E-mini
DOW JONES 1D BEAR FLAG SHORT TRADEBear Flag are Ranges that are repeatable trading chart patterns.
Bear Flag chart patterns will have a directional bias depending on the previous incoming trend.
Each chart pattern will have defining trendlines of the support/resistance levels creating the pattern.
What ever time frame you are trading this chart pattern, wait for a candle close outside of the trendline in the direction of the breakout candle. (Our time frame preference is the Daily chart).
Add volume indicator - Volume is the amount of $ that went into a particular candle or in Forex the # of trades that took place.
Add ATR indicator - Volatility is the amount of price movement that occurred. Use the ATR to measure the price movement.
When you see descending Volume bars and descending ATR line (which indicates volatility) this shows
a dis-interest in traders to invest in this pair creating consolidation which creates the chart pattern.
Trade Management after there is a breakout candle close.
1 - Position size (compare volume bar to volume ma line).
a - Breakout candle must be 100% of average volume for a full position size.
b - If 75% of average volume then ½ position size. (To find 75% of Volume
look at the charts volume settings – divide smaller # into larger # = 75%+)
2 - Enter two trades.
3 - SL for both trades will be 1.5 x ATR.
4 - 1st trade TP will be 1 x ATR.
5 - No TP on 2nd trade – letting profit run and adjusting SL to follow price.
6 - When 1st TP hit – move 2nd trade SL to breakeven.
7 - Adjust the 2nd trade SL to follow price.
*8 – After Breakout candle – if price closes back into chart pattern close trade
*9 - When breakout candle is more than 1 ATR from breakout candle open.
a - Enter 1st trade at candle close with ½ position size.
b - Enter 2nd trade with a pending limit order that is 1 ATR of breakout candle open.
c – Price should pullback to that pending limit order for 2nd trade.
d – If Price returns back into chart pattern close trade before SL is hit.
SPX double gap just above 0.618 retracement support of impulse!!Will SPX 0.618 bounce after filling the huge double gap?!
That is a trade that I would make!
Clear 12345 impulse just happened, way too many people are currently longing 0.618 resistance, be smarter than the crowd, wait for the retrace!...
ES bearish divergence on Stochastics ES topped out near the 62% retracement of the big drop, which also formed a bearish divergence on Stochastics. The break below the 10-day moving average has now closed below it 2 times in a row. Below 2717.25, the late April low, would boost the chance of a return back to the March lows. A trend signal on ADX would signal strong momentum. 90-day RSI failing to get above it's midpoint at 50.
The short term market consensus for Dow Jones E-Mini FuturesThe short term market consensus for Dow Jones E-Mini Futures have change to Bullish
E-mini Dow futures offer exposure to the 30 U.S. blue-chip companies represented in the stock index
Our Proprietary Trading System indicates the following:
The Primary Trend (PT) given by the Global Monthly TIME BAR (GMTB) is currently Bullish
The Secondary Trend (ST), given by the Global Weekly TIME BAR (GWTB) is currently Bullish
The Medium Term Trend (MTT), given by the Global Daily TIME BAR (GDTB) is currently Bullish
The Short Term Trend (STT), given by the Global Four Hour TIME BAR (GFHTB) is currently Bullish
In light of the above trend analysis we will execute a bullish trade on Dow Jones E-Mini Futures
Global Entry Signal For Trade #1: Buy @ 28545
Global Trailing Stop Loss Trade #1: @ 28325
Global Target Profit Trade #1 : @ 34225
Global Trade Management Strategy: We applied the Global Trailing Stop System for Global Trading Strategy #3 & #5. View Updates
Trading is risky
There is a substantial risk of loss in futures and Forex trading. Online trading of stocks and options is extremely risky. Assume you will lose money. Don't trade with money you cannot afford to lose.
E-mini (NQ) Index Potentially Bearish Closing Price Reversal TopE-mini NASDAQ-100 Index (NQ) Futures Technical Analysis – Close Under 8461.25 Patterns Potentially Bearish Closing Price Reversal Top
The principal trend is up according to the daily swing chart. The uptrend was reaffirmed earlier in the session. A trade within the intraday high at 8552.75. will signal a continuation of the uptrend.
The principal trend will change to down on a trade through 8164.75. This is highly unlikely, but the index is inside the window of time for a closing price reversal top.
A close below 8461.25 will form a closing price reversal peak. This chart pattern won’t show a change in trend, but it will show the selling is greater than the buying at prevailing price levels. If confirmed on Monday, it could lead to a two to three-day correction.
The minor trend is also up. A trade through 8297.00 will change the minor trend to down. This will also shift momentum to the downside.
XAGUSD Descending Channel - Short Term Down4H Analysis
Long Term - Price moving on a Descending Channel
Short Term - Price moving on a Mini Ascending Channel
Price struggling to create a new high inside Mini Ascending Channel. Per history, this is bound to go down.
Entry Detail:
SL: Set outside the Mini Ascending Channel Resistance Zone to allow the price to fluctuate.
TP: 2R - Just before previous resistance-turned-support / base of Mini Ascending Channel
Note: This post is my personal journal/opinion only. Please trade at your own risk.
E-MINI DOW JONES FUTURES 1D RANGE TRADESRanges, Triangles, Descending Triangles, and Ascending Triangles are repeatable trading chart patterns.
Triangles and ranges are consolidation chart patterns that can breakout either direction.
Ascending and descending chart patterns will have a directional bias depending on the previous incoming trend.
Each chart pattern will have defining trendlines of the support/resistance levels creating the pattern.
What ever time frame you are trading this chart pattern, wait for a candle close outside of the trendline in the direction of the breakout candle. (Our time frame preference is the Daily chart ).
Add volume indicator - Volume is the amount of $ that went into a particular candle or in Forex the # of trades that took place.
Add ATR indicator - Volatility is the amount of price movement that occurred. Use the ATR to measure the price movement.
When you see descending Volume bars and descending ATR line (which indicates volatility ) this shows a dis-interest in traders to invest in this pair creating consolidation which creates the chart pattern.
Trade Management after there is a breakout candle close.
1 - Position size (compare volume bar to volume ma line).
a - Breakout candle must be 100% of average volume for a full position size.
b - If 75% of average volume then ½ position size. (To find 75% of Volume
look at the volume settings on the chart – divide smaller # into larger # = 75%+)
2 - Enter two trades.
3 - SL for both trades will be 1.5 x ATR.
4 - 1st trade TP will be 1 x ATR.
5 - No TP on 2nd trade – letting profit run and adjusting SL to follow price.
6 - When 1st TP hit – move 2nd trade SL to breakeven.
7 - Adjust the 2nd trade SL to follow price.
*8 – After Breakout candle – if price closes back into chart pattern close trade
*9 - When breakout candle is more than 1 ATR from breakout candle open.
a - Enter 1st trade at candle close with ½ position size.
b - Enter 2nd trade with a pending limit order that is 1 ATR of breakout candle open.
c – Price should pullback to that pending limit order for 2nd trade.
d – If Price returns back into chart pattern close trade before SL is hit.
min S&P500 or ES plan for 31.07.2019Main outlook on mini S&P500 remains down for me.
But I see that price want make new high near 3030-3035.
If in that area I will see bar up with high volume and other conditions to open trade, I will short it.
Write your comments and push likes.
Have profitable trades.
Daily Analysis + 4HS setup on E-mini S&P 500 by ThinkingAntsOkFirst, we are going to start with the Daily Analysis
Main Items we see on the chart:
a)Price is inside an Expanding Triangle
b)Using Elliott Wave Theory to understand the formation of any structure, we can see that A B C and D are already formed, continuing with Elliotts Logic an E wave is remaining, this Wave theoretically should make and impulse towards the lower trendline of the Expanding Triangle
c)If we take a look at the Volume we can see how during the bullish movement there was a steady decreasing on it, this can be interpreted as a weakness of the bullish strength and a lack of interest on the price zone.
Based on this we see a bearish scenario ongoing and we are developing a short setup on a lower timeframe, let's take a look.
4HS SHORT SETUP
a) Price is against the higher trendline of the Expanding triangle, this trendline will tend to act as a Resistance
b)We can see how the ascending channel was broken, this gives us an important signal of weakness on the bullish side.
c) Take a look at MACD and see the clear Divergence between multiples waves, 4 to be exactly.
d) At the top of the bullish trend, we can see a Head and Shoulders Formation, this type of formation is considered a Reversal structure
Out trade Idea is to look for a new bearish impulse and then wait for a pullback to the neckline of the structure, This setup will give us a good Risk Reward Ratio, with the possibility of setting our ENTRY / TAKE PROFIT and STOP on really good technical spots. However, we will wait for
confirmations before taking a short setup on E-mini S&P 500, In case the scenario we are waiting goes as expected we will update this trade idea on a new post with our exact setup.
New All Time High - Risky BuyS&P New All Time Highs - Risky Buy
The Emini and S&P 500 made a new all time high again today, leading many to believe this market is still strong. In some ways it is, but it is more important to realize it is also in a bull flag trading range. This makes it a risky place to buy up here. This is where strong bulls who bought lower will start looking to take profits, and strong bears will start looking to sell for a move down.
Why is it risky to buy now? There is only a 40% chance of a measured move up based on the height of the trading range. And the risk needed to enter now is large (below the bottom of the trading range). There is at least a 50% chance of a test down soon, back into the range. The middle of the trading range is a magnet and will likely get tested before the bull trend continues. Furthermore, if the bears are soon able to create a strong reversal bar for the large wedge, it could increase the probability to 60% for two legs down. If there is a quick and large move up in the next few weeks, it would likely act as a climax and final flag reversal, increasing the likelihood of a sell off.
Dont think just because there is no reversal yet that the market cant or wont sell off. Look at the past two sell offs from this area. They began from bull bars (Jan 18 two bar reversal), or small inconspicuous bars (Sep 18 doji to outside bear bar). But the follow through was strong and fast. Of course, this does not mean a shorter term trader cant buy and make money. Day traders can do many things investors do not or should not. But as far as a long term investment, this is simply not a safe one to buy at the current price level unless you are willing to sit through a deep pullback and scale in. And if you are - why not just wait and buy then?
If you found this helpful please like! Feel free to comment or ask questions
MATA O TOURO!! (BULL TRAP??)FERRMENTAS:
no preço:
Quadrado de 9 (QUAD9) calculado a cada 360graus.
É nítido que o preço RESPEITA as diagonais de 45graus?
Pois é... parece que sempre respeita.
um dia explico a lógica do fluxo de energia em um quadrado 1x1, o chamado 'contenção do infinito" da incomensurável, fato conhecido desde lá os pré-socráticos.
(as vezes acho que W.D.GANN pescou isso por ser grão-mestre da maçonaria. Vai saber? ;) )
MAs hey-ho, let´s go!
PRICE ACTION:
o preço está em um novo quadrante do QUAD9.
o preço está ACIMA da linha de 45graus desse quadrante.
SE o preço cruzar a linha amarela da diagonal inversa, então ele tem vai de 101450 até 101662. Um belo SCALP.
SE o preço atingir 101662 e não desistir (monitore em H1, faça seus trades em M15) então 101985 é o próximo alvo. um bom swinguinho.
SE o preço confirmar-se acima do 0.5 do quadrante, então espere 102301.
AGORA
Se o preço falhar de romper a média amarela, e voltar e romper o 0.5 do atual quadrante, espere 101029 (um scalpezin que paga o pão na chapa na padaria, por um ano! :D)
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AGORA O INDICADOR:
o indicador é um clássico dos velha-guarda de FOREX;
é um W%R de 9 períodos + uma EMA de 9 períodos tb.
Veja que lindo!
tocou e rejeitou as duas linhas é PULLBACK
tocou e rompeu, as duas linhas é ou um TOPO ou um FUNDO
(ok q o Tradingview não escalona com perfeição o treco, até hoje só vi dois softwares fazendo direito isso, o METATRADER 5 e o SIERRACHART)
Mas tá ai.
o q o indicador indica?
UMA ÓBVIA REGIÃO DE SOBRECOMPRA.
pór isso que não aposto nada acima de 102301 para quando a Bolsa voltar... ainda mais com um dia inteiro de GAP temporal.
para daytrade esses são os pontos que me interessam.
Pra swing, swing SÓ quando o indicador cruza as linhas e AO MESMO TEMPO o preço rompe OU uma diagonal de 45 graus OU rompe um quadrante de GANN.
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PARA AJUDAR, o MURREY MATH ainda por cima está em 8/8 da oitava de alta, OU SEJA, SE não ROMPER 102301, VAI DESCER.
se romper, cria-se uma nova oitava via o MURREY MATH.
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PS: Não ache que o preço fará X (a não ser que saiba aplicar o quadrado d 9 em volatilidade e TEMPO). Espere o preço atingir algum ponto que lhe é importante em sua analise. e vá ou volte com ele.
PPS: para aplicar W.D.GANN no tempo e achar horários de mudanças, indico o software GANNZILLA que é de graça (ou pague R$60mil por ano pra usar o OPTUMA! :D) e tb a fórmula derivada de GANN criada pelo Carl Futia
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MINHA ORAÇÂO PARA PURIFICAÇÂO DIÁRIA:
OREI PARA BOLSONARO!
ELE NÃO VEIO!
DEUS APARECEU!
DEUS ME DISSE,
"OU LULA SOLTO, OU LULA, MORO, DALLAGNOL, FLÁVIO BOLSONARO, MILICIANOS, AÉCIO NEVES, JOSÉ SERRA, TODOS CORRUPTOS PRESOS"
PERGUNTEI, "PQ ISSO DEUS?"
E DEUS ME DISSE,
"PQ A JUSTIÇA É PARA TODOS OU A JUSTIÇA É PARA NINGUÉM"
AMEM!
"BRASIL A SERVIÇO DE TODOS BRASILEIROS.
DEUS ACIMA DOS DEÍSTAS.
O VAZIO EM TORNO DOS ATEUS."
KALLISTI!
E-Mini S&P500An interesting week ahead. China trade relations raising it’s head. October highs stealthily taken out overnight, on low volume. More earnings reports out this week. Beware of traps!
I think the market with try to establish value at Friday’s POC before deciding whether to retest the overnight high or continue to the downside.
Wait and see what the initial balance is before taking a trade. Price action might swipe stops on both sides of overnight range first.
E-Mini S&PAnother day of earnings and uncertainty. Nasdaq made higher highs after earnings reports after market close. Dow lost some of the gains made on Tuesday. This has left S&P a bit flustered. There is no clear directional bias on intra-day. Overnight price action, particularly during London, held in a very narrow range. Maybe those in the know, know something retail doesn’t.
However, I maintain a upside bias, as I believe the market is taking a breather before it takes out the recent highs before coming down to fill imbalances created earlier this weak. The price went up on very thin volume on Tuesday. I think the bears are waiting around the 44-mark.
The big guns are accummulating!