3.11When will gold break out of its range?Will gold continue to adjust downward after the wash, or will it break upward after this period of consolidation?
1: Trump announced on the 7th that Russia launched a fierce attack on Ukraine. In order to encourage the two sides to sit down at the negotiating table for friendly negotiations, sanctions and tariffs will be imposed on Russia, including banks, until both sides are willing to stop the exchange of fire. This has increased the uncertainty of geopolitical risks, which will be a boost for gold.
2: Fed Chairman Powell reiterated at a press conference on Friday that the current US economic performance is relatively ideal, and the Fed does not intend to rush to cut interest rates next. As we all know, interest rate cuts will stimulate gold to rise, and slowing down the pace of interest rate cuts will form resistance for gold.
Since gold entered the adjustment on February 11, the repeated high-level roller coaster shock wash has been brewing for a month, and it is time to end. The gold price has repeatedly fluctuated around $2,900, and even the non-agricultural data failed to break the support of $2,890 and the pressure of $2,930.
As for gold, the focus is still on $2890 as the support point. As long as it is not lost here, it is still mainly based on reaching the bottom of the box. For players of physical gold, it is not recommended to repeatedly get on and off the gold when the funds are idle. It seems smart but will eventually miss it perfectly.
Trading strategy:
You can consider getting on the train within the range of 2900-2895, and defend below 2880 US dollars. The focus above is on the breakthrough of the 2920-30 pressure area.
Dxysignals
DXY (Dollar Index) Ready to BUY? | Monthly FVG in Focus! 💰 Smart Money Preparing for a Bullish Move on DXY!
The US Dollar Index (DXY) is approaching a key Monthly Fair Value Gap (FVG), which could act as a strong demand zone. If price reaches this level, we will look for confirmation on lower timeframes (H4/M15) before entering buys.
🔍 Why is this Important?
✅ Monthly FVG as a High-Probability Buy Zone
✅ Institutional Order Flow Aligning for a Bullish Reversal
✅ Strong Demand Expected at FVG
✅ DXY Strength = Bearish Pressure on Gold & Majors
📊 Key Market Levels:
🔹 Monthly FVG Buy Zone:
🔹 First Target:
🔹 Breakout Confirmation Above:
🔹 Invalidation Below:
⚡ Trading Plan:
📌 Wait for price to reach the Monthly FVG
📌 Look for Bullish Confirmation on H4/M15 (BOS, CHoCH, Liquidity Grab)
📌 Enter Buys Once Institutional Reversal is Confirmed
📌 Manage Risk – Watch CPI & FOMC Events
💥 Stronger DXY = Weak Gold & Bearish Pressure on Majors!
💬 Are you buying DXY at the Monthly FVG? Drop your thoughts below! 👇
#DXY #DollarIndex #Forex #SmartMoney #ICT #SMC #Liquidity #TradingView #OrderFlow
DXY looking for a final push higher before collapse.The U.S. Dollar index (DXY) has been on a strong decline recently, having even broken below its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line).
The multi-year trend is however bullish, a Channel Up pattern since the 2008 market bottom. With the use of the time Cycles tool, we can estimate when the next Bullish Leg starts, and that's not before 2027.
Based on the previous Channel Up corrections (red Channels) we should be expecting one final push towards Resistance 1, before a long-term decline and completion of the Bearish Leg.
As a result, as long as the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) holds, we can take a low risk buy and target the 112.000 - 114.000 Zone.
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USD Index Drops Sharply – Watching for Reversal SignalsSo far, it has been a rough week for the USD, with the index dropping from the 107 zone to 104 and breaking below the key 106 support level.
However, the DXY is currently seated on strong support, and a relief rally could be imminent.
I’m closely watching for signs of a reversal for confirmation while keeping an eye for short trades on EUR/USD and GBP/USD.
3.5 Technical analysis of short-term gold operationsOn the first trading day of March, the US dollar index fell sharply. Data released by ISM showed that the US ISM manufacturing index in February was 50.3, lower than the expected 50.8, and the previous value in January was 50.9. 50 is the dividing line between prosperity and recession. Although the ISM manufacturing PMI continued to expand in January, the amplitude was small and tended to stagnate. Both new orders and employment shrank. At the same time, the material purchasing price index soared to the highest level since June 2022. After the data was released, the US dollar index fell further.
Gold rebounded sharply, challenging the 10-day moving average. The 5-day and 10-day moving averages still showed a dead cross. The daily RSI rebounded and reached the key pressure zone of 2900-10 in 4 hours. The short-term trend turned to bullish, but it was still not a strong bull market. You can wait for the opportunity to stabilize and go long near 2875.
DXY Correction Plays Out – Is a Reversal Next? Since the end of January, I have been anticipating a correction in the TVC:DXY , with a target around the 106 support level.
This correction has unfolded as expected, with the Dollar Index touching 106 on Monday, followed by another test and reversal yesterday.
A key observation is that since the early February spike, the DXY has been trading within a falling wedge—a pattern that often signals a potential reversal.
What’s Next?
✅ Bullish confirmation would come with a daily close above the 106.60–106.70 zone. If this happens, we could see a move up to 108.50, a key resistance level.
✅ Interim resistance sits at 107.30, which could also act as a potential target for bulls.
Trading Implications:
If the Dollar Index confirms an upside breakout, it could present selling opportunities in FX:EURUSD , FX:GBPUSD , FX:AUDUSD , and TRADENATION:NZDUSD .
Scenario on DXY 13.2.2025I would see the dollar index like this if I was considering going short I would first consider going above the monthly level of 108.048 if the market continued then I have one more SFP at a price around 108.6 if I was going to talk about a long position then first around the monthly level of 107.053 then the next one below the daily level of 106.724.
DXY rebounding on the 1D MA50 and bottom of Channel Up.The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has been trading within a Channel Up since the November 05 2024 Low and the break-out above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). Yesterday it made a new Higher Low exactly at the bottom of the Channel and shortly after breaching the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
This MA recovery confirms the start of the pattern's new Bullish Leg. The previous two delivered a rise of exactly +4.50%, and as such we will be looking for a similar Target at 111.650.
Note that, even though the 1D RSI resembles the May 15 2024 Low, which despite an initial rebound, it was rejected on the Lower Highs trend-line at the time, now the long-term trend has shifted to bullish as that Lower Highs trend-line turned into Support on the December 06 2024 contact.
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DXY- Start of correction?In my previous analysis of the DXY, I mentioned that the index might begin a correction after more than three months of upward movement and a 10% increase.
Yesterday, the market opened with a downside gap and broke below the rising trendline that had been supporting the price since the 100 mark. This suggests that 110 could now serve as a local top. As long as the price remains below this level, shorting the USD currency could present a viable trading opportunity.
I am currently looking for buying opportunities in currency pairs such as EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, and NZD/USD.
DXY could start correcting soonThe last quarter of 2024 was exceptionally bullish for the DXY, with the price climbing from 100 to a peak around 109—a substantial 9% increase in a relatively short period.
The bullish momentum has continued into the start of 2025.
However, since late December, the price action has become more overlapping, which could indicate the potential for a reversal.
At present, the price remains above the bullish trendline, so there are no clear reversal signals yet.
That said, it’s important to monitor for a downside break. If such a scenario occurs, the index could drop toward the 106 support level.
Bearish drop?US Dollar Index (DX is reacting of the pivot which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 109.402
1st Support: 108.50
1st Resistance: 110.17
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
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The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
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DeGRAM | DXY prepare for correctionThe DXY is in an ascending channel between trend lines.
The price is moving from the dynamic resistance and the upper boundary of the channel.
The chart maintains an upward structure, but the growth rate has slowed down and indicators indicate a hidden bearish divergence.
We expect a correction.
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DXY Dollar Index Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the DXY Dollar Index market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 👀 So Be Careful, wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : You can enter a Bull trade at any point after the Breakout.
however I advise placing Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
Goal 🎯: 110.500
Scalpers, take note : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
Based on the fundamental analysis, I would conclude that the DXY (US Dollar Index) is: Bearish
Reasons:
Interest rate differential: The Federal Reserve's (Fed) interest rate (4.50%) is high compared to other major economies, but the rate hike cycle is expected to slow down, which could lead to a decline in the DXY.
Economic growth: The US GDP growth (2.1%) is slowing down, and the economy is facing headwinds from trade tensions and global economic uncertainty, which could lead to a decline in the DXY.
Trade balance: The US trade deficit (USD 50 billion) is large and growing, which could put downward pressure on the DXY.
Fiscal policy: The US fiscal policy is becoming increasingly expansionary, which could lead to a decline in the DXY.
However, it's essential to consider the following risks:
Global economic slowdown: A slowdown in global economic growth, particularly in China and Europe, could lead to a flight to safety and support the DXY.
Geopolitical tensions: Escalating geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East and North Korea, could lead to a flight to safety and support the DXY.
Fed's monetary policy: The Fed's dovish stance and potential interest rate cuts could support the DXY.
Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
Take advantage of the target and get away 🎯 Swing Traders Please reserve the half amount of money and watch for the next dynamic level or order block breakout. Once it is resolved, we can go on to the next new target in our heist plan.
Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
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DXY at a Critical Juncture: Will Bulls Break the Resistance?The US Dollar Index (DXY) is currently consolidating just above the ascending trendline while approaching a critical horizontal resistance zone around 108.00.
The price action shows a contracting triangle pattern, suggesting indecision in the market. A breakout above the resistance could confirm bullish momentum, potentially driving the index toward 109.50 or higher. Conversely, a breakdown below the ascending trendline and support zone could indicate bearish pressure, targeting the next key level at 106.50.
DXY "Dollar Index market" Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the DXY "Dollar Index" market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 👀 So Be Careful, wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : You can enter a bull trade at any point,
however I advise placing Multiple Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low & high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest low level.
Goal 🎯: 109.500
Scalpers, take note : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
Warning⚠️ : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release.
Take advantage of the target and get away 🎯 Swing Traders Please reserve the half amount of money and watch for the next dynamic level or order block breakout. Once it is resolved, we can go on to the next new target in our heist plan.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
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DXY: USD is likely to continue dominate the market! Dear Traders,
DXY has been in news ever since US Election results came out in the market. We expect price to reverse after making small correction, once the correction has been made we can correlate dxy and trade dxy pairs. Good luck and trade safe!
DXY next possible move🔮🦁🦁🦁 **Patience: The Most Difficult Skill to Master in Trading**
💡 **Want to succeed? Then, learn to wait.**
⏳ Patience is not just a virtue in trading; it’s a powerful weapon. But let’s be honest: it’s also one of the hardest skills to develop.
👉 Yet, once you master it, you’ll already be halfway to success. 🎯
📈 Trading rewards those who know how to wait for the right moment.
❌ Not those who rush.
✔️ But those who remain calm and methodical.
So, make patience your ally and see the difference. 🌟