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Wayfair | W | Long at $34.62Wayfair $NYSE:W. Recession fears are valid. But long-term, once this company becomes truly profitable, this will be a multi-bagger. I won't go on much about the fundamentals because there are too many economic unknowns ahead, but from a technical analysis perspective, the historical simple moving average lines/area is repeatedly converging with the price and leveling out. Often, this means a change in directional momentum. There are no more open price gaps below the current price on the daily chart. Thus, at $34.62, NYSE:W is in a personal buy zone. Note: The price entering the teens in the near-term is a possibility. Targets: $40.00 $50.00
NYSE:WLong
by WorthlessViews
Newmont Corp | NEM | Long at $48.00While gold prices have soared recently, gold mining stocks have lagged. Newmont Corp NYSE:NEM , the world's largest gold mining corporation, may be undervalued if the miners take off to catch up to the gold demand/price. Currently sitting near $48.00 and at a historical moving average that it will need to break to show a true trend reversal, NYSE:NEM is in a personal buy zone. Now, the price may break down at the simple moving average and test the patience of shareholders, but the long game may benefit those who can tolerate the volatility. Target #1 = $57.00 Target #2 = $71.00
NYSE:NEMLong
by WorthlessViews
Can $ALB Triple Without Lithium Prices Hitting All-Time Highs?🧠 TL;DR Albemarle ( NYSE:ALB ), a global lithium heavyweight, has seen its stock price collapse over 70% from its 2022 highs, closely tracking the decline in lithium spot prices. With lithium carbonate plunging from ~$80,000/ton to under $15,000/ton, many investors assume a rebound in the commodity is a precondition for a meaningful recovery in $ALB. But what if that assumption is wrong? This post explores whether Albemarle can stage a powerful comeback even if lithium prices remain far below their peak. Once lithium bottoms—potentially soon—investors can begin extrapolating annual demand growth and embed those expectations into the share price, setting the stage for a valuation rerating. The headline chart tracks the long-term price relationship between Albemarle and lithium carbonate, normalized and plotted on a logarithmic scale. It shows the synchronized peaks of 2022, the ensuing crash, and where that correlation may have decoupled. While the lithium price collapse has been severe, NYSE:ALB has arguably overcorrected — potentially pricing in a long-term depression in lithium that may never materialize. 🏭 Revenue, Net Income, and Lithium This chart juxtaposes Albemarle's trailing revenue and net income against spot lithium prices. Despite a sharp fall in the commodity, the company posted two successive quarters of profitability, and revenue remains well above pre-boom levels. This resilience suggests: Multi-year pricing contracts offer insulation from spot volatility Cost structure remains profitable even at current prices Demand tailwinds (EVs, grid storage) are still pushing through 📊 Negative Forward P/E, Positive Earnings, and Discount to NAV While forward P/E metrics have dipped into negative territory, this doesn’t tell the full story. The company delivered back-to-back profitable quarters, and the current share price reflects a significant discount to estimated net asset value. The market is currently punishing ALB based on trailing pessimism and collapsing sentiment, rather than forward fundamentals. When lithium prices stabilize, even at mid-cycle levels, investors may reprice ALB based on future earnings potential and hard assets—not backward-looking assumptions. 🔍 Key Takeaways 🔋 Demand Remains Strong EVs, grid storage, and electrification trends are not slowing. Lithium demand is projected to more than triple by 2030. Even modest demand growth off the current base will stretch supply chains, especially if new projects are delayed. 🏗️ Albemarle’s Structural Edge With a relatively low cost of production and long-term contracts in place, ALB is positioned to ride through the downturn. The company has already demonstrated profitability at today's prices. 📉 Valuation Compression = Opportunity At current levels, the stock appears to price in a scenario of sustained low lithium prices and declining demand. But the company’s hard assets, cost advantage, and future demand curve suggest a different reality. 🧠 Final Thought Once lithium prices bottom—maybe relatively soon—investors can begin to extrapolate the rate of annual growth and embed those expectations into the share price, potentially triggering a sharp re-rating before spot prices ever return to their highs.
COMEX:LTH1!Long
by quickshiftinn
Nucor | NUE | Long at $120.17Nucor NYSE:NUE , a US manufacture of steel and steel products, will likely capitalize on reduced foreign competition as tariffs become reality. The CEO also recently stated that the steelmaker's order backlog is the largest in its history and is increasing prices. So, while there is a potential for short-term downside as tariff "unknowns" are negotiated, the longer-term upside may be there for those who are patient... but time will tell. Basic Fundamentals: Current P/E: 21x Forward P/E: 15-16x Earnings are forecast to grow 29.6% per year Projected Revenue in 2025: $32.3 billion [*} Projected Revenue in 2028: $39.4 billion Debt-to-Equity: 0.4x (healthy) Dividend Yield: 1.8% Technical Analysis: Riding below the historical simple moving average and there is risk the daily price gap near $109 will close before moving higher. If there is a "crash" in price, $70s is absolutely possible which will be a "steel" if fundamentals do not change. Targets in 2027: $142.00 (+18.2%) $187.00 (+55.6%)
NYSE:NUELong
by WorthlessViews
US Unemployment Rising: How Is This NOT a Recession?The U.S. unemployment numbers are steadily climbing, as indicated by recent Bureau of Labor Statistics data. Typically, significant rises in unemployment correlate directly with recessions, which are shaded gray in historical data charts. Currently, unemployment has reached over 7 million, significantly higher than recent lows. Historically, every similar increase has coincided with or preceded an official recession declaration. Yet, mainstream economic narratives have avoided labeling this a recession. What does this data tell us, and is the market accurately pricing in the risk? Are we already in a recession, or is this time different? Share your thoughts below. Let's discuss the disconnect between the unemployment reality and official recession narratives.
FRED:UNEMPLOY
by Teqnkka
AES | Bounce in Motion from Multi-Decade Support – 75% Upside 📍 Ticker: NYSE:AES (AES Corporation) 📆 Timeframe: 1M (Monthly) 📉 Price: $11.48 📊 Volume: 109.4M 📈 RSI: 40.20 (Oversold rebound zone) 🔍 Technical Setup: NYSE:AES has just bounced from the lower boundary of a 30-year ascending parallel channel, a zone that has historically marked major long-term bottoms. 🟢 Green arrow: Rebound from long-term trendline support 📏 Targeting reversion to the channel median 🔹 Pattern context: Mean-reversion strategy inside macro uptrend 🧠 Trade Plan & Price Target: ✅ Entry Zone: $11.00–$11.50 ❌ Stop-Loss: Close below $9.50 (channel structure breakdown) 🎯 Target: $20.00 → 📈 Return: +75.6% from current levels ⚠️ Key Insights: RSI near historical bounce zone (40) Major volume surge may signal capitulation AES is historically cyclical within this macro structure — mean reversion is likely Short interest elevated — potential for short-covering rally 💬 Will AES power a multi-quarter reversal like it did in 2002, 2009, and 2020? 📈 Add it to your radar if you’re watching for long-cycle rebounds. #AES #MeanReversion #LongTermChannel #Utilities #ValueTrade #TargetTraders
NYSE:AESLong
by TargetTraders
PRMB | Breakdown in Progress – Setting Up for a 200% Swing Buy📍 Ticker: NYSE:PRMB (Primo Brands Corporation) 📆 Timeframe: 1W (Weekly) 📉 Price: $28.84 📊 Volume: 32.38M 📈 RSI: 40.95 (Bearish momentum, nearing bounce zone) 🔍 Technical Setup: PRMB has broken below a steep sub-channel and is targeting the midline and base of a broader long-term ascending channel, offering a high-reward opportunity for medium-term traders. 📉 Short-term trend: Bearish correction 📈 Long-term trend: Still intact within rising channel 📍 Support zone: $20.70 – multi-year horizontal + lower channel convergence 📊 RSI: Oversold territory, potential for bullish divergence 🧠 Trade Plan & Price Targets: 📥 Wait for price to hit $20.70–21.00 zone (major confluence zone) ✅ Entry Range: $21.00–$22.00 ❌ Stop-Loss: Below $19.00 (channel breakdown invalidation) 🎯 Target 1: $35.00 → 📈 Return: +64.8% 🎯 Target 2: $72.00 → 📈 Return: +229.3% ⚠️ Key Insights: Volume spikes during selloff = panic selling, possible capitulation RSI forming base near 40 → reversal often begins here historically Macro trend channel still fully intact — just correcting within range Steep reward potential if entry is timed at support 💬 Will PRMB complete the retest and deliver a massive swing? 🎯 Precision setups like this don't come often — add it to your watchlist now. #PRMB #ChannelTrading #SwingSetup #LongTermReversal #HighReward #TechnicalSetup #TargetTraders
NYSE:PRMBLong
by TargetTraders
Precision Wires India Ltd: Breakout + Fundamental Bullish SetupTechnical Analysis (Daily Timeframe) Breakout Pattern: consolidation breakout with Strong bullish DOJI candle above ₹185–₹187 Volume Confirmation: with a spike in volume (767.6K vs avg 571.2K)✅ Yes Trend: Strong uptrend; Higher Highs & Higher Lows Bullish momentum intact Price above 20 EMA & 50 EMA FUNDAMENTALS ANALYSIS : Company fundamentals are fully strong, company low debt and high reserves make it fundamentally strong PROFIT & LOSS: Company revenue increased YOY Company net profit good Profit Margin improved from 3.9% to 4.2% that is the good sign. 🔼 Steady revenue growth with increasing margins shows operational efficiency and cost management. Fundamental Summary Parameter Verdict Earnings Growth : Consistent YoY Financial Health : Excellent Promoter Holding: Stable & high Business Model: Stable & scalable Trade conclusion: Strong volume Breakout from Consolidation Earning Growth and ROCE >15% Debt free company with high promoters confidence. Good Sector 📢 Disclaimer: Not investment advice. Do your own research (DYOR). This idea is shared for educational and tracking purposes.
NSE:PRECWIRELong
by Airborn_trader
Stock of the Week ! LMND Price Action June 2025Overview Name: Lemonade, Inc. Ticker Symbol: LMND Exchange: New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) Founded: 2015 Headquarters: New York City, USA CEO: Daniel Schreiber (as of 2025) Sector: Financial Services About Lemonade is a technology-driven insurance company that uses artificial intelligence (AI) and behavioral economics to disrupt traditional insurance. It offers a variety of insurance products through a mobile-first, digital platform: Renters insurance Homeowners insurance Pet insurance Term life insurance Car insurance Fundamentals Overview Statements Earnings Revenue Key Takeways Lemonade had a robust quarter with growth accelerating to 27% year-on-year to $151 million in Q1 2025., the 6th quarter of year-over-year (YOY) acceleration, and outperforming. The company posted losses this quarter that was less than expected. Technicals Price has crossed above the 50-week EMA (~$30) and is now at $38.98, suggesting strong bullish momentum. The 50-day MA also just crossed the 200 day MA forming a golden cross. It also recently broke out of a falling wedge pattern formation on the 4hr timeframe. It has formed and broken out a saucer suggesting a price reversal from 2021 on the weekly chart suggesting bullish momentum. My Take NYSE:LMND is showing a clear bullish momentum though it has entered overbought RSI signaling a consolidation or pullback near $42-$45 range. I am looking for a potential upside to $52 by the end of the month. Position: LMND 40 Call June 20 2025 Quantitly: 10 Average Cost Basis: 1.26 Last Price: 2.33 Total % Gain/Loss: +85%
NYSE:LMNDLong
by ProfitProf
1
PBF Energy turnaround happening?Fundamentals: The stock is trading at 0.42x book value, and pays 5.58% dividend. Of course, if profitability deteriorates further, the dividend can be cut and the P/B value can fall lower, but! PBF is doing a good job on cost cuts, in the last earnings report posted narrower loss than expected The mexican company 'Control Empresarial de Capital' is continously buying shares of the company, and nor Carlos Slim, neither another insiders-holders selling shares. Technicals: The 100 day moving average is the Boogeyman for PBF Energy. One year ago, early May 2024 the price lost it, and never got back above. Death cross happened in 2024 July. Got rejected by the 100MA 4 times, as seen on the picture. The 50day got under the 100, but not worked as support. In 2025 Jan-Feb it tried, but failed. Is this time different? A final washout is already happened to $13.45 in April. In May 2025, the 100MA rejected the price again, but this time the 50MA held as support. Now the price battles with the 100MA again, break above means a target of $25, as this is an unfilled gap of 2025 February, and the 200 day MA. Short-term traders can set $25 as target. Long-term investors can eye $32-36 with proper risk management, or continous buying-selling. Can take a year or two.
NYSE:PBFLong
by totifex
100% run up into earningsChance to get hot with semis if SPX can claim above 5950 High $8 for buying until we lose the 50MA. Break above 12 with strength/volume will be key for continuation to 20. Price-To-Earnings ratio (12.6x) is below the US market (17.8x) * Revenue is forecast to grow 17.78% per year * Earnings grew by 47.8% over the past year * Short Interest 6.94M Short Previous Month 7.16M Short % of Shares Out 23.30% Short % of Float 26.13% Short Ratio (days to cover) 17.67 they will have tariff issues, so guidance is likely to bring uncertainties
NASDAQ:AEHRLong
by WSMS199
SGMO May Be the Most Mispriced Opportunity of 2025-26 -SGMO is shaping up to be a high-potential trade with both short- and long-term upside. After entering an uptrend in late 2023, the stock is showing strong bullish signals, with technical indicators and moving averages pointing to a favorable buy zone. Fundamentally, it's hitting a key turning point — EPS is moving from negative to positive for the first time, and revenue is projected to grow from \$50M to \$200M by 2028. -Typically, SGMO experiences a major price jump every year, and it’s currently coming out of a low period. A breakout is expected within the coming month. Even under conservative estimates, a 200% return is possible in the near term. But if SGMO revisits its historical highs around $20 — a level it’s touched multiple times in the past — the upside from its current $0.50 range could exceed 4,000%. The financial structure is far stronger than it was during previous lows (like March 2020), making this a classic high-risk, high-reward setup worth watching closely.
NASDAQ:SGMOLong
by aliahmadieng1362
NVDA GEX Earnings Outlook by OptionsNVDA reports earnings this Wednesday, and it’s a big deal. A major move could impact both the indexes and broader tech sector. The OTM 16 delta curve essentially overlaps with both the GEX profile and the expected probability zone — signaling strong confluence. 📈 Rising IV with falling call skew: Volatility is rising into earnings, while the call skew is dropping — a sign of growing interest in downside hedging/speculation. 🔷 Key inflection zone (129): Above 129, the market is unlikely to surprise. Below it, however, a domino effect could trigger increased volatility and put-side flows. Implied move into earnings is 6.62%, reflecting binary risk expectations from the options market. Strong gamma squeeze territory exists between 140–145, with significant call wall buildup around 140. The nearest expiry shows a positive net GEX — supporting short-term mean-reversion or hedging flow stability above 129, at least until the earnings print. 🔴 Downside risk scenario: In the event of a downward move, the market is most heavily hedged around the 125 level, which aligns with the deepest put support. 💡 Wheeling Opportunity Idea ONLY IF you want to own NVDA long-term around the $130 level (even if it drops short/mid-term), this might be a great time to start the wheeling strategy. Because earnings inflate volatility, you can sell a near-term cash-secured put (CSP) for solid premium — even on a 53DTE (July) option. Based on current GEX levels, we’re seeing: -Support (squeeze zone) around $125 -Call resistance around $140 -A potential upside squeeze extending to $145-$150 These align roughly with ~20 delta OTM options, so the premium is attractive. How would I personally start this: Sell a CSP for May 30 with the intention to get assigned if NVDA drops. If I do get assigned, I’m happy to own shares. Then, I sell a 60DTE covered call right after to collect another round of premium. If I’m not assigned, I sell a new 45–60DTE put the following week — still benefiting from the relatively high IV. 👉 Remember: High IV = synthetic time value. With this two-step method, you can harvest premium twice in quick succession. I used the same technique with NASDAQ:INTC , and it’s been performing well. 💥 ONLY IF you want to own NVDA long-term around the $130 level (even if it drops short/mid-term)!
NASDAQ:NVDA
by TanukiTrade