3.25 Gold short-term shock callbackGold's current strong trend in the large-scale cycle trend has changed. Pay attention to the support band around 2950 during the week. In the 4-hour level trend, the price rebounded and touched the previous pressure band and then began to fall back. The short-term moving average continued to diverge downward and continued to be weak in the short-term trend. The price began to slowly fall below the short-term terraced support band, tending to have a downward space in the short-term trend. The short-term trend began to show signs of stabilizing slightly after a wave of rapid declines. Pay attention to whether there will be a second downward trend after a small rebound and repair in the late trading. If it falls below 3000, look at 2990 85 below. Otherwise, look up 20-30
Dxyshort
3.24 Gold intraday operation ideasAfter last week's intense volatility, this week's market sentiment diverged significantly, with different categories performing differently. In addition, as the month is coming to an end, market risk appetite is reduced, so it is necessary to be cautious.
We still need to pay attention to economic data this week, because we need to observe the prospects for US economic development through data, and another thing is inflation, which the market and the Federal Reserve are concerned about.
Last Friday, the world's largest gold ETF added 20.08 tons of positions at one time, which was the eighth consecutive increase. This kind of continuity is relatively rare. In theory, it is a positive support for gold prices, but the increase and decrease of ETFs is more viewed from a medium- and long-term perspective.
The initial pressure on the intraday gold price is around $3,026, and the further pressure is around $3,035. The strong pressure or the long-short dividing point is at the high point of $3,040. The current rebound is slightly stronger, and it may be the first to continue the rebound.
The primary support below the day is around $3005. After breaking down, further support is at $2995. If the first retracement is near this level, you can intervene and buy. The rebound target price is around $3020. As for whether the rise can continue? It must stand firmly above $3040. Below this level, there is a risk of retracement at any time.
BUY: 3005 Stop loss: 2995
TP1:15
TP2:25
TP3:35
SELL:3040 Stop loss: 48
TP1:30
TP2:20
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3.22 Gold Short-term Trend Analysis and SuggestionsTechnical analysis:
From the daily chart, technical indicators show signs of upward exhaustion and lose strength at extreme levels. At the same time, gold prices are holding above all bullish moving averages, with the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) providing dynamic pressure near 2941.70. From the 4-hour chart, the 100-period SMA and 200-period SMA continue to move higher, well below the above short-term moving averages. At the same time, the momentum indicator moves lower in the positive area but loses downward strength; while the relative strength index (RSI) corrects the overbought condition and then stabilizes near 61. Overall, Zhang Jinglin recommends wide fluctuations in gold operations today!
Short-term operation strategy:
SELL: Short near 3045 above, stop loss 3051, target near 3015, 3000.
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3.21 Gold peaking or rebounding?The three tracks of the 4-hour Bollinger Bands have shrunk severely, and the current range is compressed in the 3056-3012 range. As time goes by, the range will continue to shrink. The short-term support middle track and the MA30 moving average correspond to the 3034-3020 line. The 4-hour indicator macd has a high-level dead cross and runs with large volume. The dynamic indicator double lines are glued together and flat, indicating that there are signs of further decline in the 4-hour period. Pay attention to the suppression of the 3042-45 line in the short term.
The hourly macd dead cross is initially established, and the dynamic indicator sto is quickly repaired downward, indicating that the price shock is weak. At present, pay attention to the resistance of 3042-48 above.
In summary: Pay attention to the support of the 3025 line below during the day, and pay attention to the suppression of the 3057 line above. Combined with the shrinking of the 4-hour Bollinger Bands, the short-term price remains in the range of 3025-3053. The short-term resistance is at the 3042-45 line.
Resistance: $3,045; $3,079; $3,100; $3,108
Support: $3,018; $3,000; $2,974; $2,956
3.21 Gold Short-term Analysis and Operation SuggestionsGold hit a record high on Thursday (March 20) after the Federal Reserve hinted that it might cut interest rates twice this year, further enhancing the attractiveness of gold amid the current geopolitical and economic tensions. As of press time, spot gold was basically stable near $3,030, having hit a record high of $3,057.21.
——Gold Technical Analysis
From the daily chart, the volume indicator is firmly aiming higher, supporting another wave of gains, while the relative strength index (RSI) is stable near 72. At the same time, the price of gold is trading above all its moving averages, with the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) providing dynamic support near 2,936. From the 4-hour chart, technical indicators have eased from extreme levels, but are far from indicating an imminent downtrend. In addition, the 20-period SMA continues to rise steadily, currently around 3,011, while well above the longer-term moving average. Overall, Zhang Jinglin recommends rebounding and shorting as the main operation of gold today!
Gold short-term operation strategy:
SELL: 45 Stop loss 55
TP1:35
TP2:25
TP3:10
3.20 Technical Analysis of Gold Short-term OperationsOn Wednesday, gold maintained a bullish trend! In yesterday's trading:
1: Following the trend principle, the support is stuck at 3020, but the amplitude of the retracement is not given to the retracement near 3020, the lowest is the range of 3022-3025.
2: For short orders, avoid short orders directly; because there is no price reference for short orders, no indicator reference for short orders, therefore, avoid all of them;
3: In terms of trend, at the current stage, the bullish trend is still continuing, therefore, do not catch the top, do not think about catching a large-scale short order, it is not realistic for the time being!
In today's market:
1: 4 hours, the stochastic indicator is in a golden cross state, the main long signal; MACD double lines are glued together, and the state of passivation divergence! These signals suggest that the market is mainly controlled by bulls during the day, and it is difficult to fall sharply for the time being; in terms of form, the continuous positive rise and the broken positive oscillation form, the short-term support position is near 3040; the high point is unknown;
2: In the daily K, the stochastic indicator continues to form a golden cross, which is a bullish signal; in terms of form, the continuous positive rise is the main trend, and the short-term support position today is near 3040;
To sum up: today's short-term trend thinking; the support positions are near 3040, near 3020; near 3000, followed by around 2990; near the support, the trend thinking;
3.20 Focus on the long and short battle of the Federal Reserve!!On Wednesday (March 19), the spot gold price continued to fluctuate at a high level during the Asian and European sessions, hitting a record high of $3,045/ounce during the session, and then fell slightly to around $3,029. The market focus is highly concentrated on the upcoming Fed's March interest rate decision.
Fundamentals: 1. The struggle between risk aversion demand and policy expectations
2. Rising geopolitical risk premiums
3. Trump's tariff remarks sparked concerns about economic recession
4. Fed policy expectations dominate short-term fluctuations
Technical aspects: Long and short game in high-level fluctuations
4-hour structure chart:
Bollinger Band pattern: upper track 3044.86, middle track 3031.24, lower track 3017.63, the current quote 3030.49 is close to the middle track, indicating a short-term balance of long and short forces. If the price stands firm on the middle track, it is expected to test the upper track (3044) again; if it falls below the middle track, it may seek support from the lower track (3017)
Moving average support: The 100-day moving average (2928.75) and the 200-day moving average (2903.27) form a long-term support band, and the price difference with the current quotation exceeds US$100, further verifying that gold is in a strong cycle.
Resistance level: 3050 3080 3100
Support level: 3018 3000 2980
3.19 Gold continues to peak, waiting for the Fed's interest rateThe gold market continued to rise strongly after opening yesterday, reaching the highest point of 3038 and then consolidating at a high level, with no obvious adjustment in the middle. Although we determined that the market would surge, it was still stronger than expected. The daily line finally closed with a big positive line with a slight shadow line. After this pattern ended, the bulls in today's market are still there.
Resistance level: 3045 3050
On 3.19, gold continued to fluctuate upward after breaking throuAs a safe-haven asset, gold has attracted more buying amid global political tensions: the escalation of the conflict in the Middle East and the continued strikes by the United States against the Houthi armed forces in the Red Sea region may affect the energy supply chain. The uncertainty of the ceasefire negotiations between Russia and Ukraine has led to a high risk aversion in the market. The increase in domestic political risks in the United States may affect market confidence and push up gold demand.
The rise in gold on March 18 is in line with my thinking. Obviously, the US market was suppressed at 3028. After a short-term retracement, it further broke upward. It is expected to continue the upward trend at night and see the suppression of 3044.
The weekly and monthly lines are concerned about the upper track position, and even diverge upward under the impetus of market sentiment. The specific position cannot be determined because there is no reference point, but it is only necessary to follow the market trend to do it, and the transaction is relatively simple. From a technical perspective, the upper track of the weekly line is 3030, and the upper track of the monthly line is 3050. This is the position that needs attention. In addition, the previous two waves of rises have gone through 4 positive monthly K lines, and then closed with a negative correction.
Support level
$2994; $2982; $2950
Resistance level
$3025; $3050; $3080
3.18 Risk aversion and expectations of rate cuts support gold toIntraday data analysis:
Gold hit a new record high and maintained an upward trend. For the support below, pay attention to the upper rail of the 4-hour Bollinger band at $3010, followed by the integer position of $3000, which is also near the high point of gold prices on Monday; for the pressure above, pay attention to the upper rail of the weekly Bollinger band at $3028, which is also the upper rail position of the current 4-hour Bollinger band. If the gold price continues to break upward, the upper space can pay attention to the upper rail of the monthly Bollinger band at $2950. The 5-day moving average and the MACD indicator cross upward, and the KDJ and RSI indicators cross upward. The short-term technical side is bullish.
Gold intraday reference: Supported by risk aversion expectations and interest rate cut expectations, gold maintains an upward trend and gold prices hit a new record high. In terms of operation, it is recommended to treat it with a volatile mindset. Pay attention to the support below at $3010, followed by $3000. Pay attention to the breakthrough near $3028 for the pressure above. If it stands firm here, you can continue to pay attention to $3050.
3.18 Gold Refreshes $3,000, Be Cautious About Backtesting RisksIn 4 hours, the main trend is continuous rising and breaking rising; the main trend is anti-falling; in terms of indicators, the stochastic indicator crosses downward, mainly empty, but the pattern is anti-falling. At the same time, the MACD double lines are glued together, without crosses. Therefore, the cross of the stochastic indicator is just a correction method for 4 hours to change time for space; the horizontal support position is at the support position of 2980 and 2955.
Short-term operation: SELL: 3000
TP1: 2990
TP2: 2980
TP3: 2970
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3.17 Technical Analysis of Gold Short-term OperationsIn the early Asian session on Monday (March 17), spot gold fluctuated at a high level and is currently trading at $2,990.02/oz. Spot gold once broke through the important $3,000 mark during trading last Friday, reaching a high of $3,004.82/oz, setting a new historical high. Investors chased this historic surge in safe-haven assets, seeking to avoid the economic uncertainty caused by US President Trump's tariff war, and then fell slightly due to profit-taking, closing at $2,988.12/oz.
Analysis of intraday gold short-term operations:
Gold is still in a three-month upward channel, and the relative strength index (RSI) on the daily chart remains around 70, indicating that the bullish tendency is still intact.
Once the gold price stabilizes above $3,000/oz (integer level, midpoint of the ascending channel) and confirms that this level is support, then $3,060/oz (upper limit of the ascending channel) may be set as the next bullish target, and the next bullish target is $3,100/oz (integer level).
On the other hand, if gold fails to turn $3,000/oz into support, technical buyers may be frustrated. In this case, $2,920/oz (20-day simple moving average, lower limit of the ascending channel) and $2,900/oz (round level, static level) may be seen as the next support level for gold
Resistance: 2998 3010 3020
Support: 2980 2965 2950
3.17 Gold short-term may extend low and longLast week, the gold market opened at 2912.9 at the beginning of the week, and then fell back at the beginning of the week. After the weekly low reached 2880, the market rose strongly due to risk aversion. After breaking the previous historical high of 2957, the market accelerated upward. On Friday, the weekly high reached 3005.2, and then the market consolidated. The weekly line finally closed at 2986.1, and the market closed with a big positive line with a lower shadow slightly longer than the upper shadow. After this pattern ended, the market continued to look at the bullish demand point after the adjustment at the beginning of the week. After the breakout of 2940 and 2958 last week, the stop loss was followed up at 2956.
Short-term operation suggestions:
SELL: 2995 target 2980 70 stop loss 10
3.14 Gold breaks through historical high to 3000Yesterday, the gold market continued the risk-averse rally and broke through the historical high. After opening at 2933.4 in the morning, the market first rose to 2947.4 and then fell back. The daily line reached a low of 2932.4 and then rose strongly. After breaking through the previous historical high of 2957 during the US trading session, the market accelerated upward. The daily line reached a high of 2989.3 and then the market consolidated. The daily line finally closed at 2988.8 and the market closed with a basically saturated big positive line. After this pattern ended, the weekly line completed the N-shaped break. Today's market reached the 3000 mark and quickly pulled back to 2988 and then came to 2997.
Short-term recommended operations:
Resistance level: 3000 3010 3020
Support level: 2995 2985 2970
3.14 Risk aversion and interest rate cuts have pushed gold to thGold is supported by risk aversion and interest rate cut expectations, and the overall trend remains upward. Short-term technical aspects also show that the advantages of the bulls have been strengthened.
On the daily chart, gold has set a new record high and performed very strongly. For the support below gold, radicals pay attention to the upper rail position of the daily and weekly Bollinger bands at $2,983, which is also the low point of the gold price falling back in the morning. Secondly, the low point of the fall after the intraday high in the US market on Thursday was $2,976. The continued fall suggests that the gold price has the risk of adjustment. Pay attention to the previous historical high of $2,956; for the pressure above gold, pay attention to the breakthrough of the integer position of $3,000. If it breaks through and stands firm here, it will not guess the top. The 5-day moving average is golden cross upward, the KDJ and RSI indicators are golden cross upward, and the MACD indicator forms a dead cross, indicating that the advantages of the bulls in the short-term technical aspect are further strengthened.
Resistance points: 2,990, 3,000, 3,010
Support points: 80, 70, 56
3.14 Gold peaks againGold is forming higher highs while forming an ascending triangle, which will be confirmed if the price of gold closes above the record high of $2,982/oz on a daily basis. If the price of gold breaks the record high, then the price of gold will target the round mark of $2,990/oz. If the buyers conquer the latter, a test of the psychological barrier of $3,000/oz will be inevitable.
The 14-day relative strength index (RSI) is moving higher above 50, supporting the case for further upside in gold prices.
On the other hand, the price of gold has strong support at the 21-day simple moving average (SMA) of $2,914/oz. If the selling pressure intensifies, the price of gold will challenge the ascending trendline support of $2,893/oz. Failure to defend this level will accelerate the decline towards the psychological level of $2,850/oz.
Resistance 2980 2990 3000
Support 2950 2930 2900
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3.13 Technical analysis of gold short-term operationGold market analysis:
, Gold hourly level: In the morning, it rose from 2932 to 2946, and fell back to 2932 from 2946 in the afternoon. It rose from 2932 to 2948 in the European session. From the trend of the Asian and European sessions, it can be seen that it may enter a certain range of back and forth consolidation; combined with the trend of the bottom of 2880 rising to 2948, it can be found that there is a similar pattern in early March. After a short-term continuous rise, it will enter the box oscillation for several hours, and then continue to rise in a short-term continuous rise, and then continue to enter the box oscillation; then combined with the yellow channel in the above figure, pay attention to the pressure of the upper rail 2951-53 tonight. If it is suppressed, it may fall back to 2932-30 repeatedly. The lower rail support is an ideal bullish point. It will move up to 2923-25 tonight, which is also the top and bottom conversion position. If it can be touched, it is necessary to continue to follow the bullish
Resistance point l: 2945 2955 2970
Support level: 2935 2920 2900
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3.13 Gold surges higher againGold technical analysis
It has fluctuated continuously for two weeks in the 2890 to 2930 area. It broke through the Asian session yesterday. Then the second crazy game of the previous high formed a double top prototype structure. The global risk aversion gradually receded. The only rise was the economic recession of the United States. In fact, you think too much about global buying orders. Regardless of the recent territorial expansion speech or various taxes, or even selling cards, the purpose is to make the US dollar strong again, and hope to continue global hegemony. Therefore, it is uncertain that all kinds of speeches in the middle of the night stimulate risk aversion. Gold is constantly falling and giving you a V back every day, which is to constantly cultivate your inertia. Falling is an opportunity, and buying in batches is profit. So today is very simple. If the weakness is below 2956, it is at most 2942 to 2947, which is a direct decline, not giving you a second chance to rush high, or quickly reaching a new high, making you feel that gold is bullish again, the world is chasing more, or low-level shorts are forced to chase more hedges, then the market will change quickly.
The short-term operation ideas are as follows:
Pressure: 2955------2975 Support: 2880-----2830
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3.13CPI is bullish, gold cautiously rises and falls in short terThe CPI data released in the evening was lower than expected, which is bullish for gold in the short term and continues to fluctuate during the day.
In the short-term 1-hour chart, according to 4, the price has risen above the directionless 20-period SMA and 100-period SMA, while the 200-period SMA is rising below the above short-term moving averages. At the same time, technical indicators have lost directional strength and turned slightly lower within the neutral level, predicting that gold prices may fall soon.
Short-term trading: short near 2935, stop loss 2945, take profit 2920/2915
3.12 Gold shocks, waiting for CPIGold prices surged nearly 1% on Tuesday (March 11) as the dollar weakened and tariff wars triggered concerns about economic slowdown.
Gold continued to fluctuate in one hour, and gold continued to be shorted at high levels. Gold was under pressure near 2922 several times yesterday and began to fall. Gold was still under pressure at 2922 in the early trading and continued to be shorted at high levels. Gold can be shorted near 2920, but you have to pay attention today. If gold continues to resist falling, then gold may be accumulating momentum and may use data to attack. So if gold still does not fall quickly in the European session, then leave the market first and wait for data guidance.
3.12 Technical analysis of gold short-term operationGold Short-Term Technical Outlook
From a technical perspective, the daily chart of gold shows that the price of gold remains below the currently flat 20-day simple moving average (SMA), which provides dynamic resistance near $2,910.00/oz. The longer-term moving averages continue to move upwards at levels well below the current gold price, suggesting that bulls remain in control in the long term. Meanwhile, technical indicators have turned down near their mid-lines, suggesting that gold prices may extend their corrective decline before finding new buying interest.
In the near term, the price of gold is at risk of continuing its decline as seen on the 4-hour chart. The 20-period SMA and the 100-period SMA provide resistance in the $2,910/oz area, while the bullish 200-period SMA hovers around $2,867/oz, providing support. Finally, technical indicators remain in negative territory, albeit with mixed strength. However, a break below the intraday low of $2,881.80/oz on March 4 could see the price of gold fall further.
Important support and resistance levels:
Support level: $2881.80/oz; $2867.10/oz; $2854.95/oz
Resistance level: $2910.00/oz; $2927.90/oz; $2941.40/oz