Dxyviews
Dollar Index Chart View
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DXY: News prediction!My Outlook
The unexpected increase in inflation is not a positive development, contrary to what some headlines may suggest. While we anticipate a decrease in inflation, it is unlikely to reach the Fed's target of 2% for several years. This means that the US will likely have higher interest rates than other countries, even if inflation rates are higher elsewhere. This could result in a stronger dollar for an extended period, potentially throughout the year.
DXY 16May2023In my opinion, the dollar index this week will tend to be bullish, where the price looks to breakout from the previous swing high, even though there is a possibility of a correction, as long as this correction does not fall further than the invalid line, then the bullish trend is still a priority analysis
DXY in detail What is DXY ?
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is a measure of the value of the U.S. dollar relative to a basket of six major foreign currencies. It is a weighted geometric mean of the exchange rates between the U.S. dollar and these currencies. The DXY was created in 1973 with a base value of 100 and serves as a benchmark to assess the strength of the U.S. dollar in comparison to other global currencies.
The basket of currencies and their respective weightings in the DXY are as follows:
Euro (EUR) - 57.6%
Japanese Yen (JPY) - 13.6%
British Pound Sterling (GBP) - 11.9%
Canadian Dollar (CAD) - 9.1%
Swedish Krona (SEK) - 4.2%
Swiss Franc (CHF) - 3.6%
The weights assigned to each currency in the formula are based on the trade weights of the currencies, which reflect the importance of each currency in international trade.
An analogy to explain DXY could be imagining a shopping cart filled with distinct items, each with a different price tag. The DXY is like the total value of the items in the shopping cart, where each item represents a currency in the basket. Just as the total value of the items in the shopping cart can fluctuate based on the price of each item, the value of the US dollar in the DXY can fluctuate based on the exchange rate of each currency in the basket.
For example, if the exchange rate of the euro, yen, and other currencies in the basket decrease relative to the US dollar, the value of the US dollar in the DXY would increase. Conversely, if the exchange rate of these currencies increases relative to the US dollar, the value of the US dollar in the DXY would decrease.
Following is how it's precisely calculated:
The DXY, is calculated as a weighted geometric mean of the US dollar's value relative to the six major currencies in the basket. The formula to calculate the DXY is:
DXY = 50.14348112 × EURUSD^(-0.576) × USDJPY^(0.136) × GBPUSD^(-0.119) × USDCAD^(0.091) × SEKUSD^(0.042) × CHFUSD^(0.036)
where:
EURUSD is the exchange rate of the euro to the US dollar
USDJPY is the exchange rate of the yen to the US dollar
GBPUSD is the exchange rate of the British pound to the US dollar
USDCAD is the exchange rate of the Canadian dollar to the US dollar
SEKUSD is the exchange rate of the Swedish krona to the US dollar
CHFUSD is the exchange rate of the Swiss franc to the US dollar
As an example, let's say that on a particular day, the exchange rates of the currencies in the basket are:
EURUSD = 1.2000
USDJPY = 110.00
GBPUSD = 1.4000
USDCAD = 1.2500
SEKUSD = 0.1200
CHFUSD = 0.9000
To calculate the DXY for this day, we would plug these values into the formula and solve:
DXY = 50.14348112 × 1.2000^(-0.576) × 110.00^(0.136) × 1.4000^(-0.119) × 1.2500^(0.091) × 0.1200^(0.042) × 0.9000^(0.036)
DXY = 90.546
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DXY: Event influence!Hello traders, I have some USD related information to share with you ♥
US Dollar's position as the primary global reserve currency is being challenged
The US Dollar's share of the global market has decreased from 71 percent to 59 percent over the last two decades and could shrink even further in the future. The primary victim in this scenario is the United States, as currency usage in global trade is a zero-sum game. Each time a Yuan, real, or Rupee is exchanged on the global market, a Dollar is not. If credible alternatives gain steam, the dominance of America in the global market will be compromised.
DXY Index Next Possible MovePair : DXY Index
Description :
Divergence
EXP Fiat as an Corrective Pattern in Long Time Frame
Completed " 1234 " Impulsive Wave
Break of Structure
Symmetrical Triangle
Completed " ABC " Correction in Short Time Frame
Bullish Channel as Correction in STF
Rejection from Upper Trendline or Fibonacci Level ( 78.60% - 100% )
#DXY- BUY XXXUSD to catch Big Moves!!Dear Traders, following yesterday data on NFP we have now identified that USD pairs will be bullish for longer time as fear of recession has risen again, from negative NFP to increasing tax on Capital gains, everything indicating towards a negative DXY; we also have CPI next week which will be interesting and important for the investors and traders. It will be better to leave USD pairs alone on Monday where we will have a better understanding of the price action.
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