Earnings
Tesla needs to hold 208.98 floorIf Tesla pulls back to 208.98 and holds I would be long for potential rally with earnings coming up.
Below 208.98 196.54 would be my first target.
BSE @ 4335 - Oct 9,2024In @ 4335
Reason: Outperform NSE total market. RSI, ATH and BBC principal.
EXIT PLAN : -8% SL
BUY more it the stock reaches new ATH crossing +10% of my profit.
Always respect your SL 🙏
TRENT BUY @ strong performance In @ 8230 (Oct 9,2024)
Strong price action, ATH breakout and fundamental. Will exit it it goes -8% SL.
My target is +16% min and then buy more if it's performing 🎭 🤞
Always respect your SL🙏.
The TRUTH is Pending through BULLISH CYCLESThe truth is pending but my REVERSAL STRADEGY unveils secret truths. Smart Money is playing it out into a rising wedge behind the background. Will it play out this way? maybe it is. They know how we think, if this happens to change then I will update later.
Meanwhile, when it is time for the crash fall, TA data will be accumulating on my end. This data will start printing out in tiny portions the CRASH IS NEAR.
We must understand, that when the crash is near, BITCOIN reads to be in its most bullish conditions which we've never seen before. The world will not stop talking about how bullish Indices, Stocks, and Crypto has been and will be.
I have no doubt many of any sort will be providing feedback to those who listen. These information providers will be on the WHALE's PAYROLL to deceive many to say more than what they shouldn't say and many will follow their advice and just then, the BULLISH FULL MOON will turn into darkness and those who provided feedback, displaying themselves as professional analyst traders, many will not to be found.
Pivot high and pivot low is my strategy, I've retraced. The Ma's work with my pivots. The yellow trend that's dotted is a possible scenario of price movement.
This bullish dragonfly doji has not closed but it's reading out BULLISH MOMENTUM for our coming months.
Beware; after 5 pm Pacific time, a minor downtrend then will reverse, and this may last for some time.
Short StacksShort this Little puppy.
might go up Slightly to one of the above two moving averages
The stock Lost momentum, and should continue to fall along the general trajectory of the moving averages
i am Expecting Disappointing Earnings, on September 4th, to be Exact.
Little DipperBuying Support 'Supply/Demand' has dried-up.
Stay below the moving averages.
Even the Dividend did Not help.
Did Not participate in the Rally with the Rest of the mkt.
Another Dismal earnings upcoming.
DOMINOS PIZZA $DPZ | RANGE BREAKOUT AFTER EARNINGS? - Oct 06 '24DOMINOS PIZZA NYSE:DPZ | RANGE BREAKOUT AFTER EARNINGS? - Oct 06 '24
BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): 435.00 - 475.00
DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): 420.75 - 435.00 (can be extended to 402.00 - 435.00)
SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): 370.00 - 402.00 (can be extended to 370.00 - 420.75)
Weekly: DNT
Daily: Bearish
4H: Bearish
NYSE:DPZ saw a massive drop from previous earnings, -13.57% drop post earnings release. Price then develops into a range, highs around 442 - 445 level, lows around 402. I am looking for the next earnings release (Oct 10, pre market) to be a catalyst to either breakout or breakdown the range that we've seen the past couple of months. I am looking for price to remain between the levels 420.75 and 427.75, or to break above 427.75, but rest under 435.00 until the earnings report is out.
This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas.
ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
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PCRX Pacira BioSciences IncFundamentals
- This stock should be prices at 30(50%) up according to the previus pricing logic with the forward earnings.
- I think that this stock is pressed down because an institutional buyer that left to rapid, I don't know what the motives are. (Mabey the lost of 50% in 2 years did.) (Or if you see the traditional models, growing cashflow and earnings growing and the stock keeps decreasing every month, I would also say it's cursed. But why don't you exit way earlier then? Or is that when you get a 50% discount?)
- Increase in earnings, good cashflow, good low dept.
Oppinion, undervalued, excellent risk-reward. It's worth the risk of taking this trade, I took a good profit and am now scaling up. I would not recommend trading higher with 400K or call flow traders for a put option.
RNR RenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd (Long Opportunity) Fundamental
- Stock is outperforming the market, building on new highs, I expect this will continue to at least 300 or ~10 near.
- Company's selling goes up.
- Company has a strong cashflow position.
- Investors very want the company at the moment.
- Company has great price/earnings growth spiral, wich makes dedicated traders want it, this explains the rise and this explains the continuation of this trend until the first big break, but this moment looks not to be near.
Screener FUL H.B. Fuller Company (Long opportunity) (Midterm) Financials
- Looking to a good year of growth,
- Good reachable expectations.
Technical
- Good bottom zone, with a very attractive price at the moment.
- Sellers have made the market but I expect this to flip because
you already see the buys rejecting the bottom level.
- Riskreward setup for at least 1/4 so attractive to speculators and traders.
Oppinion
- I think this kind of trading setup are very attractive for larger/smaller trading houses, this stock has a good outlook for the coming years also with the coming expectation cycle.
Even if this stock is underperforming I see optimism in the developments of the price and company.
Unilever (SHORT)(Speculation) Leo HanhartMotives
- Decease in FCF, bad business climate for unilever.
- Bearish momentum upcoming.
- (Opinion) The price is too high now compared to the numbers.
Please discuss with me about the situation, yes the macro environment is favor for CG.
FMCG, but Uni is in a segment where the buyers are pressured by inflation. I see this as a thread for the performance. This all makes that I see a bearish move very possible.
JBL Jabil Inc, (Long Opportunity) (Midterm) Leo Hanhart Strategic
- A lot of funds enter positions.
- Stock is gaining momentum.
- Company did strategic purchases wich higher the earnings in the future.
- Strategic position in the market.
- Free cashflow is high. (and increasing) if you would make a model for that, you will see that this will predict that the stockprice will increase.
Financials
- Earnings are okey.
- Company has a good outlook.
- Valuation is a bit on the low sight (is 10-11, was 20).
- Margin is increasing.
Techincal
- Just a good momentum spot.
- If you look at the weekly candles you see big long-O.
- Buyers are making the coming market I quess.
Baxter International | BAX | Long at $35.00Baxter International NYSE:BAX , a company that primarily focuses on products to treat kidney disease and other chronic and acute medical conditions, is another name that had a very rough time through 2022 and into 2024. However, the company's projected earnings and cash flow are expected to grow from 2024 through 2027 and it currently has a 3.35% dividend. Interest rates being lowered soon will help these projections. From a technical analysis perspective, my selected simple moving average is working its way down to recapture the price for a likely reversal in the next year or two (unless company fundamentals change). The recent low in June 2024 was higher than the previous low in October 2023 (higher lows) indicating a high chance of future price improvement - but nothing is guaranteed. At $35.00, it is currently in a personal buy zone.
Target #1 - $40.00
Target #2 - $48.00
Target #3 - $51.50
Target #4 - $65.00
Target #5 - $77.00 (very long-term...)
Weak Technical Patterns Ahead of EarningsFor now, NYSE:GS the largest of the Financial Services companies left, is struggling a bit. Trading activity in this stock is well below its average at this time. No pre-earnings run patterns have developed yet. There is some rotation recently, with lower money flow.
Ethereum's Bullish Surge: Prepare for Massive Gains!Bullish Scenario:
The chart shows a significant resistance zone between $2,750 and $2,825 (highlighted in blue). If Ethereum breaks above this resistance, it could indicate a potential bullish continuation.
After breaching the resistance, the price may target the $3,000 psychological level, followed by $3,086, as indicated by the horizontal level.
If Ethereum continues to create higher lows, this would confirm the strength of the upward momentum.
Bearish Scenario:
The green zone around $2,519 to $2,564 represents a key support level. If Ethereum fails to sustain above this level, it could fall back to test lower supports.
A breakdown of the green support zone could lead to the next support $2,439. In a more bearish case, the next target could be around the orange support area between $2,117 to $2,172, indicating a larger sell-off.
Odds Flates ON us 30 Trading US3O Odds Flats Going long, The Market made a new high at 42,500 price pull back to 41,900 at demand zone .Lookin to go long at 42,100 the n market open at 9;00 am ET.
We are are looking for a bullish engulf candle stick at these level we can set a BUY LIMIT at 42,300 TP are 42,450
Pre-earnings Run PatternBellwether of the ETF industry, NYSE:BLK reports Oct 11th and has already had a pre-earnings run. It is important to prepare ahead of earnings runs, which form 2-4 weeks ahead of the earnings release date. Dark Pools already know most of what is in the report. The long reversal tail candlestick signaled the probable run for a swing-style trade.
MU Update: Ready to Test New Highs?Continuing from my last two ideas on NASDAQ:MU , the double-bottom formation still has potential. There's an unclosed gap around $123 that should be closed, and I see similarities between the earnings surge back in March and the current one in September. If this plays out, my price target is $137.13, with a possible test of the all-time high at $157.
My Trade Plan: I'll be looking for a retest of the 150-day MA for support before entering, aiming for ~20% profit. However, it's crucial to monitor the volume closely.
What are your thoughts? Are you bullish or bearish on MU, and where do you see it heading next?
$AMZN: Fast Rebounds Reveal Fundamental Support LevelThe new technologies that Amazon is embracing, including robots/robotics, and a brilliant CEO keep this huge company moving forward.
The HFT-driven gap down in August was massive but the rebound was fast. This isn't the first time the stock has moved right back up to its prior quarter's fundamental support range, aka Dark Pool Buy Zone.
Now, NASDAQ:AMZN is slightly above that range to challenge the July high. A stock to watch ahead of its earnings report October 24th.
What Happened to Walgreens?Walgreens Boots Alliance (WBA) has essentially crashed. I think many of us know this story, seeing it across cities and towns across the country.
However, based on the recent price action, who knows how much longer this will last. It currently trades at 25+ year lows.
Here are a few key reasons why Walgreens stock is in a free fall:
1. E-Commerce Growth: Walgreens has lagged behind competitors like CVS and Amazon in capturing the digital health and e-commerce market. It may be too late.
2. Weak Earnings: Its latest earnings report showed lower-than-expected revenues, and the outlook for 2024 hasn’t provided much optimism.
3. Debt Load: Walgreens' acquisition of Boots and other ventures has left it with a significant debt burden, making it harder to navigate in this high-interest-rate environment.
Is it a dip buy? I think the debt is too much. There don't seem to be any catalysts.
A story I'll watch a little more closely...
INTEL Outlook after the Dip. What to expect NOW ?According to the Financial Times, Intel and the United States will finalize $8.5 billion in chip funding by the end of the year.
-(Reuters) - The Financial Times reported on Friday, citing people familiar with the discussions, that Intel and the U.S. government are likely to finalize $8.5 billion in direct funding for the chipmaker before the end of the year.
- The report stated that the negotiations were at an advanced stage, but there was no guarantee that it would be finalized before the end of 2024. It added that any acquisition of all or part of Intel’s (NASDAQ: INTC) business could risk disrupting the negotiations.
Intel and the U.S. Department of Commerce did not immediately respond to Reuters’ requests for comment.
- U.S. President Joe Biden awarded Intel nearly $20 billion in grants and loans in March to boost the company’s domestic semiconductor chip output.
- The preliminary agreement was for $8.5 billion in grants and up to $11 billion in loans for Intel in Arizona, where some of the funding will be used to build two new factories and modernize an existing one.
Qualcomm (NASDAQ: QCOM) has approached Intel to explore a potential acquisition of the troubled chipmaker.
- Once a dominant force in chipmaking, Intel ceded its manufacturing edge to rival Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co (TSMC) and failed to produce a widely desired chip for the generative AI boom capitalized on by Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) and AMD (NASDAQ: AMD).
I expect that the price will grow very quickly...
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Alpha Group - What next post-earnings and CEO sucession plan?My take on Alpha Group:
Alpha Group LSE:ALPH leads, in my view, as the UK's best FXRM firm, and institutional lending provider. What most lenders don't do is take a mixed approach - both expertise and technology when developing and implementing their services. From a macro perspective, Alpha Group provide stronger growth prospects than peers, as well as higher margins. They are continuously making large investments into their infrastructure, expanding their already strong platform. Analysts ests. momentum continues to be strong, due to the cheap valuation (despite the inflated NII).
The acquisition of Cobase had provided an additional vector of growth for the company, and will continue to do so into the future. Presently, and historically, Alpha Group have always displayed a super solid balance sheet, indicating mgmt. are in control. Buybacks are continuous, with £20m now completed in this year alone, leaving them with a huge cash position, over £180m.
And, as we all know by know, interest rates are dropping globally! Slowly, but surely, we will come down to a more modest cost of borrowing, and Alpha Group are a major beneficiary of this.
4th September 2024 - 1H24 results
• Total income up 19% yoy to £107m. Revenues at £64m, a 16% yoy rise. 1H underlying EBITDA @ £25.3m (39.4% margin), surpassing PH’s estimate of £23.3m.
• Additionally, an increase in net client additions and revenue per client. Corporate FXRM client base grew by 9% yoy, and institutional FX client numbers rose 11% yoy.
• Cash up again! Now sitting on £180m at the end of the first half. Buyback on track, now with £20m completed.
• As at 04/09, trading at approx. 6x ‘25e EV/EBITDA and an 8% FCF yield, still suggesting good valuation for buying.
10th September 2024 - CEO Transition & Succession
- Alpha Group announced today that Morgan Tillbrook, CEO, has decided to step down from his duties at the company.
- He will continue his role up until the end of the calendar year, where he will then be succeeded by Clive Khan.
- Clive is currently Chairman at Alpha Group and is also the CEO of takepayments. takepayments was recently acquired by Global Payments NYSE:GPN , which I believe provides perfect timing for Clive to step down as CEO and step up for the role at Alpha Group.
- With over 30 years in the FX and payments industry, there's no real better option than Clive, as his philosophy is almost identical to Morgan's.
- He transformed takepayments from a failing bill payments business into one of the leading card acceptance businesses in the UK. As for Morgan, he too has a history of angel investing.
- I anticipated a potential move for Morgan, as his long history of angel investing gave me a "heads up" to his absence.
- At the open on the 10th, the markets felt disappointed and surprised, causing the stock to drop c.10% on the day.
- However, Morgan made absolutely clear in his formal announcement that he will be leaving the business primed for further exponential growth and equipped with a robust business model. He emphasised that Alpha Group cannot be left in better hands than Clive, and I believe there is no reason to expect a rough transition in the step-up for him.
