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EBIX Long Options StrategyInternational SaaS and technology company Ebix offers software and e-commerce services to the insurance, financial, travel and healthcare industries. It recently announced that it closed 2022 with record volumes on AnnuityNet4 (AN4) --its annuity exchange platform that handles roughly 70% of the electronic annuity transactions in the industry, integrated with partners such as Cannex, DocuSign, OneSpan, DTCC. Other areas of business include CRM, Forex, and e-learning solutions. Fundamentally, Ebix has a market cap of 623.2M and P/E of 9.47x -- with price targets from $43-150, averaging $97. TA-oriented investors may spy some consolidation into a falling wedge as well as some possible bullish momentum. But tech stocks in general are volatile in this market, and it's hard to tell if this small cap will chop or rally. With this options strategy, capture up to 12% (20% annualized) of the potential gain while also allowing EBIX room to fall 63% before losing any of the initial investment. Hedged like this: Buy 1 $20 call Sell 1 $22.5 call Sell 3 $7.5 puts Exp 9/15/23 Capital Requirement: $2239
ELong
by oliveinvest
AMZN - Victim Of Its Own SuccessAmazon, Inc. What's wrong with that title? It's not quite the official name of the company. The company colloquially referred to as "Amazon" by anybody and everybody from my Grandfather to teenage girls at my high school, both looking to shamelessly devolve into consumerism from the nearest smartphone or web browser, has an undeniable grip on the modern world. The correct name for AMZN, as it's listed on the NASDAQ, is Amazon.com, Inc. This title, a remnant of its dotcom era IPO, indirectly serves today to remind investors of Amazon.com, Inc's massively profitable cloud computing division, which operates completely separately from its retail division, and which pushed its common stock to almost a 1.7 Trillion dollar valuation at the end of 2021. It's hard to say anything bad about Amazon.com, Inc's cloud computing business. Its market share is larger than Google and Microsoft's share combined in the same industry (Q3 2022 Data according to Statista). Big names like Netflix, Facebook, and Twitter use their services. Their service quality is high and has data centers around the globe. Its growing extremely fast. The Catch: Current macroeconomic headwinds are causing many businesses to cut back spending, and AWS is seeing this effect their bottom line. AWS still grew 20% year over year in Q4, but short of the expected 27.5%. This moderate slowing in its massive growth might be normally acceptable by investors to some degree. Except, it's not. AMZN trades at a sky-high PE of 68; After already losing more than 700 Million dollars in market cap since its peak in 2021. This ratio relies heavily on aggressive growth models for the company. AMZN's PE ratio has always been this way. Overzealous investors have been willing to pay this premium to get ahead of the massive profits AWS consistently posted. In many tech companies, excessive growth valuations have often been justified by certain rock solid keystone statistics (think: META's daily user count). Yet, growth is in practice finite, and a peak in these statistics forces multiples return to earth. The current market conditions and complex nature of the cloud computing industry could make the peak more difficult for investors to identify, but barring explosive cloud growth in future quarters, the multiple normalization process will take place. Disclaimer The information and publications here are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations. Conduct your own research and consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NASDAQ:AMZNShort
by Connor-Foran
Screen Setup for Fundamental AnalysisRecently I experimented with TradingView's "fundamental metrics" feature by mixing and matching up the financial information indicators. Finally, created a dedicated layout called "Fundamental analysis" and I like it a lot. Realizing that this feature is receiving less attention than it should be getting, I've decided to share my setup with everyone who's reading this to see. Setup : I've split my screen into two sides with (i) symbol, (ii) interval, and (iii) time all synced up. Left screen : Trend analysis on financial performance (the income statement) Right screen : Trend analysis on financial position (the balance sheet), along with changes in cash positions (statement statement of cash flows) They're all just high level breakdowns. We are not trying to come up with companies' intrinsic values by just staring at bundles of colorful rainbow lines. For each quadrant, I've placed the key Financial Statement Line Items (FSLIs), and key ratios (i.e. activity, liquidity, solvency, or profitability ratios) that are relevant to my decision making process. This is not a standard template because every value investor is different in terms of what they want to see at first sight when presented with companies' financial statements. TradingView had by default put labels with numbers on them, I removed all of those because I'm just interested in looking at the trends. If I need the exact information, I'll either dig up the SEC filings or go get copies of analysts' reports. But before ever doing that, I want to get a quick mental snapshot of the company's financials. Example : A quick walkthrough of TSLA (by just looking at the layout as shown in the example) over 5 years; As of latest quarter: (A) Financial performance wise: - EBIT and EBITDA had increased, all thanks to ramp up of revenue, and helped by decreasing of COS and OPEX. - as a common shareholder, it's great to see basic EPS increasing, but beware of dilutive effects (B) Financial position wise: - from perspective of a shareholder, it's great to see debt decreasing over time; shown by decreasing in net debt, corresponded by decreasing of D/E. - with increase in interest cover ratio, it tells that TSLA is starting to make enough money to have enough EBIT to cover their finance costs; good - overall liquidity wise, there had been decrease in quick ratio. This is explainable due to increase of inventory as shown by the gray line. This is okay, as long as inventory turnover is stable going forward (inventory activity ratios can be added if wanted, but I just plotted total inventory; normally I just want to know whether companies hold inventories or not). Advantage of this setup : - I can go through my TradingView watchlists and spend just 5 to 10 seconds on each company to get brief insights of their fundamentals. Disadvantage of this setup : - The scale is a problem. By default, they are auto-fitted. Due to nature of different FSLIs and ratios, you cannot resize them to obtain a meaningful universal scale. Be careful when deciding to work with comparatives with this setup. Example: if you look at basic and diluted EPS, it seems like the dilutive effect is immaterial because the lines are are stacked up. But if you look at the scales, they're completely different!
NASDAQ:TSLA
by DojiEmoji
2
AMZN earnings todayAMZN Q4 earnings are today, 2/2 at 4pm. Amazon (AMZN) reported Q3 September 2022 earnings of $0.28 per share on revenue of $127.1 billion. The consensus earnings estimate was $0.22 per share on revenue of $126.4 billion. Revenue grew 14.7% on a year-over-year basis. The company said it expects Q4 revenue of $140 billion to $148 billion. Here's an AMZN 1 week chart with the past 8 earnings reports PE, EPS, revenue, cash & debt data indicators. Plus 2/3, 2/17 and 3/17 expiry options data. Q4 December 2022 Consensus: EPS = 0.15 Revenue = $145.40B P/E = 96.5 Q3 September 2022: EPS = 0.28 beat +35.53% Revenue = $127.10B miss -0.29% Cash = $35.17B Debt = $128.25B Q2 June 2022: EPS = -0.20 miss -270.72% Revenue = $121.23B beat 1.76% Cash = $37.7B Debt = $124.577B Q1 March 2022: EPS = -0.38 miss -190.58% Revenue = $116.44B miss -0.53% Cash = $36.6B Debt = $113.287B Q4 December 2022: EPS = 1.39 beat +657.12% Revenue = $137.41B miss -0.13% Cash = $36.48B Debt = $116.395B 2/3/23 expiry options data: Put Volume Total 91,854 Call Volume Total 141,512 Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.65 Put Open Interest Total 232,469 Call Open Interest Total 286,708 Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 0.81 2/17/23 expiry options data: Put Volume Total 35,737 Call Volume Total 130,457 Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.27 Put Open Interest Total 368,246 Call Open Interest Total 646,114 Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 0.57 3/17/23 expiry options data Put Volume Total 20,571 Call Volume Total 55,465 Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.37 Put Open Interest Total 402,933 Call Open Interest Total 659,330 Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 0.61
NASDAQ:AMZN
by Options360
2
On 1 Feb 2023 Indian FM Will Talk on Crypto Regulations.......On 1st Feb Indian Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman is going to announce budget of India. I am expecting that she will definitely talk about crypto regulations in India. As Wazirx is leading exchange in india right now, if something positive is for indian crypto community then WRX coin and other well reputed indian tokens will pump hard on tht day. So lets trade this upcoming new This trade is completely based on news, if something unfavorable news comes WRX will dump too...
WLong
by Rohit_Shinde
ARHS - Arhaus, Inc.Very nice reaction off of the 9ema this morning. Largest 30-min volume since the gap up on raised revenue guidance. Started a small position; couldn't justify a full position with the overall market being slightly extended on a short-term basis and showing negative action on the day. Will look to add over the debut price high of $14 only if the broad market continues its bullish phase. The all-time-high of 14.95 looms overhead, but with the volume & growth on this name, I'd expect it to clear that level as long as the market environment remains favorable. The FOMC decision and statement on Wednesday will have a major impact on the market environment. Even if I am shaken out of this starter position, I'm keeping this one on my focus list for as long as the environment remains healthy. This has the potential to be a true market leader.
NASDAQ:ARHSLong
by apaqu
BROS - Dutch Bros Inc.One of the longer-term plays I am watching. IPO'd back in 2021, they don't have much in the way of current earnings, but analyst estimates are expecting big growth over the next couple of years. Starting to inch its way up the right side of a possible stage 1 base on good volume. Don't need to rush into buying this one - need to let it show me that it is in fact ready to go. As of now, it's still in a downtrend regardless of the constructive action since the start of the year.
NYSE:BROSLong
by apaqu
SPY is forming a reversal narrowing ascending wedge patternSPYs recent rally has now started to form a narrowing ascending wedge pattern. This is a reversal pattern which could lead to a sell off once complete. The recent rally is not without its bearish news on the horizon. the market has become quite optimistic that it believes Fed will adjust rate hike to .25 for the first time. Fed has warned about this recent rally will lead to more pain later. The way companies have been beating estimates is by lowering EPS guidance. While I want this bear market to come to a close, we still have more trouble to work through. The Fed is focused on inflation which is high.
AMEX:SPYShort
by ratchet-mint
Microsoft (MSFT) Q2 2023 EarningsMicrosoft (MSFT) reported the second fiscal quarter 2023 financial results after the market close. EPS beat the low estimates but revenue came below expectations, Azure cloud unit showed strong growth. Here are the key points: Earnings per share came at $2.32 a decline from $2.48 a share a year ago but topping the expectations of $2.27. Revenue for the quarter came at $52.7 billion below the expectations of $52.94 billion. Revenue growth is 2% (YoY) which is the slowest pace since 2016. The Intelligent cloud revenue reported at $21.51 billion below the estimates of $21.43 billion. Server products and cloud services revenue increased 20% driven by Azure and other cloud services revenue growth of 31%. Azure grew 38% (YoY) topping the consensus of 37%. Here are the last quarters Azure growth: Q3 ’21: 48% Q4 ’21: 46% Q1 ’22: 49% Q2 ’22: 46% Q3 ’22: 42% Q4 ’22: 38% Revenue in Productivity and Business Processes was $17.0 billion. Revenue in More Personal Computing was $14.2 billion and decreased 19%. Operating income was $20.4 billion GAAP and $21.6 billion non-GAAP Diluted earnings per share were $2.20 GAAP and $2.32 non-GAAP Here is Microsoft’s $MSFT December Quarter Revenue since 2006 2006: $12.5B 2007: $16.4B 2008: $16.6B 2009: $19B 2010: $20B 2011: $20.9B 2012: $21.5B 2013: $24.5B 2014: $26.5B 2015: $23.8B 2016: $25.8B 2017: $28.9B 2018: $32.5B 2019: $36.9B 2020: $43.1B 2021: $51.7B 2022: $52.7B Microsoft Analyst’s Expectations and latest Price Target Analysts expected Microsoft to report earnings per share of $2.27 and revenue of $52.94. Revenue growth for the Azzure segment is expected to grow by 37%. On January 20, Mizuho reiterated Microsoft at Buy and reduced the price target from $305 to $290. Guggenheim on January 17, downgraded MSFT from Neutral to Sell and set a price target of $212.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by Eventstra