AA: Bad earnings report will push down?Alcoa Corporation
Intraday - We look to Sell at 37.00 (stop at 41.12)
This stock has recently been in the news headlines. A sequence of daily lower lows and highs has been posted. We can see no technical reason for a change of trend. Further downside is expected although we prefer to sell into rallies close to the 37.00 level.
Our profit targets will be 27.48 and 22.00
Resistance: 41.00 / 58.00 / 80.00
Support: 27.50 / 17.50 / 10.00
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
Earnings
AMD - BULLISH SCENARIONASDAQ:AMD bouncing in trend channel on the weekly chart, the upcoming earnings report on November 1st, 2022 suggests short-term upward movement in the channel. Chip delivery times shrank by four days in September, the biggest drop in years, in a sign that the industry’s supply crunch is easing.
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses
APPLE - BULLISH SCENARIONASDAQ:AAPL has a "high" Earnings Quality Ranking for the 36th consecutive week. Earnings quality refers to the extent to which current earnings predict future earnings. NASDAQ:AAPL Introduces Next-Generation iPad Pro, Supercharged by the M2 Chip on the 18th, and the news was reflected in trend reversal formation on the chart.
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
GLOP trending upwards with good fundamentals behindGLOP seems to be trending upwards in overall bearish market momentum. The energy company has exceeded analyst expectations during earlier quarterly reports. We seem to be in an upward top position in the purchase flow for this particular stock. If the price stabilizes for a couple of days we may see a beautiful bull flag forming on the chart. This should be added to your watchlist for bull flag stocks with good fundamentals driving the price.
NETFLIX - BULLISH SCENARIO (NFLX)Netflix Inc NASDAQ:NFLX is expected to report earnings of $2.18 a share on revenue of $7.8 billion, and analysts will be looking closely at subscriber numbers as the streaming pioneer prepares to roll out a less expensive paid ad tier. Demand for cheaper streaming options in developing countries is looking like a good niche to be filled by the giant. The earnings report is being released on the 18th Oct.
DXY (High Probability Buy Setup soon)The U.S. Dollar Currency Index (DXY) is showing continuing strong BULLISH move towards ATH of 114.773 of Mon 26 Sep '22, with U.S. inflation figures out later on today are in the spotlight, with the data expected to reinforce bets that the Feds will continue to tighten policy aggressively, hence extra strength to the DXY.
Keep a close eye on DXY today, happy pip hunting traders.
Nvidia is a dead man walking.NVDA is going to drop by 50% over the next few quarters, adjusted for how the overall market performs.
I'm not looking at support levels or head and shoulders patterns or anything like that. I see Ethereum mining is gone, and with it GPU mining is now done at a loss and only in shitcoins. I see miners mass selling the stock of GPUs they've been buying for the last 2 years. I see Nvidia delaying their new GPU product launch to unload their stock of old product before it becomes worthless (they have a year's worth to dispose of!). I see Nvidia trying to get out of their allocation contract with TSMC because they ordered far too much (highly expensive) 4nm capacity as part of the silicon shortage bullwhip. I see EVGA, Nvidia's preferred partner cutting ties with Nvidia and exiting GPU assembly immediately before a new product launch due to mistreatment from Nvidia. I see the tech enthusiasts everyone watches for reviews dumping on Nvidia for re-labeling their upcoming 4070 as a 4080 to confuse and scam their customers. I see AMD building comparable GPU products modularly for less than half the cost on TSMC's 5-6nm processes. I see AMD is poised to compete on performance while delivering huge efficiency and cost wins. Most of all I see that NVDAs stock price was built on a foundation of sand during a GPU cryptomining boom that propelled them to a P/E over 70 on the idea that it would last forever when it may well be gone forever (or at least a few years) as Ethereum has moved to Proof of Stake. The stock has already dropped by half, but since the earnings took a small beating the P/E remains over 40 while earnings are poised to fall off a cliff for the next year or 2.
TLDR: A perfect storm of terrible silicon market conditions, the death of GPU cryptomining, competition, and potentially an economic downturn will be piledriving NVDA to 60, if not 30 as their earnings experience some major shrinkage. It may take a few quarters of terrible revenue numbers before the market catches on though.
Bullish Unusual Options Activity on CCL Sep 9.50 callNYSE:CCL $325K in premium traded for $9.5 strike calls for Friday September 30th 2022 expiration traded today.
Unusual Activity for $9.5 calls about 28,000 contracts traded throughout the day @ approx $0.25 per contract (Above Open interest of only 3200)
Carnival Corp earnings date is 09/29/2022 Thursday
Stock is at an interesting price level. If stock price moves up and IV increases could help add premium value to the call options.
Risks : Short Expiration - Theta Risk. Earnings Risks.
I would recommend a vertical spread to keep theta at bay especially after earnings when IV will drop reducing the price of the options if you expect to hold this past earning.
Entry Above: 9.01
Target 9.36, 9.65, 9.96
SL close below 8.74
You can use the above levels to trade the stock as well with risk reward ratio of approx 3.65 (defined risk)
Follow more unusual activity signup using my referral link marketaction.live
Important Note: This is a short duration contract with earnings risk. Please trade responsibly.
Please let me know in the comment if you find this useful.
CHK daily bullish hammer CHK daily bullish hammer at MA 100 retest gap and good volume. Stop loss below MA 100, take profit at next resistance. Gotta be short since countertrend and earning are ahead of us.
Target Could Be Breaking a TriangleTarget gapped lower on weak earnings four months ago. Now it may be showing signs of the bearish trend continuing.
The main pattern on the retailer is a converging squeeze between the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) and the 100-day SMA. This has produced something of a triangle that TGT is now breaking to the downside.
Today’s chart also features our 2 MA Ratio study with the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) and the 21-day EMA. The line just turned red, which indicates the fast EMA is below the slow EMA. That could also suggest the shorter-term momentum has turned bearish again.
TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options, futures and cryptocurrencies. See our Overview for more.
Important Information
TradeStation Securities, Inc., TradeStation Crypto, Inc., and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., all operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. You Can Trade, Inc. is also a wholly owned subsidiary of TradeStation Group, Inc., operating under its own brand and trademarks. TradeStation Crypto, Inc. offers to self-directed investors and traders cryptocurrency brokerage services. It is neither licensed with the SEC or the CFTC nor is it a Member of NFA. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products, and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Please click here for further important information explaining what this means.
This content is for informational and educational purposes only. This is not a recommendation regarding any investment or investment strategy. Any opinions expressed herein are those of the author and do not represent the views or opinions of TradeStation or any of its affiliates.
Investing involves risks. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options, futures, or digital assets); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Before trading any asset class, first read the relevant risk disclosure statements on the Important Documents page, found here: www.tradestation.com .
FDX: Overreaction?FedEx Corporation
Short Term - We look to Buy at 161.03 (stop at 148.79)
The company gave a bleak outlook for profits and plunged in the premarket by 20% .We are trading at oversold extremes. A move lower faces tough support and we remain cautious on downside potential. We therefore, prefer to fade into the dip with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back higher. A higher correction is expected.
Our profit targets will be 206.12 and 215.00
Resistance: 200.00 / 240.00 / 320.00
Support: 160.00 / 130.00 / 100.00
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
Bolinger Bands + EMA added to SSL = !!!So I've been using a few Bolinger + EMA indicators and SSL Hybrid/Non for a while now. No specific one, as there are quite a few versions available from TradingViews list of resources. Today I just happened to decide to see what would happen if I combined these indicators and do some strategy testing and play around with a few settings... well, here's the outcome. So far I've noticed better results on 1hour charts but this is just with LTCUSD (just happened to be on this chart when I started doing this so theres no specific reason I chose LTC)
From what I can see though, if you select the SSL Baseline as the strategies main resource for it's calculations from the strategies settings, it's pretty difficult to get a negative result... making this a rather easily profitable blend of indicators combined into 1 neat strategy with few settings have to mess with.
Let me know what you think and if this has been done in another strategy or indicator set that I don't know of yet?
Blockchain Companies: Expectation vs RealityCryptocurrency bubble?
When analyzing the financial data of companies in the blockchain/cryptoassets area, more specifically the EPS (Earnings per Share), we can see a huge discrepancy between expectation and reality.
It should be noted that some of these companies have never made a profit during their entire existence, and have negative cash flow.
The question is: to what extent has the market already priced in these negative results?
Would there be more room to fall?
Below is the concept of EPS, and shortly after a snapshot of the current EPS versus expected EPS, from the main companies in the cryptocurrency and blockchain area.
I'm not optimistic about this data, unless there's something that only I didn't see.
What is basic EPS?
Earnings per Share is the amount of earnings per share of issued, ordinary shares. When companies report financial results, earnings per share is one of the most commonly measured metrics.
(TradingView)
--------
Companies analyzed:
Marathon
Riot Blockchain
Hut 8 Mining
Coinbase
Bitfarms
BitNile
CleanSpark
Core Scientific
Argo Blockchain
Canaan
Hive Blockchain
Digital Bit
Galaxy Digital
BIT Mining
Valour
Ebang
Greenidge
Iren
The Blockchain Group
TeraWulf
--------
ETFs analyzed:
Proshares Bitcoin Strategy
Grayscale Ethereum Trust
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust
Amazon tests the resistance levelThe full-fledged uptrend left for correction and testing of the broken resistance at $125. After testing, the trend is likely to continue. With a 10% position volume and a stop bid at $121.50, the risk on the portfolio will be 0.5%. The profit/risk ratio is 3.74.
Amazon's Q2 2022 profits fell, but company executives gave an optimistic outlook for the cloud technology business.
If you're not ready to invest on your own yet, we recommend that you carefully study the Sirius website, read and familiarize yourself with all the information.
09/07 - DSGX Earnings Review- Large areas of supply at current price from prior trough may compress price following tonight’s earnings.
- 200 SMA enveloping price from above.
- Fundamentally priced to perfection and will need to revise up to prevent price decline
- Targeting a move to $63 post earnings