WMT Rolling Over AgainCould not sustain its H&S breakout, and looks to go lower to build momentum for another move up. Target 97-100.
E-retail
THE FOSCHINI GROUP (TFG) DAILY TIMEFRAME SHORTThere is no magic crystal ball here. Whether you are on the daily timeframe or 4-hour, the stars are aligned baby! The price for this stock is moving in a clear range with the support at 15 760 and the resistance at 17 825. Now we can see a bearish candle start to form at the top, and a second closure of a bearish candle will likely be my trigger for the trade. A more conservative entry would be to enter when the third bearish candle moves halfway the length of the prior candle.
It looks like a good opportunity to buy in bigger time frameson the daily and weekly it just hit the support level of the retest
Gbpcad Potential short Gbpcad clean and simple short, we might see a stop hunt to the highs first before the midweek reversal comes in. patience is key for this pair as we saw a lot of fake confirmations on the 4hr chart.
This is drawn on a weekly chart.
XAUUSD SHORTfor Ideal Swing Traders
Ideally this scenario is backed by sentiment towards gold. XAUUSD is falling from a Weekly supply zone, acompanied by a strong BEARISH ENGULFING bar on Weekly timeframe.
Suggesting a strong push towards the downside.
RMI Is About To Make A MoveRand Merchant Investment (RMI) Holdings is an investment holding company with a portfolio of insurance and investment products targeted at the commercial, corporate, retail and public sector. The group’s history can be traced back to 2010 with the spinning off of insurance assets from Rand Merchant Bank (RMB) Holdings, FirstRand and Remgro. RMI Holdings shares were subsequently listed separately on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE), although RMB Holdings and RMI Holdings still share the same management team.
Technicals
On the weekly time frame, we can see a corrective structure formation, indicated in pink. The daily time frame, indicated in blue, shows a 5 wave corrective structure which has completed. This would indicate that there should be a break to the upside soon. This break will be the start of wave 4 on the weekly structure.
Massive ER Play - Lowe's!!I've been watching Lowe's since early Feb and I think there is potential for a big move leading up too/after the ER on March 1st.
It's been running in the green for ~8 days and the RSI indicates it's oversold.
It's currently hanging out on the 0.628 Fib lvl, could see it gap up to 0.786 or 1.0 Fib lvls (~$111 and ~$117)
The support levels are at 0.5 and 0.382 Fib lvls (~$101.5 and ~$98). Giving us a P/L Ratio of 1.7
IS THE CORRECTION COMPLETE OR WILL WAVE 5 COMPLETE FIRST?Growthpoint Properties is a diversified property investment holding company incorporated and registered as a public company on 12 October 1987. Growthpoint shares are listed for sale under the Financial Services Real Estate Investment Trust sector of the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE), and the group is today one of the biggest players within the sector. The company boasts a portfolio of 525 properties which provide 6.7 million m² of retail, office and industrial space to leading businesses in South Africa and Australia. They also have a majority stake in 53 Properties which are valued at R22 billion. One of Growthpoint‘s biggest investments is a 50% stake in the properties at Cape Town’s V&A Waterfront, valued at R6.8 billion.
Technicals
As you can see on the chart above, there was a spike down to the 50% Fib retracement level as indicated with the red arrow. This is a strong level of support and the rally from there could continue on upwards if this is the formation. I would not be surprised to see wave 5 complete to the 61.8% Fib retracement level before we see the break to the upside but due to the break of the structure at the top of wave 4, it is also possible that the rally will occur soon.
NEPI ROCKCASTLE TRADING SCANDAL HURT, WILL IT RECOVER?NEPI Rockcastle owns and manages a portfolio of dominant retail properties in the following high-growth CEE countries: Romania, Poland, Bulgaria, Slovakia, Hungary, Croatia, Czech Republic and Serbia. The Group benefits from a highly-skilled internal management team which combines asset management, development, investment, leasing and financial expertise. Geographically diverse management skills allow NEPI Rockcastle to pursue Central and Eastern European (CEE) property opportunities more efficiently, benefiting from a strategic advantage in the acquisition, development and management of properties. The Group is well positioned for growth, driven by its best-in-class operating platform, as well as its historically proven capacity to deploy existing capital resources into attractive direct property investments. NEPI Rockcastle continues the active investment policy that supported the growth of NEPI and Rockcastle respectively over recent periods, with a strong pipeline of acquisitions and developments currently being pursued in its targeted region.
NRP is however part of a large trading scandal where they were accused of overstating profits and have taken big hits in terms of share price.
Technicals
There are two options here but both setups indicate that there should be further downside.
Option 1
Here we can see the initial impulse move to the downside on the left and I expect the second impulse to complete to the downside at a target price of around 3000. The corrective structure completed 4 waves and broke to the downside and is now on the retest level which means that the second impulse could begin shortly.
Option 2
The same initial impulse move applies but we could see the formation of a larger correction as indicated above. The break to the downside for impulse two will have the same target as option 1 and could occur on wave 4 or alternatively after the completion of wave 5 to the top first.
CWH campfire to spark soon? Lets go on a short trip with camping world - Very basic analysis. Please criticize.
Would be careful with this one and play it short term ; not confirmed for entry.
RRGB Preview - Multi-Year Bottom CarvedRed Robin Gourmet Burgers (RRBG) has carved out a bottom inside an old demand zone, and is now heading into a mid-term supply zone. If it clears 33.66'ish, it has potential to clear the mid 30's. If it does, expect a great long opportunity. If it does not, it may become a great short.
SHOPIFYAfter looking through finances I am not a fan of Shopify in the long-term being able to support itself in terms of it's finances. For the technical traders out there it looks like price could have bounced off of the resistance level. Just something to note or keep an eye on.
Retail Sector (XRT)Whats up Traders,
All of the explanation is on the chart.. .
Retail Economic Data coming into play on this one majorly.
We are looking for a breakthrough of the descending wedge pattern
Looking for continued retail sales growth next month also.
$SHOP sellers look exhausted. Big test here. Fundamentally $SHOP is growing revenues 50% yoy. That was before the Cannabis craze came into the mix. Here we see that the downtrend is being challenged, double bottom with RSI divergence and support from 78% extreme retrace. Earnings or positive sentiment from Cannabis space could lead to another substantial moving.
COST: Sell Short Potential but Strong Support at 200The Daily Chart of COSTCO Stock shows that there is some sell short potential on the short-term trend IF the stock breaks to the downside below the low of around 216. At this time, it appears that is more likely given the lack of large lot buyers in the chart patterns. Support levels show the point gain potential moving down from the current range-bound pattern.
However, COST is less likely to collapse all the way down to 50% from its all-time high. Why? Because it was never speculated to extreme highs, far from a strong support level. The furthest it can go before reaching strong support is around 200 for a bounce and 190 for serious support and risk of rebound price action.
VIPS growth potentialVipshop market cap. 3B vs Alibaba market cap. 343B
Has potential to grow in comparison with Alibaba
Long term idea without predefined stop loss and target profit.
Disclaimer: not investment advice, not qualified licensed investment advisor, author may have positions in mentioned assets.
DJI to most likely bottom at 24K in this quarterDue to challenges of the entire technology sector, directly affecting manufacturing and indirectly influencing other sectors, DJI may see 24K in this quarter, and bounce back afterwards, subject to probable and required catalysts.
GBPCAD, short-term potential +/- 200 pips on short set-up A potential short trade is busy setting up for this coming week starting on 12 November 2018.
FUNDAMENTAL
Fundamentals will probably support a weaker GBP.
Economic red news releases include GBP: cpi, retail sales and inflation reporting.
Should all of or most of these news items be negative for the GBP, a definite GBP weakness will be experienced.
Note: no significant news releases scheduled for the CAD.
TECHNICAL
Price appear to be oversold on the 4hr chart.
The Ichimoku indicator on the 1hr chart show further weakness.
It therefore imply a potential short position is in the making that might produce +/- 200 pips.
See potential price levels for entry, profit taking and risk management on chart.
Remember, anything can happen.
Happy trading
$TJX Long Idea NOV / DEC Seasonality Seasonally TJX is usually quite strong , earnings are coming up soon and they have announced a split as well. NOV I'm expecting to see some good numbers out of retail names $XRT and strong thanksgiving and Christmas sales as the consumer seems pretty strong. The risk to this setup is if TJX reports poor numbers then I can expect a retracement back to 101/102 if that breaks then $97 for further downside, but for upside I'm looking to target $119-121 by Christmas , if we get good earnings and follow through , but the markets need to cooperate. I'm playing this through DEC 115 calls at $2 , no stop loss for me only small position.
Remember this is not financial advice , just what I think.
