumulation and reach the levels of 109.535 and 113.148.
Note that the growth of TVC:DXY is usually accompanied by a correction in the financial markets.
DXY: there will be a correction todayDXY: The USD index yesterday fell sharply, penetrating the support zone and creating a head and shoulders pattern that can be clearly observed in the H1 frame in the context of negative information focusing on the US yesterday. And the FOMC meeting somewhat supported the USD's adjustment, but not significantly. Regarding technical factors this morning, DXY tested the neckline again, so it is likely that USD will continue to decline today. Consider maintaining a short position with USD.
DXY:C has bearish GAP reactions amid election newsDXY: The USD index is having transient reactions withinside the establishing consultation of the week with GAP falling sharply in a touchy context because of election news. In phrases of technical factors, with this GAP pressure, it's far viable that the USD will witness a bigger correction that could increase the buildup variety to the 105.6 area. You can keep in mind quick promoting the USD today.
DXY moved into a narrow range but looks bullish**Monthly Chart**
DXY has been moving into a long-term range between 107 and 100 levels (round numbers) from January 2023. Last month candles closed lower after creating manipulation candles on monthly. This month's candle (currently active) tested the low of the previous two months and pushed higher with the NFP announcement last Friday. This moved DXY back into a narrow range.
Note: I don’t trade DXY but I use it as an indication when analyzing other currency pairs linked to USD.
**Weekly Chart**
Last week the DXY closed higher after testing the daily swing low and liquidity pool around 104 level. It closed as a weekly bullish key reversal (low test) candle pattern which indicates a move of the price will be bullish for next week. The next target will be around 106, followed by 107.34 levels.
**Daily Chart**
You can see the impact of NFP and Employment Change that created a massive bullish candle on Friday after testing the Imbalance price action (IPA) for the entire week near the previous daily low and liquidity pool. This candle is a new IPA that will need to be tested for liquidity again this week. I will be looking for a retracement towards at least 50% of this candle which will provide a second confirmation that the move for DXY will be bullish for the upcoming weeks.
This is another indication to look for selling opportunities for other currencies against the USD. Such as EURUSD, AUDUSD, and GBPUSD to go short for this week.
DXY: USD index still maintains bullish stanceDXY: The USD index yesterday received both good and bad news. Therefore, we see that the USD largely maintains a state of accumulation and adjustment. On the Daily frame, a fairly positive candlestick is formed around the 105.70 threshold. However, in today's session, DXY is at risk of a deeper correction to around the 105.50 - 106.00 area and maintains its accumulation state today. You can consider buying USD when DXY returns to the 105.5-105.6 area.
Strong Dollar: Geopolitics , US Economy & Tech Drive Currency UpThe US Dollar Index (DXY) is experiencing a surge, reaching unprecedented highs. This brief explores the key drivers behind this trend, including geopolitical dynamics, contrasting macroeconomic conditions, and the US's dominance in the technology sector.
* Geopolitical Uncertainty: Heightened tensions in the Middle East, particularly the potential escalation between Israel and Hezbollah, raise concerns of regional instability. Historically, such events trigger a "flight-to-safety" phenomenon, where investors seek refuge in stable currencies like the US Dollar. Additionally, the potential for increased terrorist activity and political unrest in Europe as a consequence of these tensions could further propel capital flight towards the US, bolstering the Dollar's value.
* Favorable US Macroeconomic Fundamentals: The US economy exhibits robust performance compared to Europe, characterized by strong GDP growth, low unemployment rates, and relatively stable inflation. This economic strength is further amplified by the Federal Reserve's stance on maintaining higher interest rates to combat inflation. These factors make US assets more attractive to investors, driving up demand for the Dollar.
* US Technological Preeminence: The US is a global leader in technology, housing some of the world's most influential companies like Apple, Nvidia, Microsoft, and Google. This concentration of tech giants fosters significant economic growth and innovation. Moreover, it attracts substantial global investment into the US, further strengthening the Dollar. Conversely, Europe lags in the technology sector, limiting its ability to attract similar investment flows. This technological disparity incentivizes investors to favor US markets, contributing to the Dollar's appreciation.
In conclusion, the rising Dollar Index is a result of a confluence of factors. Geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East, are prompting investors to seek safe havens. The robust US economy and its dominance in the technology sector offer further advantages compared to Europe. As these dynamics unfold, the trend of a rising Dollar Index is likely to continue, presenting both challenges and opportunities for investors globally.
DXY MARKET FORCASTSince the beginning of the week, the DXY has been giving us a correction after last week's impulse move. The market has already broken above the correction area, which was a downtrend in the smaller timeframes. Therefore, I'm expecting the DXY to continue pushing up further, as it has been respecting the setups from my previous analysis. This means the DXY will likely continue rising, and on the other side, we'll be looking for sell opportunities in the gold market and dollar pairs.
DXY mini wave Upward(06/18/2024)DXY has a strong upward momentum. in the last few days DXY TVC:DXY faced a minor correction.
right now DXY has broken the correction trendline and is possibly heading to make a new high.
Our technical view has been shown in the chart.
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Team Fortuna
-RC
(Disclaimer: Published ideas and other Contents on this page are for educational purposes and do not include a financial recommendation. Trading is Risky, so before any action do your research.)
DXY Weekly Out look 16 June 24Monthly: Price has been taken the PML & April Low liquidity, Now its momentum is up side towards the M-BSL- 106.200.
Monthly Bias: Bullish
Weekly: Price has closed upside forming a W-VI from the previous week opening, a W-MSS+ has been formed. So the weekly momentum is bullish in weekly level, but as there is a W-VI in the upcoming week the price could a give a shallow reverse to the VI then the actual move will be formed. In the weekly level the upside target is 106.169.
Weekly Bias: Bullish
Daily: The price has been coming from the Daily OB from bellow, it already formed a body closer in the weekly Imbalance, & the price has been taken the D-BSL up side, so as the daily level BSL has been taken so in the up coming week the price could give us a shallow pull back towers the D-OB-CE then it will move upwards.
Daily Bias: bullish
DXY Bullish rallies from 105.200 or 104.400The bias for the dollar is to continue its bullish trend. We have seen a change of character on the higher time frame followed by a break of structure, confirming the upward movement. There are also equal highs above the current price that need to be swept.
Due to recent bullish momentum driven by news, the price may be exhausted. At the start of the week, we might see a drop in price as it mitigates a demand zone. Once the price taps into one of these marked demand zones, I expect a bullish reaction.
P.S. Once the price moves up, it may react to the 8-hour supply zone, causing a temporary sell-off. However, I won’t be surprised if this zone gets violated due to the liquidity pool sitting above it.
$DXY going higher!I expected TVC:DXY to dive to 97 before this because I didn't think the BOJ could hold on this long. I guess we need the dollar to go higher to make the BOJ to dump treasuries so the FED can cut rates and metals can hyperinflate.
TVC:DXY is bull-flagging and TTM squeeze is ready on EVERY TM!
That means a huge slam for gold is coming up...
DXY monthly Price analysis 3 June 2024Monthly Chart: The price has rejected from the monthly OB then, It created a M-MSS. Now month of June the price has goin bellow the TMO before the NFP week. So we could anticipate that rest of the month the price will go upward.
Monthly Bias: Bullish
Weekly Chart: The price is going down towards the PML W-SSL. There are W-FVG along with W-BPR & W-OB which might work as a resistance. If we have any H4-MSS+ after the NFP news events from those W-PDA's then our weekly Bullish Bias will be confirmed.
DXYThe dollar price looks bullish on the daily timeframe, moving within a symmetrical triangle and ascending channel, and following the Elliott Wave 12345 pattern. Currently, the price is at a resistance-turned-support level; waiting for a bullish rejection here could signal an upward move. This would positively impact XXXUSD pairs and negatively affect USDXXX pairs.
DXY hits major resistanceDXY: The USD index this week is touching the susceptible help area round 104.60, so withinside the brief term, the USD is anticipated to get better barely today. Most of the marketplace will now no longer have lots fluctuation because of the financial institution holiday. Ace can refer to shopping for with USD