DXY and 14 Levels: Understanding the Currency Pair's TargetsWhile Himino's speech is a crucial assumption for monetary policy and the longstanding dilemma regarding wages and prices, his journey is a speculative adventure on how the concept of Wages/Prices can depart from what he calls a frozen state. Next are deeper insights into how Himino perceives and examines wages and prices in relation to Japanese households, businesses, and financial institutions.
Himino then guides us through four stages of development, covering price fluctuations, labor costs, buying and selling prices, and wages.
Remarkably, as BOJ has demonstrated since 2016, Himino dismisses the Wages/Prices concept in stage 1, where uncontrollable prices arise from the West through imported inflation and market changes in oil prices. How to control imported inflation and oil prices without imposing an advanced concept like Autarky on Japan's prices.
As Himino points out in some cases, the complexity of Wages, Prices, and satisfaction to prevent deflation may never materialize.
Throughout the speech, Himino states that if the concept of wages/prices is satisfied, questions about monetary easing must be reconsidered.
Whether intentionally or not, Himino throws USD/JPY and cross-currency pairs into the mix.
A worrisome aspect of Himino's speech is how a speculative speech turns into psychological reports on negative interest rates, ultimately BOJ's most important December policy, the end of monetary easing.
Currency analysts and outspoken figures on leading websites in our era reveal that they can no longer fix it.
Stage 1: Businesses reflect higher import prices in selling prices.
Stage 2: Businesses reflect a higher overall price in wages.
Stage 3: Businesses reflect higher labor costs in selling prices.
Stage 4: Business price policies become more diverse, enabling them to explore strategies for selling more attractive products and services with corresponding prices rather than just good products and services at low prices.
Dxylong
Himino's Speech: A Deep Dive into Currency Pairs and Targets In a significant monetary policy speech, Himino introduced pivotal assumptions for wages, prices, and the prolonged dual downturn. The narrative explored how the concept of Wages/Prices might depart from what he termed a frozen state. Himino delved deeper into understanding and reviewing wages and prices concerning Japanese households, businesses, and financial institutions.
He guided us through four developmental stages involving price fluctuations, labor costs, buying and selling prices, and wages. Notably, in stage 1, Himino acknowledged the complexity of controlling imported inflation and oil prices without imposing a progressive concept like Autarky on Japan's prices.
Throughout the speech, Himino asserted that if the Wages/Prices concept is met, questions about monetary easing must be reexamined. Interestingly, Himino tactfully connected his speech to the USD/JPY movement and cross-currency pairs.
A notable aspect of Himino's speech is how speculative remarks turned into psychological reports on the last meeting of BOJ in December, highlighting the importance of the new monetary policy and the cessation of easing. Financial analysts and opinion leaders expressed their inability to repair the situation.
Himino outlined four stages: businesses reflecting higher import prices, businesses reflecting higher overall prices on wages, businesses reflecting higher labor costs in prices, and diversified price policies allowing businesses to explore strategies attractive in value instead of just focusing on low-priced goods and services.
In summary, Himino's speech touched on crucial economic concepts and their implications, sparking discussions on the future of Japan's monetary policy and its impact on currency pairs.
DXY Index is Ready to Break the 🔴Resistance zones🔴✅It seems that the DXY Index finally managed to break the Descending Channel that it was in for more than one month .
💡I expect the DXY Index to take the help of the Uptrend line to break the Resistance zone ahead and it can break the minimum 🔴 Resistance zone($104.20-$103.98) 🔴.
U.S.Dollar Currency Index ( DXYUSD ) Analyze, 4-hour time frame⏰.
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DXY BUY ON DIPS !!!HELLO TRADERS!!!
As we can see DXY has reached @ strong support zone and we are looking for retrace for testing last broken resistance area so i am expecting this support will create a short term buying opportunity so we will see these following TPs will hit our targets its just an a trade idea kindly share ur views and analysis it will help alote of new traders we appreciate your love and support
stay tuned for more updates
🗺️DXY Index Roadmap🗺️⏰(4-hour time frame)⏰🏃♂️The DXY index has been moving in a Descending channel for a month .
🌊According to Elliott's theory , it seems that the DXY index has completed its 5 downward waves near the lower line of the descending channel after breaking the 🟢Support zone($103.78_$102.93) 🟢.
💡Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD+) between two Consecutive Valleys .
💡I expect the DXY index to move towards the upper line of the descending channel and in the first step, we have to wait for the middle line of the descending channel to be broken ( the middle line has already played the role of support and resistance ).
U.S.Dollar Currency Index ( DXYUSD ) Analyze, 4-hour time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
DXY → Further gains likely above 103.57TVC:DXY regains the smile and advances to multi-day highs past 103.70 on Monday.
If the key 200-day SMA (103.57) is surpassed, the index is expected to face more sustained gains to, initially, the weekly top of 104.21 (November 22) ahead of the transitory 100-day SMA at 104.37.
In the meantime, above the key 200-day SMA, the outlook for the index is expected to shift to bullish.
USD Weakens; Currencies ResilientThe Dollar Index (DXY), measuring the greenback against a basket of key currencies, extended its decline to 103.40 (from 103.75) during the holiday trading session.
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) outperformed, causing USD/CAD to drop by 0.7% to 1.3615, hitting a one-month low. Canada's year-on-year retail sales for September surged to 2.7%, beating expectations of 2.0%.
The British Pound (GBP/USD) rebounded to 1.2605 (from 1.2540), while the Euro (EUR/USD) rose to 1.0942 (from 1.0905). Germany's IFO Business Climate increased to 87.3 in November, beating forecasts but slightly lower than the previous reading of 86.9.
The Australian Dollar (AUD/USD) extended gains to 0.6585 from 0.6560, nearing its three-month high. The New Zealand Dollar (NZD/USD) climbed to 0.6085 (from 0.6045) on strong sentiment from Australia and risk appetite.
Against the Japanese Yen, the U.S. Dollar (USD/JPY) dipped to 149.45 from 149.65 in subdued trading. The greenback closed lower against Asian and emerging market currencies.
USD/CNH (Dollar-Offshore Chinese Yuan) dropped to 7.1475 from 7.1515, and USD/THB (Dollar-Thai Baht) ended nearly unchanged at 35.40 (from 35.43). USD/SGD fell to 1.3405 from 1.3420.
Global bond yields rose, with the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield reaching 4.47% (from 4.40%). The 2-year U.S. Treasury yield increased to 4.95% (from 4.90%). Germany's 10-year Bund yield rose by 3 basis points to 2.64%, and Japan's 10-year JGB yield spiked to 0.76% (from 0.71%).
The U.S. stock markets closed stable on Thanksgiving, with the Dow rising 0.27% to 35,383 (from 35,287), and the S&P decreasing to 4,557 (from 4,560). Global equity markets showed mixed performance.
The VIX, measuring U.S. stock market volatility, dropped to its lowest close since January 2020, reaching 12.46, a 2.7% decrease. Increasing expectations suggest that central bank tightening measures have concluded, contributing to calmer stock markets.
DXY is Ready to Go UP🚀🏃♂️The DXY index is moving in the 🟢 Support zone($103.78_$102.93) 🟢 near the SMA(200) and 1 00_SMA(Weekly) .
🕯If we want to look at the last three daily candles of the DXY index from the candlestick pattern, we can see the reversal patterns of Hammer and Morning Star very well.
💡Also, another sign that shows us the end of the downward trend of the DXY index is the Falling Wedge Pattern in the RSI indicator .👇
🔔I expect the DXY index to trend higher in the coming days and attack the 🔴Resistance zone($105.88_$104.630)🔴 again.
U.S.Dollar Currency Index ( DXYUSD ) Analyze, Daily frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
DXY (Dollar index) Longs to 104.000My bias for the dollar is bullish, as I am expecting a major pull back from this key level of demand that we have marked out on the daily time frame. As you can tell by the price action, bearish pressure is now getting exhausted so, we will be looking out for a wyckoff accumulation on the lower time frame to give us more confluence that this move will take place. As I don't personally trade the dollar, I will be using as it a sign to sell my other pairs.
As we know already if the dollar becomes bullish we will expect bearish pressure for pairs like GU, EU and gold, visa versa. In addition to this, the daily demand holds a lot of significance as it has broken structure to the upside and swept liquidity therefore, we can expect a nice reaction from this AOI to potentially mitigate the supply above or fill the imbalances that have been left.
My confluences for DXY$ Longs are as follows:
- Overall DXY market is still long term bullish even though we temporarily bearish.
- Price mitigated a strong level of demand on the (daily Time frame) that caused a BOS to the upside.
- Price tapped in very slowly and the candle sticks have less volume, indicating that the bearish pressure is now exhausted and price is now looking like it wants to reverse.
- Wyckoff accumulation has started to form very gradually on the lower timeframe.
- Theres lots of imbalances above to target as well as supply zones to mitigate in order for price to continue in its bearish trend.
- Price has also taken out a key level of engineering liquidity on the way down approaching the zone, so now price has enough liquidity to move the market back up.
P.S. I am still bearish but as price has tapped in a key level, my thoughts are to buy back up to the nearest supply in order for us to follow the dollar trend downwards. I will be waiting on what market does on Monday as I will be looking for imminent Sells for EU, GU and XAUUSD.
#DXY The dollar has reached the reversal zone#DXY
The dollar has reached the reversal zone (Harmonic Enlightenment pattern)
The decline prediction fails with a daily close above 108.14. Otherwise, we wait for the green targets
The "Butterfly" pattern is a technical analysis pattern used in trading, including cryptocurrency trading. It is a specific type of harmonic pattern that traders use to identify potential reversal points in the price of an asset. The Butterfly pattern is characterized by several price points that form specific geometric shapes on a price chart. Here's a brief explanation of the Butterfly Bearish Harmonic Pattern in crypto:
1. **Initial Move:** The pattern begins with a significant price move, which could be either an uptrend or a downtrend, depending on whether it's a bearish or bullish Butterfly pattern.
2. **X-A Leg:** This is the first leg of the pattern and represents the initial move's retracement. It's labeled as "X" and is usually the point where traders first identify the potential pattern.
3. **A-B Leg:** This leg is the next move in the opposite direction of the initial move, labeled as "A." It retraces a portion of the X-A leg.
4. **B-C Leg:** The B-C leg represents a move in the direction of the initial X-A leg and is labeled as "B."
5. **C-D Leg:** The final leg, labeled as "D," is the most critical part of the pattern. It extends beyond the X-A leg and typically ends near a Fibonacci extension level of 1.618 or 2.618 of the X-A leg.
The Bearish Butterfly pattern suggests a potential reversal to the downside. Traders look for this pattern to anticipate that the price may start declining after completing the D leg. It's important to note that not all identified patterns result in price reversals, so traders often use additional technical indicators and risk management strategies to make informed trading decisions.
Remember that cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile, and trading based solely on technical patterns carries risks. It's crucial to conduct thorough research and consider other factors before making trading decisions in the crypto market or any financial market.
DXY → Next hurdle emerges around 106.00TVC:DXY looks to extend further last week’s rebound, although the 106.00 region proves to be quite a strong barrier for the time being.
Once the 106.00 hurdle is cleared, the index could then embark on a potential test of the November peak at 107.11 (November 1) ahead of the 2023 high of 107.34 (October 3).
In the meantime, while above the key 200-day SMA, today at 103.60, the outlook for the index is expected to remain constructive.