DXY 103.176 - 0.06% SHORT IDEA HTF BIAS 🐻🐻🐻HELLO TRADERS
Hope everyone is doing great 🛑 New week new opportunities
A look at the DXY ahead of the new week 👌 MULTI-TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS
DXY DAILY
* We see the 78.6 % FIB level holding in the past week.
* Looking for signs of some bearish momentum for continuation with the bears.
* The DXY is currently trading in PREMIUM.
* Any signs of bearish momentum would Signal Bearish moves for the week that is.
* Bullish momentum changes the Bias for the week & possibly signals reversals
DXY 4H CHART
* We see rejections at the VI holding.
* DXY failed to take the high on Friday, signaling possible weakening of the bulls.
* Looking at the small FVG above to hold and reject.
* This would be one of the confirmations for some Bearish moves.
DXY 1H TIMEFRAME
* On the 1H we see that the 4H FVG does not align with premium.
* But we find a -OB just above this zone on the 1H
* Looking for rejections at this levels.
* For a bearish week.
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lets see how it goes.
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* Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT.
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Dxyshortsetup
DXY (Dollar) Shorts from 101.300 or 102.000My outlook for the dollar remains bearish, but it's currently in a bullish retracement phase triggered by the reaction at my identified 17hr demand (POI) from last week. I anticipate price to continue its upward movement to eventually reach a premium level. In this scenario, I'll be looking for selling opportunities around the 4hr supply zone or the 14hr supply at the top.
While the 4hr supply is still a possibility, it's not the optimal choice for sells due to its location within a trend line that I anticipate being taken out. Instead, I foresee a reaction at the 14hr supply, located within the 0.786 Fibonacci range and having caused a break of structure. Therefore, I'll be patiently waiting for some form of distribution to unfold once the bullish pressure is exhausted.
Confluences for DXY dollar sells are as follows:
- Dollar is temporarily bearish due to the break of structures on the higher timeframe.
- Currently price has reacted off a demand so I can expect bullish pressure to get exhausted.
- Price is slowing down foreshadowing a potential wyckoff distribution to play out.
- Lots of liquidity still left below in the form of equal lows and trend line liquidity.
P.S. Although I am currently bearish on the market, my overall sentiment is bullish. The recent reaction off the 17hr demand might spark an upward rally. Additionally, there's a 9hr demand zone where I anticipate another bullish reaction.
HAPPY NEW YEARS TO ALL OF YOU AND HOPE THIS YEAR BRING EVERYONE PROFITABILITY AND CONSISTENCY. LETS CATCH THESE PIPS!
DXY (Dollar$) Shorts down to 101.500The bias for the dollar this week remains bearish, leading me to anticipate further downward trends. Near the current price, there is a supply zone on the 3-hour chart where we'll wait for price redistribution. Following that, we'll await confirmation on a lower timeframe to execute the sell trade. Additionally, I anticipate a minor reaction from the 13-hour demand zone, presenting potential small buying opportunities.
Subsequently, we anticipate the price to continue its descent and then respond to a 3-hour demand at 101.500. This is where I expect the price to retrace upwards, providing a more favourable opportunity for a buy trade.
Confluences for DXY Shorts are as follows:
- The short term trend currently is bearish (with perpetual BOS's to the downside.)
- Trend lines below act as magnets, pulling the price downwards and encouraging a bearish continuation.
- To evoke a bullish reaction from the price next, there's a strong demand zone on the 3hr time frame.
- A clear 3-hour supply zone sits above the current price, where we can expect a bearish response.
- By the candle stick anatomy bearish candles are very strong, holding lots of momentum.
P.S. I also observe the potential for the price to rise, targeting a more favourable supply zone like the (7hr) to initiate a robust bearish movement. Despite the strong bearish trend currently, we will primarily seek opportunities aligning with the trend. However, the next viable counter-trend trade would be at the 3-hour demand level around 101.500.
DXY (Dollar) Shorts from 103.300 down to 102.200This Weeks DXY bias is to expect another major move to the downside to continue its bearish trend that it has now set. To capitalise on this movement we will wait for a minor pull back up to a near unmitigated supply, (which will be the 9hr) to look for entries to get into this selling trend.
From this we will look for our usual wyckoff distribution to play out on the lower time frame and a CHOCH inside our POI to the enter our sell positions. I would love to see the asian high get swept as well because it will increase our confluence for a stronger sell bias. Overall I am temporarily bearish for the dollar and I expect price to keep dropping for the rest of this year.
Confluences for DXY (dollar) sells are as follows:
- Price is temprorarily bearish due to the perpetual BOS to the downside.
- There's still trend liquidity left to the downside that hasn't been taken.
- For price to react off next there is a demand zone below on the 4hr region.
- There is a clean supply 9hr that caused an impulsive to the downside.
- By the candle stick anatomy bearish candles are very strong holding lots of momentum.
P.S. I would ideally wait for this structure to break first before seeing the correction back up to the 9hr however, if price goes that low I see it continuing going down to reach our next demand. Which we will then anticipate a potential short term buy back up.
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