DXY Trading Opportunity: Bullish Setup & Precise SignalsOn Thursday, the DXY declined, trading below 99.50 with a drop of over 0.50%, mainly influenced by the latest remarks of U.S. President Donald Trump and Treasury Secretary Mnuchin regarding global tariff negotiations. Meanwhile, the U.S. durable goods orders data showed a divided picture, reigniting market expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut.
On the hourly chart, the DXY exhibits obvious technical pressure characteristics. The price has gradually retreated from the previous high near the 100 level and is currently consolidating around 99.30. In the MACD indicator, the DIFF line and the DEA line are in a deadlock above the zero axis, indicating a weakening of short-term momentum. The RSI indicator stands at 43.2687, in the neutral zone; 99.1000 has become an important support level in the near term.
From a daily chart perspective, the DXY shows an obvious downward trend. Since February 2025, the price has formed a series of lower highs and lower lows, and has recently broken below the psychological threshold of 100.00. The MACD indicator shows that the bearish momentum is dominant, with DIFF at -1.3961 and DEA at -1.3223 both operating below the zero axis. The RSI indicator is at 35.1769, on the verge of the oversold area, suggesting a possible technical rebound. 97.9229 is the recent low and constitutes an important support level. If this level is broken, the DXY may accelerate its downward movement.
DXY
buy@99.100 - 99.200
tp:99.800 - 100.300
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Confrontation between India and Pakistan pushes for risk aversioYesterday, the gold market opened at 3291.1 in the morning and then the market rose directly. The daily line reached a high of 3367.7 and then fell under pressure. The daily line finally closed at around 3345, and the daily line closed with a long upper shadow line. After this pattern ended, the short positions at 3496, 3468 and 3442 this week were reduced and the stop loss was followed up at 3400.
SELL: 3340 Stop loss: 58
TP1: 3330
TP2: 3320
TP3: 3305
BUY: 3300 Stop loss: 3295-92
TP1: 3320
TP2: 3335
TP3: 3360
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The gold weekly line is about to close and the short position coThe downward trend remains unchanged!
At the same time, after the current decline in gold, traders who have positions above should pay attention that the early morning rebound cannot exceed the stage pressure of 3292-3300. The larger the rebound, the weaker the downward momentum. After a continuous decline, the 3260 position can be seen below. After breaking, the 3230 point needs to be paid special attention to below. This is the golden section position of 50% retracement since the rise from 2956 to 3500 in this round. It is also a multiple resonance area in the trading concentration area. After reaching this point, traders who hold short positions should consider being more cautious.
4.25 gold short-term operation technical analysis!Spot gold suddenly fell sharply during the Asian session on Friday (April 25). At the end of the session, the current gold price was around $3,307/ounce, a plunge of more than $40 during the day.
Gold prices turned lower on Friday as hopes of a trade deal between China and the United States weakened safe-haven assets. The positive risk tone weakened the demand for safe-haven assets. In addition, optimistic US macroeconomic data on Thursday supported the dollar, which also hit gold prices.
Cleveland Fed President Hammack made it clear in an interview on Thursday that the Federal Reserve has basically ruled out the possibility of a rate cut in May. But she also released key information that if there is clear evidence of the direction of the economy, there is room for policy action in June.
Gold prices are currently supported near the $3,300/ounce mark, which is also the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of gold prices from this month's low (around $2,950/ounce) The latest round of gains is located.
If gold price falls below the $3300/oz mark, the next support for gold price is the weekly low near the $3260/oz area; if it falls below the above area, gold price may accelerate its decline and fall to the 50% retracement level (i.e. the area near $3225/oz) and finally fall to the $3200/oz mark. Some follow-up selling will indicate that gold has peaked and turn the short-term bias in favor of bearish traders.
Gold price resistance is around the $3368-3370/oz area, which should be a key level now. If it breaks through the above area, gold price may return to the $3400/oz mark. The subsequent rise may push gold price further to the $3425-3427/oz barrier. Once this barrier is overcome, bulls may retry to conquer the psychological $3500/oz mark.
Interpretation of 4.25 Gold Short-term Operation IdeasFrom the technical analysis of the hourly market, yesterday's low was at $3,306, and the rebound just now showed an obvious stop signal at this position. Based on this, the current short-term suppression level can refer to $3,315, and the higher level is $3,328. For short-term investors, you can consider waiting for the gold price to rebound to around $3,315 to arrange short orders and continue to be bearish on the gold price. The first thing to pay attention to below is the support of the low point just touched at $3,287. If this support level is lost, the next key support level will be $3,260, the first low point on the previous downward journey. If $3,260 is also effectively broken, the short-selling force will be further released, and the gold price may face a larger decline.
Interpretation of gold short-term operation ideasAfter a surge in the morning, gold was suppressed and fell again in the afternoon and has been in a narrow range of fluctuations!
Evening operation ideas:
If the European session does not continue the Asian session's pull-up and continue to strengthen, the probability of evening fluctuations will increase. After a sharp pullback, it is not easy for gold to turn strong in the short term, so before yesterday's opening is broken, the possibility of continued pullback will increase!
Short-term suppression of the US market: 3330-35, look at a high and then fall
Support below: 3310-3300-3293
Data reference: The Federal Reserve will release the Beige Book of brokerage conditions at 2 a.m.
Trump will sign an executive order at 5 a.m.
Gold profit taking continuesThe gold market opened at 3337.5 yesterday due to the profit-taking of the previous day. After the market fell back to 3315.6, the market rose strongly to fill the gap. The daily line reached a high of 3386.7 and then fell strongly. The daily line reached a low of 3259.6 and then the market consolidated at the end of the day. The daily line finally closed at 3287.9 and the market closed with a long upper shadow line. After this pattern ended, today's market continued to be empty. In terms of points, the short positions at 3496, 3468 and 3442 the day before were reduced and the stop loss was followed up at 3400.
SELL:3340 45 50 Stop loss: 55
TP1:3330
TP2:3320
TP3:3300
Technical analysis of short-term gold operationsGold rebounded to $3,339 and fell back after encountering resistance. It accelerated its decline after the opening of the U.S. market. After falling to $3,260 and stabilizing, gold began to rebound, and was still suppressed by the integer of $3,300 until the closing. Gold broke upward at the opening of Thursday, rising to $3,367, and fell back to $3,314 after encountering resistance and stabilizing. It is currently trading at $3,337. Overall, gold further retreated to $3,260 to stabilize, and rebounded to $3,367 and encountered resistance, which is basically consistent with the lower space of $3,250 and the upper space of $3,385 given by us.
Gold rebounded after hitting a new low in a week on Wednesday, mainly because Bessant said that tariff negotiations will not start soon and will be conducted at the current trade level between China and the United States. Trump did not propose unilateral reductions in tariffs on Chinese imports and denied any upcoming tax cuts, which increased uncertainty and caused some safe-haven funds to flow back into the gold market.
Gold fluctuates in a wide range, and the short-term trend is upwGold fell by $240 in two trading days, but the rebound was also very fierce, from yesterday's low of 3260 to 3367 in the early trading. The current volatility is still very large. The high and low points of $100 often appear, and it is normal to fluctuate by dozens of dollars. So pay attention to the market. There is no shortage of opportunities. Just grab what you can grasp.
The daily cycle has stepped back to the MA10 position. It has entered a critical stage. If the bulls recover, the strong rhythm is still there. It is too early to say that the peak has been reached. Pay attention to follow the market and don't be stubborn. The short-term resistance is 3386 and the 618 position of the decline and rebound is 3408. It is recommended to wait and see in the European session and look at the trend. Intervene in the US session.
Gold continues to pull back to the turning point!!!In the 4-hour chart, the price found support near the 3284 area (the recent swing low) and rebounded. Buyers stepped in at this position and set risk below this support level in an attempt to push prices higher again. Sellers hope that the price will fall below this level to push the price further down to the 3167 area.
1-hour chart
On the 1-hour chart, a short-term downward trend line can be seen, which is currently limiting the market's bullish sentiment. Sellers may establish positions near this trend line and set stops above the trend line with a target of 3167.
Analysis of gold short-term operation ideasGold price is currently trading below 3330. The downward trend in Asian session broke through the 3315 position in the morning. Our short position also successfully harvested a wave of big profits. Gold price showed signs of rebound in early European session. Now the upper pressure level can be moved down. The short-term pressure level is 3318, followed by the second highest point on the way up at 3357. The lower support level focuses on 3285. After effectively breaking through, we can focus on 3245. Now gold price is trading near the early low of 3315. The prudent operation idea is to go short at 3320 for protection at 3331 and wait for the gold price to reach 3285. After the break, wait for the rebound to 3300 and go short again to see the position of 3245. Long positions are not recommended.
Interpretation of gold short-term operation ideasThe gold market opened at 3423.4 in the morning yesterday, and then the market fell back to 3411.6, and then the market rose strongly. The daily line reached a high of 3500.4, and then the market fell under technical pressure. Subsequently, the market took profits and went down. The daily line gave a low of 3365.8 and then the market consolidated. The daily line finally closed at 3381.2, and the market closed in an inverted hammer pattern with a very long upper shadow. After the end of this pattern, the market continued to be short after opening low today. In terms of points, yesterday's short positions at 3496, 3468 and 3442 were reduced, and the stop loss was followed up at 3445. If it opens low today and falls directly, give 3292 long stop loss 3285. The target is 3336, 3350, 3365 and 3374. Exit the market and continue the short stop loss at 3381. The target is not released and the loss is held in stages.
Tariffs ease, risk aversion drops, gold continues to be bearishAfter hitting the integer mark of 3500 yesterday, gold fell back by nearly 200 US dollars. Today's early trading opened lower and directly swallowed up the overall rise of yesterday. Will gold continue to correct or turn around?
From the current decline, the range from the high point of 3500 to the current low point of 3315 is close to 200 US dollars. Considering this round of decline, it has exceeded the range of short-term correction. Therefore, traders should guard against the probability that the gold price will enter a turning point in the short term!
After the current decline is too large, the main area is to go sideways to correct the main force. The overall rebound will not be too large.
Main area: around 3380-3400
Defensive support below: double bottom around 3280
Operation suggestion: Do not carry orders, heavy positions, lock positions in sudden change cycles, and bring stop losses! "Specific operations are subject to actual trading"
DXY:It will still be under pressure.Daily trading strategy.Today, the U.S. Dollar Index has shown some signs of recovery. (👉signals👉)
However, given the strong bearish sentiment towards the U.S. dollar in the current market, U.S. President Donald Trump's threat to fire Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has triggered concerns about the political and economic stability of the United States. This has led to the selling off of U.S. dollar assets, putting pressure on the U.S. dollar. Technically, the U.S. Dollar Index is in a downward trend. Before effectively breaking through the key resistance level of 100, one can still consider going short on rallies.
Trading Strategy:
Sell@99.2-99
TP:98-97
The latest signals resulted in continuous profits 🤑, and accurate signals were shared daily.
👇 signals👇
Gold hits 3500 retracement adjustmentGold Technical Forecast:
From a technical perspective, gold is confidently moving along a bullish trajectory. There is no doubt about that. But the signals now sent by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and other momentum indicators are worth paying attention to. The daily RSI reading is close to 80, which has entered the severely overbought area. However, this does not necessarily indicate impending doom. It just confirms what we already know: buyers are in control.
So, is the price close to a top? Possibly. But I would not sound the alarm bells just yet. These high indicators are more of a warning than a battle cry. It is more of a "stay alert" than a "get out of here".
Spot Gold Technical Levels to Watch
Gold's climb to a record $3,500 was impressive, but as expected, it has begun to retreat slightly from this psychological high, most likely due to some conventional profit-taking. There is no natural resistance above this level; all we have are round numbers. However, on the way down, the situation is different.
Technical Analysis
Initial support includes Monday's high of $3,430 and the round number mark of $3,400 on the daily chart. Looking further down, $3,357 is last week's breakout level, followed by reliable support at $3,300. If a more meaningful pullback occurs, $3,245 and $3,167 will be worth watching, both of which were previous resistance ranges and are now likely to become support levels.
Gold price breaks through a new high of 3500 and enters the key Gold price hit a new record high of 3500. After reaching this point, it showed obvious pressure and went down to find the 3461 area. This is the largest correction since the rise of 3284 last Thursday.
Today's early trading price also continued to rise and break through the new high, but there was an episode, that is, it first broke through the high of 3444, then fell sharply to 3412, and finally confirmed the strong rise at 3418 to break through the new high, and continued to break through the sprint
Until noon, it sprinted to 3495 and suppressed the decline to find 3473 support, and then pulled up again to sprint to break the high of 3500. This time the decline was relatively strong, falling to the 3461 area
So far, the rising process can be slightly slowed down and enter a wave of adjustment
Accumulate momentum to provide power for the next round of start-up
During the adjustment process, pay attention to the golden section line
This wave from Since the rise from 2970, the largest adjustment squat is 0.382, and now this position is 3417, which is close to the Asian market acceleration starting point 3418. The two together become the stabilizer of the bullish trend: 0.382 position 3417 area
This is the first focus of today. During the adjustment process, pay attention to the position of the golden section line
0.382 position is 3417, close to the acceleration starting point
0.500 position is 3391, close to the 3384 area along the channel line
0.618 position is 3366, close to the four-hour lifeline
The current price space is large and the speed is fast. Articles and analysis are only auxiliary, and are more temporary reminders. Plans cannot keep up with changes. The three key points mentioned above can be kept in mind. If there are price variables during the process, they can also be adjusted accordingly.
Gold 3500 mark is about to openThe gold market opened at 3331.4 yesterday morning, then fell back slightly to 3328.6, then strongly fluctuated and pulled up, breaking through the previous week's high of 3358 and the pressure of 3387 and the 3400 integer mark, and then reached the highest position of 3430.8, and then the market consolidated. The weekly line finally closed at 3424.8, and the market closed with a basically saturated big positive line. After this pattern ended, today's market still has bullish demand driven by risk aversion and bullish sentiment, with the target at 3465, and the break at 3480 and 3500
DXY:Still under pressure. Sharing the latest trading strategy. Due to a series of trade policies implemented by Trump, the U.S. dollar has accelerated its decline 📉. The DXY has now reached the critical level of 98 ⚠️. (👉signals👉)
Influenced by factors such as the expected shift in the Federal Reserve's policy, the weakness of U.S. economic data, and the trend of de - dollarization, the downward trend of the U.S. dollar remains evident 📉. However, technically speaking, the U.S. Dollar Index is in an oversold state, and there may be a technical rebound 🔁. During the rebound process, attention can be paid to the resistance level above, such as around 99.2000 🎯. If the index fails to break through this resistance level effectively, one can consider taking a small short position 📉. The target price can first be set at 98.0000, and further, it can be targeted at 97.0000 🎯.
Trading Strategy:
Sell@99.2-99
TP:98-97
The signals last week resulted in continuous profits 🤑, and accurate signals were shared daily.
👇 signals👇
Interpretation of gold US market operation ideas! ! !Gold continued to be bullish in the morning, and the 3400 mark has been broken. How will it evolve next?
The US dollar index directly fell on Monday morning, and the US Y index fell by more than 8% this year, causing gold to rise in a variable. The rise in gold caused by this situation will be greatly adjusted due to the recovery of the US dollar! The key to winning or losing tonight lies between 20 and 22 o'clock.
If the US stock market opens, it will fall below the 98 mark due to the southward movement of the US dollar, creating a new low since April 2022! The market's trust in the US dollar as a global reserve currency has declined! The possibility of turning to other safe-haven assets has increased, thereby increasing the variable of gold rising.
If based on this logic, tonight's 20-23 o'clock cycle is the main winning or losing day of this week!
Hypothetical principle: If it is postponed to the north during the day, everyone should pay attention to the selling pressure near 3415. As the price changes, the selling pressure is more likely to occur! And the defense line will rise in each round of corrective retracement!
Short-term defense line: 3355-3370-3383-3392
Pressure level above: 3430-3458
Risk notice: 1. When everyone is paying attention, long positions may fall at any time, and the range will not be less than 50-80 points!
2. The decline of the US dollar index will lead to a collapse in futures, which will trigger a chain reaction. Traders will face the possibility of gold settlement to fill the gap in other markets!
Gold is hard to break through 4000, short sellers are coming
Gold prices rose strongly in the Asian session on Monday, approaching the historical high of $3,400 per ounce, as concerns about the global trade situation intensified and the dollar fell to a two-year low due to concerns about economic recession. Despite the overbought signal on the technical side, the market's expectations of the Fed's rate cut and trade concerns continue to attract safe-haven funds to flow into the gold market.
Technical side:
Gold opened higher on Monday and has now risen from 3330 to 3394, with a range of $65. At present, gold indicators are expected to be severely overbought and a large correction may be needed at any time. In addition, the main force continues to push up gold to prevent the main force from fleeing. Gold is mainly shorted at highs below the 3400 mark!
SELL: 3394 Stop loss 3405
TP1: 3375
TP2: 3360
Bearish sentiment on the USD index (DXY)TVC:DXY
On this trading week (April 14-18), we have not seen much volatility in the USD index, with its highest trading point at approximately 100.3 and lowest 99.2, partly due to a long bank holiday for Good Friday and Easter on the following Monday. On last week's Friday, price briefly tapped into the weekly demand zone and gave a quick reaction upwards to the 4-hour supply zone, which then quickly rejected and cooled price back down. Currently, price is still sitting at the lower point of the weekly range, we can expect DXY to have a very short-term push back to this strong 4-hour swap zone above, possibly creating a higher high, before pushing it back down. Price is very likely to take out the weekly lows and continue to push towards the bottom of the weekly demand zone.
On fundamentals, Bank of America's analysts had identified close relationship of its depreciating USD, with its falling US asset and equities values. Economic activities have also declined due to trade wars and huge uncertainty of the upcoming policy changes by the Trump administration; asset managers and central banks may also continue to sell USD. Besides, the US is very likely to continue reducing its interest rates in order to boost its economic activity. One of the reasons why Trump imposed high tariffs into many countries was to reduce international dependency on the manufacturing sector and trade deficits, and to attract foreign investments to set up factories in the US, in order to sell to consumers at the 'good price'. However, it is still very controversial on how effective it is, business owners abroad may perceive Trump's policies as bipolar, which changes depending on his mood, therefore, majority of businesses would rather partner elsewhere than to put themselves through this hassle. USD has also dropped 10% since the start of 2025 and has reached its lowest in three years.
References:
www.investing.com
www.cbsnews.com
DXY:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategiesRecently, the DXY has continued to show a downward trend ⬇️. (👉signals👉)
Although it broke through the psychological barrier of 100 points the week before last, according to the data on April 20, the ICE DXY fell from 99.64 points at the beginning of the week to 99.38 points in the recent week. Some people believe that from the credit perspective, the DXY's fall below 100 points is the result of cracks in the "broad - sense national credit" of the United States, which is coupled with the internal drivers of the recent market performance of US stocks and US bonds 📊. From the supply - demand perspective, the dislocation between "manufacturing reshoring" and a "strong US dollar" also implies that the US dollar's credit is facing deeper - seated challenges 🚨.
In operation, focus on the 100 - 101 resistance area above. Continue to wait for a rebound to go short ⏬.
Trading Strategy:
Sell@101-100
TP:99-98
The signals last week resulted in continuous profits 🤑, and accurate signals were shared daily.
👇 signals👇
Interpretation of technical analysis of gold market opening operDue to the influence of Easter, the market was closed on Friday this week. After hitting a high of 3357, gold also ushered in a short-term adjustment! In the previous interpretation, we also emphasized to everyone that after hitting a new high, we should guard against the pullback caused by profit-taking. Especially at the critical time point when the market is about to close, but this does not mean the end of the bullish trend. After the sharp rise in gold, although there is selling pressure, gold still rose by 2.5% this week and closed above 3300.
So how should we trade gold next week?
The biggest driving factor for the rise in gold prices this time is Trump’s repeated tariff policy, coupled with the recent tense geopolitical situation, and the pace of global central banks buying gold. In the medium and long term, it is still a driving force for gold to rise.
Short-term operation: Pay attention to the first support level, which is 3310, which has been touched many times.
Short-term key support below: 3285-90
Short-term focus on high points above: 3340-45
If the breakthrough accelerates to the historical high point, everyone should be cautious in chasing more!